• 제목/요약/키워드: 30s and 40s Unemployment

검색결과 7건 처리시간 0.025초

한국 30~40대 실업률 예측을 위한 구글 검색 정보의 활용 (Application of Google Search Queries for Predicting the Unemployment Rate for Koreans in Their 30s and 40s)

  • 정재운;황진호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권9호
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2019
  • 장기불황으로 인해 한국 청년실업률이 수년간 10% 안팎의 높은 수준을 유지하고 있는 가운데, 주요 경제활동 인구인 30~40대의 실업률이 최근 상승세를 보이고 있다. 정부의 기존 청년 중심의 고용촉진 및 실업복지 정책을 30~40대를 포함한 다양한 연령층으로 확대 강화하기 위해서는 각 연령층에 대한 실업예측 모형 연구가 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 한국 통계청 실업률 자료와 구글 검색어를 활용하여 한국 30~40대 연령층에 특화된 실업률 예측모형을 개발하고자 하였다. 실업률 자료와 계절성 자기회귀누적이동평균 모형을 활용하여 기초모형(Model 1)을 다중선형회귀 모형으로 추정하였으며, 개선된 모형을 구하고자 구글 검색 질의어 정보를 Model 1에 추가 활용하였다(Model 2). 그 결과, 30대와 40대 연령층 모두 구글 검색 질의어를 추가 활용한 Model 2가 Model 1보다 우수한 예측력을 보였다. 이는 웹 검색 질의어가 여전히 한국의 실업률 예측모형을 개선하는 데 유의미함을 의미한다. 본 연구는 실질적인 활용을 위해 추가적인 연구가 필요하지만, 연령대별 실업률 예측 연구에 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

여가생활만족도에 관한 인과관계분석 -여가생활 참여도, 여가시간, 여가비용을 중심으로- (An Analysis of Causal effect on Leisure Life Satisfaction -Focused on leisure activity participation, leisure time and leisure expenditure-)

  • 이정연
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.287-305
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze a causal effect on the housewife's leisure activity participation, leisure expenditure and leisure life satisfaction. Data was collected 249 housewives in Pusan. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, one-way Anova, multiple regression, Pearson's correlation and path analysis. The main findings of the research were as follows: First, there were significant differences in leisure activity participation according to socio-demographic and economic variables. Physical type showed significant differences when housewife was 30's and unemployed, size of family was 3 and 4, age of the lastborn child was under 6, occupation of husband was professionals and technicians, educational attainment of housewife was under highschool graduate, pattern of housing was collective, income was higher. There were significant differences that occupation of husband was professionals and technicians, educational attainment of housewife was over junior college graduate, pattern of housing was collective, income was higher in self-developing type. restful type showed significant differences when housewife was 40's, age of the lastborn child was under 13-18, educational attainment of housewife was under highschool graduate. There were significant differences that housewife was unemployed in home-oriented type. There were significant differences that housewife was 30's and unemployed, size of family was 4, age of the lastborn child was under 6, occupation of husband was market and sales worker, educational attainment of housewife was over junior college graduate, pattern of housing was collective in time-spending type. Second, there were significant differences in leisure time, leisure expenditure and leisure life satisfaction according to socio-demographic and economic variables. Leisure time showed significant differences when housewife was unemployed, age of the lastborn child was under 13-18, occupation of husband was service, educational attainment of housewife was under highschool graduate, income was higher. Leisure expenditure showed significant differences when housewife was 30's, size of family was under 3, age of the lastborn child was under 6, occupation of husband was senior officials and manager, educational attainment of housewife was over junior college graduate, pattern of housing was collective, income was over 5,000,000 won. There were significant differences that housewife was unemployed in leisure life satisfaction. Third, casual effect was path analysed according to path model. Employment and unemployment of housewife, income and occupation of husband (product & transport equipment operator) had an effect on phycial type. Age of housewife, employment and unemployment of housewife and occupation of husband (product & transport equipment operator) had an effect on children-concerned type. Age of housewife had an effect on social-concerned type. Education of husband, income, age of lastborn child and occupation of husband (professor and teacher) had an effect on self-developing type. Age of lastborn child, employment and unemployment of housewife and occupation of husband(product & transport equipment operator) had an effect on children-concerned type. Age of lastborn child and children number had an effect on religious-social type. Employment and unemployment of housewife had an effect on home-oriented type. Age of housewife, education of husband had an effect on time-spending type. Restful type, employment and unemployment of housewife, and occupation of husband(service) have an effect on leisure time. Income, leisure time, self-developing type, children concerned type and occupation of husband(senior officials and manager) had an effect on leisure expenditure. Leisure expenditure, self-developing type, employment and nemploymentof housewife, income had an effect on leisure life satisfaction.

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경기변동이 자영업이행에 미치는 영향의 연령집단별 차이 -구축가설과 유인가설을 중심으로- (The effects of push factors on transition into self-employment across age groups - Focusing on push hypothesis and pull hypothesis -)

  • 지은정
    • 사회복지연구
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.141-178
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    • 2012
  • 우리나라 노동시장은 자영업의 비중이 크고 연령집단에 따라 자영업 비중의 차이가 크지만, 경기변동이 자영업 이행에 미치는 영향의 연령집단별 차이에 대한 연구는 미흡하다. 이에 본 연구는 한국노동패널 5~11차 자료를 활용하여 구축가설과 유인가설을 중심으로 분석하였다. 분석결과, 실업률이 높을수록 자영업 이행률이 높아져 구축가설을 지지한다. 기업가 정신의 발현보다는 노동시장여건의 악화로 자영업으로 밀려난 것으로 볼 수 있다. 연령집단별로 보면, 청년층에 비해 30대와 40대의 자영업 이행률이 높다. 경제활동이 왕성한 30~40대가 주변부 노동시장에 진입할 확률이 높아서, 자영업이 특정 연령계층의 문제가 아님을 알 수 있다. 또한 40대의 자영업 이행은 직업기회가 제한될 때 급증하여, 경기불황에 자영업으로 밀려가는 것으로 나타났다. 40대의 고용이 경기변동에 취약한 것을 말해준다.

일부 농촌지역 주민들의 대사증후군 유병실태 및 관련요인 (Prevalence and associated Factors of Metabolic Syndrome in a Rural Community)

  • 조연순;곽정옥;김영신;박서영;성연희;우두임;이경옥;이미숙;이정경;조현주;최정희;한정애;김봉정
    • 한국농촌간호학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The objectives of this study were to investigate the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) and to identify associated factors with MetS among rural residents. Methods: Data were collected from 1,196 subjects over aged 30 years by a self-administered questionnaire, physical measurement, and blood test in a rural area. The prevalence of MetS was determined by the criteria of the American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (AHA/NHLBI) and 2005 the Korean society for the study of obesity. Results: The prevalence of MetS was 40.5% for men, 49.2% for women. The prevalence of risk factors of MetS was 57.4% for elevated blood pressure, 49.0% for low HDL-cholesterol, and 48.6% for abdominal obesity. Unemployment and higher Body mass index (BMI) were associated factors for MetS regardless of gender. And higher age and physical inactivity in women only increased the odds of the MetS. Especially, BMI was a strong risk factor of MetS in both men and women. Conclusion: The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was higher in a rural area. Therefore, health care providers should develop lifestyle modification program to increase physical activity level and to prevent the obesity among rural residents in order to decrease the prevalence of MetS.

병원 간호행정 개선을 위한 연구 (A Study for Improvement of Nursing Service Administration)

  • 박정호
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.13-40
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    • 1972
  • Much has teed changed in the field of hospital administration in the It wake of the rapid development of sciences, techniques ana systematic hospital management. However, we still have a long way to go in organization, in the quality of hospital employees and hospital equipment and facilities, and in financial support in order to achieve proper hospital management. The above factors greatly effect the ability of hospitals to fulfill their obligation in patient care and nursing services. The purpose of this study is to determine the optimal methods of standardization and quality nursing so as to improve present nursing services through investigations and analyses of various problems concerning nursing administration. This study has been undertaken during the six month period from October 1971 to March 1972. The 41 comprehensive hospitals have been selected iron amongst the 139 in the whole country. These have been categorized according-to the specific purposes of their establishment, such as 7 university hospitals, 18 national or public hospitals, 12 religious hospitals and 4 enterprise ones. The following conclusions have been acquired thus far from information obtained through interviews with nursing directors who are in charge of the nursing administration in each hospital, and further investigations concerning the purposes of establishment, the organization, personnel arrangements, working conditions, practices of service, and budgets of the nursing service department. 1. The nursing administration along with its activities in this country has been uncritical1y adopted from that of the developed countries. It is necessary for us to re-establish a new medical and nursing system which is adequate for our social environments through continuous study and research. 2. The survey shows that the 7 university hospitals were chiefly concerned with education, medical care and research; the 18 national or public hospitals with medical care, public health and charity work; the 2 religious hospitals with medical care, charity and missionary works; and the 4 enterprise hospitals with public health, medical care and charity works. In general, the main purposes of the hospitals were those of charity organizations in the pursuit of medical care, education and public benefits. 3. The survey shows that in general hospital facilities rate 64 per cent and medical care 60 per-cent against a 100 per cent optimum basis in accordance with the medical treatment law and approved criteria for training hospitals. In these respects, university hospitals have achieved the highest standards, followed by religious ones, enterprise ones, and national or public ones in that order. 4. The ages of nursing directors range from 30 to 50. The level of education achieved by most of the directors is that of graduation from a nursing technical high school and a three year nursing junior college; a very few have graduated from college or have taken graduate courses. 5. As for the career tenure of nurses in the hospitals: one-third of the nurses, or 38 per cent, have worked less than one year; those in the category of one year to two represent 24 pet cent. This means that a total of 62 per cent of the career nurses have been practicing their profession for less than two years. Career nurses with over 5 years experience number only 16 per cent: therefore the efficiency of nursing services has been rated very low. 6. As for the standard of education of the nurses: 62 per cent of them have taken a three year course of nursing in junior colleges, and 22 per cent in nursing technical high schools. College graduate nurses come up to only 15 per cent; and those with graduate course only 0.4 per cent. This indicates that most of the nurses are front nursing technical high schools and three year nursing junior colleges. Accordingly, it is advisable that nursing services be divided according to their functions, such as professional, technical nurses and nurse's aides. 7. The survey also shows that the purpose of nursing service administration in the hospitals has been regulated in writing in 74 per cent of the hospitals and not regulated in writing in 26 per cent of the hospitals. The general purposes of nursing are as follows: patient care, assistance in medical care and education. The main purpose of these nursing services is to establish proper operational and personnel management which focus on in-service education. 8. The nursing service departments belong to the medical departments in almost 60 per cent of the hospitals. Even though the nursing service department is formally separated, about 24 per cent of the hospitals regard it as a functional unit in the medical department. Only 5 per cent of the hospitals keep the department as a separate one. To the contrary, approximately 12 per cent of the hospitals have not established a nursing service department at all but surbodinate it to the other department. In this respect, it is required that a new hospital organization be made to acknowledge the independent function of the nursing department. In 76 per cent of the hospitals they have advisory committees under the nursing department, such as a dormitory self·regulating committee, an in-service education committee and a nursing procedure and policy committee. 9. Personnel arrangement and working conditions of nurses 1) The ratio of nurses to patients is as follows: In university hospitals, 1 to 2.9 for hospitalized patients and 1 to 4.0 for out-patients; in religious hospitals, 1 to 2.3 for hospitalized patients and 1 to 5.4 for out-patients. Grouped together this indicates that one nurse covers 2.2 hospitalized patients and 4.3 out-patients on a daily basis. The current medical treatment law stipulates that one nurse should care for 2.5 hospitalized patients or 30.0 out-patients. Therefore the statistics indicate that nursing services are being peformed with an insufficient number of nurses to cover out-patients. The current law concerns the minimum number of nurses and disregards the required number of nurses for operation rooms, recovery rooms, delivery rooms, new-born baby rooms, central supply rooms and emergency rooms. Accordingly, tile medical treatment law has been requested to be amended. 2) The ratio of doctors to nurses: In university hospitals, the ratio is 1 to 1.1; in national of public hospitals, 1 to 0.8; in religious hospitals 1 to 0.5; and in private hospitals 1 to 0.7. The average ratio is 1 to 0.8; generally the ideal ratio is 3 to 1. Since the number of doctors working in hospitals has been recently increasing, the nursing services have consequently teen overloaded, sacrificing the services to the patients. 3) The ratio of nurses to clerical staff is 1 to 0.4. However, the ideal ratio is 5 to 1, that is, 1 to 0.2. This means that clerical personnel far outnumber the nursing staff. 4) The ratio of nurses to nurse's-aides; The average 2.5 to 1 indicates that most of the nursing service are delegated to nurse's-aides owing to the shortage of registered nurses. This is the main cause of the deterioration in the quality of nursing services. It is a real problem in the guest for better nursing services that certain hospitals employ a disproportionate number of nurse's-aides in order to meet financial requirements. 5) As for the working conditions, most of hospitals employ a three-shift day with 8 hours of duty each. However, certain hospitals still use two shifts a day. 6) As for the working environment, most of the hospitals lack welfare and hygienic facilities. 7) The salary basis is the highest in the private university hospitals, with enterprise hospitals next and religious hospitals and national or public ones lowest. 8) Method of employment is made through paper screening, and further that the appointment of nurses is conditional upon the favorable opinion of the nursing directors. 9) The unemployment ratio for one year in 1971 averaged 29 per cent. The reasons for unemployment indicate that the highest is because of marriage up to 40 per cent, and next is because of overseas employment. This high unemployment ratio further causes the deterioration of efficiency in nursing services and supplementary activities. The hospital authorities concerned should take this matter into a jeep consideration in order to reduce unemployment. 10) The importance of in-service education is well recognized and established. 1% has been noted that on the-job nurses. training has been most active, with nursing directors taking charge of the orientation programs of newly employed nurses. However, it is most necessary that a comprehensive study be made of instructors, contents and methods of education with a separate section for in-service education. 10. Nursing services'activities 1) Division of services and job descriptions are urgently required. 81 per rent of the hospitals keep written regulations of services in accordance with nursing service manuals. 19 per cent of the hospitals do not keep written regulations. Most of hospitals delegate to the nursing directors or certain supervisors the power of stipulating service regulations. In 21 per cent of the total hospitals they have policy committees, standardization committees and advisory committees to proceed with the stipulation of regulations. 2) Approximately 81 per cent of the hospitals have service channels in which directors, supervisors, head nurses and staff nurses perform their appropriate services according to the service plans and make up the service reports. In approximately 19 per cent of the hospitals the staff perform their nursing services without utilizing the above channels. 3) In the performance of nursing services, a ward manual is considered the most important one to be utilized in about 32 percent of hospitals. 25 per cent of hospitals indicate they use a kardex; 17 per cent use ward-rounding, and others take advantage of work sheets or coordination with other departments through conferences. 4) In about 78 per cent of hospitals they have records which indicate the status of personnel, and in 22 per cent they have not. 5) It has been advised that morale among nurses may be increased, ensuring more efficient services, by their being able to exchange opinions and views with each other. 6) The satisfactory performance of nursing services rely on the following factors to the degree indicated: approximately 32 per cent to the systematic nursing activities and services; 27 per cent to the head nurses ability for nursing diagnosis; 22 per cent to an effective supervisory system; 16 per cent to the hospital facilities and proper supply, and 3 per cent to effective in·service education. This means that nurses, supervisors, head nurses and directors play the most important roles in the performance of nursing services. 11. About 87 per cent of the hospitals do not have separate budgets for their nursing departments, and only 13 per cent of the hospitals have separate budgets. It is recommended that the planning and execution of the nursing administration be delegated to the pertinent administrators in order to bring about improved proved performances and activities in nursing services.

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대구지역 치기공과 학생의 취업률 향상과 치과기공사의 인력수급에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Employment Rate of Dental Technology School Graduates in Daegu and the Supply and Demand of Dental Technician Work Forces)

  • 이종도;정영해
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.37-54
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this thesis is to address the imbalance between supply and demand of dental lab technicians and to propose its solutions by analyzing the improvement of employment rate of graduates of dental technology schools in Daegu area and the supply and demand of the technician workforce. Preliminary and full-scale surveys were performed from Aug. 10 to Oct. 10 in 2008 on 150 junior students of dental technology schools who finished their on-the-job-training and 150 dental technicians who were working for dental laboratory in Daegu by self-assessment questionnaire. Followings are the findings of this study. First, regarding the gender of the dental technicians, 32.7% of respondents were female 67.3% were male. Concerning age, respondents younger than 29 years-old occupied the highest percentage(39.3%). With respect to the lab technology school they graduated, DaeguHealthCollege took the largest proportion of 87.3%. With regard to interpersonal relationship at the school, 58.0% of respondents felt their relationship 'smooth'. Second, about the motive of choosing to be a lab technician, the biggest proportion of the respondents(34.7%) replied that 'because it is professional'. Regarding the degree of satisfaction about the profession, 'so-so' was the answer with the biggest percentage(51.3%) followed by 'satisfied'(32.0%) and 'unsatisfied'(16.7%). It showed that respondents were generally satisfied with their major. Third, regarding relevance of on-the-job-training with 'preparation for the employment', highest percentage of both students and lab technicians(50.0%) replied 'so-so'. With respect to 'necessity of practical education', highest percentage of the students and lab technicians replied 'relating didactic education in college to the real world' with 52.7% and 40.7% respectively. With regard to 'the aim of on-the-sport-training', 'practical training of didactic education' was chosen by 54.0% and 47.3% respectively. Fourth, with regard to the 'types of college education advantageous for the employment', both students and lab technicians groups chose 'practical training' with the highest percentage. Concerning 'helpfulness of clinical training on employment', students answered 'so-so' and 'helpful' by 50.0% and 42.7% respectively and dental technicians replied similarly by 50.0% and 46.0% respectively. Fifth, with regard to the influence of financial factors on the supply and demand of dental technician(question #1), 68.0% of respondents agreed that 'salary plays key role in the supply and demand of the work force'. Concerning the question about working condition, respondents requested better working environment. With reference to interpersonal relationship at the laboratory, respondents replied that interpersonal relationship affects the duration of the employment it was found out that there were many conflicts with colleagues or dental office. Sixth, regarding the satisfaction about their profession according to the characteristics of the respondents more respondents were 'satisfied'(10.30 points) with their profession and 'unsatisfied' were 9.47 points and the difference was statistically significant(p<0.05). According to the findings of this study, practical education on campus and on-the-job-training are as important as didactic education at class due to the characteristics of dental technology major. It was found that more practical training is related to higher employment rate. Therefore, efficiency of on-the-job-training by college education should be increased raise employment rate of the graduates and reduce the unemployment. Up-to-date information needs to be promptly delivered and future vision should be presented to the students to raise their satisfaction about the profession. In addition, to reduce dental technician's frequent change of their workplace after facing with the reality of the profession after graduation, related organizations should make an effort to present better future than now.

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지방자치단체 자체 복지사업 지출 영향요인 분석 : 사회보장정보시스템을 통한 접근 (Analysis on Factors Influencing Welfare Spending of Local Authority : Implementing the Detailed Data Extracted from the Social Security Information System)

  • 김경준;함영진;이기동
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.141-156
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    • 2013
  • 그 동안 한국 사회에서 지방자치단체(이하 지자체) 복지사업과 재정지출에 대한 연구는 장애인, 노인, 보육 등 복지사업 대상 등을 중심으로 부문별 복지지출에 대한 영향요인 연구가 대부분 이루어져 왔다. 최근 지자체의 자체적인 복지노력도 측면에서 자체 사업에 대한 연구가 특정 지역의 사례를 중심으로 이루어지기는 하고 있지만, 자료에 대한 접근과 조사의 한계로 여러 요인이 실증적으로 고려되지 못하여 정책적 함의를 도출해 내기 어려웠다. 현재 우리사회의 복지예산과 그 지출규모는 국가 예산의 30%에 이를 만큼 높은 비중을 차지하고 있다. 이에 따라 국가적 차원에서 공공복지 전달체계의 효율적 운영과 관리를 위해 사회보장 정보시스템을 구축, 운영하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기존 연구에서 사용하는 지방재정시스템이 아닌 사회보장 정보시스템을 통하여 지자체 복지재정 지출과 관련, 기존 연구에서 한계점으로 지적되었던 전수데이터에 대한 접근과 조사를 실시하여 학문적이고 정책적인 함의를 도출해 내고자 한다. 사회보장정보시스템은 복지전달체계의 효율화를 위해 구축되었으며, 이를 통해 17개 부처 292개 복지사업이 집행되며, 230개 지자체 4만여 개 복지사업의 정보가 관리되고 있다. 이에 따라 본 연구는 사회보장정보시스템을 통해 관리되는 지자체 복지사업을 중심으로 지자체 복지지출에 미치는 영향요인을 탐색하고자 한다. 이를 위해 지자체 복지노력도로 대변되는 순수 시 군 구 복지예산액을 종속변수로 설정하였으며, 기존문헌 검토를 바탕으로 인구사회학적, 지역 경제적 그리고 지자체 재정적 요인을 독립변수로 설정하였다. 또한 독립변수 요인간 다중공선성 문제를 점검하였고, 다중공선성의 문제가 없는 것으로 확인된 수급자 비율, 영유아 비율, 아동청소년 비율, 복지비 비율, 구인배율, 재정자립도, 재정자주도의 총 7개 독립변수와, 소속 정당을 통제변수로 사용하여 결정요인의 변화를 분석하였다. 연구결과를 살펴보면 기본모델에서는 복지비 비율, 영유아 비율, 재정자립도, 재정자주도, 구인배율이 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 그리고 기존 문헌에서 분석되지 못했던 시 군 구별 복지지출 영향요인의 차이점을 분석하였다. 또한 복지예산 총량 데이터에 근거한 기존 연구들이 논의하지 못했던 자체 복지사업 예산에 미치는 영향요인을 구체적으로 밝혀내는데 의의가 있다.