• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제55권3호
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• pp.13-24
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• 2013

Agriculture is affected directly by climate conditions and changes, and it is necessary to understand the impact of climate change on agricultural reservoirs which are the main water resources for paddy fields in Korea. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of climate change on the anti-drought capacity including water supply capability (WSC) and drought response ability (DRA) of agricultural reservoirs based on RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios of CanESM2 (The Second Generation Earth System Model) provided by CCCma (Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis). The WSC and DRA were estimated using frequency analysis and runs theory. The six reservoirs (Yooshin, Nogok, Kumsung, Songgok, Gapyung, Seoma) were selected considering geographical characteristics and design criteria of reservoir capacity. In case of Seoma reservoir, more than 10 year drought return period (DRP), the variation of the WSC was estimated larger than the others. In case of Yooshin reservior (2~5 DRP) DRC was decreased in 2025s under RCP8.5. These results could be utilized for agricultural reservoirs management and future design criteria considering climate change impacts on paddy irrigation.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제50권4호
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• pp.17-24
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• 2008

Exposure risk assessment of pesticide molinate using the RICEWQ model in a rice paddy plot was performed to observe the effects of various water and pesticide management scenarios. Several scenarios were developed to represent the specific water and pesticide management practices of rice cultivation in Korea. The results of the scenario analysis using the RICEWQ model simulation from the previous studies were analysed. The molinate risk for aquatic organisms is evaluated by the ratio of the predicted environmental concentration(PEC) and the predicted no-effect concentration(PNEC). The results showed that the no-effect periods for aquatic organisms for the deep, shallow and very shallow irrigation conditions were 33.3, 28.9 and 25.6 DATs for the lable rate application and 36.4, 33.7 and 30.8 DATs for the double lable rate application, respectively. The higher application rate showed greater exposure risk to the aquatic organisms. Based on this study, the withholding period of molinate practiced in Korea, that is 3 to 4 DATs, must be much longer. The results of this study can be used for the non-point source pollution control and environmental policy making regarding pesticides.

• Environmental Engineering Research
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.618-629
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• 2019

Along with growing population and economic development, increasing waste generation rates in developing countries have become a major issue related to the negative impacts of waste management on the environment. Currently, the business-as-usual waste management practices in Myanmar are largely affecting the environment and public health. Therefore, this study developed an alternative approach to waste management for reducing the environmental impacts in Myanmar by highlighting the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from business-as-usual practices and three proposed scenarios during 2018-2025. The calculation methods of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Institute for Global Environmental Strategies were used for estimating the GHG emissions from waste management. It was estimated that the current waste management sector generated approximately 2,000 gigagrams of CO₂-eq per year in 2018, trending around 3,350 Gg of CO₂-eq per year in 2025. It was also observed that out of the proposed scenarios, Scenario-2 significantly minimized the environmental impacts, with the lowest GHG emissions and highest waste resource recovery. Moreover, the GHG emissions from business-as-usual practices could be reduced by 50% by this scenario during 2018-2025. The target of the similar scenario could be achieved if the local government could efficiently implement waste management in the future.

• 산업공학
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.24-34
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• 2010

In the telecommunication system which is based on the existing PSTN(public switched telephone network), feature interaction has been an important research issue in order to provide seamless services to users. Recently, rapid proliferation of IP-based network and the various types of IP media supply services, the feature interaction from the perspective of application services has become a significant aspect. This paper presents conflict detection and resolution algorithms for designing and operating a variety of services that are provided through IP-based network. The algorithms use explicit service interactions to detect conflicts between a new service and registered services. They then apply various rules to reduce search space in resolving conflicts. The algorithms are applied to a wide range of realistic service provision scenarios to validate that it can detect conflicts between services and resolve in accordance with different rule sets. By applying the algorithms to various scenarios, it is observed that the proposed algorithms can be effectively used in operating an IP-based services network.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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• pp.327-327
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• 2019

The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제60권6호
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• pp.433-440
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• 2023

This study aims to establish safety zones for bunkering operations of hydrogen propulsion ships in coastal areas through risk assessment and evaluate their validity. Using a 350 kW-class ferry operating in Busan Port as the subject of analysis, with quantitative risk assessment based on accident consequence and frequency analysis, along with a social risk assessment considering population density. The results of the risk assessment indicate that all scenarios were within acceptable risk criteria and ALARP region. The most critical accident scenarios involve complete hose rupture during bunkering, resulting in jet flames (Frequency: 2.76E-06, Fatalities: 9.81) and vapor cloud explosions (Frequency: 1.33E-08, Fatalities: 14.24). For the recommended safety zone criteria in the 6% hose cross-sectional area leakage scenario, It could be appropriate criteria considering overall risk level and safety zones criteria for hydrogen vehicle refueling stations. This research contributes to establishing safety zone for bunkering operations of hydrogen propulsion ships through risk assessment and provides valuable technical guidelines.

• 유기물자원화
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.41-49
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• 2016

P시에서는 음폐수 처리를 위해 병합처리시설을 설치하였으나, 음폐수 발생량 대비 처리용량이 부족한 실정이다. 또한 병합처리시설 방류수는 인근 바다로 직방류 되고 있어 환경적 문제가 발생할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 P하수처리장을 대상으로 P시 발생 음폐수 처리 초과 분량 및 병합처리시설 방류수 연계처리 가능성을 검토하였다. 예상 가능한 4개의 시나리오를 세운 후, 각각의 최대 음폐수 및 병합처리시설 방류수 허용 투입량을 산정 하고, 투입 후 P하수처리장 유입수 성상 변화및 시나리오별 예상 처리비용을 비교 하였다. 검토된 모든 시나리오에서 환경부의 음폐수 병합처리 업무지침을 준수하면서 음폐수 및 병합처리시설 방류수 대부분을 P하수처리장에 연계 처리 가능하며 하수처리장 부하에도 큰 영향을 주지 않을 것으로 산정 되었다.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.487-498
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• 2015

기온상승과 인구 및 GDP 증가의 영향으로 인해 에너지 문제가 발생하고 있다. 이러한 문제에 대응하기 위해 에너지 수요에 대한 예측이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구는 에너지 수요관리, 특히 전력부하를 유발하는 냉난방 에너지 수요 관리에 도움이 되고자 가정 부문 냉난방 에너지의 미래 사용량을 예측하고자 한다. 에너지 사용량을 산정하는데 있어 서비스 수요의 산출이 필요하다. 따라서 서비스 수요 산정식을 이용하여 이를 먼저 도출하고, AIM/end-use 모델을 이용하여 에너지 사용량을 산정하였다. 산정 결과 냉난방 서비스 수요는 2010년에 비해 2050년에 모두 증가하는 추세를 보였다. 하지만 에너지 사용량에서 난방은 감소하고, 냉방은 증가하는 것으로 예측되었다.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.45-55
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• 2008

The impact on streamflow and groundwater recharge considering future potential climate and land use change was assessed using SLURP (Semi-distributed Land-Use Runoff Process) continuous hydrologic model. The model was calibrated and verified using 4 years (1999-2002) daily observed streamflow data for a $260.4km^2$ which has been continuously urbanized during the past couple of decades. The model was calibrated and validated with the coefficient of determination and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency ranging from 0.8 to 0.7 and 0.7 to 0.5, respectively. The CCCma CGCM2 data by two SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios) climate change scenarios (A2 and B2) of the IPCC (Intergovemmental Panel on Climate Change) were adopted and the future weather data was downscaled by Delta Change Method using 30 years (1977 - 2006, baseline period) weather data. The future land uses were predicted by CA (Cellular Automata)-Markov technique using the time series land use data of Landsat images. The future land uses showed that the forest and paddy area decreased 10.8 % and 6.2 % respectively while the urban area increased 14.2 %. For the future vegetation cover information, a linear regression between monthly NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) from NOAA/AVHRR images and monthly mean temperature using five years (1998 - 2002) data was derived for each land use class. The future highest NDVI value was 0.61 while the current highest NDVI value was 0.52. The model results showed that the future predicted runoff ratio ranged from 46 % to 48 % while the present runoff ratio was 59 %. On the other hand, the impact on runoff ratio by land use change showed about 3 % increase comparing with the present land use condition. The streamflow and groundwater recharge was big decrease in the future.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.345-352
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 다양한 시간해상도(3-, 6-, 12-, 24-hr)를 가지는 강우자료를 1-hr 강우자료로 분해하여 강우 분해기법의 성능을 평가한다. 강우 분해기법은 추계학적 점 강우 모형인 Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model(NSRPM)에서 생성된 데이터베이스를 기반으로 수행된다. 기상청 울산, 창원, 부산, 밀양지점의 7월 시간강우자료를 이용하여 분석을 수행하였다. 연구결과, 강우 분해기법은 강우의 주요 통계치뿐만 아니라 공간상관성도 고려할 수 있는 뛰어난 성능을 보여주었다. 또한, 일단위 시간해상도의 미래 기후변화 시나리오가 가지는 불확실성을 간접적으로 살펴보았다. 강우 분해기법은 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 적용된다면 효과적인 미래 유역관리에 도움이 되리라 기대된다.