• 제목/요약/키워드: 2-period model

검색결과 3,126건 처리시간 0.031초

SWMM 모형을 이용한 유역의 오염부하량 산정 (Estimation for Watershed pollutant loading with SWMM)

  • 전지홍;윤춘경
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.689-694
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    • 1999
  • This study estimated average yearly watershed pollutant loading by using SWMM(Storm Water Management Model) which is one of the nonpoint source quality models. Two sites were measured discharge and water quality at dry period and wet period. The rainfall data is used from 1989 to 1998 . During a decade, the average year watershed pollutant loading, which is SS, BOD5 , TN, TP, were 2.39E+06kg, 0.92E +05kg, 2.53E+05kg, 2.66E+04kg respectively. During dry period, SS, BOD5 TN, TP loadings were 1.89E+05kg, 1.7E+05kg, 1.04E+05kg, 1.11E+04kg, and during wet period 1.89E+05kg, 1.17E+05kg, 1.04E+05kg, 1.11E+04kg respectively so wet period loading are more than dry day loadings.

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장래 기후변화와 토지이용 변화에 따른 농촌소유역의 수문 영향 분석 (Climate and Land use Changes Impacts on Hydrology in a Rural Small Watershed)

  • 김학관;강문성;이은정;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the hydrologic impacts of climate and land use changes in a rural small watershed. HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model, ver.3) A2 scenario and LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station - Weather Generator) were used to generate future climatic data. Future land use data were also generated by the CA-Markov (Cellular Automata-Markov) method. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to evaluate hydrologic impacts. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated with stream flow measured at the Baran watershed in Korea. The SWAT model simulation results agreed well with observed values during the calibration and validation periods. In this study, hydrologic impacts were analyzed according to three scenarios: future climate change (Scenario I), future land use change (Scenario II), and both future climate and land use changes (Scenario III). For Scenario I, the comparison results between a 30-year baseline period (1997~2004) and a future 30-year period (2011~2040) indicated that the total runoff, surface runoff, lateral subsurface runoff, groundwater discharge, and evapotranspiration increased as precipitation and temperature for the future 30-year period increased. The monthly variation analysis results showed that the monthly runoff for all months except September increased compared to the baseline period. For Scenario II, both the total and surface runoff increased as the built-up area, including the impervious surface, increased, while the groundwater discharge and evapotranspiration decreased. The monthly variation analysis results indicated that the total runoff increased in the summer season, when the precipitation was concentrated. In Scenario III, the results showed a similar trend to that of Scenario II. The monthly runoff for all months except October increased compared to the baseline period.

적출활동심장에서 Prostacyclin [PGI2]의 심근보호효과 (Effects of Prostacyclin [PGI2] on Myocardial Protection in the Isolating Working Heart Model)

  • 이길노;김규태
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.643-654
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    • 1987
  • The effect of prostacyclin[PGI, ] on myocardial preservation during global ischemia was studied in the isolating working rabbit heart model. Forty hearts underwent a 15 minute period of retrograde nonworking perfusion with Krebs-Henseleit buffer solution [37*C] and were switched over to the working mode for 15 minutes. After baseline measurement of heart rate, peak aortic pressure, aortic flow, and coronary flow, all hearts were subjected to 60 minutes of ischemic arrest at 10*C induced with St. Thomas Hospital cardioplegic solution: Group I had single dose cardioplegia, Croup II double dose, Croup III oxygenated double dose, and Group IV single dose with PCI, infusion [10ng/min./gm heart weight]. Hearts were then revived with 15 minute period of nonworking reperfusion at normothermia, followed by 30 minutes of working perfusion. Repeat measurements of cardiac function were obtained and expressed as a percent of the preischemic baseline values. Oxygen content of arterial perfusate and coronary effluent was measured by designed time interval. Leakage of creatine kinase was determined during post-ischemic reperfusion period. Finally wet hearts were weighed and placed in 120*C oven for 36 hours for measurement of dry weight. In the PGI, treated group [IV], heart rate increased consistently throughout the period of reperfusion from 100*5.0% [p<0.001] to 107*6.2% [p<0.001]. The percent recovery of aortic flow showed 95*5.7% [p<0.001] at the first 3 minute and full recovery through the subsequent time. Coronary flow was augmented significantly in the 3 minute [96*6.2%, p<0.001] and then sustained above baseline values. Among the Croup I, II, and III, all hemodynamic values were significantly below preischemic levels. PGI2 relatively increased oxygen delivery [1.22*0.19ml/min, p<0.001] and myocardial oxygen consumption [0.90*0.13ml/min, p<0.001] during reperfusion period. Leakage of creatine kinase in the PGI2 group was 9.3*1.58IU/15min [p<0.001]. This was significantly lower than Group I [33.0*2.68 IU/15min]. The water content of PCI2 treated hearts [81*0.9%, p<0.001] was also lower than the other groups.

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Empirical Bayes Estimate for Mixed Model with Time Effect

  • Kim, Yong-Chul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.515-520
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    • 2002
  • In general, we use the hierarchical Poisson-gamma model for the Poisson data in generalized linear model. Time effect will be emphasized for the analysis of the observed data to be collected annually for the time period. An extended model with time effect for estimating the effect is proposed. In particularly, we discuss the Quasi likelihood function which is used to numerical approximation for the likelihood function of the parameter.

분포형 유역 모델을 이용한 하천-지하수 상호작용의 시공간적 변동 해석: 영국 Tarland Burn 유역에 대한 사례 연구 (Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Variations of Channel-Aquifer Interaction Using a Distributed Catchment Model: A Case Study for the Tarland Burn Catchment in the UK)

  • 구본경
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.253-257
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    • 2007
  • Channel-aquifer interaction is one of the key hydrological processes that determine water flows in the stream/river channel. Field measurements of channel-aquifer interaction, however, is very difficult and costly, particularly when one intends to understand its variations across a catchment for a long period. Hydrological simulations using a catchment model are a relatively easier and cheaper alternative provided the model structure is appropriate for describing channel-aquifer interaction. In this study, a catchment model called CAMEL (Chemicals from Agricultural Management and Erosion Losses) is used for estimating channel-aquifer interaction over time and space. CAMEL is a distributed catchment model to simulate transformation and transport processes of sediment and pollutants as well as water flows at the catchment scale. In the model, a catchment is represented using a network of square columns each of which is comprised of various storages of water. CAMEL explicitly simulates both surface and subsurface processes including channel-aquifer interaction. This paper presents an application study results of CAMEL for the Tarland Burn Catchment, a small (catchment area $52\;km^2$) rural catchment in Scotland, UK, demonstrating some of the channel-aquifer interaction dynamics across the catchment during a 2-year period.

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METREX 확산실험 자료를 이용한 INPUFF모델의 평가 (Evaluation of INPUFF Model Using METREX Tracer Diffusion Experiment Data)

  • 이종범;송은영;황윤성
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.437-452
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    • 2002
  • The Metropolitan Tracer Experiment (METREX) was performed over the Washington, D.C. area using two inert, non-deposition perfluorocarbon gases for over 1 year period (November 1983∼December 1984). Two perfluorocarbon gas tracers (PDCH, PMCH) were released simultaneously at intervals of every 36 hours for 6 hours, regardless of the meteorological conditions in metropolitan area. Samples were collected continuously for 8 hours at a central downtown and two adjacent suburban locations. Monthly air samples were collected at 93 sites across the whole region (at urban, suburban, and rural locations). The purpose of this study is to simulate INPUFF and ISCST model using METREX data, and to compare calculated and observed concentrations. In the case of INPUFF simulation, two meteorological input data were used. One is result data from wind field model which was calculated by diagnostic wind model (DWM), the other is meteorological data observed at single station. Here, three kinds of model calculation were performed during April and July 1984; they include (1) INPUFF model using DWM data (2) INPUFF model using single meteorological data (3) ISCST model. The monthly average concentration data were used for statistic analysis and to draw their horizontal distribution patterns. Eight-hour-averaged concentration was used to describe movement of puff during the episode period. The results showed that the concentrations calculated by puff model (INPUFF) were better than plume model (ISCST). In the case of puff model (INPUFF), a model run using wind field data produced better results than that derived by single meteorological data.

최적재고정책(最適在庫政策)을 위한 컴퓨터 시물레이숀 모델 (An application of the Computer Simulation Model for Stochastic Inventory System)

  • 신현표
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.79-83
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    • 1976
  • This paper deals with a computer simulation for the stochastic inventory system in which the decision rules are associated with the problem of forecasting uncertain demand, lead time, and amount of shortages. The model consists of mainly three parts; part I$\cdots$the model calculates the expected demand during lead time through the built-in subrou tine program for random number generator and the probability distribution of the demand, part II$\cdots$the model calculates all the possible expected shortages per lead time period, part III$\cdots$finally the model calculates all the possible total inventory cost over the simulation period. These total inventory costs are compared for searching the optimal inventory cost with the best ordering quantity and reorder point. An application example of the simulation program is given.

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One-Shot System에 대한 점검주기 연장 방안 연구 (A Study on How to Extend The Inspection Period for The One-Shot System)

  • 김종진;송정훈;한정원;이창규
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2021
  • 무기체계는 최근 고도의 신기술과 비용이 투자되어 첨단화, 정밀화 복합 기능화 등의 특징을 가진 형태로 변화하고 있다. 유도무기체계의 경우 주어진 임무를 한번만 수행하게 되는 One-Shot 시스템으로서 전원이 인가되어 임무를 수행하기까지 오랜 시간 동안 저장 되는 것이 특징이다. 이에 따라 유도무기체계의 경우도 경제적인 운용과 사용자의 안전성을 보장하는 측면에서 신뢰성이 보장되어야 한다. 특히 유도무기체계 중 보증탄의 형태로 개발된 유도탄의 경우, 개발단계 시 장기 저장 환경을 고려한 신뢰도 유지 기준이 제시 되고 이를 유지하기 위한 최적화된 점검주기가 필요하다. 본 연구는 현재 군에서 장기간 운용 중인 OO 유도탄을 대상으로 점검주기 간 발생한 정비현황 및 사격결과를 기초로 수학적 모형에 의한 추세 검정, 적합도 검정, 분포 분석 등을 통하여 실측 신뢰도를 산출한다. 이를 통하여 개발단계 시 설정된 점검주기 모델(Martinez 기법)에 적용하여 개선된 점검주기를 활용 가능한지 여부를 판단한다. 마지막으로 이러한 연구 결과 자료를 종합하여 점검주기 연장에 따른 정책적 관리방안을 제언한다.

우수 이용을 위한 포집재료별 포집수량과 수질에 관한 연구 (A Study on Quantity and Quality of Collected Rainwater by Collected Materials)

  • 이영복;이승근;왕창근
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2004
  • In this study, quantity and quality of collected rainwater by sand, gravel, soil, lawn and concrete surface, as collection materials were investigated and Rainwater Collection Prediction Model was developed to predict the amount of collected rainwater. The quantity of collected rainwater in concrete surface, gravel, sand, soil and lawn collection system was 1,067L(93.2%), 1,006L(87.8%), 902L(78.8%), 800L(69.9%), 788.5L(68.8%) for 8 months period, respectively. The average turbidity of collected rainwater in concrete surface, gravel, sand, soil and lawn collection system was 3.2NTU, 2.2NTU, 1.9NTU, 1.7NTU, 1.5NTU for 8 months period, respectively. For sand collection material, predicted amount by the Model and actual collected amount were 931.5L and 902L, which were very closed. For gravel collection material, predicted amount by Model and actual collected amount were 1,028.21. and 1,006L, which were very closed. To simulate the optimal rainwater storage volume, the rainfall and evaporation data in Dae-jeon city were used. For sand collection system with 30m2 area, the maximum storage volume was $17m^3$ and 62% of the year was secured for use of 240L/day.

폐기물매립지의 장기침하 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Characteristics of Long-term Settlement for Solid Waste Landfill)

  • 박정준;신은철;김동식
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.52-66
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    • 2008
  • It has been a growing concern about reusing Sudokwon landfill 2nd site and other sanitary landfills located around the metropolitan areas. In this paper, settlement characteristics of Sudokwon landfill 2nd site were studied by analyzing the data collected over the period of six years. Three equations are combined in order to modeling the long-term settlement behavior of refuse landfill caused by mechanical secondary composition and secondary composition caused by the decomposition of biodegradable refuse. It is suggested that mechanical secondary composition is linear with respect to the logarithm of time. The models proposed by hyperbolic method and Gibson & Lo model, power creep law are considered to be suitable for the long-term prediction value of Sudokwon landfill 2nd site. The fifteen-year-period prediction value of hyperbolic method and Gibson & Lo model is considerably different from that of power creep law model. The average settlement for Block I in Sudokwon 2nd site is approximately 3.9m with 4 steps of final landfill stages.

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