• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2-period model

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A Comparative Study of Assessing Average Bioequivalence in $2{\times}2$ Crossover Design with Missing Observations

  • Park, Sang-Gue;Choi, Ji-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.245-257
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    • 2006
  • A modified Anderson and Hauck(1983) test for analyzing a two-sequence two-period crossover design in bioequivalence trials is proposed when some observations at the second period are missing. It is based on the maximum likelihood estimators of average bioequivalence model and designed for handling missing at random(MAR) situation. The performance of the proposed test is compared to other tests using Monte Carlo simulations.

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Application of SDAHL-74 Watershed Model to a Long Term Runoff Analysis in the Mountainous Watershed (산지유역에 대한 USDAHL-74 유역수문모형의 장기유출 해석적용)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1987
  • Due to their wide range of application, deterministic comprehensive hydrologic models using digital computers have been developed in all countries of the world and researches are being undertaken for their appropriate applications. The aim of this study has been to demonstrate the practical implementation of a physically based distributed hydrologic model, the USDAHL-74 model and to investigate its ability to simulate the long term estimate of water balance quantities in a Korean mountainous watershed. Application of the model to Dochuk watershed indicates the following results. 1.Since the USDAHL-74 model includes all the major components of the hydrologic cycle in agricultural watersheds, thus is comprehnsive, the model seems to have a wide range of application from the fact that simulation results obtained are not only runoff volumes m various time units but their spatial variation as well as even soil moisture within the watershed. 2.An approximate calibration to determine the parameter values in the model using various data obtained from D0chuk shed shows that the simulation error of yearly runoff volume is only 0.6 % and a correlation coefficient between observed daily runoff volume and simulated one is 0.91 in all calibrated period.3.As a verification test of the model, runoff volumes are simulated using 1986 year data without changing the parameter values determined by 1985 year data. The tests show that the USDAHL-74 model is a flexible tool and that realistic production to simulate the long term estimate of runoff in Korean mountainous watershed could be obtained using only a short period of calibration.4. Despite of the encouraging results, there still remain minor problems concerning the practical application of the model to improve the result of simulations. Some of these are the small descrepancies between observed and simulated daily runoff volume appeared in the vicinity of peaks and the recession of1 the daily hydrographs and the model performance for the frozen ground and melting process in the model. 5. Alough the use of parameter with physical significance and the ability to improve calibrations on the basis of physical reasoning represents advantages in the simulation for ungaged watersheds, further researches are needed to use the USDAHL-74 mode to simulate runoff in ungaged watersheds.

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The Correlation Analysis Between SWAT Predicted Forest Soil Moisture and MODIS NDVI During Spring Season (봄철 SWAT 모형의 산림 토양수분과 Terra MODIS 위성영상 NDVI와의 상관성 분석)

  • Hong, Woo-Yong;Park, Min-Ji;Park, Jong-Yoon;Ha, Rim;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to identify how much the MODIS NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) can explain the forest soil moisture simulated from SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model. For ChungjuDam watershed ($6,661.3\;km^2$) which covers 82.2% of forest, the SWAT model was calibrated for four years (2003-2006) at two locations of the watershed using daily streamflow data and was verified for three years (2000-2002) with average Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiencies of 0.69 and 0.75 respectively. For the period from March to June, the average spatial correlation between 16 days composite MODIS NDVI and the corresponding SWAT forest soil moisture was 0.90. The two variables averaged for each data set during that period showed an inverse relation with the average coefficient of determination of 0.55.

Analysis of the Effect of Seismic Loads on Residential RC Buildings using the Change in Building Size and Return Period (건물 규모 및 재현주기 변화에 따른 주거용 RC건물에 대한 시공 중 지진하중의 영향 분석)

  • Seong-Hyeon Choi;Jae-Yo Kim
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2023
  • Unlike a completed building, a building under construction may be at risk in terms of safety if a load exceeds the value considered in the design stage owing to various factors, such as a load action different from that in the design stage and insufficient concrete strength. In addition, if an earthquake occurs in a building under construction, greater damage may occur. Therefore, this study studied example models with various sizes of 5, 15, 25, and 60 floors for typical building types and analyzed the effects of seismic load on buildings under construction using construction-stage models according to frame completeness. Because the construction period of the building is much shorter than the period of use after completion, applying same earthquake loads as the design stage to buildings under construction may be excessive. Therefore, earthquakes with a return period of 50 to 2,400 years were applied to the construction stage model to review the seismic loads and analyze the structural performances of the members. Thus, we reviewed whether a load exceeding that of the design stage was applied and the return period level of the earthquake that could ensure structural safety. In addition, assuming the construction period of each example model, the earthquake return period according to the construction period was selected, and the design appropriateness with the selected return period was checked.

Estimation of infection distribution and prevalence number of Tsutsugamushi fever in Korea (국내 쯔쯔가무시증의 감염자 분포와 유병자수 추정)

  • Lee, Jung-Hee;Murshed, Sharwar;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2009
  • Tsutsugamushi fever occupies more than 80% of total fall epidemic diseases and has an incubation period of 1 or 2 weeks as well. We have assumed that the incubation period distribution is gamma and therefore, reach an agreement that the infected distribution is normal with ${\hat{\mu}}=309.92$, ${\hat{\sigma}}=14.154$ by back calculation method. The infection cases are found severely large around the month of October. The infection case distribution demonstrates the incidence number increasing rapidly and progresses fast during the month of November. In this study, we have calculated the future prevalence number of maximum 1,200 people by inferred infection probability and incubation period distribution with some sort of limitation that the trend of increasing incidence number is not taking into an account. We considered the SIRS model which is also known as epidemic model, familiar to interaction between epidemiological classes. Our estimated parameters converged well with the initial parameter values.

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Evaluation of Correlation between Chlorophyll-a and Multiple Parameters by Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (다중회귀분석을 이용한 낙동강 하류의 Chlorophyll-a 농도와 복합 영향인자들의 상관관계 분석)

  • Lim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Young-Woo;Lee, Jae-Ho;Park, Tae-Joo;Byun, Im-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2015
  • In this study, Chlorophyll-a (chl-a) prediction model and multiple parameters affecting algae occurrence in Mulgeum site were evaluated by statistical analysis using water quality, hydraulic and climate data at Mulgeum site (1998~2008). Before the analysis, control chart method and effect period of typhoon were adopted for improving reliability of the data. After data preprocessing step two methods were used in this study. In method 1, chl-a prediction model was developed using preprocessed data. Another model was developed by Method 2 using significant parameters affecting chl-a after data preprocessing step. As a result of correlation analysis, water temperature, pH, DO, BOD, COD, T-N, $NO_3-N$, $PO_4-P$, flow rate, flow velocity and water depth were revealed as significant multiple parameters affecting chl-a concentration. Chl-a prediction model from Method 1 and 2 showed high $R^2$ value with 0.799 and 0.790 respectively. Validation for each prediction model was conducted with the data from 2009 to 2010. Training period and validation period of Method 1 showed 20.912 and 24.423 respectively. And Method 2 showed 21.422 and 26.277 in each period. Especially BOD, DO and $PO_4-P$ played important role in both model. So it is considered that analysis of algae occurrence at Mulgeum site need to focus on BOD, DO and $PO_4-P$.

A classical two sector disequilibrium model of distribution and growth cycles with no long-period equilibrium (고전학파 2부문 불균형동학 모형)

  • Lee, Sangheon
    • 사회경제평론
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    • no.38
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    • pp.51-83
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    • 2012
  • Consider an n goods production economy. Assume the equilibrium condition of Sraffa's price system, a balanced growth condition and the goods market clearing conditions. If both equations are given to determine a real wage rate and investment, the economic system is over-determined. It suggests that there exists no long-period equilibrium to satisfy both labor market and goods market conditions. This paper interprets this situation of over-determinacy as a disequilibrium state, and attempts to solve it through disequilibrium dynamics. It constructs a model of accumulation and real wage rates consistent with Lotka-Volterra system, and shows that the overall growth path fluctuates endogenously around a resting point of long-period disequilibrium.

Productivity Growth of Vietnamese Commercial Banks: An Application of Non-Parametric Analysis

  • NGUYEN, Manh Hung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of the research to evaluate the efficiency and productivity growth rate of some Vietnamese commercial banks in the period 2008-2020. Using input and output selection theory, the author selected 2 models, estimating the efficiency for model 1 and estimating the yield change for both the models. We have built a model to estimate the efficiency and calculate as well as decompose the productivity growth of Vietnamese commercial banks during the period of active mergers and acquisitions activities in the banking system. Based on the results of the efficiency estimation, TFP shows during mergers and acquisitions, efficiency fluctuates but in an inverted U-shape (increasing from 2008-2011 but decreasing from 2013 to 2020). The estimated results of the impact assessment model show that FDI reduces the efficiency of banks. Productivity analysis shows that 6 out of 23 banks in the study period had positive TFP growth (tfpch > 1) due to technical progress and management efficiency. The findings of this study suggest that Vietnam's commercial banking system has many opportunities to improve operational efficiency in many aspects. In which, there are opportunities to increase credit, improve governance as well as improve the technology level of each bank. In addition, along with traditional products such as deposits and loans, diversification with a wide range of products and services is an important factor to enhance customer experience and demand in commercial banks.

A Numerical Study of the Effect off Fire Growth Model on Fire Characteristics in a Carriage (화재 성장 모델이 객차내 화재 특성에 미치는 영향에 관한 수치해석적 연구)

  • 김성찬;유홍선;최영기;김동현
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 2004
  • The present study investigates the effect of fire growth model on fire development characteristics in a carriage. The parallel processing version of FDS code is used to simulate the fire driven flow in a carriage and two types of fire growth model which are flame spread model and t$^2$ model are examined for the same geometrical condition. The heat release rates(HRR) of both model are similar each other until 30 s after ignition, but the flame spread model predicts 5 times higher than those of the t$^2$ fire model during the quasi-steady fire period. Maximum heat release rate in the case of flame spread model reaches about to 12 MW at 100 s after fire ignition. Also, various database of fire properties for combustible materials and more elaborate combustion model considering the flame spreading phenomena are required for better predictions of fire development characteristics using numerical simulation.

A Study on the Determinants of Imbalanced Regional Development : An Application of Regression Model for a Bias due to Heterogeneity across Region (지역 불균형 발전의 결정요인 : 지역간 이질성 편의를 고려한 희귀모형의 적용)

  • 박범조;고석찬
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 1998
  • This paper examines the determinants of imbalanced regional development in Korea during the period of 1985-1995. The review of previous analytical techniques have been used to analyze the determinants of disparities in regional development of disparities in regional development, but few has applied the regression technique which reduces a bias due to heterogeneity across region. The results of the study show that Kmenta model with per capita GRDP as dependent variable can reduce the heterogeneity bias in regional development and can minimize the statical errors in estimation and interpretation of the coefficients of the explanatory variables. According to the results of Kmenta model, urban infrastructure such as roads, information and communication facilities are major causes of regional disparity over the period of 1985-1995. The results of the study also indicate that local government should devote their policy efforts to identify and utilize the unique soci-economic characteristics of each locality in the process of regional development.

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