• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2010.02a
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• pp.91.2-91.2
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• 2010

지면-대기상의 관계에서 지중온도와 토양수분의 역할이 중요함에도 불구하고 이들 변수의 다양한 시공간적 변동성, 관측자료의 한계, 관련자료 및 이해 부족 등으로 인하여 아직까지 체계적인 연구가 이루어지지 못하고 있다. Idso 등(1975)에 의해 처음 토양수분과 지중온도에 대한 연구를 시작으로 Lakshmi 등(2003)은 지중온도가 토양수분과 역의 관계를 가짐을 도출하였으며 이를 이용한 선형회귀분석을 수행하여 토양수분을 예측하였다. 기존연구를 바탕으로 본 연구에서는 설마천 타워(Flux tower)에서 기록된 지중온도와 토양수분 자료를 이용하여 사계절에 따른 상관관계를 분석하였다. 조사기간 동안 토양수분은 봄부터 가을까지의 경우 지중온도가 강한 음의 상관계수를 가지는 반면 겨울의 경우 지중온도와 강한 양의 상관계수를 가지는 것으로 판단이 되었다. 즉, 계절에 따라 지중온도와 토양수분의 관계가 차이가 있음을 알 수 있다. 또한, 본 연구에서 토양수분에 대한 지중온도의 계절별 선형적 관계를 도출하였으며 지표상의 물 에너지 순환에 대한 보다 나은 이해를 줄 것으로 사료된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.414-414
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• 2017

토양수분은 지면환경에서 일어나는 수문 및 에너지 순환을 이해하는 데 있어 중요한 기상인자이다. 토양수분 현장관측은 땅속에 매설된 센서에 의해 상당히 정확하게 이루어지만, 관측점 수가 충분치 않아 공간적 연속성을 확보하지 못하는 어려움이 존재한다. 이에 광역적 및 연속적 관측이 가능한 마이크로파 위성센서가 토양수분 정보 획득을 위한 보조수단으로서 그 중요성이 부각되고 있다. 마이크로파 위성센서는 구름 등 기상조건의 제약을 받지 않으며, 1978년 이래 현재까지 여러 위성에 의해 25 km 및 10 km 해상도의 전지구 토양수분자료가 생산되어 왔다. 마이크로파 센서를 이용한 토양수분자료는 동일지점에 대하여 하루 2회 정도 산출되므로 적절한 시간분해능을 가지지만, 공간해상도가 최고 10 km로서 지역규모의 수문분석에 적용하기에는 충분치 않다. 이러한 토양수분자료의 공간해상도 문제 해결을 위하여 다양한 지면환경요소를 활용한 통계적 다운스케일링이 대안으로 제시되었다. 최근의 선행연구들은 대부분 방정식을 이용한 결합모형을 통해 통계적 다운스케일링을 수행하였는데, 회귀식과 같은 선형결합뿐 아니라 신경망이나 기계학습 등의 비선형결합에서도, 불가피하게 발생할 수밖에 없는 잔차(residual)로 인하여 다운스케일링 전후의 공간분포 패턴이 달라져버리는 문제를 안고 있었다. 회귀분석에 잔차의 공간내삽을 결합시킨 회귀크리깅(regression kriging)은 잔차보정을 통해 이러한 문제를 해결함으로써 다운스케일링 전후의 공간분포 일관성을 보장하는 기법이다. 이 연구에서는 회귀크리깅을 이용하여 일자별 AMSR2(Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2) 토양수분 자료를 10 km에서 1 km 해상도로 다운스케일링하고, 다운스케일링 전후의 자료패턴 일관성을 평가한다. 지면온도(LST), 지면온도상승률(RR), 식생온도건조지수(TVDI)는 일자별로 DB를 구축하였고, 식생지수(NDVI), 수분지수(NDWI), 지면알베도(SA)는 8일 간격으로 DB를 구축하였다. 이러한 8일 간격의 자료를 일자별로 변환하기 위하여 큐빅스플라인(cubic spline)을 이용하여 시계열내삽을 수행하였다. 또한 상이한 공간해상도의 자료는 최근린법을 이용하여 다운스케일링 목표해상도인 1 km에 맞도록 변환하였다. 우선 저해상도 스케일에서 추정치를 산출하기 위해서는 저해상도 픽셀별로 이에 해당하는 복수의 고해상도 픽셀을 평균화하여 대응시켜야 하며, 이를 통해 6개의 설명변수(LST, RR, TVDI, NDVI, NDWI, SA)와 AMSR2 토양수분을 반응변수로 하는 다중회귀식을 도출하였다. 이식을 고해상도 스케일의 설명변수들에 적용하면 고해상도 토양수분 추정치가 산출되는데, 이때 추정치와 원자료의 차이에 해당하는 잔차에 대한 보정이 필요하다. 저해상도 스케일로 존재하는 잔차를 크리깅 공간내삽을 통해 고해상도로 변환한 후 이를 고해상도 추정치에 부가해주는 방식으로 잔차보정이 이루어짐으로써, 다운스케일링 전후의 자료패턴 일관성이 유지되는(r>0.95) 공간상세화된 토양수분 자료를 생산할 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.235-245
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• 2000

In this paper, we consider the Regression Quantiles Estimators in nonlinear regression models. This paper provides the sufficient conditions for strong consistency and asymptotic normality of proposed estimation and drives asymptotic relative efficiency of proposed estimatiors with least square estimation. We give some examples and results of Monte Carlo simulation to compare least square and regression quantile estimators.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.56-61
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• 2010

Hemorrhagic shock is a common cause of death in the emergency department. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between blood loss as a percent of the total estimated blood volume (% blood loss) and changes in several physiological parameters. The other goal was to achieve an accurate prediction of percent blood loss for hemorrhagic shock in rats using a linear regression model. We allocated 60 Sprague-Dawley rats into four groups: 0ml, 2ml, 2.5ml, 3 mL/100 g during 15 min. We analyzed the heart rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respiration rate, and body temperature in relation to the percent blood loss. We generated a linear regression model predicting the percent blood loss using a randomly chosen 360 data set and the R-square value of the model was 0.80. Root mean square error of the tested 360 data set using the linear regression was 5.7%. Even though the linear regression model is not directly applicable to clinical situation, our method of predicting % blood loss could be helpful in determining the necessary fluid volume for resuscitation in the future.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.159-174
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• 2013

This paper mainly deals with the appropriation of ship voyage allocation, using a heuristic regression model, in order to reduce total costs incurred in port, yard and at sea under the specific port condition. Because of different behavior of costs incurred in port, yard and at sea, an effort to minimize these costs by adjusting the number of voyages for three ship classes(50,000, 100,000, and 150,000-ton) should be made. For instance, if the port managers attempt to reduce the sea transport cost by increasing the annual allocated number of ship voyages classed 150,000-ton for economies of scale, they have no choice but to suffer a significant increase in queueing cost due to port congestion. To put it differently, there are trade-off relationships among the costs incurred in port, yard, and at sea. We utilized a computer simulation result to perform a couple of regression analyses in order to figure out the appropriate range of allocated number of voyages of each ship class using a heuristic approach. The detailed analytical results will be shown at the main paper. We also suggested a net present value(NPV) model to make a proper investment decision for an additional berth of 200,000-ton class that alleviates port congestion and reduces transport cost incurred both in port and at sea.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.71-80
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• 2001

Logistic regression model is one of the most popular linear models for a binary response variable and used for the estimation of probability function. In many practical situations, the probability function can be expressed by a bell shaped curve and such a function can be estimated by a second order logistic regression model. However, when the probability curve is asymmetric, the estimation results using a second order logistic regression model may not be precise because a second order logistic regression model is a symmetric function. In addition, even if a second order logistic regression model is used, the interpretation for the effect of second order term may not be easy. In this paper, in order to alleviate such problems, an estimation method for asymmetric probabiity curve based on a first order logistic regression model and iterative bi-section method is proposed and its performance is compared with that of a second order logistic regression model by a simulation study.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.163-170
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• 2003

This empirical study takes the activation approach for the competitive power of Korean shipping companies in the Korea-China liner routes. Data for this study were collected from Korea/ China/ 3rd flag shipping companies through the 500 questionnaires. The data of 250 respondents were analyzed statistically to verify the hypotheses and to induce Regression Equation which could predicts the influencing level of the determinants to competitive advantage for Korean shipping companies on Korea-China Liner Shipping Routes. Factor Analysis/ Cronbach's Alpha/ Principal Analysis/ Multiple Regression Analysis were used in order to test the hypotheses for the empirical study.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.695-704
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• 2020

Recently, There has been an increasing of utilization IT, and studies have been conducted on predicting learning results. In this study, Learning activity data were collected that could affect learning outcomes by using learning analysis. The survey was conducted at a university in South Chung-Cheong Province from October to December 2018, with 1,062 students taking part in the survey. First, A Hierarchical regression analysis was conducted by organizing a model of individual, academic, and behavioral factors for learning results to ensure the validity of predictors in machine learning. The model of hierarchical regression was significant, and the explanatory power (R²) was shown to increase step by step, so the variables injected were appropriate. In addition, The linear regression analysis method of machine learning was used to determine how predictable learning outcomes are, and its error rate was collected at about 8.4%.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.343-363
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• 2015

This study is to analyze the effects of climate change on national total factor productivity. Changes in temperature and rainfalls which are the representative climate variables are used as main factors to measure climate change. Not only average values of the variables but those highest values are used as independent variables in the model, in order to consider the characteristic pattern of recent climate change, the high volatilities. The OLS results are corresponding to previous literature that average temperature has a negative relationship with productivities while average rainfalls have a positive relationship. However, the results of panel analysis contradict the argument of the negative relationship between average temperature and productivities since human beings can adapt the climate change. Therefore adaptation capacity is important to forecast the effects of climate changes on economies.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.39 no.12 s.173
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• pp.997-1012
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• 2006

We have presented a nonparametric stochastic approach for the SOI(Southern Oscillation Index) series that used nonlinear methodology called Nonlinear AutoRegressive(NAR) based on conditional kernel density function and CAFPE(Corrected Asymptotic Final Prediction Error) lag selection. The fitted linear AR model represents heteroscedasticity, and besides, a BDS(Brock - Dechert - Sheinkman) statistics is rejected. Hence, we applied NAR model to the SOI series. We can identify the lags 1, 2 and 4 are appropriate one, and estimated conditional mean function. There is no autocorrelation of residuals in the Portmanteau Test. However, the null hypothesis of normality and no heteroscedasticity is rejected in the Jarque-Bera Test and ARCH-LM Test, respectively. Moreover, the lag selection for conditional standard deviation function with CAFPE provides lags 3, 8 and 9. As the results of conditional standard deviation analysis, all I.I.D assumptions of the residuals are accepted. Particularly, the BDS statistics is accepted at the 95% and 99% significance level. Finally, we split the SOI set into a sample for estimating themodel and a sample for out-of-sample prediction, that is, we conduct the one-step ahead forecasts for the last 97 values (15%). The NAR model shows a MSEP of 0.5464 that is 7% lower than those of the linear model. Hence, the relevance of the NAR model may be proved in these results, and the nonparametric NAR model is encouraging rather than a linear one to reflect the nonlinearity of SOI series.