• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.57-66
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• 2007

This study deals with the rear-end accidents of 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of the accidents and to develop the models which explain the relations among the accidents, traffic volumes and geometric structures. In pursuing the above, the study uses the data 308 rear-end accidents occurred at the 106 intersections (2004). The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the rear-end accidents were analyzed to be serious. because the ratio of severe accidents is 77.6%. Second, the more accidents were occurred of in the night than the daytime and in the approaching sections of intersections. In particular, the accidents of large-size struck vehicles were analyzed to be more serious. Finally, the multiple and Poission regression models developed in this study are all analyzed to be statistically significant.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.155-178
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• 1996

신호교차로 서비스수준은, 객관적으로 측정 할 수 있는 여러 가지 기준에 의해 결정될 수 있다. 예를 들면, 지체시간(Delay), 교통사고수(Number of Accident), 교통사고율(Accident Rate), 충돌수(Traffic Conflict), 그리고 교통사고에 노출된 차량수(Exposure)등이다. 지금까지는 1985 Highway Capacity Manual(HCM)에서 소개된 지체시간에 의한 서비스수준 결정방법이 널리 사용되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 1985 HCM 방법의 중용성과 유용성에 대해 논하지 않고, 교통안전(Safety)에 의한 신호교차로 서비스수준 결정방법을 제시하였다. 교차로의 위험도(Degree of Intersection Hazard)를 예측하기 위해, 교통사고빈도 수가 가장 높은 두가지 교통사고 유형, 즉 좌회전추돌(Left-Tum)과 후미추돌(Rear-End) 예측 모형이 개발되었다. 여기서 첫째, 좌회전추돌 위험도를 예측하기 위하여 음지수 분포(Negative-Exponential Distribution)를 이용한 확률적 모형이 개발되었다. 둘째, 후미추돌 위험도를 예측하기 위하여 연속류 모형(Continuum Model)을 이용한 거시적 모형이 개발되었다. 개발된 두가지 모형을 이용하여 신호교차로 안전도를 예측하였으며 교차로 서비스수준이 안전도에 의해 결정되었다. 본 논문에서 제시된 교통안전에 의한 신호교차로 서비스수준 결정방법은 연동교차로를 제외한 독립교차로에만 적용이 된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.29 no.3
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• pp.73-82
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• 2011

Recent advancement in traffic surveillance systems has allowed the researchers to obtain more detailed vehicular movement such as individual vehicle trajectory data. Understanding the characteristics of interactions between leading and following vehicles in the traffic flow stream is a backbone for designing and evaluating more sophisticated traffic and vehicle control strategies. This study proposes a methodology for estimating rear-end crash potential, as a probabilistic measure, in real-time based on the analysis of vehicular movements. The methodology presented in this study consists of three components. The first predicts vehicle position and speed every second using a Kalman filtering technique. The second estimates the probability for the vehicle's trajectory to belong to either 'changing lane' or 'going straight'. A binary logistic regression (BLR) is used to model the lane-changing decision of the subject vehicle. The other component calculates crash probability by employing an exponential decay function that uses time-to-collision (TTC) between the subject vehicle and the front vehicle. The result of this study is expected to be adapted in developing traffic control and information systems, in particular, for crash prevention.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.152-167
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• 2018

The high-speed weigh-in-motion system can collect the traveling speed and load information of individual vehicles, which can be used in a variety of ways for the traffic surveillance. However, it has a limit to apply the high-speed weigh-in-motion data directly to a safety analysis because high-speed weigh-in-motion's raw data are point measured data. In order to overcome this problem, this paper proposes a method to calculate the conflict rate and the Impulse severity based on surrogate safety measures derived from the detection time, detection speed, vehicle length, vehicle type, vehicle weight. It will be possible to analyze and evaluate the risk of rear-end collision on freeway traffic. In addition, this study is expected to be used as a fundamental for identifying crash risks and developing policies to enhance traffic safety on freeways.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.151-158
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• 2009

This study deals with the rear-end collisions in the rural aiea. The objectives of this study are 1) to analyze the characteristics of rear-end accidents of signalized intersections, and 2) to develop the accident models for Cheongju-Cheongwon. In pursing the above, this study gives the particular attentions to comparing the characters of urban and rural area. In this study, the dependent variables are the number of accidents and value of EPDO(equivalent property damage only), and independent variables are the traffic volumes and geometric elements. The main results analyzed are the followings. First, the statistical analyses show that the Poisson accident model using the number of accident as a dependant variable are statistically significant and the negative binomial accident model using the value of EPDO are statistically significant. Second, the independent variables of Poisson model are analyzed to be the ratio of high-occupancy vehicles, total traffic volume and the sum of exit/entry, and those of negative binomial regression are the main road width, total traffic volume and the ratio of high-occupancy vehicles. Finally, the specific independent variables to the rural area are the main road width, the ratio of high occupancy vehicle, and the sum exit/entry.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.797-807
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• 2009

In a case of an automobile rear-end collision, scale of the collision which are the extent of vehicle damage and the injury of the passenger is affected by the speed change. Based on the photographic interpretation of the actual accident cases in the Seoul and the Incheon area, this study measured the depth of crush and calculated the speed change from the statement data of the accident and speed, and also injury data such as diagnosis, hospitalization days are collected. The period of hospitalization and diagnostics claimed proves to have no statistical correlation with the depth of vehicle crush and speed change. Based on the statistical analysis from this study and previous foreign studies, we found that there have been 78.1% of personal accidents didn't reach the injury threshold. There should be objective information on the scale of accident accepting the claims-to-be-injured in the future, and application of injury threshold level suggested are considered to be very useful.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.247-256
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• 2007

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.173-182
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• 2007

An innovative feature of this study is to propose a methodology for evaluating safety performance in real time based on vehicle trajectory data extracted from video images. The essence of evaluating safety performance is to capture unsafe car-following events between individual vehicles traveling surveillance area. The proposed methodology applied two indices including real-time safety index (RSI) based on the concept of safe stopping distance and time-to-collision (TTC) to the evaluation of safety performance. It is believed that outcomes would be greatly utilized in developing a new generation of video images processing (VIP) based traffic detection systems capable of producing safety performance measurements. Relevant technical challenges for such detection systems are also discussed.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.126-141
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• 2019

One of the Cooperative Intelligent Transportation System(C-ITS) priority services is collision prevention support service. Several studies have considered V2I2V communication-based collision prevention support services using Artificial Neural Networks(ANN). However, such services still show some issues due to a low penetration of C-ITS devices and large delay, particularly when loading massive traffic data into the server in the C-ITS center. This study proposes the Artificial Neural Network-based Collision Warning Service(ACWS), which allows upstream vehicle to update pre-determined weights involved in the ANN by using real-time sectional traffic information. This research evaluates the proposed service with respect to various penetration rates and delays. The evaluation result shows the performance of the ACWS increases as the penetration rate of the C-ITS devices in the vehicles increases or the delay decreases. Furthermore, it reveals a better performance is observed in more advanced ANN model-based ACWS for any given set of conditions.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.133-144
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• 2004

A model and a measure which can evaluate the risk of rear end collision are developed. Most traffic accidents involve multiple causes such as the human factor, the vehicle factor, and the highway element at any given time. Thus, these factors should be considered in analyzing the risk of an accident and in developing safety models. Although most risky situations and accidents on the roads result from the poor response of a driver to various stimuli, many researchers have modeled the risk or accident by analyzing only the stimuli without considering the response of a driver. Hence, the reliabilities of those models turned out to be low. Thus in developing the model behaviors of a driver, such as reaction time and deceleration rate, are considered. In the past, most studies tried to analyze the relationships between a risk and an accident directly but they, due to the difficulty of finding out the directional relationships between these factors, developed a model by considering these factors, developed a model by considering indirect factors such as volume, speed, etc. However, if the relationships between risk and accidents are looked into in detail, it can be seen that they are linked by the behaviors of a driver, and depending on drivers the risk as it is on the road-vehicle system may be ignored or call drivers' attention. Therefore, an accident depends on how a driver handles risk, so that the more related risk to and accident occurrence is not the risk itself but the risk responded by a driver. Thus, in this study, the behaviors of a driver are considered in the model and to reflect these behaviors three concepts related to accidents are introduced. And safe stopping distance and accident occurrence probability were used for better understanding and for more reliable modeling of the risk. The index which can represent the risk is also developed based on measures used in evaluating noise level, and for the risk comparison between various situations, the equivalent risk level, considering the intensity and duration time, is developed by means of the weighted average. Validation is performed with field surveys on the expressway of Seoul, and the test vehicle was made to collect the traffic flow data, such as deceleration rate, speed and spacing. Based on this data, the risk by section, lane and traffic flow conditions are evaluated and compared with the accident data and traffic conditions. The evaluated risk level corresponds closely to the patterns of actual traffic conditions and counts of accident. The model and the method developed in this study can be applied to various fields, such as safety test of traffic flow, establishment of operation & management strategy for reliable traffic flow, and the safety test for the control algorithm in the advanced safety vehicles and many others.