• Title/Summary/Keyword: 횡단분석

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한국주식시장에 적합한 사건연구 방법론의 고안

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.273-312
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 우리나라의 실제 일별 주식수익률 자료를 이용한 시뮬레이션을 통해 우리나라 주식시장에 가장 적합한 사건연구방법론을 도출하고자 하였다. 이를 위해, 1980년에서부터 1995년까지 우리나라 주식시장에 상장된 675개 주식을 대상으로 무작위 복원추출 방법에 의해 50개의 개별주식으로 구성된 250개 표본을 선정하였다. 이들 250개 표본을 이용하여 시뮬레이션 기법에 의해 다양한 사건연구 모형의 통계적 오류와 검정력에 미치는 영향을 종합적으로 분석하였다. 시뮬레이션 실험 결과에 의하면, 먼저 사건일을 정확히 포착할 수 있는 경우에는 산업별주가지수를 시장지수로 선택한 시장모형 혹은 시장조정모형으로 초과수익률을 측정하고, 횡단면 독립성을 가정한 검정법이 가장 우수한 사건연구방법으로 나타났다. 한편, 사건일을 정확하게 포착할 수 없는 경우에는, 동일가중지수를 시장지수로 선택한 시장모형 혹은 시장조정모형으로 초과수익률을 측정하고, 횡단면 독립성을 가정한 검정법이 가장 적합한 모형으로 나타났다. 그리고, 사건일 집중현상으로 인한 제1종 오류를 감소시키는 데에는 개별주식의 초과수익률 간의 횡단면 독립성을 가정한 검정법보다는 횡단면 중속성을 조정한 검정법을 사용하는 것이 더욱 효과적이다.

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A Study on the Estimation of Pedestrian Signal Timing (횡단보도 보행신호시간 산정에 관한 연구)

  • An, Gye-Hyeong;Kim, Eun-Jeong;Lee, Yong-Il;Jeong, Jun-Ha;Kim, Yeong-Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.5 s.91
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents new pedestrian signal timings considering pedestrian demand Pedestrian characteristics, and land use which were obtained by Pedestrian characteristics field survey and pedestrian signal operation survey. Pedestrian signal timings suggested were compared to the existing pedestrian signal timings by using real field data. pedestrian characteristics field survey was conducted to collect pedestrian crossing speed data and reaction time data. Sixteen areas in Seoul were selected for the data collection. The average pedestrian crossing speed was 1.30m/sec and the 15th Percentile speed was 1.11m/sec. The average reaction time was 2.24 seconds. Pedestrian crossing speed differs by land use, road width. pedestrian age, sex, and number of Pedestrians. Reaction time also differs by road width, pedestrian age, and number of pedestrians. Statistical testing was performed to secure reliability of the collected data.

Research on Selection of Vulnerable Areas to Walking Traffic Accidents for the Elderly Considering Jaywalking Accidents (무단횡단사고를 고려한 노인 보행 교통사고 취약 지역 선정 연구)

  • Hong, Kiman;Im, I-jeong;Kim, Jonghoon;Song, Jaein
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to present an analysis method to select priorities for areas where the traffic safety system is applied to reduce pedestrian accidents. Method: Using Kernel density analysis using the coordinate information of the accident point, we performed density analysis of elderly walking accidents and elderly jaywalking accidents, and analysis of the weight of two types of walking accidents. Result: As a result of density analysis of the weight considering elderly jaywalking accidents, it was analyzed that the density of pedestrian traffic accidents for th elderly was higher in Gunsan-si, Jeongeup-si, and Gimje -si compared to Jeonju-si, where the number of elderly pedestrian accidents were high. Conclusion: The analysis results of this study are judged to be possible to use objective indicators for the selection of target sites for the introduction of the traffic safety system.

Estimating the Dimension of a Crosswalk in Urban Area - Focusing on Width and Stop Line - (도시부 횡단보도 제원 산정에 관한 연구 - 폭과 정지선을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Yoomi;Park, Jejin;Kwon, Sungdae;Ha, Taejun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.847-856
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    • 2016
  • Recently, with a high level of economic growth, rapid urbanization, population, environment and housing problems were accompanied in Korea. In particular, the traffic problem has become a serious social problem. As the current transportation policy has been carried out, concentrating on traffic flow, in 2015, death rate for pedestrians while walking (1,795 persons) is 38.8% compared to entire death rate in car accident (4,621 persons), so there is need to solve it. Although, crosswalk should make pedestrian cross it safely, it has been made on the basis of the width of road without exact standard for current width of the crosswalk and the location of stop line. Moreover, in the area around many campuses or commercial facilities, crosswalks are set with not considering pedestrian passage, but designed uniformly. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to estimate reasonable dimension of crosswalk considering pedestrian traffic and walking speed and it makes the accident rate lower in the crosswalk, which has a lot of problems including decisions of vehicle traffic signal time, lack of pedestrian's signal timing, pedestrian's crossing of long-distance. The following are the methodology of the study. Firstly, for crosswalk calculation of specifications, examination relating existing regulations and researches dealing with crosswalk, pedestrians and stop line is needed. After analyzing problems of current width of crosswalk and stop line, present the methodology to calculation of specifications and basing on these things, calculation of specifications for crosswalk will be decided. In conclusion, the calculation of specification and improvement of stop line for crosswalk laid out in this study are expected to be utilized as base data in case of establishing relevant safety facilities and standards.

Analysis on Installation Criteria for Scrambled Crosswalks Considering Vehicle and Pedestrian Traffic Volume (교통량과 보행량을 고려한 대각선 횡단보도 설치기준 정립 방안 연구)

  • NAM, Chanwoo;KHO, Seung-Young;CHO, Shin-Hyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.60-75
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    • 2019
  • Nowadays, interest in safety of pedestrians who are relatively weak when compared with vehicles increases. Also, concern for pedestrian accidents on crosswalks increases. For these reasons, scrambled crosswalks which are considered to contribute pedestrian safety by reducing conflicts between vehicles and pedestrians are actively discussed and there are also a few intersections where they are actually installed. However, scrambled crosswalks must include all-red phase for all vehicle traffic flows, which inevitably leads to increase of lost time per cycle. Therefore, evaluation in terms of efficiency should be done before installation of scrambled crosswalks. This research suggests installation criteria for scrambled crosswalks so that it is possible to judge whether installation of scrambled crosswalks is appropriate only by surveying vehicle traffic volume and pedestrian traffic volume. This research derives optimum cycle length from signal optimization models which considers both vehicle traffic volume and pedestrian traffic volume. From this optimum cycle length, this research compares total delay time before and after installation of scrambled crosswalks. From an analysis, two research results are derived. Firstly, there is critical traffic volume above which installation of scrambled crosswalks can not efficient. Secondly, appropriate areas for installation of scrambled crosswalks are different by each signal intersection or by each signal system and those difference vary. From these results, this research suggests installation criteria for scrambled crosswalks which consists of two steps. The delay time of the pedestrians may be increased after the diagonal crosswalk is installed, but it may be desirable to install in consideration of the appropriate traffic level to ensure safety.

A New Cross Section Design Concept for Better Efficiency in Two-Lane Highways (2차로도로 효율성 제고를 위한 횡단면 설계 방안)

  • Shim Kywan-Bho;Choi Jai-Sung
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2 s.28
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2006
  • Currently, cross-section design can not reflect highway function and traffic volume, various construction. This research paper provides analysis of traffic accident type, improvement of traffic operation and safety, assessment for new cross-section standards of two-lane highway. Research show higher accident rate on 6$\sim$8.9m road than 9$\sim$12.9m road width in two-lane highway. Typical improvement is widening on lane and shoulder width. Simulation show large increase on 6$\sim$7m road delay-time in 1,200vph. In contrast 10$\sim$11.5m road shows slight change on delay-time. This research paper provides various cross-section construction by traffic volume in minor arterial and distributor two-lane highway. The new cross-section design provides adopting highway volume, various construction and flexibility.

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A Study on the Construction of Weights for KYPS (한국청소년패널조사(KYPS) 가중치 부여 방법 연구: 중학교 2학년 패널의 경우)

  • Park, Min-Gue;Lee, Kyeong-Sang;Park, Hyun-Soo;Kang, Hyun-Cheol
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2011
  • We introduced the methodologies used to construct the longitudinal weights and cross-sectional weight that are required for the analysis of Korea Youth Panel Survey. To analyze the longitudinal dynamic change of the population, we derived the longitudinal weight through nonresponse adjustment based on logistic regression and post-stratification. Cross-sectional weights that are necessary to produce an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the population parameter were constructed through simple nonresponse adjustment based on overall response rate and post-stratification.

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Supercomputing Performance Demand Forecasting Using Cross-sectional and Time Series Analysis (횡단면분석과 추세분석을 이용한 슈퍼컴퓨팅 성능수요 예측)

  • Park, Manhee
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.33-54
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    • 2015
  • Supercomputing performance demand forecasting at the national level is an important information to the researchers in fields of the computational science field, the specialized agencies which establish and operate R&D infrastructure, and the government agencies which establish science and technology infrastructure. This study derived the factors affecting the scientific and technological capability through the analysis of supercomputing performance prediction research, and it proposed a hybrid forecasting model of applying the super-computer technology trends. In the cross-sectional analysis, multiple regression analysis was performed using factors with GDP, GERD, the number of researchers, and the number of SCI papers that could affect the supercomputing performance. In addition, the supercomputing performance was predicted by multiplying in the cross-section analysis with technical progress rate of time period which was calculated by time series analysis using performance(Rmax) of Top500 data. Korea's performance scale of supercomputing in 2016 was predicted using the proposed forecasting model based on data of the top500 supercomputer and supercomputing performance demand in Korea was predicted using a cross-sectional analysis and technical progress rate. The results of this study showed that the supercomputing performance is expected to require 15~30PF when it uses the current trend, and is expected to require 20~40PF when it uses the trend of the targeting national-level. These two results showed significant differences between the forecasting value(9.6PF) of regression analysis and the forecasting value(2.5PF) of cross-sectional analysis.

Competitiveness Analysis of TSR(Trans Siberian Railway) (시베리아횡단철도의 경쟁력 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Ki-Chan;Yoo, Ju-Young;Kim, Tae-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.5 s.121
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    • pp.395-401
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    • 2007
  • Recently, the government of Russia has been cooperating with developed countries such as Germany, which have an advanced railroad system. They have been establishing a strategy to activate the Siberia Trans Railway. Thus, it is possible that a part of cargo will be transported by TSR (Trans Siberia Railway) instead of shipping. If there is a railroad system, connecting the North and the South Korea via the Busan port, a new freight route linking to Europe will be reached. This paper aim to investigate the intention of shipping companies, shipper, forwarders, who are prospective customers and/or competitors of TSR. An analysis of the competitiveness between TSR system and the waterway transportation will be also mentioned.

Numerical Analysis of Flow and Bed Changes for Selecting Optimized Section of Buried Water Pipeline Crossing the River (하천을 횡단하는 도수관로의 최적 매설구간 선정을 위한 흐름 및 하상변동 수치모의)

  • Jang, Eun-Kyung;Ji, Un
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1756-1763
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    • 2014
  • A water pipeline buried under the riverbed could be exposed by bed erosion, therefore safe crossing sections should be analyzed for preventing damages due to the exposure of pipelines. In this study, flow and bed changes have been simulated using a two-dimensional numerical model for selecting the optimized section of pipeline crossing in the Geum River. As a result of simulation with the 20-year recurrence flood, sediment deposition has been distributed overall in the channel and bed erosion over 2 m has occurred near bridge piers. For the extreme flood simulation, the channel bed near the bridge piers has been eroded down to the buried depth. Therefore, within 140 m upstream of the bridge piers, bed erosion affects a buried pipeline in safety due to bridge pier effects and the crossing section over 150 m upstream of bridge piers is selected as a safe zone of a water pipeline.