• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀 모델

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Kernel Regression Model based Gas Turbine Rotor Vibration Signal Abnormal State Analysis (커널회귀 모델기반 가스터빈 축진동 신호이상 분석)

  • Kim, Yeonwhan;Kim, Donghwan;Park, SunHwi
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.101-105
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, the kernel regression model is applied for the case study of gas turbine abnormal state analysis. In addition to vibration analysis at the remote site, the kernel regression model technique can is useful for analyzing abnormal state of rotor vibration signals of gas turbine in power plant. In monitoring based on data-driven techniques correlated measurements, the fault free training data of shaft vibration obtained during normal operations of gas turbine are used to develop a empirical model based on auto-associative kernel regression. This data-driven model can be used to predict virtual measurements, which are compared with real-time data, generating residuals. Any faults in the system may cause statistically abnormal changes in these residuals and could be detected. As the result, the kernel regression model provides information that can distinguish anomalies such as sensor failure in a shaft vibration signal.

Design of Incremental Model by Linear Regression and Local RBFNs (선형회귀와 국부적인 RBFN에 의한 점진적인 모델의 설계)

  • Lee, Myung-Won;Kwak, Keun-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.471-473
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 선형회귀(LR: Linear Regression)와 국부적인 방사기저함수 네트워크(RBFN: Radial Basis Function Networks)를 결합한 점진적인 모델(incremental model)의 설계와 관련되어진다. 전형적인 RBFN에 의한 모델링과는 달리, 제안된 방법의 근본적인 원리는 두 단계에 의해 고려되어진다. 첫째, 전체 모델의 설계과정에서 전역적인 모델로써 선형회귀에 의해 데이터의 선형부분을 구축한다. 다음으로, 모델링 오차는 오차가 존재하는 국부적인 공간에서 RBFN에 의해 보상되어진다. 여기서, 오차의 분포로부터 RBFN을 설계하기 위해 컨텍스트 기반 퍼지 클러스터링(CFC: Context-based Fuzzy Clustering)를 통해 정보입자의 형태로 구축되어진다. 실험은 자동차 mpg 연료소비량 예측과 부동산 가격예측문제를 통해 제안된 방법의 우수성을 증명한다.

Bayesian inference of longitudinal Markov binary regression models with t-link function (t-링크를 갖는 마코프 이항 회귀 모형을 이용한 인도네시아 어린이 종단 자료에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • Sim, Bohyun;Chung, Younshik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we present the longitudinal Markov binary regression model with t-link function when its transition order is known or unknown. It is assumed that logit or probit models are considered in binary regression models. Here, t-link function can be used for more flexibility instead of the probit model since the t distribution approaches to normal distribution as the degree of freedom goes to infinity. A Markov regression model is considered because of the longitudinal data of each individual data set. We propose Bayesian method to determine the transition order of Markov regression model. In particular, we use the deviance information criterion (DIC) (Spiegelhalter et al., 2002) of possible models in order to determine the transition order of the Markov binary regression model if the transition order is known; however, we compute and compare their posterior probabilities if unknown. In order to overcome the complicated Bayesian computation, our proposed model is reconstructed by the ideas of Albert and Chib (1993), Kuo and Mallick (1998), and Erkanli et al. (2001). Our proposed method is applied to the simulated data and real data examined by Sommer et al. (1984). Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to determine the optimal model are used assuming that the transition order of the Markov regression model are known or unknown. Gelman and Rubin's method (1992) is also employed to check the convergence of the Metropolis Hastings algorithm.

A UCP-based Model to Estimate the Software Development Cost (소프트웨어 개발 비용을 추정하기 위한 사용사례 점수 기반 모델)

  • Park, Ju-Seok;Chong, Ki-Won
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.11D no.1
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2004
  • In the software development project applying object-oriented development methodology, the research on the UCP(Use Case Point) as a method to estimate development effort is being carried on. The existing research proposes the linear model calculating the development effort that multiplies an invariant on AUCP(Adjusted Use Case Point) which applied technical and environmental factors. However, the statistical model that estimates the development effort using AUCP and UUCP(Unadjusted Use Case Point) is not being studied. The irrelevant relationship of the linear regression model, whose development period is increasing tremendously as the software size increases, is confirmed. Moreover, during the UCP calculating process, there can be errors in FP by applying the TCF(Technical Complexity Factor) and EF(Environmental Factor). This paper presents a non-linear regression model, that does not consider the TCF and EF, and that estimate the development effort from UUCP directly by utilizing the exponential function. An exponential function is selected among the linear, logarithm, polynomial, power, and exponential model via statistical evaluations of the models mentioned above.

Analysis of the Characteristics of Subway Influence Areas Using a Geographically Weighted Regression Model (지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 역세권 공간구조 특성 분석)

  • Sim, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ho-Yong;Nam, Kwang-Woo;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2013
  • For the sake of the Transit-Oriented Development that has been prominent recently, an analysis of the spatial structures of transit centers, above all, should be carried out at a local level. This study, thus, analyzes the spatial structures of subway influence areas by applying a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model to individual parcels. As a result of the validity analysis of the model, it has turned out that the subway influence areas have different characteristics respectively, and there is spatial heterogeneity even in the same single area. Also, the result of the comparison among models has proved that the GWR model is more adequate than the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model and $R^2$ has been also increased in the GWR model. Then, the results have been mapped by means of the GIS, which have made it possible to understand the spatial structures at a local level. If the Transit-Oriented Development is fulfilled in consideration of the spatial structural characteristics of the subway influence areas drawn respectively from the model analysis, it will be helpful in adopting effective policies.

A Study on Applying the Nonlinear Regression Schemes to the Low-GloSea6 Weather Prediction Model (Low-GloSea6 기상 예측 모델 기반의 비선형 회귀 기법 적용 연구)

  • Hye-Sung Park;Ye-Rin Cho;Dae-Yeong Shin;Eun-Ok Yun;Sung-Wook Chung
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2023
  • Advancements in hardware performance and computing technology have facilitated the progress of climate prediction models to address climate change. The Korea Meteorological Administration employs the GloSea6 model with supercomputer technology for operational use. Various universities and research institutions utilize the Low-GloSea6 model, a low-resolution coupled model, on small to medium-scale servers for weather research. This paper presents an analysis using Intel VTune Profiler on Low-GloSea6 to facilitate smooth weather research on small to medium-scale servers. The tri_sor_dp_dp function of the atmospheric model, taking 1125.987 seconds of CPU time, is identified as a hotspot. Nonlinear regression models, a machine learning technique, are applied and compared to existing functions conducting numerical operations. The K-Nearest Neighbors regression model exhibits superior performance with MAE of 1.3637e-08 and SMAPE of 123.2707%. Additionally, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine regression model demonstrates the best performance with an RMSE of 2.8453e-08. Therefore, it is confirmed that applying a nonlinear regression model to the tri_sor_dp_dp function during the execution of Low-GloSea6 could be a viable alternative.

Driving Video Stabilization using Region based Histogram Matching and Linear Regression (영역별 투영 히스토그램 매칭 및 선형 회귀모델 기반의 차량 운행 영상의 안정화 기술 개발)

  • Heo, Yu-Jung;Choi, Min-Kook;Lee, Hyun-Gyu;Lee, Sang-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2014.06a
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    • pp.28-31
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문에서는 블랙박스 혹은 운전석에 장착된 카메라로부터 얻어진 차량 영상에 대한 영역별 수직 히스토그램 매칭 및 선형 회귀분석 모델(linear regression model)을 활용한 강건한 차량 운행 동영상의 안정화(video stabilization) 기법을 제안한다. 동영상 안정화 기법은 영상의 흔들림 보정뿐 아니라 동영상 내 강건한 특징점 추적 및 매칭을 위한 이전의 전처리 과정으로 적용된다. 일반적으로 촬영 과정에서 많은 떨림이 포함될 수 있는 야외 CCTV 영상이나 손으로 들고(hand-held) 촬영된 동영상에 대한 흔들림 보정 등에 적용되고 있으나 영상 내 특징점이 지속적으로 변하고 영상의 변화 정도가 매우 심한 차량 운행 동영상에서는 적용된 사례가 드물다. 본 연구에서는 일반적인 비디오 안정화 기술이 적용되기 어려운 차량 운행 동영상에 대하여 수직 투영 히스토그램 매칭 및 선형 회귀분석 모델 기반의 안정화 기법을 제안한다. 제안된 기법은 입력영상에 대한 영역별 수직 투영 히스토그램 매칭을 수행하고 선형 회귀모델을 통해 영상에 나타나는 수직 및 회전이동 변환을 선형 근사하여 시간 영역 상의 입력 영상에 대한 안정화를 달성한다. 제안 방법의 검증을 위해 블랙박스로 촬영된 실제 동영상에 동영상 안정화 기술을 적용하였으며, 운행 중 불규칙한 노면으로 인한 영상의 흔들림이 효과적으로 제거되는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Symbolic regression based on parallel Genetic Programming (병렬 유전자 프로그래밍을 이용한 Symbolic Regression)

  • Kim, Chansoo;Han, Keunhee
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.481-488
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    • 2020
  • Symbolic regression is an analysis method that directly generates a function that can explain the relationsip between dependent and independent variables for a given data in regression analysis. Genetic Programming is the leading technology of research in this field. It has the advantage of being able to directly derive a model that can be interpreted compared to other regression analysis algorithms that seek to optimize parameters from a fixed model. In this study, we propse a symbolic regression algorithm using parallel genetic programming based on a coarse grained parallel model, and apply the proposed algorithm to PMLB data to analyze the effectiveness of the algorithm.

Analysis of Eunpyeong New Town Land Price Using Geographically Weighted Regression (지리가중회귀분석을 이용한 은평뉴타운 지가 분석)

  • Jung, Hyo-jin;Lee, Jiyeong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2015
  • Newtown Business of Seoul had been performed to reduce deterioration of Gangbuk and economic inequality between Gangnam and Gangbuk. According to this, Eunpyeong-gu was set as test-bed for Newtown business and Newtown business had been completed until 2013. This study aims to analyze the influence of social and economical factors which affect land price using GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) considered spatial effect. As a result of analysis, GWR model demonstrated a better goodness-of-fit than OLS (Ordinary least square) model typically used in most study. Furthermore, AIC value and Moran's I of residual prove that GWR model is more suitable than OLS model. GWR model enable to explain more detailed than global regression model as coefficient and sign show different value locally. In future, this research will be helpful to develop Eunpyeong-gu considering spatial characters and strength effectiveness of development.

Object Size Prediction based on Statistics Adaptive Linear Regression for Object Detection (객체 검출을 위한 통계치 적응적인 선형 회귀 기반 객체 크기 예측)

  • Kwon, Yonghye;Lee, Jongseok;Sim, Donggyu
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.184-196
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes statistics adaptive linear regression-based object size prediction method for object detection. YOLOv2 and YOLOv3, which are typical deep learning-based object detection algorithms, designed the last layer of a network using statistics adaptive exponential regression model to predict the size of objects. However, an exponential regression model can propagate a high derivative of a loss function into all parameters in a network because of the property of an exponential function. We propose statistics adaptive linear regression layer to ease the gradient exploding problem of the exponential regression model. The proposed statistics adaptive linear regression model is used in the last layer of the network to predict the size of objects with statistics estimated from training dataset. We newly designed the network based on the YOLOv3tiny and it shows the higher performance compared to YOLOv3 tiny on the UFPR-ALPR dataset.