• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀분석 모델

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Incremental Regression based on a Sliding Window for Stream Data Prediction (스트림 데이타 예측을 위한 슬라이딩 윈도우 기반 점진적 회귀분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Hyun;Jin, Long;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.483-492
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    • 2007
  • Time series of conventional prediction techniques uses the model which is generated from the training step. This model is applied to new input data without any change. If this model is applied directly to stream data, the rate of prediction accuracy will be decreased. This paper proposes an stream data prediction technique using sliding window and regression. This technique considers the characteristic of time series which may be changed over time. It is composed of two steps. The first step executes a fractional process for applying input data to the regression model. The second step updates the model by using its information as new data. Additionally, the model is maintained by only recent data in a queue. This approach has the following two advantages. It maintains the minimum information of the model by using a matrix, so space complexity is reduced. Moreover, it prevents the increment of error rate by updating the model over time. Accuracy rate of the proposed method is measured by RME(Relative Mean Error) and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error). The results of stream data prediction experiment are performed by the proposed technique IMQR(Incremental Multiple Quadratic Regression) is more efficient than those of MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and SVR(Support Vector Regression).

Application of Time-Series Model to Forecast Track Irregularity Progress (궤도틀림 진전 예측을 위한 시계열 모델 적용)

  • Jeong, Min Chul;Kim, Gun Woo;Kim, Jung Hoon;Kang, Yun Suk;Kong, Jung Sik
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 2012
  • Irregularity data inspected by EM-120, an railway inspection system in Korea includes unavoidable incomplete and erratic information, so it is encountered lots of problem to analyse those data without appropriate pre-data-refining processes. In this research, for the efficient management and maintenance of railway system, characteristics and problems of the detected track irregularity data have been analyzed and efficient processing techniques were developed to solve the problems. The correlation between track irregularity and seasonal changes was conducted based on ARIMA model analysis. Finally, time series analysis was carried out by various forecasting model, such as regression, exponential smoothing and ARIMA model, to determine the appropriate optimal models for forecasting track irregularity progress.

Improving Estimative Capability of Software Development Effort using Radial Basis Function Network (RBF 망 이용 소프트웨어 개발 노력 추정 성능향상)

  • Lee, Sang-Un;Park, Yeong-Mok;Park, Jae-Hong
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.8D no.5
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    • pp.581-586
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    • 2001
  • An increasingly important facet of software development is the ability to estimated the associated coast and effort of development early in the development life cycle. In spite of the most generally sued procedures for estimation of the software development effort and cost were linear regression analysis. As a result of the software complexity and various development environments, the software effort and cost estimates that are grossly inaccurate. The application of nonlinear methods hold the greatest promise for achieving this objects. Therefore this paper presents an RBF (radial basis function) network model that is able to represent the nonlinear relation for software development effort, The research describes appropriate RBF network modeling in the context of a case study for 24 software development projects. Also, this paper compared the RBF network model with a regression analysis model. The RBF network model is the most accuracy of all.

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An Evaluation Model of Corporate Culture Using Fuzzy System (퍼지시스템을 이용한 기업문화 평가모델)

  • Kim, Chun-Ho;Hwang, Seung-Gook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2010
  • This paper suggests an evaluation method through corporate culture's evaluation model considering the relationship and affection between types and elements of corporate culture. 314 data obtained from the members of small and medium enterprises analyzed the relationship by the correlation analysis, and the degree affecting rate the corporate culture types by the regression analysis. Finally, fuzzy system was used to analyze the evaluation model of the corporate culture type. The evaluation model of the corporate culture types in this paper is mixed possibility and necessity sides and showed the usefulness through reviewing the model which has an identification problem of the fuzzy system estimated fuzzy relation matrix for corporate culture types using the model.

Development of the Deterioration Models for the Port Structures by the Multiple Regression Analysis and Markov Chain (다중 회귀분석 및 Markov Chain을 통한 항만시설물의 상태열화모델 개발)

  • Cha, Kyunghwa;Kim, Sung-Wook;Kim, Jung Hoon;Park, Mi-Yun;Kong, Jung Sik
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2015
  • In light of the significant increase in the quantities of goods transported and the development of the shipping industry, the frequency of usage of port structures has increased; yet, the government's budget for the shipping & port of SOC has been reduced. Port structures require systematically effective maintenance and management trends that address their growing frequency of usage. In order to construct a productive maintenance system, it is essential to develop deterioration models of port structures that consider various characteristics, such as location, type, use, constructed level, and state of maintenance. Processes for developing such deterioration models include examining factors that cause the structures to deteriorate, collecting data on deteriorating structures, and deciding methods of estimation. The techniques used for developing the deterioration models are multiple regression analysis and Markov chain theory. Multiple regression analysis can reflect changes over time and Markov chain theory can apply status changes based on a probabilistic method. Along with these processes, the deterioration models of open-type and gravity-type wharfs were suggested.

Application of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis and Tree-Based Machine Learning Techniques for Cutter Life Index(CLI) Prediction (커터수명지수 예측을 위한 다중선형회귀분석과 트리 기반 머신러닝 기법 적용)

  • Ju-Pyo Hong;Tae Young Ko
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.594-609
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    • 2023
  • TBM (Tunnel Boring Machine) method is gaining popularity in urban and underwater tunneling projects due to its ability to ensure excavation face stability and minimize environmental impact. Among the prominent models for predicting disc cutter life, the NTNU model uses the Cutter Life Index(CLI) as a key parameter, but the complexity of testing procedures and rarity of equipment make measurement challenging. In this study, CLI was predicted using multiple linear regression analysis and tree-based machine learning techniques, utilizing rock properties. Through literature review, a database including rock uniaxial compressive strength, Brazilian tensile strength, equivalent quartz content, and Cerchar abrasivity index was built, and derived variables were added. The multiple linear regression analysis selected input variables based on statistical significance and multicollinearity, while the machine learning prediction model chose variables based on their importance. Dividing the data into 80% for training and 20% for testing, a comparative analysis of the predictive performance was conducted, and XGBoost was identified as the optimal model. The validity of the multiple linear regression and XGBoost models derived in this study was confirmed by comparing their predictive performance with prior research.

Spatial Data Analysis for the U.S. Regional Income Convergence,1969-1999: A Critical Appraisal of $\beta$-convergence (미국 소득분포의 지역적 수렴에 대한 공간자료 분석(1969∼1999년) - 베타-수렴에 대한 비판적 검토 -)

  • Sang-Il Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.212-228
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    • 2004
  • This paper is concerned with an important aspect of regional income convergence, ${\beta}$-convergence, which refers to the negative relationship between initial income levels and income growth rates of regions over a period of time. The common research framework on ${\beta}$-convergence which is based on OLS regression models has two drawbacks. First, it ignores spatially autocorrelated residuals. Second, it does not provide any way of exploring spatial heterogeneity across regions in terms of ${\beta}$-convergence. Given that empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence need to be edified by spatial data analysis, this paper aims to: (1) provide a critical review of empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence from a spatial perspective; (2) investigate spatio-temporal income dynamics across the U.S. labor market areas for the last 30 years (1969-1999) by fitting spatial regression models and applying bivariate ESDA techniques. The major findings are as follows. First, the hypothesis of ${\beta}$-convergence was only partially evidenced, and the trend substantively varied across sub-periods. Second, a SAR model indicated that ${\beta}$-coefficient for the entire period was not significant at the 99% confidence level, which may lead to a conclusion that there is no statistical evidence of regional income convergence in the US over the last three decades. Third, the results from bivariate ESDA techniques and a GWR model report that there was a substantive level of spatial heterogeneity in the catch-up process, and suggested possible spatial regimes. It was also observed that the sub-periods showed a substantial level of spatio-temporal heterogeneity in ${\beta}$-convergence: the catch-up scenario in a spatial sense was least pronounced during the 1980s.

Estimation of Cerchar abrasivity index based on rock strength and petrological characteristics using linear regression and machine learning (선형회귀분석과 머신러닝을 이용한 암석의 강도 및 암석학적 특징 기반 세르샤 마모지수 추정)

  • Ju-Pyo Hong;Yun Seong Kang;Tae Young Ko
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.39-58
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    • 2024
  • Tunnel Boring Machines (TBM) use multiple disc cutters to excavate tunnels through rock. These cutters wear out due to continuous contact and friction with the rock, leading to decreased cutting efficiency and reduced excavation performance. The rock's abrasivity significantly affects cutter wear, with highly abrasive rocks causing more wear and reducing the cutter's lifespan. The Cerchar Abrasivity Index (CAI) is a key indicator for assessing rock abrasivity, essential for predicting disc cutter life and performance. This study aims to develop a new method for effectively estimating CAI using rock strength, petrological characteristics, linear regression, and machine learning. A database including CAI, uniaxial compressive strength, Brazilian tensile strength, and equivalent quartz content was created, with additional derived variables. Variables for multiple linear regression were selected considering statistical significance and multicollinearity, while machine learning model inputs were chosen based on variable importance. Among the machine learning prediction models, the Gradient Boosting model showed the highest predictive performance. Finally, the predictive performance of the multiple linear regression analysis and the Gradient Boosting model derived in this study were compared with the CAI prediction models of previous studies to validate the results of this research.

Comparison of the Explanation on Visual Texture of Cotton Textiles using Regression Analysis and ANFIS - on Warmness (회귀분석과 ANFIS를 활용한 면직물의 시각적 질감에 대한 해석 비교 - 온난감을 중심으로)

  • 주정아;유효선
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • The regression analysis and Adaptive -Network based Fuzzy-inference system (ANFIS) were applied to the explanation on human's visual texture of cotton fabrics with 7 mechanical properties. The ANFIS uses the structure with fuzzy membership function and neural network. The results obtained by the statistical analysis through the coefficient of correlation and regression analysis showed that subjective texture had a linear relationship with mechanical properties. But It had a relatively low coefficient of determination and was difficult that the statistical analysis explained other relationship with the exception of a lineality and interaction among mechanical properties. Comparing the statistical analysis, the ANFIS was an effective tool to explain human's non-linear perceptions and their interactions. But to apply ANFIS to human's perceptions more effectively, it is necessary to discriminate effective input variables through controlling the properties of samples.

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Proposal for the Estimation Model of Coefficient of Permeability of Soil Layer using Linear Regression Analysis (단순회귀분석에 의한 토층의 투수계수산정모델 제안)

  • Lee, Moon-Se;Ryu, Je-Cheon;Lim, Heui-Dae;Park, Joo-Whan;Kim, Kyeong-Su
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2008
  • To derive easily the coefficient of permeability from several other soil properties, the estimation model of coefficient of permeability was proposed using linear regression analysis. The coefficient of permeability is one of the major factors to evaluate the soil characteristics. The study area is located in Kangwon-do Pyeongchang-gun Jinbu-Myeon. Soil samples of 45 spots were taken from the study area and various soil tests were carried out in laboratory. After selecting the soil factor influenced by the coefficient of permeability through the correlation analysis, the estimation model of coefficient of permeability was developed using the linear regression analysis between the selected soil factor and the coefficient of permeability from permeability test. Also, the estimation model of coefficient of permeability was compared with the results from permeability test and empirical equation, and the suitability of proposed model was proved. As the result of correlation analysis between various soil factors and the coefficient of permeability using SPSS(statistical package for the social sciences), the largest influence factor of coefficient of permeability were the effective grain size, porosity and dry unit weight. The coefficient of permeability calculated from the proposed model was similar to that resulted from permeability test. Therefore, the proposed model can be used in case of estimating the coefficient of permeability at the same soil condition like study area.