• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀분석식

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Development and of SDR-regression equation for Estimation of sediment in ungauged basi (국내 미계측 유역의 유사량 추정을 위한 유사전달율 회귀식 개발 및 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, SeoRo;kum, Donghyuk;Park, SangDeok;Lim, KyounJae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.133-133
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    • 2017
  • 홍수에 의해 유역에서 발생하는 유사량을 정량적으로 평가하고 예측할 수 있는 방안을 마련하는 것은 통합적인 유역 유사 관리 계획에 있어서 중요하다. 하천에서의 부유사량과 소류사량을 포함한 총유사량의 추정은 하천 유사연구의 기본과제이다. 미계측 유역의 효과적인 총유사량 관리를 위해 유실된 토양 중 얼마나 유역의 최종 유출구로 유입되는지 모의하기 위해 유사전달율(Sediment Delivery Ratio: SDR) 회귀식을 개발할 필요성이 있다. 본 연구에서는 유량조사사업단에서 운영 중인 수위측정소를 대상으로 토양침식량과 유량-총유사량 관계곡선식을 통해 총유사량을 산정하였다. 또한 유역의 다양한 유사전달특성과 유사전달율과의 상관관계분석을 통해 최종적으로 유의한 인자를 바탕으로 유사전달율 다중회귀공식을 개발하였다. 본 연구 결과 실측 기반으로 산정된 연도별 유사전달율과 회귀식을 통해 예측된 연도별 유사전달율 상관분석 결과 $R^2$, NSE 모두 0.80 이상을 보여 높은 상관관계를 나타내었으며 예측된 유사전달율을 통해 산정된 총유사량 또한 실측 총유사량과 상관분석 결과 $R^2$, NSE 모두 0.80 이상을 보여 높은 상관관계로 나타나 본 연구에서 개발된 회귀식의 적용 가능성이 있는 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 국내 유역 및 하도유사 관리의 방향성 설정차원에서 의미가 있으며 국토관리 및 하천관리를 위한 관련 기술이 한 단계 빨리 나아갈 수 있는 좋은 연구로 사료된다.

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A Study on the Improvement of Annual Runoff Estimation Model (연유출량 추정모형의 개선방안)

  • 이상훈
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 1993
  • The most significant factor in estimating annual runoff must be the precipitation. But in the previous study, the watershed area instead of precitation was included as an independent variable in regression model in the process of checking accurate data. The criterion of accurate data was the runoff ratio in the range of 20% to 100%. In this study the valid range of evapotranspiration was adopted as a criterion of accurate data and the same data were reexamined. It came up with following model which has a high coefficient of determination and conforms to hydrologic theory. R=-518.25+0.8834P where, R: runoff depth(mm) P: precipitation(mm) This regression model was found to be stable by cross-validation and is proposed as annual runoff estimation model applicable to ungaged small and medium watersheds in Korea.

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Theoretical Derivation of IDF curve Using Probability Distribution Function of Rainfall Data (강우자료의 확률분포함수를 이용한 강우강도식의 이론적 유도)

  • Kim, Kew-Tae;Kim, Soo-Young;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1503-1506
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    • 2007
  • 수공구조물의 설계를 위해서 주로 사용되는 강우강도식은 연최대치 강우자료를 이용하여 빈도별 혹은 지속기간별 확률강우량을 구한 후 이 값들을 선형 혹은 비선형식의 형태로 회귀분석하여 구하게 된다. 그러나, 이와 같이 회귀분석을 이용하여 추정된 강우강도식은 원래의 강우자료가 가지고 있는 확률적인 특성을 재현한다고 하기는 어렵기 때문에, 본 연구에서는 연최대치 강우자료에 대한 적정 확률분포형으로부터 직접 강우 강도식을 유도하는 방법을 적용하여 대상지역 강우강도식의 매개변수를 산정하였다. 선정된 적정 확률분포형을 이용하여 강우강도식의 매개변수를 추정하는데 있어서, 평균제곱오차의 제곱근을 최소화하는 형태의 목적함수를 구성한 후 유전자알고리즘을 이용하여 적절한 매개변수를 산정하였다. 산정된 매개변수를 사용한 강우강도식으로 구한 결과값과 기존의 강우강도식에 의한 결과값 그리고 지점빈도해석에 의한 결과값을 비교하여 본 연구에서 산정된 강우강도식의 적용성을 평가해 보았다.

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A Study on the Treatment of Uncertainty in Linear Regression Method for Chemical Analysis (회귀식 사용에 따른 화학 분석 과정의 불확도 처리 연구)

  • Woo, Jin-Chun;Suh, JungKee;Lim, MyungChul;Park, MinSu
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2003
  • We applied modified least square method (MLS) and ordinary least square method (OLS) to 1st order equation for the comparison of the uncertainties calculated by these methods. The uncertainty calculated by OLS covered statistically safe interval because it was over-estimated in many cases of measurement and concentration level. But, if the uncertainty of the concentration as a reference value was comparably large (about 5% of the relative standard deviation of random scattering from the regression line and about 7% of relative standard uncertainty of reference values), then uncertainty calculated by OLS was seriously under-estimated at high concentration level. It was revealed that the calculated uncertainty didn't cover statistically safe interval at the stated confidence level. It was found that the method, MLS, described in the previously article would be valid for this calculation of uncertainty.

Comparison of Development Length Equation of Bottom and Top GFRP Bars with Splitting Failure (쪼갬파괴된 GFRP 하부근과 상부근의 정착길이 산정식 비교)

  • Ha, Sang-Su;Yoon, Joon-Sun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study was to propose a development length equation for bottom and top GFRP bars. Including the bottom and top GRPP bars, a total of 104 modified pullout tests were completed. The test variables were embedment length (15, 30, 45db), net cover thickness (0.5~2.0db), different GFRP bar types, and bar diameters (10, 13, 16mm). The average bond stresses were determined based on the modified pullout test results. Two variable linear regression analyses were performed on the results of the average bond stresses. Utilizing the 5% fractile concept, a conservative development length design equation was derived. The design equation of the development length for bottom and top GFRP bars was proposed and the design equation derived in this study was compared to the ACI 440.1R-06 committee equation.

특허분석을 활용한 항해 시스템 기술예측

  • Park, Eun-Ju;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.50-52
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    • 2015
  • 특허는 기술에 대한 광범위한 정보를 포함하고 있다. 기존의 기술예측은 정량적분석으로 시도되었지만 특허분석을 활용하여 정성적분석을 실시하였다. 특허분석을 시행하기 위하여 R 프로그램을 이용하여 주성분분석과 다중선형회귀분석을 실행하였다. 주성분분석과 다중선형회귀분석을 통하여 키워드를 추출하고 추출된 키워드를 통해 기술예측을 실시한다.

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Later-Age Strength Prediction of Concrete With Curing Temperature (양생온도에 따른 콘크리트 장기강도 예측)

  • 김진근;문영호;양주경;송영철
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구는 양생온도의 영향에 따른 콘크리트의 장기강도 예측식을 개발하고, 기존에 보고된 데이터를 이용하여 제안식의 신뢰성을 검증하기 위한 것이다. 제안식은 반응률상수 모델을 이용하였으며, 콘크리트의 장기강도에 영향을 미치는 인자로 양생온도에 따른 확산장벽의 효과를 고려하였다. 제안식을 검증하기위하여 각각의 데이터를 28일 상대강도의비로바꾸어 -0.6~59.7$^{\circ}C$ 범위의 8개의 평균 양생온도에 대해서 회귀분석하였다. 회귀분석을통해 제안식의 온도 영향계수인 반응율상수, 한계강도, 반응지수를 양생온도에 따른 함수식으로 표현하였다. 제안식은 기존의모델식에 비해 신뢰성이 높았으며, 초기재령에서는 기존의 모델식등과 큰 차이를나타내지 않았으나 장기재령으로 갈수록 제안식의 정확도가 크게 높아짐을 알 수 있었다.

A Study on the Related Equation of the Blast Vibration Velocity and the Vibration Level (발파진동속도와 진동레벨과의 관계식 연구)

  • Kim, Il-Jung;Ki, Kyoung-Chul;Cho, Young-Dong
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2009
  • The regression analysis of the ground vibration data (particle velocity and vibration level) was carried out to find an empirical relation between the vibration velocity (PVS, PPV, $V_V$) and the vibration level. The regression results revealed that the correlation of the blast vibration velocity and vibration level was quite good. It seems that the empirical relation obtained in this research will be applied to evaluating and managing the various environmental vibrations.

Study on Estimation for Discharge Coefficient of Diagonal Weir (경사 위어의 유량계수 산정에 대한 연구)

  • Im, Jang-Hyuk;Jin, Sin-Wook;Song, Jai-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.375-383
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    • 2009
  • This study examined hydraulic characteristics on diagonal weirs with hydraulic experiment and presented a discharge coefficient equation utilizing multiple regression analysis for various design conditions. This study had a object in designing efficiently diagonal weirs utilizing this equation. Diagonal weirs maintained uniformly upstream water level than rectangular suppressed weirs. Also, as installation degrees of diagonal weirs increased, diagonal weirs increased maintenance effects of a upstream water level. Because of these characteristics, diagonal weirs were suitable to canal system. This study presented discharge coefficient equations for diagonal weirs utilizing simple regression analysis. But, these equations are some restrictions on degrees. Therefore, this study presented an equation to estimate directly discharge coefficients to various degrees utilizing multiple regression analysis. This equation was verified by making use of analyses of $R^2$, the sum of residuals, MAPE. Therefore, this equation is enable to make good use of a design in diagonal weirs.

Comparisons of the Pan and Penman Evaporation Trends in South Korea (우리나라 증발접시 증발량과 Penman 증발량 추세 비교분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.445-458
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    • 2010
  • The effects of geographical and climatic factors on annual and monthly pan and Penman evaporation were analyzed. 52 climatological stations were selected and trend analyses were performed. Furthermore, cluster analysis and multiple linear regression analysis were performed to understand the effects of geographical and climatic factors on pan and Penman evaporation. Based on stepwise multiple linear regression analysis, annual pan evaporation is proved to be mainly controlled by urbanization as geographical factor, and annual pan evaporation is also controlled by temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation as climatic factor. Especially wind speed is considered to be most significant climatic factor which affects pan evaporation. Meanwhile, Penman evaporation is not affected by geographical factors but it is affected by climate factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation except precipitation. Furthermore, the study results show that only proximity to coast affects pan evaporation trend on July; however, geographical and climatic factors do not affect pan evaporation trends in annual basis and monthly basis (January, April, and October). On the other hand, Penman evaporation trends were not affected by geographical factors in annual and monthly basises.