• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀모형식

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Introduction of a Nonlinear Regression Analysis System NLIN2000 (비선형회귀분석을 위한 통계소프트웨어 NLIN2000)

  • 강근석;심규호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.173-184
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    • 2004
  • A statistical software for nonlinear regression analysis, NLIN2000, is introduced. This software, operated tinder the Window systems, has many user-friendly functions and Provides various statistics. As an upgraded version of the Previous Program operated under the DOS system, NLIN2000 provides easier steps for model specification and fitting process than any other statistical packages. Also it has a database system for model functions which has addition and deletion options. While it can be a useful research tool for statisticians, NLIN2000 can be used practically also by researchers in many other scientific fields, who needs nonlinear regression analysis for their study.

Development of Ingrowth Estimation Equations for Pinus densiflora in Korea Derived from National Forest Inventory Data (국가산림자원조사 자료를 이용한 소나무의 진계생장 추정식 개발)

  • Moon, Ga Hyun;Yim, Jong Su;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.107 no.4
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    • pp.402-411
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    • 2018
  • This study was conducted to develop ingrowth estimation equations on Pinus densiflora found in Gangwon Province and in the center of Korean Peninsula, based on the National Forest Inventory (NFI)'s permanent sampling plot data. For this study, identical sampling plots in $5^{th}$ and $6^{th}$ NFI data were collected in order to identify ingrowth amounts for the last 5 years. Following two-stage approaches in developing the ingrowth estimation equations, the logistic regression model was used in the first stage to estimate the ingrowth probability. In the second stage, regression analysis on sampling plots with ingrowth occurrence was used to estimate the ingrowth amount. A candidate model was finally selected as an optimal model after a verification based on three evaluation statistics which include mean difference (MD), standard deviation of difference (SDD) and standard error of difference (SED). In results, a logistic regression model based on the number of sampling plot which did not result in ingrowth (model VI), was selected for an ingrowth probability estimation equation and exponential function including the species composition (SC) variable was optimal for an ingrowth estimation equation (model VII). The ingrowth estimation equations developed in this study also evaluated the estimation ability in various forest stand conditions, and no particular issue in fitness or applicability was observed.

Estimation of LOADEST coefficients according to watershed characteristics (유역특성에 따른 LOADEST 회귀모형 매개변수 추정)

  • Kim, Kyeung;Kang, Moon Seong;Song, Jung Hun;Park, Jihoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.151-163
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to estimate LOADEST (LOAD Estimator) coefficients for simulating pollutant loads in ungauged watersheds. Regression models of LOADEST were used to simulate pollutant loads, and the multiple linear regression (MLR) was used for coefficients estimation on watershed characteristics. The fifth and third model of LOADEST were selected to simulate T-N (Total-Nitrogen) and T-P (Total-Phosphorous) loads, respectively. The results and statistics indicated that regression models based on LOADEST simulated pollutant loads reasonably and model coefficients were reliable. However, the results also indicated that LOADEST underestimated pollutant loads and had a bias. For this reason, simulated loads were corrected the bias by a quantile mapping method in this study. Corrected loads indicated that the bias correction was effective. Using multiple regression analysis, a coefficient estimation methods according to the watershed characteristic were developed. Coefficients which calculated by MLR were used in models. The simulated result and statistics indicated that MLR estimated the model coefficients reasonably. Regression models developed in this study would help simulate pollutant loads for ungauged watersheds and be a screen model for policy decision.

Trip Generation Model based on Geographically Weighted Regression (공간가중회귀분석을 이용한 통행발생모형)

  • Kim, Jin-Hui;Park, Il-Seop;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • In most of the urbanized cities, socio-economic attributes tend to cluster as patterns of similarity in space, namely spatial autocorrelation, by agglomeration forces. The classical linear regression model, the most frequently adopted in the trip generation step, cannot sufficiently represent this effect. In order to take into account the effect properly, we need a model which adequately deals with the spatial dependence patterns. In this study, the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model is adopted as an alternative method for the local analysis of relationships in multivariate data sets; that is GWR extends this traditional regression framework by estimating local rather than global parameters. This study shows the existence of spatial effects in the production and attraction of home base/non-home based trips through the GWR model using travel data collected in Daegu metropolitan area. Furthermore, LISA is employed to verify the fact that the local spatial autocorrelation exists.

통계해석에 의한 정수 중 저항추진성능 추정

  • 김은찬
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.18-21
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    • 1994
  • 시제품을 만들어 본 후 대량 생산에 들어가는 여느 공업과는 달리, 조선공업에서는 시제품을 미리 만들어 볼 수가 없으므로 실선의 성능을 미리 추정하는 것은 참으로 중요한 과제 중의 하 나이다. 그 가운데 하나인 저항추진성능을 추정하는 데에는 통계해석 방법이 널리 쓰이고 있다. 여기서 통계해석은 모형시험 결과를 표본자료로 한 통계해석을 말한다. 실선의 저항추진성능을 추정하는 것이므로 실선 속력시운전 자료를 사용하는 것이 좋겠으나, 실선 속력시운전에서 정 확한 값을 얻는다는 것이 거의 불가능하므로 대부분 모형시험 값을 이용하곤 한다. 본 고에서는 기존에 발표된 여러 가지 도표와 회귀식을 요약하여 본 후, 표본자료를 이용하여 새로운 회귀 식을 만드는 과정을 소개하고자 한다.

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로지스틱 회귀를 통한 경마의 입상확률모형

  • 유선경;박흥선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 우리 나라 경마의 실제자료를 이용하여 연승식 경마의 입상확률에 미치는 여러 가지 요인을 조사하였고, 이를 토대로 입상확률모형을 유도하여 보았다. 외국의 경우, 경마에 대한 통계적 접근이 다각적으로 시행되었지만, 기존의 선행방법이 배당금에 의한 입상확률에 근거를 하고 있는 반면, 본 연구에서는 경마장에서 쉽게 구할 수 있는 정보를 중심으로, 로지스틱 회귀를 이용한 방법을 시도해 보았다.

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Population Distribution Estimation Using Regression-Kriging Model (Regression-Kriging 모형을 이용한 인구분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sun;Ku, Cha-Yong;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.806-819
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    • 2010
  • Population data has been essential and fundamental in spatial analysis and commonly aggregated into political boundaries. A conventional method for population distribution estimation was a regression model with land use data, but the estimation process has limitation because of spatial autocorrelation of the population data. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of population distribution estimation by adopting a Regression-Kriging method, namely RK Model, which combines a regression model with Kriging for the residuals. RK Model was applied to a part of Seoul metropolitan area to estimate population distribution based on the residential zones. Comparative results of regression model and RK model using RMSE, MAE, and G statistics revealed that RK model could substantially improve the accuracy of population distribution. It is expected that RK model could be adopted actively for further population distribution estimation.

A Multiple Regression Model for the Estimation of Monthly Runoff from Ungaged Watersheds (미계측 중소유역의 월유출량 산정을 위한 다중회귀모형 연구)

  • 윤용남;원석연
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 1991
  • Methods of predicting water resources availiability of a river basin can be classified as empirical formula, water budget analysis and regression analysis. The purpose of this study is to develop a method to estimate the monthly runoff required for long-term water resources development project. Using the monthly runoff data series at gaging stations alternative multiple regression models were constructed and evaluated. Monthly runoff volume along with the meteorological and physiographic parameters of 48 gaging stations are used, those of 43 stations to construct the model and the remaining 5 stations to verify the model. Regression models are named to be Model-1, Model-2, Model-3 and Model-4 developing on the way of data processing for the multiple regressions. From the verification, Model-2 is found to be the best-fit model. A comparison of the selected regression model with the Kajiyama's formula is made based on the predicted monthly and annual runoff of the 5 watersheds. The result showed that the present model is fairly resonable and convinient to apply in practice.

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Correlations Between the Physical Properties and Compression Index of KwangYang Clay (광양점토의 물리적 특성과 압축지수의 상관성)

  • Bae, Wooseok;Kim, Jongwoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2009
  • The correlation equation empirically proposed to obtain compression indexes has been proposed to conveniently obtain the value using the soil parameter that can be obtained through simple tests when the number of time of consolidation testing is low or the distribution is large but most of the analyzed regions are limited to certain regions abroad or in the country and multiple data were integrated for use in many cases, thus it is not very reasonable to apply it. Therefore, to establish a new design method considering the uncertainty of the ground, it was selected the Kwangyang port area of which the data have been collected recently thus are relatively more reliable as the subject region of the study in order to maximally reduce the uncertainty of test data. After performing the verification of the normality of the consolidation test data obtained from the selected region and the transformation of variables, a prediction formula was proposed through the regression model with the transformed variables and the proposed regression model with transformed variables was compared with existing empirical equations to verify the suitability of the proposed model formula. After analyzing, it was confirmed that the coefficient of determination was increased after the Box-Cox variable transformation, thus the explanatory power was being enhanced and through the root-mean-square-error method, it was confirmed that the proposed model formula showed the most closed value to the test value.

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Estimation of regional parameters of the DIROM in the Chungchungnam-do (DIROM 모형의 지역 매개변수 산정 - 충청남도 지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Jun Hyuk;Choi, Young Je;Yi, Jae Eung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.189-189
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    • 2021
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 가뭄, 홍수 등의 기상재해 발생빈도가 증가함에 따라 저수지의 용수공급 안정성이 감소하고 있다. 우리나라 농업용수는 총 수자원 이용량의 48%를 차지하고 있으며 영농활동의 필수 자원으로 농업용 저수지의 용수공급에 크게 의존하고 있다. 하지만 유효저수용량을 기준으로 다목적댐과 비교하였을 때 농업용 저수지의 규모가 작으므로 가뭄이 발생하게 된다면 용수공급에 큰 어려움을 겪을 수 있다. 또한 농업용 저수지의 절반 이상이 준공년도가 70년 이상으로 농업용 저수지의 노후화가 심각한 상태이며 수문 실측자료가 부족하여 이수 측면의 활용성과 관련된 연구가 부족한 실정이다. 이에 따라 농업용 저수지의 안정적인 용수공급 및 이수 측면의 분석을 위해서는 농업용 저수지 상류의 정확도 높은 장기유출량 산정이 선행되어야 한다. 현재 농업용 저수지의 장기유출량 산정을 위해 사용되고 있는 DIROM 모형은 Sugawara의 TANK 모형을 우리나라 농업용 저수지의 유역 특성에 맞게 수정한 일별 유입량 모의 발생 모형이다. 그러나 DIROM 모형의 매개변수는 1980년대에 개발된 이후 현재까지 특별한 개선없이 사용되고 있다. 따라서 최근 우리나라의 기후 및 토지이용 특성이 변화함에 따라 유출 특성이 변화하였기 때문에 장기유출량 산정을 위한 매개변수 개선이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 하천의 최상류에 위치한 수위 관측소의 유출량 자료를 활용하여 지역별 DIROM 모형의 매개변수를 추정하고, 추정된 매개변수를 활용하여 회귀식을 개발하고자 하였다. 개발된 회귀식의 검증을 위해 최근 수문자료 관측을 수행하기 시작한 농업용 저수지의 실측 수문자료를 활용하였다. 이를 통해 농업용 저수지의 안정적인 용수공급 및 저수지 관리를 통해 농업용수의 활용성을 개선할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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