• Title/Summary/Keyword: 환경영향평가 방법론

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Bayesian Network-based Probabilistic Safety Assessment for Multi-Hazard of Earthquake-Induced Fire and Explosion (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 지진 유발 화재・폭발 복합재해 확률론적 안전성 평가)

  • Se-Hyeok Lee;Uichan Seok;Junho Song
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2024
  • Recently, seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) methods have been developed for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants. The framework originated from the PSA of nuclear power plants, which aims to assess the risk of reactor core damage. The original PSA method was modified to adopt the characteristics of a process plant whose purpose is continuous operation without shutdown. Therefore, a fault tree, whose top event is shut down, was constructed and transformed into a Bayesian Network (BN), a probabilistic graph model, for efficient risk-informed decision-making. In this research, the fault tree-based BN from the previous research is further developed to consider the multi-hazard of earthquake-induced fire and explosion (EQ-induced F&E). For this purpose, an event tree describing the occurrence of fire and explosion from a release is first constructed and transformed into a BN. And then, this BN is connected to the previous BN model developed for seismic PSA. A virtual plot plan of a gas plant is introduced as a basis for the construction of the specific EQ-induced F&E BN to test the proposed BN framework. The paper demonstrates the method through two examples of risk-informed decision-making. In particular, the second example verifies how the proposed method can establish a repair and retrofit strategy when a shutdown occurs in a process plant.

Exploratory Sensitivity Analysis of Environmental Equity to Spatial to Measures (공간척도 유형에 따른 환경적 형평성의 민감도 분석)

  • Jun, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.508-521
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    • 2006
  • The results of environmental equity analysis vary dramatically depending on different methods used. The information and data available to the researcher are also often uncertain and imprecise in empirical studies. A sensitivity analysis approach was used too handle uncertainties and methodological inconsistencies in environmental equity analysis. This paper explores the sensitivity of environmental equity analysis to two spatial measures such as proximity and scale. Two experiments were implemented to evaluate the effects of two spatial measures on the environmental equity analysis using a combination of control and experimental factors. Fulton County, Georgia was selected as a case study area for these experiments. Two major data sets including demographic characteristics and toxic release inventory (TRI) database for the study area in 1990 were integrated into a GIS environment. Two statistical analyses such as independent samples t-test and coefficient of variation were performed to determine the environmental equity in the study area and to compare the relative variability in the socioeconomic characteristics of populations over different spatial measures. The findings from two experiments indicate that the outcomes of environmental equity analysis are slightly sensitive to the buffer distance used to determine the impact zones of TRI facilities, but not to the geographic scale used in the analysis. The findings also suggest that the consequences of these choices can alter spatially and statistically the results in environmental equity analysis.

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Ecological Risk Assessment of Pesticide Residues in Agricultural Lake : Risk Quotients and Probabilistic Approach (농업용수를 공급하는 호소 수역 내 잔류 농약의 생태위해성평가 : 위해지수방법과 확률론적 방법)

  • Lee, Ji-Ho;Park, Byung-Jun;Park, Sang-Won;Kim, Won-Il;Hong, Su-Myung;Im, Geon-Jae;Hong, Moo-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.316-322
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    • 2011
  • BACKGROUND: Pesticides concentration was monitored in 50 agricultural lakes, and ecological risk for aquatic organism was assessed using risk quotient (RQ) and probabilistic methods. METHODS AND RESULTS: Pesticides concentrations detected in 50 agricultural lakes during peak season (June and September) were in the range of $0.17{\sim}0.99{\mu}g/L$. The RQ for algae and the other species was estimated to be 0.25 and below 0.01, indicating medium risk and no risk. Oxadiazon predominantly contributed to RQ value of 99% for algae, fishes, and amphibians. In terms of hazardous concentration at 5% of species ($HC_5$), ecological risk quotients (ERQ) for oxadiazon ranged from 0.18~0.33, showing a medium risk level. Overall, the concentrations of pesticides were much lower than $HC_5$), value. Probability of combined ecological risk for pesticides ranged from 1.82% to 2.41%. CONCLUSION(s): Combined ecological risk probability did not exceed the acceptable level of 5%, indicating no ecological risk for selected aquatic species. This study suggests that regular ecological risk assessment (ERA) will be required to protect and manage an agricultural lake. Not only ERA at screening level by comparing exposure with toxic effects for aquatic species also advanced ERA technique considering species in indigenous to Korea, chronic toxicity, pulse dose, fate, and environmental factors should be required.

Effects of Groundwater Flow Rate Distribution at a Disposal Depth on Migration of Radionuclides Released from Potential Deposition Holes (처분 심도의 지하수 유량이 처분공에서 누출될 것으로 가정된 방사성핵종의 이동에 끼치는 영향 평가)

  • Ko, Nak-Youl;Jeong, Jongtae;Kim, Kyong-Su
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.191-198
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    • 2014
  • Using results of groundwater flow system modeling for a hypothetical deep geological repository site, a distribution of groundwater flow rates at the disposal depth was analyzed and a method of applying this distribution to a safety assessment for a disposal of radioactive wastes was suggested. The distribution of groundwater flow rates was produced by hydraulic heads simulated from regional and local scale groundwater flow models for the hypothetical disposal site. The flow rates at the locations where deposition holes would be located were estimated. These rates were normalized by the maximum of the flow rates in order to probabilistically illustrate a possibility of canister failures at the deposition holes. From the normalized distribution, probabilistic expectations for mass discharges of radionuclides released from the canisters assumed to be failed were calculated and compared with those deterministically estimated under the assumption that the canisters at the same deposition holes were definitely failed. The suggested method can be contributed to constructing a methodology for safety assessment of a geological repository by reflecting natural conditions of a disposal site in more detail.

Estimation of the Hydrological Design Frequency of Local Rivers Using Bayesian Inference and a Sensitivity Analysis of Evaluation Factors (평가인자 가중치에 대한 베이지안 추론과 민감도 분석을 통한 적정 하천설계빈도 결정)

  • Ryu, Jae Hee;Kim, Ji Eun;Lee, Jin-Young;Park, Kyung-Woon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.617-626
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    • 2022
  • In Korea, annual precipitation and its variability have gradually increased since modern meteorological observations began, and the risk of disasters has also been increasing due to significant regional variations and recent abnormal climate conditions. Given that damage from storms and floods mainly occurs around rivers, it is crucial to determine the appropriate design frequency for river-related projects. This study examined existing design practices used to determine hydrological design frequencies and suggested a new method to determine appropriate design frequencies. The study collected available data pertaining to seven evaluation factors, specifically the basin areas, shape parameters, channel slopes, stream orders, backwater effect reaches, extreme rainfall frequencies, and urbanized flood inundation areasfor 413 local rivers in Chungcheongnam-do in Korea. The estimated weights for areas of extreme rainfall frequencies and urbanized flood inundation were found to be 18, having a great effect on determining the design frequency. Compared with the established design frequency in previous government reports, the estimated design frequency increased for 255 rivers and decreased for 158 rivers.

Development of Causal Map for Sustainable Transportation Facilities Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 지속가능한 교통시설 인과지도 개발)

  • Bae, Jin Hee;Park, Hee-Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.953-959
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    • 2015
  • The global warming caused by consumption of fossil fuel and energy has been interested. Therefore, several policies and regulations have been discussed to reduce greenhouse gas emission and effective energy consumption. The construction industry that takes 45% of energy consumption makes efforts to develop green construction methods and materials and reuseable energy. However, there is no common definition to calculate greenhouse gas and database in the construction industry. Especially, transportation infrastructure like road, railway, harbor, and airport consumes 21% energy of construction facilities. Therefore, this paper develops the causal relationship to define performance of sustainable road construction and maintenance. The performance indices are grouped into economic, social, and envirionmental impacts. Then, the causal map is developed based on survey results of construction experts. This will provide the baseline to evaluate the performance of sustainable construction and to establish the objective goals.

Estimation of Chlorophyll-a via harmonized landsat sentinel-2 (HLS) datasets (Harmonized Landsat Sentinel-2 (HLS) 위성자료를 활용한 클로로필-a 추정)

  • Jongmin Park
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.400-400
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    • 2023
  • 급격한 기후변화로 인해 일사량, 지표면 온도 및 이산화탄소 농도가 꾸준히 상승함에 따라 수문 순환의 불균형을 초래함과 하천 및 호소 내 수질 또한 악화되고 있는 추세이다. 특히, 국내의 경우, 기후변화 및 인위적 요인에 의해 하천 및 호소에서의 수위 감소 및 수온 증가로 인해 부영양화가 증가되고 있고, 이로 인한 유해 녹조의 발생빈도를 높이는 결과를 초래한다. 현재 국내에서는 유인 수질 관측 및 자동 수질관측 시스템을 통해 주요 수질인자를 모니터링 하고 있으나 시·공간적인 변동성을 파악하는데 제한점이 있다. 이러한 한계점을 극복하기 위해 국·내외에서 광학위성을 이용한 수질인자 추정 알고리즘 개발과 관련된 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 이에 따라, 본 연구에서는 NASA에서 제공하는 Landsat-8 위성과 ESA에서 제공하는 Sentinel-2자료가 동화된 Harmonized Landsat Sentinel-2 위성자료를 활용한 클로로필-a (Chl-a)를 추정하고자 한다. 이를 위해, 본 연구에서는 1) 단순 회귀 분석, 2) Akaike information criteria (AIC) 기반 최적화 회귀 분석 및 3) Random forest (RF)를 활용하였다. 또한, HLS 위성 자료의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 미국 오하이오 주에 위치하고 있는 130여개의 중규모 및 대규모 호소에서 2000년부터 2021년까지 수집된 클로로필-a 관측치를 활용하였다. 두 가지 수질 추정 모형에 대한 정확도 검증에 앞서 오하이오 주 내에서의 클로로필-a의 시계열적 변동성에 대하여 분석하였다. 전반적으로, 2000년부터 2016년까지는 Chl-a가 꾸준히 증가하는 경향성을 나타내었으나, 그 이후로는 감소하는 추세를 나타내었다. 이를 기반으로, 각 방법론을 통해서 나온 Chl-a 추정치에 대해서 통계적 검증을 수행하였다. 결과, 단순 회귀 분석을 통해 추청된 Chl-a값의 결정계수는 0.34였지만, AIC 기반 모델과 RF모형을 사용한 결과 결정계수가 각각 0.82와 0.92로 향상된 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 이와 더불어, spatial 및 temporal window와 더불어 호소의 크기에 따른 정확도 분석 또한 수행하였다. 그 결과, temporal window 가 정확도에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 호소의 크기가 작을수록 정확도가 낮아지는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과를 토대로 추후 국내 호소에 대해 상기 모형들의 적용성 평가를 수행하여 효율적인 수질 모니터링 시스템 구축으로 이어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Development of Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) Database for Production of Liquid CO2 (액체 이산화탄소의 전과정목록(LCI) DB 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Sun;Kim, Young Sil;Ahn, Joong Woo
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2015
  • In this research, life cycle inventory database (LCI DB) was developed for liquid CO2 employing life cycle assessment (LCA) methodology. As are result of characterization and normalization process, production of liquid CO2 puts on environmental impact in the order of resource depletion, global warming, acidification, eutrophication and photochemical oxidation, and among a wide variety of input, electricity contributes in most of the impact categories. Air emission plays a key role in the acidification and eutrophication while ammonia affects most on the ozone depletion. It is anticipated that development of liquid CO2 LCI DB makes it possible for national environmental strategies to be more activated including environmental labeling scheme.

A Study on Monitoring and Management of Invasive Alien Species Applied by Citizen Science in the Wetland Protected Areas(Inland Wetland) (시민과학을 활용한 습지보호지역의 생태계교란 식물 모니터링 및 관리방안 연구)

  • Inae Yeo;Kwangjin Cho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.305-317
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    • 2023
  • This study suggested a citizen science based model to enhance the efficacy of the managing invasive alien plants and examined whose applicability in 3 Wetland Protected Areas (Jangrok of Gwangju metropolitan city, Madongho of Goseong in South Gyeongsang Province, and Ungok of Gochang in North Jeolla Province). The process consists of (a) collecting citizen scientist including local residents of 3 protected areas and piling up information on the 4 species of invasive alien plants (Sicyos angulatus L., Solanum carolinense L., Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. and Solidago altissima L) in a information platform Ecological Information Bank (EcoBank) from September 18th to October 31th, (b) constructing distribution map containing the location and density (3 phases: individual-population-community) of target plants, (c) providing distribution map to Environment Agency and local government who is principal agent of managing invasive alien plants in 3 protected areas, and from whom (d) surveying applications of the distribution map and opinion for future supplement. As a result, citizen science based monitoring should be continued to complement the nationwide information for the field management of invasive alien plants with the expansion of target species (total 17 plants species that Ministry of Environment in South Korea designated) and period of monitoring in a year to increase the usability of surveyed information from citizen science. In the long run, effectiveness of the management of invasive alien species applied by citizen science should be reviewed including efficacy of field management process from citizen's participating in elimination project of invasive alien plants and time series distribution followed by the management of the species.

Channel Allocation Method and Job scheduling Scheme by Property of Traffic in Cellular Network (이동통신에서 멀티미디어 트래픽 속성에 따른 채널 할당 방식과 작업 스케줄링 기법)

  • Heo Bo-Jin;Son Dong-Cheul;Kim Chang-Suk;Lee Sang-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.436-442
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    • 2006
  • It is important matter that inflect well allocated frequency resource in cellular network and is still more serious element in environment that provide multimedia services. Also, that do that make job scheduling how base station system or terminal according to this service request is important constituent that evaluate performance of whole system. channel allocation according to service kind causes big effect to whole system when hand off gets up in cellular network. This paper describes model and algorithm that increase two elements that is frequency allocation and job scheduling that consider multimedia service traffic special quality by emphasis that do mapping present in CDMA cellular system.