• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확율

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A Programming of Hydrologic Analysis Procedure for the Probable Isohyetal Chart in Korea (한국 확률강우량도 작성을 위한 수문해석방법 개발)

  • 이원환
    • Water for future
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 1987
  • The present study is to develop the hydrologic analysis procedure for the purpose of drawing the probable isohyetal charts in Korea. In the establishment of optimal distribution types, the eleven continuous probability distribution types included the transformed variable normal distribution (Y-k method) is applied to the annual maximum rainfall depth series in each duration. The optimal selection of distribution is done by Chi-square test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test in the eui-class interval. The application of probability distribution is checked by the fitting on four durations of annual maximum rainfall data(10 min., 60 min., 6 hrs., and 24hrs.) at four meteorological stations in Korea (Seoul, In Cheon, Bu san, and Kwang Ju). The properties in hydrologic application of the considered distribution and the hydrologic characteristics of the applied rainfall data groups are investigated from the results of this study.

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A study on characteristics of monthly stream flow at several hydro power sites (수력발전지점에서의 월량유특성에 관하여 2)

  • 이광우
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 1969
  • 이상의 월류량에 대한 특성조사에 의하여 지금까지 불명한 것이 명백히 되고 따라서 제계획에 반영하는데 다소나마 판단재료가 되지 않을까 생각한다. 유량의 확율분포특성은 월유량에 한정되었으나 일유량에 대하여도 아울러 구명된다면 확율계산에 더욱 유용할 것이다. 만KW 이상의 발전지점의 월류량의 분포가 대수정규성을 갖이고 있음이 실증되었다. 월류량의 계절변동상황의 조사에 의하여 기대치의 발생확율은 약40% 정도이며 발전지접에 따라서 상기에 있어서도 약10%는 하기와 동정도의 이상갈수가 되는 가능성이 통계상 명백히 되었다.

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Application of universal kriging for modeling a groundwater level distribution 1. Intrinsic random function of order k (지하수위 분포 모델링을 위한 UNIVERSAL KRIGING의 응용 1. K계의 고유 확률함수)

  • 정상용
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 1993
  • Intrinsic random function of order k(IRF-k) was used to estimate groundwater levels of nonstationaav random functions. The accuracy of IRF-k was compared to that of ordraarv krigrng assuming that the data of groundwater levels compose a stafionarv random function. Cross validation and statistical errors show that IRF-k is superior to orcinarv '(riging for the estimation of water levels. IRF-k and ordinary kriging made different contour and 3-D surface maps. The maps of IRF-k are more accurate than those of ordinary kriging.

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Study on Tumor Control Probability and Normal Tissue Complication Probability in 3D Conformal Radiotherapy (방사선 입체조형치료에 대한 종양치유확율과 정상조직손상확율에 관한 연구)

  • 추성실
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.227-245
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    • 1998
  • A most appropriate model of 3-D conformal radiotherapy has been induced by clinical evaluation and animal study, and therapeutic gains were evaluated by numerical equation of tumor control probability(TCP) and normal tissue complication probability (NTCP). The radiation dose to the tumor and the adjacent normal organs was accurately evaluated and compared using the dose volume histogram(DVH). The TCP and NTCP was derived from the distribution of given dosage and irradiated volume, and these numbers were used as the biological index for the assessment of the treatment effects. Ten patients with liver disease have been evaluated and 3 dogs were sacrificed for this study. Based on the 3-D images of the tumor and adjacent organs, the optimum radiation dose and the projection direction which could maximize the radiation effect while minimizing the effects to the adjacent organs could be decided. 3). The most effective collimation for the normal adjacent organs was made through the beams eye view with the use of multileaf collimator. When the dose was increased from 50Gy to 70Gy, the TCP for the conventional 2-port radiation and the 5-port multidimensional therapy was 0.982 and 0.995 respectively, while the NTCP was 0.725 and 0.142 respectively, suggesting that the 3-D conformal radiotherapy might be the appropriate therapy to apply sufficient radiation dose to the tumor while minimizing the damages to the normal areas of the liver. Positive correlation was observed between the NTCP and the actual complication of the normal liver in the animal study. The present study suggest that the use of 3-D conformal radiotherapy and the application of the mathematical models of TCP and NTCP may provide the improvements in the treatment of hepatoma with enhanced results.

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Application of the Stochastic Finite Element Method to Structural System Reliability Analysis (확율유한요소법의 구조시스템신뢰성해석에의 적용)

  • 이주성
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 1992
  • This paper is an attempt to account for the uncertainty of the residual strength in the reliability analysis of structural systems. For this purpose the stochastic finite element method(SFEM) is linked to the system reliability analysis procedure. The stochastic finite element is known to be able to a more explicitly consider the effect of uncerainties of material and geometric variables on those of load effects in structural analysis procedure. The method has been applied to system as well as component reliability analysis of a plane structure. Comparison of the results by the present approach is made with the method in which the residual strength of failed component is treated as deterministic variable. Several case studies have been carried to show the effect of uncertainty in residual strength of a member after failure. Is has been conformed that reidual strength very much affect the system reliability level. It can be, hence, concluded that the uncertainties in the post-ultirnate behaviour may have to be taken into account in the system reliability analysis for a better a ssessment of the system reliability especially for a structure of which member behaviour is modelled as asemi-brittle model. And then the stochastic finite element method can efficiently evaluate the system reliability.

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A Study on Frequency-Hopped Code Division Multiple Access for Mobile Radio (이동무선통신을 위한 주파수 도약부호 분할 다중접근에 관한 연구)

  • 한영렬
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.227-234
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    • 1989
  • In this paper, a new receiver for a frequency-hopped multilevel FSK system for mobile Communications is presented. This new receiver provides an implementation advantage by eliminating unecessary energy detection of all the frequency channels. A performace analysis of the proposed system is carried out by using the union bound. We show that an optimim number of message bits that minimize the word error probability exists for a given number of simultaneous users. This scheme is a generalization of the MFSK system that allows the message bits to be uaried, making it possible for designers to increase the flexibility of implementation. Error probabilities are calculated in the case of fixed bandwidth and fixed tone repetition number. The effect of using error-correcting coding is considered.

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Structure of Premixed Turbulent Flames Stabilized by a Cylinderical Flame Holder (원주 보염기에 의해 안정화된 난류 예혼합 화염의 구조)

  • ;香月正司;水谷幸天
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.497-508
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    • 1985
  • 본 논문에서는 일양한 예혼합 기류중에 놓여진 원주 후류의 고온 순환류에 의 해 보지되는 난류 예혼합 화염을 대상으로 해서 유동의 가시화 및 온도와 이온전류의 변동의 측정에 의해서 화염의 구조를 조사한 결과, 원주 보염기 후류의 재순환 영역부 근에 형성된 전단층에 있어서는 코히렌트(Coherent)구조의 화염이 되고 하류부에서는 불규칙한 3차원 와(渦)에 지배되는 전파성 화염이 형성 되었다. 온도변동에 대한 쌍 봉성의 확율밀도분포와 이온전류변동에 대한 3개의 피이크의 확율밀도분포는 엷은 반 응면을 사이에 두고 미연혼합기괴와 기연가스괴가 서로 접하는 주름 상층류화염 또는 층류화염편의 구조에 대응하며, 코히렌트 와(渦)에 지배되는 화염에 있어서는 거시적 혼합은 코히렌트 와의 거동에 지배되나 그 구조는 주름상층류 화염과 일부 강한 전단 력을 받는 부분에는 분산 반응영역의 구조임이 밝혀졌다.

A Probability Method to Determine Rice Cropping Period Based on Temperature (온도출현 확률에 의한 수도안전재배 적기 설정방법에 관하여)

  • 이정택;정영상;류인수
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.285-290
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    • 1983
  • Two methods were tested to establish the cropping period for rice cultivation using the meteorological data. The Hanyu-Uchijima method was based on the normal average temperature to select the earliest possible transplanting date (ETD), the earliest heading date (EHD), the optimum heading date (OHD) and the latest maturing date (LMD). The probability method was based on the temperature occurrence probability. The cropping period based on the probability method gave higher stability than H-U method for year variability. The ETD by the probability of 75 to 90 percents was May 12 to 22 for northern part of Korea, May 15 to 25 for east coastal area and May 4 to 16 for southern part, respectively. In Chuncheon area, the rice varieties requiring more than 1700 degree-days from transplanting to heading might not be appropriate due to low temperature condition and those requiring 1900 degree days were not allowable in Kangreung area. The OHD was July 30 to August 8 in northern part of the country and August 11 to 16 in southern part for Tongil varieties which demand higher temperature than common Japonica varieties. The OHD for Japonica varieties were 5 to 7 days later than Tongil varieties. The LMD was September 30 to October 2 in northern part, October 13 to 14 in east costal area and October 7 to 14 in southern part, and was earlier than the first frost date.

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