• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률분포모델

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Research on an Engagement Level Underwater Weapon System Model with Neyman-Pearson Detector (Neyman-Pearson 표적 탐지기를 적용한 수중 무기체계 교전수준 모델 개발 연구)

  • Cho, Hyunjin;Kim, Wan-Jin;Kim, Sanghun;Yang, Hocheol;Lee, Hee Kwang
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2019
  • This paper introduces the simulation concepts and technical approach of underwater weapon system performance analysis simulator, especially focused on probabilistic target detection concepts. We calculated the signal excess (SE) value using SONAR equation, then derived the probability density function(PDF) for target presence($H_1$) or absence($H_0$) cases, respectively. With the Neyman-Pearson detector criterion, we got the probability of detection($P_D$) while satisfying the given probability of false alarm($P_{FA}$). At every instance of simulation, target detection is decided in the probabilistic perspective. With the proposed detection implementation, we improved the model fidelity so that it could support the tactical decision during the operation.

Quantification Model Development of Human Accidents on External Construction Site by Applying Probabilistic Method (확률론적 기법을 활용한 건설현장 외부 인명피해 정량화 모델 개발)

  • Ha, Sun-Geun;Kim, Tae-Hui;Son, Ki-Young;Kim, Ji-Myong;Son, Seung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.611-619
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    • 2018
  • The researches have only conducted regarding construction safety management and risk on interior construction site(workers) and is insufficient about the exterior construction site(third party). As a result, ordinary people who were near construction sites have injured and hold a negative view when they think about the construction industry because construction industry have been exposed to them having a high accidents rate through media. In addition, the importance of industrial disaster prevention is emphasized at this point in time, the overall safety management system should be constructed with considering construction site external(third human) for improving the negative image of the construction industry among ordinary people. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop the quantification model of human accident utilizing the insurance claim payout occurred construction site exterior(third party). In the future, it can be used as a reference for developing the safety management checklist in construction site interior exterior and development for forecasting control system of human accident.

Error Correction Methode Improve System using Out-of Vocabulary Rejection (미등록어 거절을 이용한 오류 보정 방법 개선 시스템)

  • Ahn, Chan-Shik;Oh, Sang-Yeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2012
  • In the generated model for the recognition vocabulary, tri-phones which is not make preparations are produced. Therefore this model does not generate an initial estimate of parameter words, and the system can not configure the model appear as disadvantages. As a result, the sophistication of the Gaussian model is fall will degrade recognition. In this system, we propose the error correction system using out-of vocabulary rejection algorithm. When the systems are creating a vocabulary recognition model, recognition rates are improved to refuse the vocabulary which is not registered. In addition, this system is seized the lexical analysis and meaning using probability distributions, and this system deactivates the string before phoneme change was applied. System analysis determine the rate of error correction using phoneme similarity rate and reliability, system performance comparison as a result of error correction rate improve represent 2.8% by method using error patterns, fault patterns, meaning patterns.

Analysis on the Survivor's Pension Payment with Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 유족연금 수급 분석)

  • Kim, Mi-Jung;Kim, Jin-Hyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.183-200
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    • 2008
  • Research for efficient management of the National Pension has been emphasized as the current society trends toward aging and low birth rate. In this article, we suggest a statistical model for effective classification and prediction of the reserve for the survivor's pension in Korea. Logistic regression model is incorporated; correct classification rate, and distribution of the posterior probability for the reserve of survivor's pension are investigated and compared with the results from the general logistic models. Assessment of predictive model is also done with lift graph, ROC curve and K-S statistic. We suggest strategies for reducing financial risks in managing and planning the pension as an application of the suggested model.

Analysis of the Diffuse Axonal Injury of the Human Brain using Finite Element Model (유한요소 모델을 이용한 인간 뇌의 미만성 부상에 대한 해석)

  • Kim, Yeong-Eun;Nam, Dae-Hun
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.603-609
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    • 1998
  • To anlyze the diffuse axonal injury of the human brain, 3-D finite element models of the adult, two and three years child were developed. Triangular type acceleration which had its maximum value 200g was applied to investigate the effects of acceleration direction and duration time. The pattern of high shear stress generated at the brain stem, pones and midbrain was similar to the pattern of DAI seen in the clinical observation, especially high maximum shear stress was detected in the brain stem of the six year old child model under flexional acceleration. As the duration of acceleration increased generated pressure and maximum shear stress also increased. For the children's model relatively small pressure was generated regardless of the acceleration direction and continued much longer compared with adult's model. From this analysis maximum shear stress was revealed more proper indicator to predict DAI compared to HIC in case of angular acceleration loading.

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A Quantitative Trust Model with consideration of Subjective Preference (주관적 선호도를 고려한 정량적 신뢰모델)

  • Kim, Hak-Joon;Lee, Sun-A;Lee, Kyung-Mi;Lee, Keon-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2006
  • This paper is concerned with a quantitative computational trust model which lakes into account multiple evaluation criteria and uses the recommendation from others in order to get the trust value for entities. In the proposed trust model, the trust for an entity is defined as the expectation for the entity to yield satisfactory outcomes in the given situation. Once an interaction has been made with an entity, it is assumed that outcomes are observed with respect to evaluation criteria. When the trust information is needed, the satisfaction degree, which is the probability to generate satisfactory outcomes for each evaluation criterion, is computed based on the outcome probability distributions and the entity's preference degrees on the outcomes. Then, the satisfaction degrees for evaluation criteria are aggregated into a trust value. At that time, the reputation information is also incorporated into the trust value. This paper presents in detail how the trust model works.

Performance Improvement of Base Station Controller using Separation Control Method of Input Messages for Mobile Communication Systems (이동통신 시스템에서 입력 메시지 분리제어 방식을 통한 제어국의 성능 개선)

  • Won, Jong-Gwon;Park, U-Gu;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.1058-1070
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose a control model which can control the burst input messages of the BSC(Base Station controller) in mobile communication systems more efficiently and reliably, by dividing the input messages characteristically and using multiprocessor system. Using M/M/c/K queueing model, we briefly analyze proposed model to get characteristic parameters which are required to performance improvement. On the base of the results, we compare our proposed model with the conventional one by using SLAM II with regard to the following factors : the call blocking rate of the input message, the distribution of average queue length, the utilization of process controller(server), and the distribution of average waiting time in queue. In addition, we modified our model which has overload control function for burst input messages, and analyzed its performance.

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Characteristics Analysis of the Time Selective Multipath Fading Channel Model for Mobile Communication (이동 통신을 위한 시간선택성 다중경로 페이딩 채널 모델의 특성 평가)

  • 박수진;고석준;이경하;최형진
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.26 no.5A
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    • pp.836-845
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문에서는 시간 선택성 다중경로 이동 무선 채널을 다양한 방법으로 모델링 하고 그에 따른 여러 가지 특성평가를 제시하였다. 모델링 방법에는 Jakes 방식과 시간 영역에서 독립적인 두 개의 가우시안 잡음 발생기와 정형필터(shaping filter)를 사용하는 방식 및 주파수 영역에서 필터링 하는 방식이 있다. 이 세 가지 모델링 방법의 성능을 진폭의 자기상관함수, 상호상관함수, 누적분포함수(Cumulative Distribution Function), 레벨 교차율(Level Crossing Rate), 평균 페이딩 지속 시간(Average Duration of Fades), 위상차의 확률 밀도, 위상차의 자기상관함수 등의 측면에서 시뮬레이션하고 그 결과치와 이론치 간의 특성 비교를 제시하였다. 특히, 확산 대역 시스템을 고려했을 때 이상적인 채널 추정을 가정한 레이크 수신기에서의 BER 성능을 다중경로 개수에 따라 보임으로써 여러 가지 채널 모델링 중에서 주파수 영역에서 필터링 하는 방식이 이동 무선 채널을 모델링 하는데 있어 가장 적합하다는 것을 보였다. 마지막으로 비대칭 도플러(Doppler) 스펙트럼을 모델링 하는 것도 주파수 영역에서 필터링 하는 방식이 편리하다.

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Implementation of the Voice Conversion in the Text-to-speech System (Text-to-speech 시스템에서의 화자 변환 기능 구현)

  • Hwang Cholgyu;Kim Hyung Soon
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • autumn
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 1999
  • 본 논문에서는 기존의 text-to-speech(TTS) 합성방식이 미리 정해진 화자에 의한 단조로운 합성음을 가지는 문제를 극복하기 위하여, 임의의 화자의 음색을 표현할 수 있는 화자 변환(Voice Conversion) 기능을 구현하였다. 구현된 방식은 화자의 음향공간을 Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM)로 모델링하여 연속 확률 분포에 따른 화자 변환을 가능케 했다. 원시화자(source)와 목적화자(target)간의 특징 벡터의 joint density function을 이용하여 목적화자의 음향공간 특징벡터와 변환된 벡터간의 제곱오류를 최소화하는 변환 함수를 구하였으며, 구해진 변환 함수로 벡터 mapping에 의한 스펙트럼 포락선을 변환했다. 운율 변환은 음성 신호를 정현파 모델에 의해서 모델링하고, 분석된 운율 정보(피치, 지속 시간)는 평균값을 고려해서 변환했다. 성능 평가를 위해서 VQ mapping 방법을 함께 구현하여 각각의 정규화된 켑스트럼 거리를 구해서 성능을 비교 평가하였다. 합성시에는 ABS-OLA 기반의 정현파 모델링 방식을 채택함으로써 자연스러운 합성음을 생성할 수 있었다.

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Image Colorization based on Optimization (최적화 기법에 기반한 정지 영상의 채색화 기법)

  • Heu, Jun-Hee;Hyun, Dye-Young;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.207-210
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    • 2008
  • 채색화는 흑백 영상에 색 정보를 추가하거나 영상의 색을 변환하는 영상 개선 기법이다. 본 연구는 최소한의 사용자 개입을 통해 흑백 영상을 자연스러운 칼라 (color) 영상으로 전환하는 채색화 기법을 제안한다. 우리는 우선 자연스러운 채색 결과를 위한 채색화 함수를 정의한다. 제안하는 채색화 함수는 유사한 밝기 정보를 가지는 이웃 픽셀들은 비슷한 색 정보를 가질 확률이 높다는 간단한 가정 하에 MRF (Markov Random Field)에 기반하여 모델링한다. 채색화 함수에 의해 색이 전체적으로 자연스럽게 분포될 수 있도록, 확산 신뢰도를 정의한 후 신뢰도에 따라 채색 순서를 결정한다. 이후, 채색 순서에 따라 각 픽셀에 채색화 함수를 적용하여 자연스러운 채색 결과를 도출한다. 실험 결과에서 보듯이, 제안 기법은 적은 색상 정보의 입력을 통해 효과적으로 채색화 하며, 기존 기법에 비해 자연스러운 결과를 제시한다.

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