• Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.68-78
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• 1990

This paper shows the fuzzy reasoning process that is specifically designed to deal wit the inexactness or fuzziness in the expert systems. The impact of overall fuzzy reasoning reviewed when knowledge with certainty is provided. Also, the example of fuzzy reazoning used at probabilistic inference is presented.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.263-268
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• 1994

Thomas Bayes assumed uniform prior for the location $\theta$ of a billiard ball W in his historic 1764 paper. In this study, following mathematical derivation of the uniform distribution from several assumptions that are plausible on te billiard table, it is argued that the probabilistic meaning of Bayes' uniform prior (especially in Billiard Problem) is not just sujective but logical.

• Radioisotope journal
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.78-92
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• 2000

낮은 선량의 방사선피폭으로 인한 건강 위해의 여부에 대하여 과학적 현황을 고찰하였다. 선량과 영향 사이에 문턱 없는 선형비례 모델(LN-T모델)에 대해 역학적, 수학적, 방사선생물학적 측면의 긍정적 논리와 호메시스, 적응반응, 통계적 관점의 비판적 논거를 대비하여 평가하였다. 방사선 피폭이력자에게 발현한 확률적 영향 특히 백혈병을 포함한 암에 대해 그 질환의 방사선 인과성 판단에 대한 애로와 접근 방향을 논의하였다. 객관적인 평가 지표의 하나로 기인확률(PC)을 적용하되 근로자에 대한 제도적 배려 등 고려할 사항을 논의하였다.

• Journal for History of Mathematics
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.43-56
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• 2006

This paper aims to introduce a construction method for the 'Wooden Die for Drinking Game' and to find some geometrical structures and mathematics educational viewpoints. As the results, we get two methods which are eventually same with Figure 5 and Figure 6-3. We proved the ground that classical probability of this Die's each side showing up is one out of fourteen and introduced few other empirical probabilities with Table 1 to Table 3. Also, some Chinese characters were corrected and re-interpreted. In fact, 象人打鼻 changed to 衆人打鼻, and 醜物 is interpreted as 'ugly animal' such as frog, toad, earthworm or pine caterpillar.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.445-452
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• 2005

We considered the frequency and classical probabilities under cuboctahedral die with 8 hexagons and 6 regular squares and compared with the frequency and logical probabilities under cuboctahedral die with 8 triangles and 6 regular squares.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2005.11b
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• pp.658-660
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• 2005

실세계의 시각정보로부터 식별된 물체정보를 이용하여 장면에 대해 설명하는 컨텍스트를 추론하는 시각 기반 장면 이해 문제에서는 변화가 많고 불확실한 환경을 극복해야 할 뿐만 아니라, 사용자의 요구 사항을 잘 반영해야 하고 궁극적으로는 지도(teaching)가 가능해야 한다. 본 논문에서는 불확실성 극복을 위해 확률적 접근 방법을 사용하고, 사용자의 요구를 실시간으로 반영하기 위해 논리 네트워크를 이용한 상호 작용 학습 방법을 제안한다. 몇 가지 테스트 환경에서 사용자에 의해 제공되는 논리적, 부분적, 실시간 정보를 이용하여 제안하는 상호작용 학습을 수행한 결과, 장면인식 에이전트의 기능 장 및 적응이 가능하고 새로운 기능의 지도가 가능함을 알 수 있었다.

• Nuclear industry
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• v.7 no.8 s.54
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• pp.13-14
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• 1987

원자력플랜트에 대한 신중한 PSA분석은 많은 이득을 가져왔다. 이러한 것으로는 예기치 못했던 고장모드의 확인, 특히 비정상적인 상황하에서의 플랜트 운전상태의 충분한 파악, 플랜트설비나 운전절차의 변경이 가져오는 영향의 분석 등을 들 수 있다. 이 외에 PSA분석은 특정한 플랜트 문제를 논의하는데 있어 논리적인 기틀을 마련하는 것이다.

• Korean Journal of Logic
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.47-67
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• 2005

Bayesian networks have been used in studying and simulating causal inferences by using the probability function distributed over the variables consisting of inquiry space. The focus of the debates concerning Bayesian networks is the causal Markov condition that constrains the probabilistic independence between all the variables which are not in the causal relations. Cartwright, a strong critic about the Bayesian network theory, argues that the causal Markov condition cannot hold in indeterministic systems, so it cannot be a valid principle for causal inferences. The purpose of the paper is to explore whether her argument on the causal Markov condition is valid. Mainly, I shall argue that it is possible for upholders of the causal Markov condition to respond properly the criticism of Cartwright through the continuous causal model that permits the infinite sequence of causal events.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.61-69
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• 2001

We present a probabilistic reasoning method for inferring knowledge about mathematical truth before an automated theorem prover completes a proof. We use a Bayesian analysis to update beleif in truth, given theorem-proving progress, and show how decision-theoretic methods can be used to determine the value of continuing to deliberate versus taking immediate action in time-critical situations.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.52-61
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• 2016

The purpose of the study was to create a probabilistic seismic hazard map using the input data that reflected the seismo-tectonic characteristics of the Korean Peninsula by applying USGS program (Harmsen (2008). The program was partly modified for the purpose of this study. The uncertainty of input parameters given by specialists was reflected in calculating the seismic hazard values by logic tree method. The general pattern of PGA was quite sensitive and similar to the shape of areal source. The probabilistic seismic hazard map showed the contour distribution of peak acceleration (%g) with 10% probability of exceedance in 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 250, and 500 years. The result showed that the peak ground acceleration (PGA) values of the northern peninsula were almost half values of the southern peninsula except Hwanghae province. The general trend of the hazard map extended in the direction of NW-SE from Whanghae province to south-eastern regions of the peninsula. The values in northern part of Kangwon province were relatively lower than other areas in the southern peninsula. The maps produced through this study are considered valuable in regulating the seismic safety of the major facilities in the Korean Peninsula.