• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.19 no.3 s.59
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• pp.64-69
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• 2005

In order to decrease the area damaged by forest fires and to prevent the occurrence of forest fires, we are making an effort to improve prevention measures for forest fires. The objective of this study is developing the forest fire occurrence probability model by means of forest site characteristics such as soil type, topography, soil texture, slope, and drainage and forest fire sites. Conditional probability analysis and GIS were used in developing the forest fire occurrence probability model that was used in the classification of forest fire occurrence risk regions.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.116-123
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• 2016

The quantitative risk assessment methods for thermal failure in targets were studied using fire modeling. To this end, Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), as a representative fire model, was used and the probabilities related to thermal damage to an electrical cable were evaluated according to the change in fire area inside a specific compartment. 'The maximum probability of exceeding the damage thresholds' adopted in a conservative point of view and 'the probability of failure' including the time to damage were compared. The probability of failure suggested in the present study could evaluate the quantitative fire risk more realistically, compared to the maximum probability of exceeding the damage thresholds with the assumption that thermal damage occurred the instant the target reached its minimum failure criteria in terms of the surface temperature and heat flux.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.1012-1013
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• 2023

본 논문의 사회적 취약지구를 위한 전용 화재감지 AI'sTory 플랫폼은 달동네와 판자촌과 같이 소외계층이 집약된 곳이라면 노후된 기기와 전선들이 많을 것이고 그렇다면 전기적 요인으로 인한 화재가 발생할 것이라는 가설에서부터 시작한다. 피해의 최소화를 위해 고안한 사회적 취약지구를 위한 전용 화재감지 AI'sTory 는 스파크를 감지하고, 전선 주위의 발열량을 모니터링하며, 화재를 감지한 즉시 소방서로 연락을 취하는 인공지능 시스템이다. 더 나아가 센서로부터 데이터를 받아 매일 온·습도, 전력 접촉부의 온도, 계절 등 여러 환경을 고려해 화재가 발생할 확률을 계산한다. 또한 화재가 발생하지 않아도 매일 화재 발생 위험률을 제공한다. 이 정보를 제공하기 위해 사회적 취약지구를 위한 전용 화재감지 AI'sTory 는 하드웨어와 소프트웨어, 인공지능으로 구성하였다.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.67-73
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• 2017

An aircraft maintenance hangar is a building that stores, maintains, and inspects expensive aircraft. The frequency of fire occurrence is low, but the resulting human and material damage can be very serious. Therefore, in this study, we conducted a qualitative analysis of the fire safety of the currently operating fire suppression systems for aircraft maintenance hangars using the Fault Tree method, and then performed a quantitative analysis using the failure rate data for the derived basic events and analyzed the importance of the minimal cut sets. As a result of the qualitative analysis by the minimal cut set, it was found that there were 14 accident paths that could be expanded to a large fire, due to the fire control failure of the aircraft hangar fire suppression system. The quantitative analysis revealed that, the probability of the fire expanding into a large one is $2.08{\times}E-05/day$. The analysis of the importance of the minimal cut set shows that four minimal cut sets, namely the fire detector and foam head action according to the zone and blocking of the foam by the aircraft wing and the fire plume, had the same likelihood of causing the fire to develop into a large one, viz. 24.95% each, which together forms the majority of the likelihood. It was confirmed for the first time by fault tree method that the fire suppression system of aircraft maintenance hangars is not suitable for fires under the aircraft wings and needs to be improved.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.73-74
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• 2023

본 논문에서는 음향센서를 기반으로 한 지하시설물 화재 위험감지 방법을 제안하였다. 음향센서는 진동이나 광센서처럼 접촉식이 아니기 때문에 결로가 발생하고 있는 취약구간에 설치하여 보다 효율적으로 활용이 가능하고 지하시설물 내부에 설치된 기기나 장비들과 상호작용하거나 간섭하지 않기 때문에 안전하게 관리가 가능하다. 이러한 특징으로 지하 시설물에서 내 통행이 불편하여 관리하기 힘든 구간이나 결로가 많아 화재안전에 주의가 필요한 곳에 설치하여 전기스파크 발생 감지를통해 재난이 발생하기 이전 화재위험을 감지하는 방법론 중 하나가 될 수 있다. 제안하는 방법은 음향 센서를 통해 지하공동구 안에서 발생하는 소리들을 수집하고 일정한 길이의 시간 단위 프레임들로 분할한 후 분석하여 전기스파크의 특징 벡터를 도출한다. 전기스파크 감지 모델로는 전기스파크 신호의 지역적 특성을 포착할 수 있도록 2D-CNN 구조를 사용하며 모델에서 출력된 전기 스파크 발생 예측확률을 분할된 단위 프레임 따라 계산하여 융합한다. 이로 인해 높은 정확도의 전기스파크 감지 정밀도를 얻을 수 있으며, 이는 전기 스파크에 의한 화재 이벤트 감지 있어서 효과적인 센싱 기술임을 알 수 있다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2009.04a
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• pp.318-321
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• 2009

누전차단기 설치 상태에서도 전기화재가 지속적으로 발생함에 따라 전기화재의 원인이 되는 전기 아크에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있는 실정으로 본 논문에서는 UL1699의 아크 저해시험(inhibition tests)에서 제시하고 있는 직렬 아크코장시험(Arc generator test)을 실시하고, 아크고장전류 분석방법으로 최근에 많이 사용되고 있는 이산 웨이블렛 변환을 이용한 3가지 분석방법에 대하여 아크고장전류 검출 확률을 분석하였다. 분석결과, (1) 근사계수 분석에 의한 최대치 변화율 실효치 변화율 분석방법은 46%의 검출 확률을 얻을 수 있었고, (2) 상세계수 분석에 의한 최대치 변화율 실효치 변화율 분석방법은 62%, (3) 근사계수 분석에 의한 잡음량 변화율 shoulder 변화율 분석방법은 100% 검출 확률을 얻을 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2019.11a
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• pp.266-266
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• 2019

Marine accidents are increasing year by year, and various accidents occur such as engine failure, collision, stranding, and fire. These marine accidents present a risk of large casualties. It is important to prevent accidents beforehand. In this study, we propose a modeling to predict the occurrence of marine accidents by applying the Markov Chain Process that can predict the future based on past data. Applying the proposed modeling, the probability of future marine accidents was calculated and compared with the actual frequency. Through this, a probabilistic model was proposed to prepare a prediction system for marine accidents, and it is expected to contribute to predicting various marine accidents.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.205-216
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• 2024

Recently, seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) methods have been developed for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants. The framework originated from the PSA of nuclear power plants, which aims to assess the risk of reactor core damage. The original PSA method was modified to adopt the characteristics of a process plant whose purpose is continuous operation without shutdown. Therefore, a fault tree, whose top event is shut down, was constructed and transformed into a Bayesian Network (BN), a probabilistic graph model, for efficient risk-informed decision-making. In this research, the fault tree-based BN from the previous research is further developed to consider the multi-hazard of earthquake-induced fire and explosion (EQ-induced F&E). For this purpose, an event tree describing the occurrence of fire and explosion from a release is first constructed and transformed into a BN. And then, this BN is connected to the previous BN model developed for seismic PSA. A virtual plot plan of a gas plant is introduced as a basis for the construction of the specific EQ-induced F&E BN to test the proposed BN framework. The paper demonstrates the method through two examples of risk-informed decision-making. In particular, the second example verifies how the proposed method can establish a repair and retrofit strategy when a shutdown occurs in a process plant.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2013.04a
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• pp.9-10
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• 2013

최근 산업의 고도화에 따른 건물의 고층화로 하나 또는 그 이상의 승강기를 보유한 건물들이 증가하고 있다. 이러한 건물에서 화재와 같은 긴급한 재난 발생 시 피난계단을 이용하여 탈출해야 한다는 상식에도 불구하고 본능적으로 승강기를 이용하여 대피하려는 경향이 뚜렷하다. 화재상황에서 승강기 이용 시 독성의 연기 유입으로 피난 활동이 어려우며, 전원 차단으로 정지 시 연기에 질식사할 확률이 급증한다. 따라서 승강기 내부로의 고립이나 승강기를 이용한 피난활동 시 연기로부터 안전한 호흡장치의 개발을 위한 연구를 진행하고자 한다.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.22 no.5
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• pp.38-45
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• 2018

Jet fire, pool fire, and vapor cloud explosion are major accident scenarios in LPG filling station. The protection wall would mitigate radiation effect in a jet fire. In case of a pool fire, the protection wall would restrict expanding the pool area. The protection wall might both obstruct the dispersion of released vapor and protect blast overpressure in a vapor cloud explosion scenario. In this paper, An availability assessment method of the protection wall how much reduce damage to receptors is proposed. Additionally application cases are presented for the effectiveness of protection wall in the LPG filling station. The study shows that the protection wall can effectively reduce the death probabilities of receptors located behind the wall in cases of the jet fires and the vapor cloud explosions.