• Title/Summary/Keyword: 혼잡예측

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Implementing Special Transportation Management Zone System for Dongdaemoon Garment District (동대문 의류밀집상가 교통혼잡특별관리구역 사례연구)

  • 황기연;엄진기;이종운;조용학
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2000
  • The Purpose of this study is to test the effectiveness of Special Transportation Management Zone system (TZ) when it is applied to Dongdaemoon commercial zone located in downtown Seoul. The study consists of two Parts ; the legal components of TZ and the case study on Dongdaemoon district. The case study includes the analysis of current traffic situation on the study zone, the design of implemention alternative for each component of TZ, the framework of impact analysis system, and the analysis results. The study finds, if 2,000 won mandatory parking fee on drivers parking in the buildings only with over 10 parking spaces and over 3.000$m^2$ in floor area, strong illegal parking enforcement, and Pro-hibition of parking passenger cars whose last digit plate number matches with the last digit of date, are implemented in the zone simultaneously, the traffic speed increases to 20.56km/h which is above the target set in the zone. In conclusion, we find that TZ2 can be an effective tool relieving traffic congestion in Seoul, and that it is necessary for introducing TZ in Seoul that relevant laws should be revised and expecting problems should be overcome.

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Demand Forecasting Method for Truck Rest Areas Beside National Highways (국도변 화물차휴게소 수요예측기법 연구)

  • Choi, Chang-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2017
  • The present study proposes a new methodology for predicting the demand for truck rest areas beside national highways. Previous demand forecasting methods were reviewed first in order to complement them with additional items. The results of the study are as follows. In the demand forecasting process, the primary task is to divide parking demands of trucks into short-term parking and long-term parking. Since short-term and long-term parking vary in utilization, congestion, and turnover rate, different influence factors should be considered according to parking time. Furthermore, the demand characteristics of rest and convenience facilities need to be reflected as well, because they in turn affect the demand for truck rest areas. In sum, the demand forecasting process for destination-type truck rest areas on national highways requires more attention than that for truck rest areas on expressways, and possible influences of various factors should be examined in this process.

Development of a Speed Prediction Model for Urban Network Based on Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU 기반의 도시부 도로 통행속도 예측 모형 개발)

  • Hoyeon Kim;Sangsoo Lee;Jaeseong Hwang
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2023
  • This study collected various data of urban roadways to analyze the effect of travel speed change, and a GRU-based short-term travel speed prediction model was developed using such big data. The baseline model and the double exponential smoothing model were selected as comparison models, and prediction errors were evaluated using the RMSE index. The model evaluation results revealed that the average RMSE of the baseline model and the double exponential smoothing model were 7.46 and 5.94, respectively. The average RMSE predicted by the GRU model was 5.08. Although there are deviations for each of the 15 links, most cases showed minimal errors in the GRU model, and the additional scatter plot analysis presented the same result. These results indicate that the prediction error can be reduced, and the model application speed can be improved when applying the GRU-based model in the process of generating travel speed information on urban roadways.

Traffic Flow Control Channels Analysis Using Symmetry Link Network in Wireless Communication (무선통신에서 대칭링크 네트워크를 이용한 트래픽 흐름제어 채널분석)

  • Park, Kwang-Chae
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.1811-1818
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    • 2009
  • This paper is about the research to maintain and enhance the flow of data of the wireless traffic control. Various types of burst traffic that were found at TCP window flow control have been removed or mitigated using the two-way traffic control. Currently, TCP ACK Compression problem appears during the transmission of the wireless communication control channel because the queues are mostly located at the end system. Therefore, in this paper, the periodic bursty characterist of the source IP queue wilt be analyzed to predict the maximum value of queues. And then the prediction tool will be applied to wireless communication traffic control to handle symmetric traffic as to increase the throughput and improve the performance.

A Study on the presumption of travel time based on the cumulative curve method (누적곡선을 이용한 통행시간 추정방안에 관한 연구)

  • 김승일
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 1998
  • 정적 통행배분모형은 도로 건설 등 공급부문에의 적용은 가능하나 통행량 및 혼잡의 시간적 공간적 변화를 고려하지 못하여 수요관리에서는 교통량 및 비용에 대한 관측치와 모형의 결과치가 상이한 문제가 있다. 이에 동적배분모형의 다양한 접근방법이 시도되고 있는데 그 중 Simulation기법을 개발하고자 하였다. 모형은 개별차량의 시공간상 움직임을 포현하고자 절대시간이 가장 이른 차량순으로 시뮬레이션을 함으로써 선입선출(FIFO)을 가능하게 하였다. 각 차량별 지체시간의 계산은 대기행렬 이론을 기초로 한 누적곡선법을 적용하여 도출하였다. 개별차량 Simulation은 시간축으로 확장된 연속류 Network상에서 각 차량의 도착 및 출발할 노드와 시간대를 결정하면 모든 지점에서 누적도착, 출발곡선을 그릴 수 있으며 이를 통해 도로구간에 있어 시간대별 통행시간, 밀도, 속도 등을 파악할 수 있다. 또한 합류부의 용량와 와해현상과 분류부의 용량변화현상 제약 및 Queue길이 제약이 이루어지도록 하였다. 개발된 모형의 검증은 영동대교 북단 강변도로 진출입부 자료를 실측하여 사용하였다. 모형은 합류부 용량와해의 적용 전과 후의 결과를 각각 실측치와 비교하였다. 용량와해현상을 적용한 모형에서 MAPE 10%미만의 우수한 예측력을 보였다. 이는 누적곡선을 이용한 Simulation모형이 현실에 가까움을 의미하는 것이며, 합류부 용량와해현상의 관계식을 보다 정교하게 도출하고 분류부에도 이를 적용한다면 모형의 예측력은 더욱 향상될 것으로 보인다.

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Development of BPR Functions with Truck Traffic Impacts for Network Assignment (노선배정시 트럭 교통량을 고려한 BPR 함수 개발)

  • Yun, Seong-Soon;Yun, Dae-Sic
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.4 s.75
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    • pp.117-134
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    • 2004
  • Truck traffic accounts for a substantial fraction of the traffic stream in many regions and is often the source of localized traffic congestion, potential parking and safety problems. Truck trips tend to be ignored or treated superficially in travel demand models. It reduces the effectiveness and accuracy of travel demand forecasting and may result in misguided transportation policy and project decisions. This paper presents the development of speed-flow relationships with truck impacts based on CORSIM simulation results in order to enhance travel demand model by incorporating truck trips. The traditional BPR(Bureau of Public Road) function representing the speed-flow relationships for roadway facilities is modified to specifically include the impacts of truck traffics. A number of new speed-flow functions have been developed based on CORSIM simulation results for freeways and urban arterials.

Predictive Traffic Control Scheme of ABR Service (ABR 서비스를 위한 예측 트래픽 제어모델)

  • 오창윤;임동주;배상현
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.307-312
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    • 2000
  • Asynchronous transfer mode(ATM) is flexible to support the various multimedia communication services such as data, voice, and image by applying asynchronous time-sharing and statistical multiplexing techniques to the existing data communication. ATM service is categorized to CBR, VBR, UBR, and ABR according to characteristics of the traffic and a required service qualities. Among them, ABR service guarantees a minimal bandwidth and can transmit cells at a maximum transmission rate within the available bandwidth. To minimize the cell losses in transmission and switching, a feedback information in ATM network is used to control the traffic. In this paper, predictive control algorithms are proposed for the feedback information. When the feedback information takes a long propagation delay to the backward nodes, ATM switch can experience a congestion situation from the queue length increases, and a high queue length fluctuations in time. The control algorithms proposed in this paper provides predictive control model using slop changes of the queue length function and previous data of the queue lengths. Simulation shows the effectiveness result of the proposed control algorithms.

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A Prediction of $CO_2$ Concentration and Measurement of Indoor Air Quality in the EMU (전동차 실내공기질 측정 및 $CO_2$ 농도 예측)

  • So, Jin-Sub;Yoo, Seong-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.378-383
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    • 2008
  • In December 2006, the Ministry of Environment Republic of Korea established the guideline which is "Indoor Air Quality Management Guidelines in Public Transportation." as control items, $CO_2$ (carbon dioxide) and PM10 (particle matter) are classified two categories, that is, Level 1 (non-rush hour), Level 2 (rush hour). Therefore, the quality of air in train and subway should be controlled in accordance with the guideline. We took a measure the air freshness inside train twice at Line 4 (Tangogae-Oido), in Sep. 2007 and at Line 1 (Dongincheon-Yongsan) in Nov. 2007, respectively and, also expected the emitted $CO_2$ concentration by using a property of matter such as EMU (Electric Multiple Unit) design reviewing specification and air. According to the measured values, the concentration of PM10 was 44, 57, 45% and the concentration of $CO_2$ was 39, 36, 44% respectively, all measured values are within the guideline and also, as a result we found the expected value and measured value are similar.

A Real-Time Multimedia Data Transmission Rate Control Using Neural Network Prediction Model (신경 회로망 예측 모델을 이용한 실시간 멀티미디어 데이터 전송률 제어)

  • Kim, Yong-Seok;Kwon, Bang-Hyun;Chong, Kil-To
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.2B
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    • pp.44-52
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a neural network prediction model to improve the valid packet transmission rate for the QoS(Quality of Service) of multimedia transmission. The Round Trip Time(RTT) and Packet Loss Rate(PLR) are predicted using a neural network and then the transmission rate is decided based on the predicted RTT and the PLR. The suggested method will improve the transmission rate since it uses the rate control factors corresponding to time of data is being transmitted, while the conventional one uses the transmission rate determined based on the past informations. An experimental set-up has been established using a Linux PC system, and the multimedia data are transmitted using UDP protocol in real time. The valid transmitted packets are about 5% higher than the one in the conventional TCP-Friendly congestion control method when the suggested algorithm was applied.

A Theoretical Analysis of Probabilistic DDHV Estimation Models (확률적인 중방향 설계시간 교통량 산정 모형에 관한 이론적 해석)

  • Cho, Jun-Han;Kim, Seong-Ho;Rho, Jeong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.199-209
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    • 2008
  • This paper is described the concepts and limitations for the traditional directional design hour volume estimation. The main objective of this paper is to establish an estimation method of probabilistic directional design hour volume in order to improve the limitation for the traditional approach method. To express the traffic congestion of specific road segment, this paper proposed the link travel time as the probability that the road capacity can accommodate a certain traffic demand at desired service level. Also, the link travel time threshold was derived from chance-constrained stochastic model. Such successive probabilistic process could determine optimal ranked design hour volume and directional design hour volume. Therefore, the probabilistic directional design hour volume can consider the traffic congestion and economic aspect in road planning and design stage. It is hoped that this study will provide a better understanding of various issues involved in the short term prediction of directional design hourly volume on different types of roads.