• Title/Summary/Keyword: 한중일 자유무역지대

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The Economic Impact of the Establishment of the China-Japan-South Korea Free Trade Area and Impact on the Communication Industry -Base on GTAP Model Analysis- (한중일 자유무역지대 설립의 경제적 영향과 통신 산업에 대한 영향 -GTAP 모형 분석을 바탕으로-)

  • Zang, Zhen
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, the world's free trade system has been severely damaged by a series of protectionist measures in the United States and anti-globalization practices such as Brexit. Against this background, RCEP, the world's largest trade agreement, was officially signed on November 15, 2021. The RCEP provided a good working basis for the establishment of a Korea, China, and Japan free trade zone. First, this paper describes the current status of Korea-China-Japan trade cooperation and the current status of the trilateral telecommunication industry. Second, this paper simulates the changes in the overall economy of China, Japan, and Korea when tariffs are reduced to 0%, 5%, and 10%, respectively, after the establishment of a free trade zone using the 8th edition GTAP database. Then, using the simulated data changes and using the 2019 data as a benchmark, we calculated the changes in the RCA index for the three countries' telecommunications industries for the three tax rates. In the end, it is concluded that the economies of the three countries will grow to different levels in many ways when the Korea, China, and Japan free trade zone is established. Japan's telecommunications industry will not be significantly affected, Korea will grow significantly with higher tax rates and China will grow significantly with lower tax rates.