• Title/Summary/Keyword: 하천 모형

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Urban Flood Risk Assessment Considering Climate Change Using Bayesian Probability Statistics and GIS: A Case Study from Seocho-Gu, Seoul (베이지안 확률통계와 GIS를 연계한 기후변화 도시홍수 리스크 평가: 서울시 서초구를 대상으로)

  • LEE, Sang-Hyeok;KANG, Jung-Eun;PARK, Chang-Sug
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

The Comparison of Size and Morphology of Scales in Nine Korean Snake Species (6 in Colubridae, 3 in Viperidae) (국내 뱀류 9종의 비늘 크기와 형태 비교)

  • Koo, Kyo Soung;Park, So Hyun;Kim, Jong Sun;Kwon, Sera;Choi, Woo Jin;Park, Il Kook;Cho, Han Na;Park, Jae Jin;Oh, Hong Shik;Park, Daesik
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2017
  • Body scales directly exposed to external environments can be an important factor to understand various characteristics of a species such as habitat features, life history and basic ecology. In this study, we compared size and morphology of dorsal, outermost dorsal, keeled dorsal and ventral scales of total nine snake species in Korea; Oocatochus rufodorsatus, Elaphe dione, Rhabdophis tigrinus, Amphiesma vibakari, Dinodon rufozonatum, Hierophis spinalis in the Colubridae and Gloydius ussuriensis, G. brevicaudus, G. saxatilis in the Viperidae. The morphological characteristics of the scales seem to well reflect foraging modes and moving activity of both families. Uniquely D. rufozonatum had a diamond shape dorsal scale and had the greatest and smallest value of the ratio of width/length of dorsal and ventral scales, respectively. O. rufodorsatus, D. rufozonatum and H. spinalis did not have keeled dorsal scales and E. dione had keel on the few of dorsal scales. In addition, morphological characteristics of scales of three viper species were closely consistent with previously known phylogenetic relationships.

An Experimental Study on Scour at V-shaped Riffle (V형 여울에서 발생하는 세굴에 관한 실험 연구)

  • Yu, Dae-Young;Park, Jung-Hwan;Woo, Hyo-Seop
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.507-520
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    • 2003
  • A V-shaped riffle is an artificial hydraulic structure haying two wings from the streamside with a narrow opening in between. It is usually made of crushed stones or large boulders. It limits channel width and accelerates the flow through the constricted section causing a local scour just downstream. The V-shaped riffle provides with a unique aquatic habitat by forming a pool and sandbars around the pool edge, increasing local morphologic, hydraulic and sedimentological diversity. This study investigates experimentally the scour characteristics of the V-shaped riffle in the sandbed stream and proposes a predictive equation for the scour. Total 45 cases of experiments were conducted to examine the effect of hydraulic factors and configuration of V-shaped riffle on the geometry of scour holes. From the comparison of the experimental results of this study with the predictive equation of spur dike by Breusers and Raudkivi(1991), it is found that their predictive equation of spur dike underestimates the maximum scour depth downstream of the V-shaped riffle. h new predictive equation for the maximum scour depth was developed using the non-dimensional hydraulic and geometrical variables. The parameters used in the proposed equations were determined using the experimental data. The analysis reveals that the scour depth is dependent dominantly on the Froude number at the opening of the V-shaped riffle, while the angle of riffle and the opening width also affect the scour depth. The proposed equation for the scour of V-shaped riffle well agrees with the experimental data. It can be used for estimating the scour of the V-shaped riffle in sandbed streams.

Computational Method for Rate of Overtopping Using Time Dependent Mild-Slope Equation (시간의존 완경사방정식을 이용한 월파량 산정 방법)

  • Kwak, Moon-Su;Lee, Hong-Gyu;Park, Sung-Yoon;Pyun, Chong-Kun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.372-382
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    • 2006
  • Most of the conventional breakwaters impermeable breakwaters which block seawater exchange between the outside and inside of the harbors. The blocking of seawater exchange may cause pollution of water in harbors. To solve the water pollution problem, various kinds of seawater exchange breakwaters have been proposed. Their types can be classified into the current type which uses tidal current, and the overtopping type which uses the wave energy. The overtopping type breakwaters require a discharge coefficient to calculate the rate of overtopping into the harbor. The present study is to compute the rate of overtopping with introduction of a correct discharge coefficient and to evaluate the effect of the overtopping type breakwater on the water qualify inside a harbor. The rate of overtopping was computed by using Forchheimer formula with time dependent mild-slope equation for various wave conditions. The formula has been generally used to calculate the overflow discharge in steady state river flows. The discharge coefficient, which is the key parameter of the calculation, was determined by a series of hydraulic model tests. The present scheme was applied to the seawater exchange section of the western breakwater of Jeju New Harbor's and the efficiency of that section was examined. The calculated results showed that the rate of overtopping into the harbor reached about $27.5m^3/s$ in the wave condition (wave height 3.7 m, wave period 8.5s, and wave direction NNW).

An Estimation of NPS Pollutant Loads using the Correlation between Storm Water Runoff and Pollutant Discharge in a Small Urban Drainage Basin (도시소유역에서의 유출과 비점원오염물 배출 간의 상관관계 수립에 의한 NPS 오염물 배출량의 산정)

  • 신현석;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 1993
  • Three purposes of this study are as follows: The first was the development of the extention method for the limited data observed in an urban drainage basin. The second was the analysis of the correlation between storm water runoff and NPS(non-point source) pollutant discharge, The last was the calculation of the monthly and annual specific NPS loads using the established correlation. the selected model was the SWMM monthly and annual specific NPs loads using the established correlation. The selected model was the SWMM (Storm Water Management model) developed by the US EPA(environmental Protection Agency). As a result of this study, the best correlation between storm wate runoff and NPS pollutants discharge was produced by the non-linear correlation between runoff rate(mm/hr)and specific loads rate(g/ha/sec)for all pollutants studied ; SS, COD, BOD, and TN. The best correlation through the analysis based on evently total mass was made by the linear correlation between the specific accumulated runoff(mm) and the specific accumulated loads(kg/ha) for CASE 1., and by the non-linear correlation for CASE 2. The NPS annual specific loads for the urban basin studied were 4933 kg/ha/year for SS, 775kg/ha/year for BOD, 3094kg/ha /year for COD,257kg/ha/year for TN, respectively. And the proportion of the NPS annual specific loads to the total annual specific loads were 42 % for SS, 13 % for BOD, 29% for COD, and 21 % for TN.

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Variations of Runoff Quantity and Quality to Landuse Changes in the Hakuicheon Watershed (학의천 유역의 토지이용변화에 대한 유출량 및 수질의 변화)

  • Lee Kil Seong;Chung Eun-Sung;Park Sun-Bae;Jin Lak-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.664-668
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    • 2005
  • 근래 지속적으로 진행된 도시화 및 산업화로 인하여 이전보다 불투수 지역이 많이 증가하였고 도심지역에는 대부분 하수관거가 매설되어 있는 등 물순환이 과거에 비해 현저하게 왜곡되어 있다. 이를 올바르게 바로잡기 위해서는 과거와 현재의 수문학적 상태에 대한 정확한 이해가 우선적으로 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 안양천 유역의 지류인 학의천을 대상유역으로 선정하고 유출 수량 및 오염물질 발생량을 PCSWMM(Storm Water Management Model)과 PLOAD(Pollutant Loading)를 이용하여 모의하였다. PCSWMM은 하수관거를 포함하여 연속유출모의를 수행할 수 있으며 PLOAD는 GIS를 기반으로 하는 Screening 모형으로 토지이용별 원단위를 이용하여 소유역에서 발생하는 오염량을 추정할 수 있다. 기준년도 2002년에 대해 모든 조건은 동일한 상태에서 토지이용만 1975년, 2000년, 2016년으로 변화시켜 모의를 수행하였다. 1975년, 2000년, 2016년의 불투수 면적비는 각각 $2.6\%,\;22.8\%,\;24.1\%$이며 침투량은 1975년의 $23\%$에서 2000년과 2016년에 각각 $17.9\%와\;17.6\%$로 감소하였고, 이로 인해 지표유출량은 1975년의 $48.1\%$보다 2000년과 2016년에 각각 $55.0\%,\;55.4\%$로 증가하였다. 또한 오염물질이 유역에서 발생하여 하천으로 전달되는 유달량은 유역전체로 보면 1975년 보다 2000년에 BOD는 4.0배, COD는 3.3배, SS는 2.7배, TN은 1.3배, TP는 1.6배 증가하였다. 이러한 모의 결과는 학의천 유역에 대해 소유역별로 발생하는 연도별 유출량 및 오염물질 유달량을 정량적으로 제시하므로 유역관리방안을 도출하는데 효과적으로 활용될 수 있다.최대화하기 위한 환경관리 방안 제시에 중점을 두어 수행하였다.ncy), 환경성(environmental feasibility) 등을 정성적으로(qualitatively) 파악하여 실현가능한 대안을 선정하였다. 이렇게 선정된 대안들은 중유역별로 검토하여 효과가 있을 것으로 판단되는 대안들을 제시하는 예비타당성(Prefeasibility) 계획을 수립하였다. 이렇게 제시된 계획은 향후 과학적인 분석(세부평가방법)을 통해 대안을 평가하고 구체적인 타당성(feasibility) 계획을 수립하는데 토대가 될 것이다.{0.11R(mm)}(r^2=0.69)$로 나타났다. 이는 토양의 투수특성에 따라 강우량 증가에 비례하여 점증하는 침투수와 구분되는 현상이었다. 경사와 토양이 같은 조건에서 나지의 경우 역시 $Ro_{B10}(mm)=20.3e^{0.08R(mm)(r^2=0.84)$로 지수적으로 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 유거수량은 토성별로 양토를 1.0으로 기준할 때 사양토가 0.86으로 가장 작았고, 식양토 1.09, 식토 1.15로 평가되어 침투수에 비해 토성별 차이가 크게 나타났다. 이는 토성이 세립질일 수록 유거수의 저항이 작기 때문으로 생각된다. 경사에 따라서는 경사도가 증가할수록 증가하였으며 $10\% 경사일 때를 기준으로 $Ro(mm)=Ro_{10}{\times}0.797{\times}e^{-0.021s(\%)}$로 나타났다.천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선천성 심질환이다. 그러나 진단 즉시 직접 좌관상동맥-대동맥 이식술로 수술적 교정을 해줌으로써 좋은 성적을 기대할 수 있음을 보여주었다.특히 교사들이 중요하게 인식하는 해방적 행동에 대한 목표를 강조하여 적용할 필요가 있음을 시사하고 있다.교하여 유의한 차이가 관찰되지 않았다. 또한 HSP 환자군에서도 $IL1RN^{*}2$ a

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Estimation of Flow Loads Characteristics each Sub-watershed for TMDL (TMDL 적용을 위한 소유역별 유출부하 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.443-453
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    • 2011
  • This research aims at suggesting the mitigation measures of decreasing pollution by analyzing land cover characteristics according to subwatershed, and non-pollutant load characteristics occurring in each subwatershed. Mushim-cheon is selected as a research area, and HyGIS-SWAT is used as a water quality model. This research analyzed outflow load characteristics by classifying land cover, which has over 50% classified items, into a city area, a farmland area and a forest area. The result shows that the yearly occurrence load quantity represents a farmland area, a forest area and a city area in order. In subwatershed-2, occurrence load quantity is analyzed by setting up a buffer zone in the center of stream, and by changing a farmland area into a natural grass land. Therefore, a farmland area in a subwatershed changes 36.6% into 27.9% and 15.3% comparing to previous land cover change. In the analysis of sediment loads occurrence quantity and nutritive salt load occurrence quantity in subwatershed-2, sediment loads occurrence quantity decreases 52% to about 47%, and nutritive salt load decreases 49% and 34% in compare with previous change. Hereafter, this research will set up the mitigation measures scenario, and find out which is more effective for the mitigation measures.

Probable Volcanic Flood of the Cheonji Caldera Lake Triggered by Volcanic Eruption of Mt. Baekdusan (백두산 화산분화로 인해 천지에서 발생 가능한 화산홍수)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha;Kim, Sung-Wook;Yoo, Soon-Young;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.492-506
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    • 2013
  • The historical accounts and materials about the eruption of Mt. Baekdusan as observed by the geological survey is now showing some signs of waking from a long slumber. As a response of the volcanic eruption of Mt. Baekdusan, water release may occur from the stored water in Lake Cheonjii caldera. The volcanic flood is crucial in that it has huge potential energy that can destruct all kinds of man-made structures and that its velocity can reach up to 100 km $hr^{-1}$ to cover hundreds of kilometers of downstream of Lake Cheonji. The ultimate goal of the study is to estimate the level of damage caused by the volcanic flood of Lake Cheon-Ji caldera. As a preliminary study a scenario-based numerical analysis is performed to build hydrographs as a function of time. The analysis is performed for each scenario (breach, magma uplift, combination of uplift and breach, formation of precipitation etc.) and the parameters to require a model structure is chosen on the basis of the historic records of other volcanos. This study only considers the amount of water at the rim site as a function of time for the estimation whereas the downstream routing process is not considered in this study.

Estimation of the Flood Warning Rainfall with Backwater Effects in Urban Watersheds (도시 유역의 배수위 영향을 고려한홍수 경보 강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Yoon, Ki-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.801-806
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    • 2015
  • The incidence of flood damage by global climate change has increased recently. Because of the increased frequency of flooding in Korea, the technology of flood prediction and prevalence has developed mainly for large river watersheds. On the other hand, there is a limit on predicting flooding through the most present flood forecasting systems because local floods in small watersheds rise quite quickly with little or no advance warning. Therefore, this study estimated the flood warning rainfall using a flood forecasting model at the two alarm trigger points in the Suamcheon basin, which is an urban basin with backwater effects. The flood warning rainfall was estimated to be 25.4mm/120min ~ 78.8mm/120min for the low water alarm, and 68.5mm/120min ~ 140.7mm/120min for the high water alarm. The frequency of the flood warning rainfall is 3-years for the low water alarm, and 80-years for the high water alarm. The results of this analysis are expected to provide a basic database in forecasting local floods in urban watersheds. Nevertheless, more tests and implementations using a large number of watersheds will be needed for a practical flood warning or alert system in the future.

The derivation of GIUH by means of the lag time of Nash model (Nash 모형의 지체시간을 이용한 GIUH 유도)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Yoon, Yeo-Jin;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.10 s.159
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    • pp.801-810
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    • 2005
  • The lag time is one of the most important factors for estimating a flood runoff from streams. It is well known to be under the influence of the morphometric properties of basins which could be expressed by catchment shape descriptors. In this paper, the notion of the geometric characteristics of an equivalent ellipse proposed by Moussa(2003) is applied for calculating the lag time of geomorphological instantaneous unit hydrograph(GIUH) at the basin outlet. The lag time is obtained from the observed data of rainfall and runoff by using the method of moments suggested by Nash(1957), and the procedure based on geomorphology is used for GIUH. The relationships between the basin morphometric properties and the hydrological response are discussed as applied to 3 catchments In Korea. Additionally, the shapes of equivalent ellipse are examined how then are transformed from upstream area to downstream one. As a result, the relationship between the hydrological response and descriptors is shown to be comparatively good, and the shape of ellipse is presented to approach a circle along the river downwards. These results may be expanded to the estimation of hydrological response of ungauged catchment.