• 제목/요약/키워드: 피해함수

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Methodology for Estimating the Probability of Damage to a Heat Transmission Pipe (열수송관 파손확률 추정 방법론 개발)

  • Kong, Myeongsik;Kang, Jaemo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2021
  • Losses of both life and property increased from damage to underground pipe such as heat transmission pipe buried underground in downtown because pipes are gradually aging. Considering the characteristics of the heat transmission pipe, which is not exposed to the outside and difficult to immediately identify problems such as damage, it is realistic to indirectly check the condition of the facility based on the historical information that is periodically collected through facility maintenance. In this study, a methodology for estimating the damage probability was developed by examining the history information of the heat transmission pipe, deriving an evaluation factor that is related to the damage probability. The contribution factor of the damage probability were reviewed by analyzing not only the guidelines for maintenance of heat transmission pipe of advanced European countries and domestic district heating companies, but also the cases of waterworks with similar characteristics. Evaluation factors were selected by considering not only the correlation with the damage probability but also the possibility of securing data. Based on 1999, when the construction technology and standards of heat transmission pipe changed, the damage probability estimation function according to the period of use was divided into the case of being buried before 1998 and the case of being buried after 1999, and presented. In addition, the damage probability was corrected by assigning weights according to the measured data for each evaluation factor such as the diameter, use, and management authority.

Shoot yield and growth characteristics of Pteridium spp. according to the dickness of sowed seed root (준고랭지에서 아피오스의 적정 파종시기)

  • Moon, Jung-Seob;Ahn, Song-Hee;Yang, Jin-Ho;Kim, Dong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Plant Resources Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2019.04a
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    • pp.83-83
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    • 2019
  • 아피오스(Apios americana Medikus)는 콩과에 속하는 덩굴성 식물로 원산지는 북미대륙 중동부로 알려져 있으며 지하부의 뿌리가 변형된 괴근 부위를 식용으로 하고 있다. 아피오스의 괴근은 건물당 단백질 함량이 16.5%로 감자에 비해 3배 가량 높고 지방산 함량은 4.2~4.6% 범위로 Linoleic acid가 주를 이루고 있다. 또한 감자에 비해 칼슘 함량이 10배 가량 높고 철분함량은 2배 가량 높아 기능성 건강식품으로 유망시되고 있다. 아피오스는 일교차가 큰 준고랭지역에서도 재배가능성이 높지만 최근의 기후변화에 따라 파종기의 저온피해 등으로 안정적인 입모율의 확보가 문제시 되고 있다. 준고랭지 지역에서 아피오스의 파종시기별 출현양상 및 수량성을 구명하기 위해 표고 500m의 허브산채시험장 포장에서 2018년 4월 25일, 5월 9일, 5월 16일, 5월 28일 4회 걸쳐 흑색비닐을 피복한 1줄 재배양식으로 아피오스 괴근을 파종하였다. 파종 후 30일, 50일간의 누적 출현율은 5월 18일 파종이 파종 30일 후 52.5%를 보였으며 같은 기간 동안의 유효적산온도는 $276.9^{\circ}C$ 범위였고, 5월 30일 파종에서 파종 후 30일간의 누적 출현율은 80.4%롤 보였으며 유효적산 온도는 $329.2^{\circ}C$를 나타냈다. 파종시기별 유효적산온도와 누적 출현율 간의 관계를 나타내는 관계식은 $y=0.1155{\times}1.0415$의 지수함수로 표현할 수 있었으며, 준고랭지(남원시 운봉읍)에서 2007~2017년까지의 10년간 평균기온을 기준으로 관계식을 적용한 결과 평년 기준 5월 18일 파종하는 경우 50일간 유효적산온도는 $390.5^{\circ}C$를 보였고 출현율은 55.6%가 기대되었으며 6월 11일에는 $601.5^{\circ}C$의 적산온도로 85.3%의 출현이 예상되었다. 파종시기별 총 괴근수는 5월 30일 파종에서 17.5개/주로 유의하게 적었으며 상품 괴근중 및 상품률도 유의하게 적은 경향이었고, 출현율을 고려한 단위면적당 상품 괴근수량은 5월 18일 파종에서 602.5㎏/10a로 가장 높았고 4월 25일 파종에서 348.6㎏/10a로 가장 낮아 준고랭지 아피오스 재배에서 적정 파종시기는 5월 중순으로 판단되었다.

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Shelter location-allocation for Tsunami Using Floating Population and Genetic Algorithm (유동인구 데이터와 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 지진해일 대피소 선정)

  • Bae, Junsu;Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Yoo, Suhong;Heo, Joon;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2019
  • Recently, large and small earthquakes have occurred in the Korean peninsula. In this sense, Korea is no longer considered as an earthquake free zone. Especially, it is necessary to respond quickly to earthquake tsunami which may be caused by the influence of neighboring countries with large earthquakes. Since the occurrence of tsunamis can cause great casualties, it is very important to allocate the location of the shelter in case of an earthquake. Although many researches on shelter allocation have been conducted in various ways, but most of them have been analyzed based on administrative district resident data, resulting in a lack of reality. In this study, floating population data were used to reflect reality in case of emergency situations, and genetic algorithm, which produce good results among the heuristic algorithms, was used to select shelter locations. The number of evacuees was used as a objective function of genetic algorithm and the optimal solution was found through selection, crossover and mutation. As a result of the research on Busan Haeundae-Gu, selected as a research area, allocating eight shelters was the most efficient. The location of the new shelters was selected not only in residential areas but also in major tourist areas whose results can not be derived from administrative district resident data alone, and the importance of utilizing the floating population data was confirmed through this study.

A Study on Creation of Secure Storage Area and Access Control to Protect Data from Unspecified Threats (불특정 위협으로부터 데이터를 보호하기 위한 보안 저장 영역의 생성 및 접근 제어에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seungyong;Hwang, Incheol;Kim, Dongsik
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.897-903
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Recently, ransomware damage that encrypts victim's data through hacking and demands money in exchange for releasing it is increasing domestically and internationally. Accordingly, research and development on various response technologies and solutions are in progress. Method: A secure storage area and a general storage area were created in the same virtual environment, and the sample data was saved by registering the access process. In order to check whether the stored sample data is infringed, the ransomware sample was executed and the hash function of the sample data was checked to see if it was infringed. The access control performance checked whether the sample data was accessed through the same name and storage location as the registered access process. Result: As a result of the experiment, the sample data in the secure storage area maintained data integrity from ransomware and unauthorized processes. Conclusion: Through this study, the creation of a secure storage area and the whitelist-based access control method are evaluated as suitable as a method to protect important data, and it is possible to provide a more secure computing environment through future technology scalability and convergence with existing solutions.

Study on Risk Priority for TBM Tunnel Collapse based on Bayes Theorem through Case Study (사례분석을 통한 베이즈 정리 기반 TBM 터널 붕괴 리스크 우선순위 도출 연구)

  • Kwon, Kibeom;Kang, Minkyu;Hwang, Byeonghyun;Choi, Hangseok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.785-791
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    • 2023
  • Risk management is essential for preventing accidents arising from uncertainties in TBM tunnel projects, especially concerning managing the risk of TBM tunnel collapse, which can cause extensive damage from the tunnel face to the ground surface. In addition, prioritizing risks is necessary to allocate resources efficiently within time and cost constraints. Therefore, this study aimed to establish a TBM risk database through case studies of TBM accidents and determine a risk priority for TBM tunnel collapse using the Bayes theorem. The database consisted of 87 cases, dealing with three accidents and five geological sources. Applying the Bayes theorem to the database, it was found that fault zones and weak ground significantly increased the probability of tunnel collapse, while the other sources showed low correlations with collapse. Therefore, the risk priority for TBM tunnel collapse, considering geological sources, is as follows: 1) Fault zone, 2) Weak ground, 3) Mixed ground, 4) High in-situ stress, and 5) Expansive ground. In practice, the derived risk priority can serve as a valuable reference for risk management, enhancing the safety and efficiency of TBM construction. It provides guidance for developing appropriate countermeasure plans and allocating resources effectively to mitigate the risk of TBM tunnel collapse.

Development and Application of a Methodologyfor Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment-Sea Level Rise Impact ona Coastal City (기후변화 취약성 평가 방법론의 개발 및 적용 해수면 상승을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Ga-Young;Park, Sung-Woo;Chung, Dong-Ki;Kang, Ho-Jeong;Hwang, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.185-205
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    • 2010
  • Climate change vulnerability assessment based on local conditions is a prerequisite for establishment of climate change adaptation policies. While some studies have developed a methodology for vulnerability assessment at the national level using statistical data, few attempts, whether domestic or overseas, have been made to develop methods for local vulnerability assessments that are easily applicable to a single city. Accordingly, the objective of this study was to develop a conceptual framework for climate change vulnerability, and then develop a general methodology for assessment at the regional level applied to a single coastal city, Mokpo, in Jeolla province, Korea. We followed the conceptual framework of climate change vulnerability proposed by the IPCC (1996) which consists of "climate exposure," "systemic sensitivity," and "systemic adaptive capacity." "Climate exposure" was designated as sea level rises of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 meter(s), allowing for a simple scenario for sea level rises. Should more complex forecasts of sea level rises be required later, the methodology developed herein can be easily scaled and transferred to other projects. Mokpo was chosen as a seaside city on the southwest coast of Korea, where all cities have experienced rising sea levels. Mokpo has experienced the largest sea level increases of all, and is a region where abnormal high tide events have become a significant threat; especially subsequent to the construction of an estuary dam and breakwaters. Sensitivity to sea level rises was measured by the percentage of flooded area for each administrative region within Mokpo evaluated via simulations using GIS techniques. Population density, particularly that of senior citizens, was also factored in. Adaptive capacity was considered from both the "hardware" and "software" aspects. "Hardware" adaptive capacity was incorporated by considering the presence (or lack thereof) of breakwaters and seawalls, as well as their height. "Software" adaptive capacity was measured using a survey method. The survey questionnaire included economic status, awareness of climate change impact and adaptation, governance, and policy, and was distributed to 75 governmental officials working for Mokpo. Vulnerability to sea level rises was assessed by subtracting adaptive capacity from the sensitivity index. Application of the methodology to Mokpo indicated vulnerability was high for seven out of 20 administrative districts. The results of our methodology provides significant policy implications for the development of climate change adaptation policy as follows: 1) regions with high priority for climate change adaptation measures can be selected through a correlation diagram between vulnerabilities and records of previous flood damage, and 2) after review of existing short, mid, and long-term plans or projects in high priority areas, appropriate adaptation measures can be taken as per this study. Future studies should focus on expanding analysis of climate change exposure from sea level rises to other adverse climate related events, including heat waves, torrential rain, and drought etc.

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Population Phenology and an Early Season Adult Emergence model of Pumpkin Fruit Fly, Bactrocera depressa (Diptera: Tephritidae) (호박과실파리 발생생태 및 계절초기 성충우화시기 예찰 모형)

  • Kang, Taek-Jun;Jeon, Heung-Yong;Kim, Hyeong-Hwan;Yang, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Dong-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.158-166
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    • 2008
  • The pumpkin fruit fly, Bactrocera depressa (Tephritidae: Diptera), is one of the most important pests in Cucurbitaceae plants. This study was conducted to investigate the basic ecology of B. depressa, and to develop a forecasting model for predicting the time of adult emergence in early season. In green pumpkin producing farms, the oviposition punctures caused by the oviposition of B. depressa occurred first between mid- and late July, peaked in late August, and then decreased in mid-September followed by disappearance of the symptoms in late September, during which oviposition activity of B. depressa is considered active. In full-ripened pumpkin producing farms, damaged fruits abruptly increased from early Auguest, because the decay of pumpkins caused by larval development began from that time. B. depressa produced a mean oviposition puncture of 2.2 per fruit and total 28.8-29.8 eggs per fruit. Adult emergence from overwintering pupae, which was monitored using a ground emergence trap, was first observed between mid- and late May, and peaked during late May to early June. The development times from overwintering pupae to adult emergence decreased with increasing temperature: 59.0 days at $15^{\circ}C$, 39.3 days at $20^{\circ}C$, 25.8 days at$25^{\circ}C$ and 21.4 days at $30^{\circ}C$. The pupae did not develop to adult at $35^{\circ}C$. The lower developmental threshold temperature was calculated as $6.8^{\circ}C$ by linear regression. The thermal constant was 482.3 degree-days. The non-linear model of Gaussian equation well explained the relationship between the development rate and temperature. The Weibull function provided a good fit for the distribution of development times of overwintering pupae. The predicted date of 50% adult emergence by a degree-day model showed one day deviation from the observed actual date. Also, the output estimated by rate summation model, which was consisted of the developmental model and the Weibull function, well pursued the actual pattern of cumulative frequency curve of B. depressa adult emergence. Consequently, it is expected that the present results could be used to establish the management strategy of B. depressa.

Environmental Condition for the Butt-Rot of Conifers by Cauliflower Mushroom (Sparassis crispa) and Wood Quality of Larix kaempferi Damaged by the Fungus (꽃송이버섯에 의한 침엽수 심재부후 발생환경 및 낙엽송 피해목의 재질 특성)

  • Park, Hyun;Oh, Deuk-Sil;Ka, Kang Hyeon;Ryu, Sung-Ryul;Park, Joo-Saeng;Hwang, Jaehong;Park, Jun-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.1
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    • pp.16-25
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    • 2009
  • Cauliflower mushroom (Sparassis crispa) is recently recognized as a new edible and/or medicinal mushroom cultivated with conifers. By the way, the mushroom is notorious as a brown-rot fungus that causes a buttrot of larch. So, there should be a careful consideration to apply the mushroom cultivation in coniferous stand. This study was conducted to clarify the seriousness of heartwood decay on conifers such as larch by cauliflower mushroom with surveying the mushroom producing environment and to examine whether the cultivation of cauliflower mushroom produce any problem in conifer stands or not. The mushroom occurred in various coniferous stands such as Larix kaempferi, Pinus koraiensis, P. densiflora and Abies holophylla on fertile soils with adequate moisture. Soil texture of the mushroom producing site was comparatively fine compared to general forest soils; sandy loam, loam and silty loam. Soil pH ranged from 4.6 to 5.2, and organic matter contents were 4~11%, which showed relatively wide range. We could find S. crispa by a DNA technique from the wood that seemed to have no heartwood decay by naked eyes. The damaged wood showed 30% higher moisture contents than that of sound wood, while the compressive strength was 30% lowered down compared to that of sound wood. The fungus may invade conifers through the scars occurred on roots or stems, in this case spore dispersion of the mushroom takes a great role. Thus, we concluded that forest tending activities need to be applied with considering the invasion of S. crispa, and cultivation of cauliflower mushroom in forest should be attempted very carefully. By the way, we also infer that conifer stands can be nurtured without heartwood decay by S. crispa if the stand be managed in good aeration conditions by proper silvicultural practices such as sanitary thinning.

Effect of Soil Salinity Variation on the Growth of Barley, Rye and Oat Seeded at the Newly Reclaimed Tidal Lands in Korea (신간척지토양의 공간적 토양염농도 변이가 보리, 호밀 및 귀리의 생육에 미치는 영향)

  • Sohn, Yong-Man;Jeon, Geon-Yeong;Song, Jae-Do;Lee, Jae-Hwang;Park, Moo-Eon
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.415-422
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    • 2009
  • Effect of soil salinity variation on the growth of barley, rye and oat was studied at the Hwaong, Iweon and Yeongsangang reclaimed lands in the western seaside of Korea. Soil salinity variation and soil EC were very high for crops to be killed or to be brought serious growth retardation during the growing season at the Iweon and Hwaong reclaimed lands, but fully low not to bring growth retardation at the Yeongsangang reclaimed land. Relation between soil salinity and crop growth and yield was well expressed as logarithmic function. Surface soil EC to reach at 50% of seed-emergence reduction was estimated $6.5dS\;m^{-1}$ for barley and $5.1dS\;m^{-1}$ for rye and oat by logarithmic function. In addition, surface soil EC to reach at 50% of grain yield reduction to the best growth in the experimental site was estimated $5.6dS\;m^{-1}$ for barley, $5.8dS\;m^{-1}$ for rye and $5.7dS\;m^{-1}$ for oat, while soil EC to reach at 50% of dry matter reduction was estimated $5.5dS\;m^{-1}$ for barley, $6.2dS\;m^{-1}$ for rye and $5.8dS\;m^{-1}$ for oat by logarithmic function. Grain yield of barley, rye and oat was 395, 164 and $325kg\;10a^{-1}$ in the Yeongsangang reclaimed lands naturally controlled below condition of $6dS\;m^{-1}$ of soil EC, but no harvest was obtained in the Hwaong and Iweon reclaimed land because of high salinity more than $15dS\;m^{-1}$ in maximum soil EC during growing period. Consequentially, it was concluded that soil salinity must be controlled below $6dS\;m^{-1}$ for good growth and high yield of winter barley, rye and oat in the reclaimed land in Korea.

Occurrence and Cenesis of Perlite from the Beomgockri Group in Janggi Area (장기지역 범곡리층군에 부존되는 진주암의 산출상태와 생성관계)

  • Noh Jin Hwan;Hong Jin-Sung
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.4 s.46
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2005
  • Perlite, a hydrated volcanic glass, occurs mainly as a bed-like body, and is distributed intermittently along the unconformity surface between the Beomgockri Group and its lower formations, viz. Janggi Group. The perlite is intimately associated with surrounding pumiceous welded tuff and rhyodacites in space and time. Compared to the typical perlite, the perlite is rather silica-poor and impure, and thus, includes lots of phenocrysts and rock fragments. Nearly the perlite is compositionally rather close to a pitchstone than a perlite in water contents. Petrographic comparison between perlite and associated volcanic to volcaniclastic rocks indicates that pumiceous welded tuff and rhyodacite seem to be Protolith of the Perlite. A Zr/$TiO_{2}$-Nb/Y diagram and field occurrence of perlite and their protolithic rocks also conforms the above interpretation. Kn addition, remnant vesicles in perlite strongly reflect that the precursor of perlitic glass appeared to be pumice fragment as well as volcanic glass. The perlite was diagenetically formed by way of a pervasive water-rock interaction at the deposition of the Manghaesan Formation in lacustrine environment. During perlitization, $SiO_{2}$ and alkali tend to be consistently depleted. Preexisting system of the Beomgockri Group based on the perlite formation should be corrected, because the perlite was formed diagenetically without lateral persistence in its occurrence.