• Title/Summary/Keyword: 피해분석

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Testing Spatial Autocorrelation of Burn Severity (산불 피해강도의 공간 자기상관성 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo;Won, Myoung-Soo;Lee, Hyun-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.2
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to test presence of spatial autocorrelation of burn severity in Uljin and Youngduk areas burned in 2011. SPOT satellite images were used to compute the NDVI representing burn severity, and NDVI values were sampled for 5,000 randomly dispersed points for each site. Spatial autocorrelations of sampled NDVI values were analyzed with Moran's I and Variogram models. Moran's I values of burn severity in Uljin and Youngduk areas were 0.7745 and 0.7968, respectively, indicating presence of strong spatial autocorrelations. On the basis of Variogram and changes of Moran's I values by lag class, ideal sampling distance were proposed, which were 566-2,151 m for Uljin and 272-402 m for Youngduk. It was recommended to apply these ranges of sampling distance in flexible corresponding to Anisotropic characteristics of burned areas.

A Study on Damge Effect from Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion(BLEVE) of LPG Charging Facility (LPG 충전소의 BLEVE 현상에 따른 피해효과 분석)

  • Roh Sam-Kew;Kim Tae-Hwan;Ham Eun-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.3 no.3 s.8
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 1999
  • The LPG refueling station's explosion at Bucheon city was a major accident which with rare frequency of occurrence and large damage effect. Therefore, to prevent similar accident in the future from LPG charging stations which located in urban area. It needs to identify the damage effects of such facilities by comparing theoretically quantities risk and actual damage. The BLEVE effects from the accident showed similar damage effect in case of heat flux, however, the overpressure level reflected at the reduced distance by $15\%$. The structure damage to the near by area showed comparatively large heat radiation damage to the concrete structure strength and shape changes through heat flux while the overpressure effect was small.

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Panel Data Analysis between Flood Damage and Recovery Cost (Panel Data 분석을 통한 홍수피해와 복구비 관계분석)

  • Park, Doo-Ho;Kim, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • This paper addresses the correlation between the flood damage cost and recovery cost. National data (15 regions) for 20 years, panel data, has been analyzed for this test. Model specification of panel data analysis depends on the characteristics of data set and "fixed" or "random" effects model can be used. The results are represented in both models. As we expected all independent variables show positive relationship with recovery cost, except for the number of death and suffers. The damage of public facilities, such as rivers and road are the major factors on the damage and recovery cost, which means that flood damage can not be decreased without decreasing damages of public facilities from floods. Especially, the recovery cost is always higher than the damage cost and investment for flood control. Unlikely, government investment for flood control is the highest and recovery cost is the always lower than da mage cost andinvestment in Japan. Which means that proper investment can reduce economic damage cost of flood and recovery cost.

A Simple Regression Model for Predicting the Wind Damage according to Correlation Analysis Between Wind Speed and Damage: Gyeongsangbuk-do (풍속과 피해액의 상관관계 분석에 따른 강풍 피해예측 단순회귀모형 개발: 경상북도)

  • Song, Chang-Young;Lee, Ho-Jin;Lee, Chang-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.207-211
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    • 2016
  • 최근 세계적으로 기후변화에 따라 자연재해에 의한 피해가 대형화, 가속화 되면서 이를 예측하고 대응할 수 있는 체계적이며 국내 특성을 반영할 수 있는 피해예측 시스템의 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 국내에서는 경험적 통계기반의 강우예측에 대한 연구가 주로 진행되었으며, 강풍에 대한 연구는 부족한 상황이다. 본 연구는 기존의 연구와는 달리 모델링을 통한 예측이 아닌 실제 발생한 강풍 피해 자료를 기반으로 풍속에 따른 피해액을 예측할 수 있는 강풍 피해예측 단순회귀모형을 개발하는 것을 목적으로 한다.

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Estimation of damage due to heavy rainfall in urban river (도시하천의 호우로 인한 피해액 산정)

  • Choi, Chang-Hyun;Han, Dae-Gun;Kim, Duck-Hwan;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.205-206
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    • 2016
  • 최근 기후변화로 인하여 태풍 및 집중호우로 인한 극한 강우사상의 발생빈도가 증가하고 있다. 급격한 도시화로 인한 유역 내 불 투수 면적이 늘어나고, 도달시간이 짧아지면서 집중호우에 취약한 도시하천의 분포가 늘어나고 있다. 특히 도시하천은 공공시설물 및 인구밀집으로 인하여 집중호우로 인한 홍수 발생시 대규모 재산피해와 인명피해가 발생할 것으로 추정된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후변화로 인한 집중호우 발생시 도시하천의 홍수피해액을 산정하고자 한다. 기후변화로 인한 집중호우는 RCP8.5시나리오의 강우자료를 적용하였으며, HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS를 이용하여 홍수량을 산정하였다. 또한 피해액을 산정하기 위하여 다차원홍수피해액산정방법을 이용하여 도시하천의 피해액을 산정하였다.

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Analysis on the Change of Regional Vulnerability to Flood (홍수피해에 따른 지역적 취약성 변화 분석)

  • Hong, Ji-Hea;Hwang, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the damage by fresh flood increases in Gangwon-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do of the north-eastern area of Korea. Even though the recent pattern of rain fall keeps changing, there is no strategy to mitigate damage by disaster. For the appropriate measure and policy for decreasing damage, an index for vulnerability is necessary to provide evidence of local climate change. The present work analyzes the flooding damage cost during the past 20 years. During 80's, the southern area of Korea was seriously damaged by over-floods on the agricultural ground. After that time, the loss and damage has decreased in the southern area but the middle part has shown slight but distinct increases of damage. The absolute coast of damage in the northern part has kept constant. However, the relative regional damage to the total country damage has kept increasing over 20 years in the same area. The surface area of floods is strongly correlated with the regional damage cost in the southern part but the north-eastern part has weak correlation between flooded area and cost. It implies that the recent damage in the north-eastern mountain area was not caused by flood itself but the other factors such as avalanches. The present work expects that the damage cost can be a good proxy value for index for climate change impact assessment.

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Basic study on the change in the flow patterns by considering shapes of city districts (시가지 형상에 따른 흐름 변화 기초 연구)

  • Rhee, Dong Sop;Seong, Hoje
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.222-222
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    • 2020
  • 급격한 기후변화와 도시화, 산업화로 인해 도시지역의 홍수피해가 증가하고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 재해 중 45%가 극한 강우 또는 홍수로 인한 재해로 확인되었으며, 급속도로 확장되고 있는 도시화 추세로 인해 도시지역의 홍수피해가 더욱 심화되고 있다(UNISDR, 2016). 기후변화 및 도시화로 인한 도시지역의 홍수피해가 증가하면서 시가지 건물 배치 및 도로망과 같은 복잡한 지역특성이 침수에 주는 영향을 분석할 필요성이 점차 증가하고 있다. 도시지역에서 홍수가 발생할 경우 복잡한 도로망은 배수로 역할을 하며 건물의 밀집도와 배치는 골목길 등에서 침수심을 증가시켜 안전한 구역이 좁아지는 효과를 발생시키고 있다. 본 연구에서는 우선 복잡한 시가지를 특성화하여 분석 할 수 있도록 이상화된 시가지 모형을 설계하고 제작한 후 유량에 따른 흐름 특성 변화를 분석하였으며, 기초 실험 결과를 바탕으로 강우강도에 따른 유황 변화와 연계할 예정이다. 기초 실험 수행을 위하여 먼저 건물 배치 밀집도를 고려하여 주거구역을 불록화하여 직선형의 이상적인 도시지역의 시가지 모형을 설계한 후 실험 모형을 제작하였다. 하천 범람으로 인한 침수발생을 재현하기 위해 상류 도로망에서 유량이 유입되도록 제작하였으며, 유입조건에 따라 변화하는 시가지 내부 침수 흐름은 LSPIV 기법을 이용하여 분석하였다. 유입조건에 따른 시가지 내 침수 특성을 분석한 결과 지형적 경사 특성에 의해 시가지 내부에서 흐름이 가속되며, 모형의 사거리 구간에서는 흐름 유입 방향에 대해 횡방향으로 흐름이 합류하는 경우에는 합류 흐름이 유속이 더 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 합류 이후 유속이 증가하면서 피해 발생 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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A Root Cause Analysis for Drought in Taeback City, Kangwon-do in 2008 (강원도 태백지역 2008년 가뭄의 원인분석 연구)

  • Kim, Joo-Hwan;Choi, Gye-Woon;Park, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2010
  • Recently, there have been flood damages due to the climate change and the flash flood continuously in Korea and there are several flood disaster mitigation plans that are normally most of management plan for water related disasters even though drought disasters are as important as flood disasters. In this study, it is underlined that the research on solution of water shortness due to the drought disasters is currently required since the frequency of drought damage is not very many but continuously increasing. There was big drought damage in TaeBaek City of Kangwon province due to the serious lack of water during autumn, 2008 to spring, 2009. This study therefore analyses the characteristics of hydrometeorological conditions by rainfall frequency analysis and the operations of Gwangdong dam that is a source of multi-regional water supply by analysing water demand. As results of study, there was a drought with 20 years returning period which is not really available to fill the reservoir as usual and which could only filled 52% of reservoir. The rainfall during the dry season was less than normal, however, the water demand from the TaeBaek City was higher than normal. As researching several reasons of water shortness including the reasons described above, this study might be useful for drought mitigation plan.

Analysis on National Security Emergency Preparedness Telecommunications Systems of the USA (미국의 국가안전보장 및 비상대비 통신 체제 발전 동향 분석 시사점)

  • Kim, S.Y.;Lee, J.K.;Lee, K.H.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.17 no.6 s.78
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2002
  • 재해나 재난이 발생하면 물리적 피해는 지리적 지역을 중심으로 한정적으로 발생하나, 통신재난의 경우 일시적 트래픽 폭주 현상은 전국적인 피해를 입히기도 한다. 또한 이로 인하여 재난 대응체계에 치명적인 손상을 입혀 인명이나 재산상의 피해를 늘리기도 하고, 재난 복구에 차질을 빚게 하기도 한다. 본 고에서는 미국의 국가안전 및 비상대비 통신 프로그램에 대하여 정책적인 측면, 추진 조직 측면과 현재 운용중인 서비스 측면으로 나누어 운용 실태를 살펴보고자 한다.

The Effects of School Climate on Peer Victimization for Junior High School Students (학교분위기가 중학생의 또래폭력 피해경험에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Eun-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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    • no.26
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    • pp.87-111
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the actual conditions of peer victimization and to examine how the various factors of school climate influence peer victimization. Analysis on the relationship between various school climate and peer victimization has not been yet dealt with in Korea. Participants in this study were middle school students chosen from 11 middle schools in Seoul, by convenience sampling. A total of 1,204 surveys were then analyzed. Methods for analysis included Frequencies, Descriptives, Pearson's Correlation, Hierarchical Regression. From the result of the analysis, the level of verbal violence came out to be a relatively high form of peer victimization. The hierarchical regression were conducted in two steps. The second model's descriptive variable was higher by 19.6% than the first model. The variables of interaction between teacher and student in peer violence(${\beta}=.130$), of school facility maintenance(${\beta}=.067$), of safety of school environment(${\beta}=.331$), and economic status and sex out of controlled variables were proved to be of significance, and those variables explained 23.0% of the entire model. Based on the results of this study, practical and effective policy solutions to improve the school climate better have been suggested.