• Title/Summary/Keyword: 피해강도

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Examination of Typhoon scale rating with Hazard Magnitude (재해규모를 고려한 태풍분류방법 검토)

  • Kim, Taegyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.369-369
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    • 2021
  • 기후변화로 인하여 태풍의 발생 횟수가 증가하고, 태풍 크기가 점차 대형화되며, 강도 또한 강해지는 추세에 있다. 우리나라도 매년 7월에서 10월 사이에 태풍으로 인한 피해가 발생하나, 태풍피해의 빈도나 피해 규모는 일정하지 않으며, 이는 태풍 진로와 태풍 크기 및 강도와 관계있다. 태풍에 대한 분류는 태풍의 크기와 중심부로 불어오는 풍속에 따라 강도로 구분하며, 태풍의 크기에 따른 분류는 풍속 15m/sec 이상 되는 영역의 반경에 따라 소형(300km 미만), 중형(500km미만), 대형(800km미만), 초대형(800km이상) 등 4계급 구간으로 구분하고, 태풍의 강도는 17m/s~25m/s 범위내의 태풍은 강도를 정하지 않으며, 중(25m/s~33m/s), 강(33m/s~44m/s), 매우강(44m/s~54m/s), 초강력(54m/s 이상)으로 구분한다. 최근 10년간 자연재해 중 태풍으로 인한 피해는 1조 6825억원으로 우리나라 자연재해 총피해액인 3조 6280억의 46%를 차지하며, 원인별로 가장 큰 피해를 야기하며, 또 태풍 루사, 매미는 단일 재해로는 최대규모로 알려져 있다. 태풍으로 인한 재해는 호우, 강풍, 풍랑으로 인한 피해가 동시에 발생하기 때문이며, 재해에 대한 대비 활동도 복합적으로 이루어져야 한다. 재해예방 측면에서 재해가 우려되는 기상 상황(호우, 강풍, 태풍 등)이 예측되고, 예측된 기상상황 하에서 피해 정도를 추정할 수 있다면 재해 예방을 위하여 적절한 대비를 취할 수 있을 것이다. 태풍은 적도부근 태평양에서 발생하여 이동하는데, 이동경로와 태풍강도는 기상 상황에 따라 변동이 심하므로, 태풍으로 인한 재해를 예측하고 예방하기 위한 대비에도 어려움이 있다. 또 태풍에 대한 기상특보는 태풍의 진로, 크기, 강도를 중심으로 강우량과 최대풍속이 예보되는데, 이것만으로 피해정도를 예측하는데 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서 우리나라에 직접적인 영향을 미친 태풍을 대상으로, 태풍시 발생한 호우와 풍속이 태풍으로 인한 피해 규모와 관련이 있는 지 여부를 평가하고, 이들 관계를 밝히고자 한다.

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On classification model of disaster severity level based on machine learning (머신러닝 기반의 재해 강도 단계 분류모형에 관한 연구)

  • Seungmin Lee;Wonjoon Wang;Yujin Kang;Seongcheol Shin;Hung Soo Kim;Soojun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.239-239
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    • 2023
  • 최근 도시화 및 기후변화에 따른 재난의 피해가 증가하고 있다. 국내 기상청에서는 호우 및 태풍에 대한 예·경보(주의보, 경보)를 전국적으로 통일된 기준(3시간, 12시간 누적강우량)에 따라 발령하고 있다. 이에 따라 현재 예·경보 기준에는 피해가 발생한 사상에 대한 지역별 특성이 고려되지 않는 문제점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 서울특별시, 인천광역시, 경기도의 호우 및 태풍에 대한 재해사상별 발생한 피해액 및 누적강우량을 활용하여 재해강도의 단계별 기준을 수립하고, 입력자료로 관측된 강우값을 활용하여 발생할 수 있는 재해의 발생 강도를 분류하는 모형을 개발하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 호우 및 태풍에 의한 재해 피해액의 분위별로 재해강도 단계(관심, 주의, 경계, 심각)를 분류하였고, 재해강도 단계에 따른 누적강우량 기준을 지자체별로 제시하였으며, 분류한 재해의 강도 단계를 모형의 종속변수로 활용하였다. 재해피해가 발생하지 않은 무강우 지속시간을 산정하여 호우 사상을 분류하였다. 지자체별로 재해 발생강도 분류 모형 개발을 위하여 머신러닝 모형 4가지(의사결정나무, 서포트 벡터 머신, 랜덤 포레스트, XGBoost)를 활용하였다. 본 연구에서 분류한 피해가 발생하지 않은 호우사상 및 피해가 발생한 사상별로 강우량, 지속시간 최대 강우량(3시간, 12시간), 선행강우량, 누적강우량을 독립변수로 입력하여 종속변수인 재해 발생 강도를 분류하였다. 각 모형별로 F1 Score를 이용한 정확도 평가 결과, 의사결정나무의 F1 Score가 평균 0.56으로 가장 우수한 정확도를 가지는 것으로 평가되었다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 머신러닝 기반 재해 발생 강도 분류모형을 활용하면 호우 및 태풍에 의한 재해에 대하여 지자체별로 재해 발생 강도를 단계별로 파악할 수 있어, 재난 담당자들의 의사결정을 위한 참고 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Analysis of Burn Severity in Large-fire Area Using SPOT5 Images and Field Survey Data (SPOT5영상과 현장조사자료를 융합한 대형산불지역의 피해강도 분석)

  • Won, Myoungsoo;Kim, Kyongha;Lee, Sangwoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.114-124
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    • 2014
  • For classifying fire damaged areas and analyzing burn severity of two large-fire areas damaged over 100 ha in 2011, three methods were employed utilized supervised classification, unsupervised classification and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). In this paper, the post-fire imageries of SPOT were used to compute the Maximum Likelihood (MLC), Minimum Distance (MIN), ISODATA, K-means, NDVI and to evaluate large-scale patterns of burn severity from 1 m to 5 m spatial resolutions. The result of the accuracy verification on burn severity from satellite images showed that average overall accuracy was 88.38 % and the Kappa coefficient was 0.8147. To compare the accuracy between burn severity and field survey at Uljin and Youngduk, two large fire sites were selected as study areas, and forty-four sampling plots were assigned in each study area for field survey. The burn severities of the study areas were estimated by analyzing burn severity (BS) classes from SPOT images taken one month after the occurrence of the fire. The applicability of composite burn index (CBI) was validated with a correlation analysis between field survey data and burn severity classified by SPOT5, and by their confusion matrix. The result showed that correlation between field survey data and BS by SPOT5 were closely correlated in both Uljin (r = -0.544 and p<0.01) and Youngduk (r = -0.616 and p<0.01). Thus, this result supported that the proposed burn severity analysis is an adequate method to measure burn severity of large fire areas in Korea.

An Quantitative Analysis of Severity Classification and Burn Severity for the Large Forest Fire Areas using Normalized Burn Ratio of Landsat Imagery (Landsat 영상으로부터 정규탄화지수 추출과 산불피해지역 및 피해강도의 정량적 분석)

  • Won, Myoung-Soo;Koo, Kyo-Sang;Lee, Myung-Bo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.80-92
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    • 2007
  • Forest fire is the dominant large-scale disturbance mechanism in the Korean temperate forest, and it strongly influences forest structure and function. Moreover burn severity incorporates both short- and long-term post-fire effects on the local and regional environment. Burn severity is defined by the degree to which an ecosystem has changed owing to the fire. Vegetation rehabilitation may specifically vary according to burn severity after fire. To understand burn severity and process of vegetation rehabilitation at the damaged area after large-fire is required a lot of man powers and budgets. However the analysis of burn severity in the forest area using satellite imagery can acquire rapidly information and more objective results remotely in the large-fire area. Space and airbone sensors have been used to map area burned, assess characteristics of active fires, and characterize post-fire ecological effects. For classifying fire damaged area and analyzing burn severity of Samcheok fire area occurred in 2000, Cheongyang fire in 2002, and Yangyang fire in 2005 we utilized Normalized Burn Ratio(NBR) technique. The NBR is temporally differenced between pre- and post-fire datasets to determine the extent and degree of change detected from burning. In this paper we use pre- and post-fire imagery from the Landsat TM and ETM+ imagery to compute the NBR and evaluate large-scale patterns of burn severity at 30m spatial resolution. 65% in the Samcheok fire area, 91% in the Cheongyang fire area and 65% in the Yangyang fire area were corresponded to burn severity class above 'High'. Therefore the use of a remotely sensed Differenced Normalized Burn Ratio(${\Delta}NBR$) by RS and GIS allows for the burn severity to be quantified spatially by mapping damaged domain and burn severity across large-fire area.

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Estimation of non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases Emissions from Biomass Burning in the Samcheok Large-Fire Area Using Landsat TM Imagery (Landsat TM 영상자료를 활용한 삼척 대형산불 피해지의 비이산화탄소 온실가스 배출량 추정)

  • Won, Myoung-Soo;Koo, Kyo-Sang;Lee, Myung-Bo;Son, Yeong-Mo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2008
  • This study was performed to estimate non-$CO_2$ greenhouse gases (i.e., GHGs) emission from biomass burning at a local scale. Estimation of non-$CO_2$ GHGs emission was conducted using Landsat TM satellite imagery in order to assess the damage degree in burnt area and its effect on non-$CO_2$ GHGs emission. This approach of estimation was based on the protocol of the 2003 IPCC Guidelines. In this study, we used one of the most severe fire cases occurred Samcheock in April, 2004. Landsat TM satellite imageries of pre- and post-fire were used 1) to calculate delta normalized burn ratio (dNBR) for analyzing burnt area and burn severity of the Samcheok large-fire and 2) to quantify non-$CO_2$ GHGs emission from different size of the burnt area and the damage degree. The analysis of dNBR of the Samcheok large-fire indicated that the total burnt area was 16,200ha and the size of the burnt area differed with the burn severity: out of the total burnt area, the burn severities of Low (dNBR < 152), Moderate (dNBR = 153-190), and High (dNBR = 191-255) were 35%, 33%, and 32%, respectively. It was estimated that the burnt areas of coniferous forest, deciduous forest, and mixed forest were about 11,506ha (77%), 453ha (3%), and 2,978ha (20%), respectively. The magnitude of non-$CO_2$ GHGs emissions from the Samcheok large-fire differed significantly, showing 93% of CO (44.100Gg), 6.4% of CH4 (3.053Gg), 0.5% of $NO_x$ (0.238Gg), and 0.1% of $N_2O$ (0.038Gg). Although there were little changes in the total burnt area by the burn severity, there were differences in the emission of non-$CO_2$ GHGs with the degree of the burn severity. The maximum emission of non-$CO_2$ GHGs occurred in moderate burn severity, indicating 47% of the total emission.

Forest Fire Severity Classification Using Probability Density Function and KOMPSAT-3A (확률밀도함수와 KOMPSAT-3A를 활용한 산불피해강도 분류)

  • Lee, Seung-Min;Jeong, Jong-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.6_4
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    • pp.1341-1350
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    • 2019
  • This research deals with algorithm for forest fire severity classification using multi-temporal KOMPSAT-3A image to mapping forest fire areas. The recent satellite of the KOMPSAT series, KOMPSAT-3A, demonstrates high resolution and multi-spectral imagery with infrared and high resolution electro-optical bands. However, there is a lack of research to classify forest fire severity using KOMPSAT-3A. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze forest fire severity using KOMPSAT-3A images. In addition, this research used pre-fire and post-fire Sentinel-2 with differenced Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) to taking for burn severity distribution map. To test the effectiveness of the proposed procedure on April 4, 2019, Gangneung wildfires were considered as a case study. This research used the probability density function for the classification of forest fire damage severity based on R software, a free software environment of statistical computing and graphics. The burn severities were estimated by changing NDVI before and after forest fire. Furthermore, standard deviation of probability density function was used to calculate the size of each class interval. A total of five distribution of forest fire severity were effectively classified.

Effects of Edge Area and Burn Severity on Early Vegetation Regeneration in Damaged Area (가장자리와 산불피해강도가 산불피해지역 초기식생재생에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Joo-Mee;Won, Myoung-Soo;Lim, Joo-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • The edge area with burn severity is known as significant factor that has great effects on the ecosystem recovery. However, there is little study on the edge area and its effects in the South Korea. Thus, this study aimed to analyze immediate responses of vegetation following forest fires due to combined effect of burn severity and edge-interior effect. Burn Severity (BS), or ${\Delta}NBR$ values were computed using satellite images of pre and post-forest fire in Samcheock areas. The burn forest was classified 231 $1-km^2$ girds and these grids were further reclassified into 4 groups by BS type (low BS and high BS areas) and forest areas (edge areas and interior areas). These four groups of grids including low BS-interior (group A), low BS-edge (group B), high BS-interior (group C) and high BS-edge (group D). Post-fire vegetation responses measured with (${\Delta}NDVI$) among four groups were then compared and tested by T-test. The results indicated that group C (${\Delta}NDVI$=0.047) and D (${\Delta}NDVI$ = 0.059) showed considerably greater vegetation regeneration than those of low BS areas including group A (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.039) and group B (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.036). It was also observed that edges areas showed greater vegetation regeneration than interior areas when BS is the same. Group B (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.036) showed greater (${\Delta}NDVI$) values than group A (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.039) in low BS condition. Similar relationship is observed between group C and group D in high BS condition. Thus adequate restoration practices for burned areas might need to pay close attention to interior areas with low BS to minimize the secondary damages and to rehabilitate the burned forests.

Residual strength of spalled high-performance concrete members subjected to fire (화재시 고강도 콘크리트 부재의 폭렬성상에 따른 잔존강도)

  • Choi, Eun-Gyu;Shin, Yeong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.941-944
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    • 2008
  • This study is aimed to investigate the residual strength of fire damaged high-performance concrete flexural and compressive members. The compressive strength of specimens is 55MPa and the main parameter for comparison is the exposure time to fire. In case of beams, the cover thickness made the differences in spalled section area, residual strength and serviceability. The exposure time to fire did not affect on the spalled section area in case of compressive members without loading. However, the residual strength and stiffness was reduced by the time exposed to fire. This study can be used to estimate the performance of fire damaged high-strength concrete structural members for reusing and to give the information for repairing and strengthening.

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Analysis of Availability of High-resolution Satellite and UAV Multispectral Images for Forest Burn Severity Classification (산불 피해강도 분류를 위한 고해상도 위성 및 무인기 다중분광영상의 활용 가능성 분석)

  • Shin, Jung-Il;Seo, Won-Woo;Kim, Taejung;Woo, Choong-Shik;Park, Joowon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.6_2
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    • pp.1095-1106
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    • 2019
  • Damage of forest fire should be investigated quickly and accurately for recovery, compensation and prevention of secondary disaster. Using remotely sensed data, burn severity is investigated based on the difference of reflectance or spectral indices before and after forest fire. Recently, the use of high resolution satellite and UAV imagery is increasing, but it is not easy to obtain an image before forest fire that cannot be predicted where and when. This study tried to analyze availability of high-resolution images and supervised classifiers on the burn severity classification. Two supervised classifiers were applied to the KOMPSAT-3A image and the UAV multispectral image acquired after the forest fire. The maximum likelihood (MLH) classifier use absolute value of spectral reflectance and the spectral angle mapper (SAM) classifier use pattern of spectra. As a result, in terms of spatial resolution, the classification accuracy of the UAV image was higher than that of the satellite image. However, both images shown very high classification accuracy, which means that they can be used for classification of burn severity. In terms of the classifier, the maximum likelihood method showed higher classification accuracy than the spectral angle mapper because some classes have similar spectral pattern although they have different absolute reflectance. Therefore, burn severity can be classified using the high resolution multispectral images after the fire, but an appropriate classifier should be selected to get high accuracy.

Change Detection of Damaged Area and Burn Severity due to Heat Damage from Gangwon Large Fire Area in 2019 (2019년 강원도 대형산불지역의 열해 피해로 인한 피해강도 변화 탐색)

  • Won, Myoungsoo;Jang, Keunchang;Yoon, Sukhee;Lee, HoonTaek
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.6_2
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    • pp.1083-1093
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to detect the burned area change by direct burning of tree canopies and post-fire mortality of trees via analyzing satellite imageries from the Korea multi-purpose satellite-2 and -3 (KOMPSAT-2 and -3) for two large-fires over the Goseong-Sokcho and Gangneung-Donghae regions in April 2019. For each case, the burned area was compared between two dates: the day when the fire occurred and 15-18 days after it. As the results, within these two dates, there was no substantial difference in burned area of sites whose severities were marked as "Extreme", but sites with "High" and "Low" severities showed significant differences in burned area between the two dates. These differences were resulted from the lagged post-fire browning of canopies which was detected by images from in-situ observation,satellite, and the unmanned aerial vehicle. The post-fire browning started after 3-4 days and became apparent after 10-15 days. This study offers information about the timing to quantify the burned area by large fire and about the mechanism of post-fire mortality. Also, the findings can support policy makers in planning the restoration of the damaged areas.