• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.415-423
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• 2021

Recently, an R-based point time series data validation system has been established for the statistical post processing and improvement of the National Center for AgroMeteorology-Land Atmosphere Modeling Package (NCAM-LAMP) medium-range prediction data. The time series verification system was used to compare the NCAM-LAMP with the AWS observations and GDAPS medium-range prediction model data operated by Korea Meteorological Administration. For this comparison, the model latitude and longitude data closest to the observation station were extracted and a total of nine points were selected. For each point, the characteristics of the model prediction error were obtained by comparing the daily average of the previous prediction data of air temperature, wind speed, and hourly precipitation, and then we tried to improve the next prediction data using Support Vector Machine( SVM) method. For three months from August to October 2017, the SVM method was used to calibrate the predicted time series data for each run. It was found that The SVM-based correction was promising and encouraging for wind speed and precipitation variables than for temperature variable. The correction effect was small in August but considerably increased in September and October. These results indicate that the SVM method can contribute to mitigate the gradual degradation of medium-range predictability as the model boundary data flows into the model interior.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.14-22
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• 1998

In this work, in order to quantitatively predict the radiation flux and propose an idea about how to reduce the radiation damage, the radiation flux caused by pool fire of an LNG storage tank has been calculated using the RISC (Risk and Industrial Safety Consultant) proposed model under various conditions. Model predictions showed that the most important parameter affecting the radiation flux by the LNG pool fire is the wind speed. The extent of radiation damage to a target from fire flame was more significant with variation of wind speed at a low wind speed than with that at a high wind speed. It was found that the radiation damage by the former is substantially reduced with planting windbreak system around the plant. Since the windbreak is most economical than any other method, it is strongly suggested to plant a tree belt in the factory surroundings, especially near by the area of gas storage facilities, linking with water cooling and fire protection systems.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.4-4
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• 2015

기압 분포의 공간 구조를 이해하고, 그것의 변동을 살펴보는 것은 풍속의 경향을 파악하는 것은 물론, 장기적인 측면에서는 기후변화를 예측하기 위한 기본 과정이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 장기간에 걸쳐 공간적으로 연속적인 관찰이 가능한 20CR(20th Century Reanalysis) 원격탐사 재분석 자료의 지오포텐셜(geopotential) 값을 활용하여 동아시아 지역 기압의 공간 분포를 살펴보았다. 그 결과 특정 범위 내에서 계산되는 기압의 편차 값과 해당 범위를 정의하는 수평 거리 사이의 관계(변동도; variogram)가 멱함수를 따르는 것을 확인하였다. 흥미로운 점은 지난 반세기 동안 멱함수의 계수 값이 풍속과 동일한 패턴으로 변화하는 반면, 지수 값 (프랙탈 차원)은 일정하게 유지되고 있다는 사실이다. 또한, 2000년 이후로는 계절 별로 한랭한 기단 (겨울철)과 온난한 기단 (여름철)이 번갈아가며 동아시아 지역으로 세력을 확장하는 경향을 보였으며, 그로인해 전반적인 기압의 편차가 증가하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference
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• 2019.10a
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• pp.61-61
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• 2019

• Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference
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• 2019.10a
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• pp.63-63
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• 2019

• Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference
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• 2019.10a
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• pp.65-65
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• 2019

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.159-165
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• 1987

This study proposes an operational method of typhoon risk assessments in Korea, using Statistical analysis and probabilistic description of typhoon at a site. Two alternative simulation and fitting methods are discussed to predict the probabilistic typhoon wind speeds by indirect methods. A Commonly used indirect method is Russell's procedure, which generates about 1,000 Simulation data for typhoon winds, statistically evaluate the base-line distribution, and then fits the results to the Weibull distribution based on probabilistic description of climatological Characteristics and Wind field model of typhoon at a site. However, an alternative procedure proposed in this Paper simulates extreme typhoon wind data of about 150~200 years and directly fits the generated data to the Weibull distribution. The computational results show that the proposed simulation method is more economical and reasonable for typhoon risk-assessment based on the indirect method. And using the proposed indirect method, the probabilistic design wind speed for transmission towers in typhoon-prone region along the South-Western coast is investigated.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.111-125
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• 1996

A forecast technique using GMS-4(Geostationary Meteorological Satellite) infrared images and its $T_{BB}$ (Brightness Temperature) data to determine the tropical cyclone center and to analyze the tropical cyclone intensity has been developed. First, the determination of typhoon center using $T_{BB}$ distribution pattern is practiced by understanding a special feature of central cloud pattern and cloud band which is analyzed with the method of pseudo coloring. Then, to forecast the intensity of tropical cyclone, a relationship between the central pressure (or maximum wind speed) of tropical cyclone and $T_{BB}$ measured by GMS near the tropical cyclone center was investigated. The results showed a correlation with a high lag relationship between central pressures and $T_{BB}$. The mean Tee in the ring of 200~300km apart from the tropical cyclone center showed the best correlation to central pressure of the tropical cyclone after 24hour. From this relationship, a regression equation to forecast the central pressure (or maximum wind speed) was derived.

• Water for future
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.127-138
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• 1987

For determination of the design wave, a method of estimating the design wind speed at sea from the wind records at the nearby weather stations on land is proposed. Along the West Coast, the design wind speed are shown to have two main directions; namely, N through W, and WSW through S. Through the analysis of weather maps, fetches for the main wind directions along the West Coast are determined. The wind speeds at sea are found to have 0.8~0.9 times the wind speed at the stations on land for U$\geq$20m/s. The West Coast may be divided into three regions for which fetches are determind uniquely. Design waves with return period of 100 years are determined by the revised S.M..B. method along the West Coast, and show the deep water significant wave heights of 4.4~8.3 meters with wave periods of 8.9~12.0 seconds.

• Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.111-120
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• 1996

Drying shrinkage is a very important properties of concrete, which is affected by environmental conditions. The environmental conditions are temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed, which is quite variable and its effct on drying shrinkage is quite complex, too. In this study, environmental effects on drying shrinkage wrer integrated into one variable-evaporation rate. In several different environmental conditions, evaporation rate was measured with Evaporometer and compared with PCA chart, and also compared with measured drying shirnkage to verify the possibility of being a single parameter. The results are summarized in a prediction chart and prediction equation for drying shrinkage.