• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.32-44
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• 1987

This study was carried out to analyze and furecast the domestic demand for plywood in Korea by regression models with time-series data for 16 years(1970-85). The results obtained were summarized as follows. 1. To analyze domestic demand for plywood, GNP, PWI and CWI were used as independant variables. The domestic demand equation was computed as follows: $^{in}DDP$=0.65186+1.29412 $^{in}GNP$-0.28385 $^{in}PWI$-1.05011 $^{in}CWI$ Where DDP : Domestic demand for plywood(1000 S/F) GNP: Gross national product (Billion won) PWI : Real wholesale price index of plywood CWI: Real wholesale price index of construction materials. 2. Among independant variables reflecting on the production activity of plywood industry, GNP was the most decisive in forecasting the domestic demand for plywood. 3. The significance can be recognized highly because the decision coefficient of the forecasting model which is obtained by using time series data is 0.9. 4. According to the estimated regression coefficients for GNP, PWI and CWI, GNP shows positive relation while PWI and CWI show negative relation. 5. An annual average increase rate of demand for plywood was 9.4 percent during expect period. Therefore, it was decreased slightly than that of 10.2 percent during sample period.

• Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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• 1993.10a
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• pp.20-20
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• 1993

반복적인 일의 수행으로 인한 병인 누적외상병에 관해 살펴보고자 한다. 누적외 상병(Cumulative Trauma Disorders)이란 비교적 생소한 질환으로 손이나 어떤 신체 부위를 반복적으로 오래 사용하였을 때 오는 병이다. 이 질환은 200년전 이탈리아 의사인 Benardino Ramazinni에 의해 분류되었으나 최근까지 큰 관심을 끌지 못했 다. 이 병은 Tennis Elbow(테니스 팔꿈치) 또는 Triger Finger(방아쇠 손가락)등 으로 더 잘 알려져 왔다. 그리고 의학계에서는 Ganglions(수종)으로 알려져 왔다. 그러나 80년대의 탁상컴퓨터의 보급으로 많은 사무실에서 반복적인 작업을 연속적 으로 하게 되어 많은 사무원들이 누적외상병(CTD)으로 고통에 시달리게 되고, 심한 경우에는 수술까지 하게된다. 제안자 역시 이 병으로 손목수술을 받은 바 있는 데 이 병은 잠복기가 몇년씩 되는 직업병이다. 이병의 특성상 암과 같이 조기에 발견 하기 어렵고, 이것을 느꼈을 때는 대부분 너무 늦어 수술이 불가피한 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 누적외상병의 실체와 현재까지의 외국에서 수행된 연구결과를 소개하고, 현재 한국에서의 이병의 실태를 파악하기 위해 표본대상을 선정하여 설 문조사와 실측조사를 함께 수행하고자 한다. 표본대상으로 육체노동으로 반복작업 을 하는 (Blue-Color) 집단, 사무실에서 반복작업을 하는 (White-Color) 집단, 그리 고 가정에서 반복작업을 하게 되는 주부집단등으로 나누어 실태조사를 하고자 한다. 설문조사의 통계처리를 바탕으로 한국에서의 누적외상병에 관한 실태조사와 의식구 조까지를 진단해 보고자 한다. 그런 다음 총체적이고 최신의 이론과 연구에 바탕을 둔 해결책과 대안을 제시해 보고자 한다.콘에 대해 일반화시키기는 어려우나 이후에 행해질 Icon-based User Interface 분야의 많은 연구들의 기초가 될 것이다. 더불어 아이콘과 관련된 많은 요인들(문화적 영향, 아이콘 색깔, 크기, 아이콘의 위치등이 인식에 미치는 영향)에 대해서도 연구가 행해져야 할 것이다. 확인하고 각각의 기능을 분명히 했다.가 수월하게 하였고 메모리를 동적으로 관리할 수 있게 하였다. 또한 기존의 smpl에 디버깅용 함수 및 설비(facility) 제어용 함수를 추가하여 시뮬레이션 프로그램 작성을 용이하게 하였다. 예를 들면 who_server(), who_queue(), pop_Q(), push_Q(), pop_server(), push_server(), we(), wf(), printfct() 같은 함수들이다. 또한 동시에 발생되는 사건들의 순서를 조종하기 위해, 동시에 발생할 수 있는 각각의 사건에 우선순위를 두어 이 우선 순위에 의하여 사건 리스트(event list)에서 자동적으로 사건들의 순서가 결정되도록 확장하였으며, 설비 제어방식에 있어서도 FIFO, LIFO, 우선 순위 방식등을 선택할 수 있도록 확장하였다. SIMPLE는 자료구조 및 프로그램이 공개되어 있으므로 프로그래머가 원하는 기능을 쉽게 추가할 수 있는 장점도 있다. 아울러 SMPLE에서 새로이 추가된 자료구조와 함수 및 설비제어 방식등을 활용하여 실제 중형급 시스템에 대한 시뮬레이션 구현과 시스템 분석의 예를 보인다._3$", chain segment, with the activation energy of carriers from the shallow trap with 0.4[eV], in he amorphous regions.의 증발산율은 우기의 기상자료를 이용하

• Economic Analysis
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.1-36
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• 2018

When it comes to explaining the relationship between inventory investment and business fluctuations, the production smoothing theory and the stock-out avoidance theory take contradictory stances. Decision-making related to inventory investments of corporations is thought to be influenced by both motives, but the relative sizes or directions of their respective influences can differ depending upon the phase of the business cycle. Against this backdrop, this paper differs from existing studies in that it theoretically tests the relative significances of the production smoothing and stock-out avoidance motives in the inventory investment dynamics, while placing its analytical focus on determining the existence and patterns of the asymmetric dynamics of inventory investment over the business cycle phases. To this end this paper sets up a non-linear model that is expanded from the existing linear inventory investment model, and checks whether its predictive power is better than that of the existing model. The results of analysis confirm the nature of the asymmetric dynamics of inventory investment over the business cycle phases. A stock-out avoidance motive appears but there is no significant production smoothing motive in boom times. In downturns, in contrast, the stock-out avoidance motive is insignificant, but a quality of asymmetric dynamics in which changes in inventory cause the deepening of recessions, due to the non-convexity of production costs proposed by Ramey (1991), is detected. This paper confirms that a model considering the asymmetric dynamics of inventory investment can have better predictive power than one that does not consider it, through within-sample and out-of-sample predictions and various predictive power tests. These research results are expected to be useful for economic forecasting, through their enhancement of the understandings of the inventory investment dynamics and of the nature of its business cycle destabilization.

• The Journal of Natural Sciences
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.11-34
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• 2005

It is no exaggeration to say that the productivity of a research using computer simulations on complex molecular systems like biomolecules depends on the ability of the sampling algorithm to explore the relevant parts of configuration space. In this study, we investigate the properties on the mutiensemble sampling (MES) which is one of the solutions that surmount limitations of conventional sampling algorithms. Works for finding out practical systematic ways of using the MES efficiently to explore distantly separated regions in configuration space are performed. In this work, the more generalized form of weighting function for MES is used and 'cavity formation in water' is simulated using Monte Carlo. investigating the correlation of simulation parameters and the efficiency of the method, we propose a practical way of maximizing the power of the MES. We applied the way to 'cavity formation in water' and were able to explore the parts of configuration space relevant to cavities of radius from 0 to 5.6A in a single simulation.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.55-103
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• 1999

본 연구의 목적은 외환위기의 주요 파급경로 중 하나인 금융부문의 환율위험 노출현상을 90년대 우리나라의 실제 데이터를 통하여 실증분석함에 있다. 동 연구를 수행함에 있어 장부상 나타나는 회계적 환율위험 대신 간접적인 경제적 위험을 포함하는 포괄적 환율위험을 분석의 대상으로 정의하고, 시장에서 평가되는 금융기관의 기업가치가 환율변동에 얼마나 민감하게 노출되어 있는가를 동 위험의 측정수단으로 채택하였다. 또한 랜덤워크모형과 더불어 일종의 자본자산가격결정모형(CAPM)에 환율위험요인을 추가하여 모형을 구성함으로써 실증분석의 이론적 적합성을 제고하였다. 시장평균환율제도가 채택된 90년 3월부터 최근까지를 표본기간으로 한 실증분석 결과는 다음과 같이 요약가능하다. 첫째, 산업별로는 은행 및 보험산업이 비교적 환율위험에 노출되지 않았던 반면, 종금 및 증권산업은 환율위험에 상대적으로 크게 노출되어 있었으며, 동 노출의 방향은 원화가치의 절하가 금융기관의 시장가치에 부정적인 영향을 미치는 방향으로 노출되어 있었다. 둘째, 종금 및 증권산업의 경우 95년 이전보다는 이후의 시기에 환율위험에 대한 노출도가 유의하게 나타나 90년대 후반기에 가속화된 자본거래 자유화가 이들 금융기관의 환율위험 노출정도를 증가시켰을 가능성을 시사하고 있다. 셋째, 은행 및 종금부문을 대상으로 개별 금융기관 주가의 패널자료를 이용하여 실증분석한 결과, 은행산업 또한 90년대에 걸쳐 환율위험에 유의하게 노출되어 있었던 것으로 분석되었다. 그러나 은행부문보다는 종금부문이 노출도의 크기나 통계적 유의도면에서 환율위험에 더욱 노출된 것으로 분석되었다. 넷째, 개별 금융기관의 환율위험 노출도를 추정한 결과 은행부문은 약 19%(상장은행 26사 중 5개), 종금부문은 약 52%(상장종금사 29사 중 15개)가 환율위험에 유의하게 노출되고 있었으며 이들 은행의 절반 이상 그리고 종금사의 대부분이 원화절하가 금융기관 시장가치에 부정적인 영향을 미치는 방향으로 노출되어 있었던 것으로 분석되었다. 동 실증분석 결과는 97년말 급격한 원화가치의 하락이 이들 금융기관, 특히 종금부문의 재무건전성 악화에 치명적인 영향을 끼침으로써 금융위기를 더욱 촉발시키는 한 메커니즘으로 작용하였음을 시사하고 있다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.12 no.7
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• pp.3053-3061
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• 2011

This study examines the relationship between R&D(research & development) investment and market value among KOSDAQ firms in the Korea Stock Exchange. We investigate the effect of R&D investment on firm value in both total sample and sub-samples classified by firm characteristics based on types of firms. And we study the impact of a major economic disruption as the global financial crisis triggered by sub-prime mortgage problem in the US on R&D investment relative to the firm value. We find that R&D investment positively affects firm value and the squared term of R&D investment is found to be significant and negatively correlated with market value. This suggests the presence of nonlinear relationship like a reverse U-shape between R&D investment and market value in total sample and most of sub-samples. And we find firm characteristics and global financial crisis partially affect the contribution of R&D investment to market value in some of sub-samples.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.162-167
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• 1993

A mixed deciduous forest community in Mt. Sobaek was studied to determine the adequate number of plots of tree stratum for investigating forest community structure. Twenty l0m $\times$ l0m plots were set up iii the studied forest community, and species area curve. performance curve and statistical method were carried out. According to species-area curve, the minimal number of plots where a given percentage increase in number of plots produced less than the same percentage increase in number of species was eight. The minimal number of plots where a given percentage increase in number of plots produced less than the half of the percentage increase in number of plots was eleven. According to performance curve by importance value of the major species, the minimal number of plots where the dominant species was distinguished from the subdominant species was five. The minimal number of plots where the subdominant species was distinguished from each other was ten. Therefore, ten l0m $\times$ l0m plots seems to give an adequate sample for investigating structure of the studied forest community. Similarity index between the ten plots and total twenty plots was above 90%, and 95% confidence interval of species diversity of the ten plots was $\pm$ 0.073.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.150-153
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• 1995

A Pinus densiflora forest in Chuwangsan was studied to determine the adequate plot area of shrub stratum for investigating forest community structure. Nineteen nested plots were set up in the studied forest, and species-area curve and performance curve were established. According to species-area curve, the minimum plot area where a given percentage increase in plot area produced less than the same percentage increase in number of species was 900$m^2$. The minimum plot area where a given percentage increase in plot area produced less than the half of the percent-age increase in number of species was 1,500$m^2$. According to performance curve of the importance values of the major species, the minimum plot area where the importance value of the major species was distinguished from each other was 1,400$m^2$. According to performance curve of species diversity, the minimum plot area was 750-1,500$m^2$. Similarity indices between plot area above 900$m^2$ and total plot area were more than 90% and similarity indices between plot area above 625$m^2$ and total plot area were more than 85%. It may be given as a conclusion that minimum plot area was about 1,500$m^2$ in case of requiring more accuracy.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.187-191
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• 1994

A mixed forest community in Tokyusan was studied to determine the adequate plot area of tree stratum for investigating forest community structure. Nineteen nested plots were set up in the studied forest community, and species-area curve and performance curve were established. According to species-area curve, the minimum plot area where a given percentage increase in plot area produced less than the same percentage increase in number of species was 500$m^2$. The minimum plot area where a given percentage increase in plot area produced less than the half of the percentage increase in number of species was 1,000$m^2$. According to performance curve of the importance values of the major species, the minimum plot area where the importance value of the major species was distinguished from each other was 900$m^2$, and the minimum plot area was 500$m^2$ except for a big tree of Pinus densiflora distributed unexpectedly. According to performance curve of species diversity, the minimum plot area was 400$m^2$. Similarity indices between plot area above 900$m^2$ and total plot area were more than 90% and similarity indices between plot area above 400$m^2$ and total plot area were more than 85%. It may be as a conclusion that minimum plot area was generally about 500$m^2$ and in case of requiring more accuracy, minimum plot area was about 1,000$m^2$.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.10
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• pp.857-866
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• 2009

In this study, basic data is consisted annual maximum rainfall at 56 stations that has the rainfall records more than 30years in Korea. The 14 probability distributions which has been widely used in hydrologic frequency analysis are applied to the basic data. The method of moments, method of maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments method are used to estimate the parameters. And 4-tests (chi-square test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Cramer von Mises test, probability plot correlation coefficient (PPCC) test) are used to determine the goodness of fit of probability distributions. This study emphasizes the necessity for considering the variability of the estimate of T-year event in hydrologic frequency analysis and proposes a framework for evaluating probability distribution models. The variability (or estimation error) of T-year event is used as a criterion for model evaluation as well as three goodness of fit criteria (SLSC, MLL, and AIC) in the framework. The Jackknife method plays a important role in estimating the variability. For the annual maxima of rainfall at 56 stations, the Gumble distribution is regarded as the best one among probability distribution models with two or three parameters.