• Title/Summary/Keyword: 표본선택 모형

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Logistic Regressions with Sensory Evaluation Data about Hanwoo Steer Beef (한우 거세우 고기 관능평가 데이터의 로지스틱 회귀분석)

  • Lee, Hye-Jung;Kim, Jae-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.857-870
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to investigate the relationship between the socio-demographic factors and the Korean consumers palatability evaluation grades with Hanwoo sensory evaluation data from 2006 to 2008 by National Institute of Animal Science. The dichotomy logistic regression model and the multinomial logistic regression model are fitted with the independent variables such as the consumer living location, age, gender occupation, monthly income, beef cut and the the palatability grade as the categorical dependent variable and tenderness, 리avor and juiciness as the continuous dependent variable. Stepwise variable selection procedure is incorporated to find the final model and odds ratios are calculated to nd the associations between categories.

Window Configurations Comparison Based on Statistical Edge Detection in Images (영상에서 윈도우 배치에 따른 통계적 에지검출 비교)

  • Lim, Dong-Hoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.615-625
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    • 2009
  • In this paper we describe Wilcoxon test and T-test that are well-known in two-sample location problem for detecting edges under different window configurations. The choice of window configurations is an important factor in determining the performance and the expense of edge detectors. Our edge detectors are based on testing the mean values of local neighborhoods obtained under the edge model using an edge-height parameter. We compare three window configurations based on statistical tests in terms of qualitative measures with the edge maps and objective, quantitative measures as well as CPU time for detecting edge.

A Study on the Rainfall Generation (In Two-dimensional Random Storm Fields) (강우의 모의발생에 관한 연구 (2차원 무작위 호우장에서))

  • Lee, Jea Hyoung;Soun, Jung Ho;Hwang, Man Ha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 1991
  • In recent years, hydrologists have been interested in the radial spectrum and its estimation in two dimensional storm field to construct simulation model of the rainfall. This paper deals with the problem of transformation from the spectrum or isotropic covariance function to two dimensional random field. The extended turning band method for the generation of random field is applied to the problem using the line generation method of one dimensional stochastic process by G.Matheron. Examples of this generation is chosen in the random components of the multidimensional rainfall model suggested by Bras and are given with a comparison between theoretical and sample statistics. In this numerical experiments it is observed that first and second order statistics can be conserved. Also the example of moving storm simulation through Bras model is presented with the appropriate parameters and sample size.

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Using One and One-Half Bounded Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Methods to Estimate Non-market Value of Otters in Cheongju·Cheongwon Area (일점오양분선택모형을 이용한 청주·청원 지역의 수달 서식지 보호의 비시장적 가치추정)

  • Yoo, Jin-Chae;Kim, Jeong-Eun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.349-379
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    • 2008
  • Otters which are the nearly extinct feral animal as well as indicator species of ecological balance of river have a wide variety of public value. The objective of this paper is to estimate non-market value of preservation of otters' habitats in Cheongju Si and Cheong won Gun. In this research, the one-and-one-half bound dichotomize choice method as a contingent valuation methods is used to derive willingness to pay for the preservation of otters' habitats. 311 residents were surveyed to determine their recognition and willingness to pay for preservation of otters' habitats. The results show that the value of preservation of otters' habitats is 5,904 won per house and month.

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Development of Scale on Selection, Optimization, Compensation(SOC) Model as Successful Aging Strategies of Korean Elderly (한국노인의 성공적 노화 전략으로서의 선택·최적화·보상(SOC) 척도 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Sohn, Eui-Seong
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.381-400
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the scale on Selection, Optimization, Compensation(SOC) model as successful aging strategies of Korean Elderly. In first phase of the study, 64 pilot items were collected from researcher's indepth interviews with a purposive sample group of 24 elderly people(16 items) and original SOC scale(48 items). To analyze the factor structure and to verify the validity of the scale, 592 questionnaires collected from survey were divided randomly into 300 developmental samples and 292 validity samples. The items were examined exploratory with developmental samples and confirmatory factor analysis with developmental samples. Two factor analysis supported four factor structure of the SOC consisted of 20 items. Four factors are as follows: 'Elective Selection', 'Loss-Based Selection', 'Opimization', 'Compensation'. The cronbach's alpha estimate of the scale was .930. This scale of four factor model exhibited good fit, assessed by overall fit measure criteria(TLI=.939, CFI=.947, RMSEA=.058). The result of analysis by item response theory for SOC scale is satisfatory. Also, SOC scale was significantly related to the two successful aging scales for Korean elderly and life satisfation scale(SWLS). These results proved the validity of the scale.

Determinants of Success in Ex-parte and Inter-parte Patent Litigation (발명의 특허성 및 특허의 유효성 분쟁결과에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • Choo, Ki-Neung;Oh, Jun-Byoung
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.57-91
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    • 2012
  • This paper investigates determinants of litigation success in the two distinctive types of patent litigations, ex-parte and inter-parte cases, which are brought in the process where a filed application becomes a valid patent right. We regress winning rates of patent applicants on the characteristics of firms, trials, patent lawyer, and patent itself, using a probit model with sample selections. The paper finds that the relative suit rate of a firm, time to be sued, changes of patent agents by applicants, and multiple agents among explanatory variables affect ex-parte reexamination and in-parte post-grant patent trials differently in the point of average marginal effects. These variables lower the probability of applicant's victory in the ex-parte cases, while they raise the probability in the inter-parte trials. However, the experience that agents represent applicants is a winning rate-increasing factor both in inter-parte and ex-parte reexamination, unexpectedly. This result cannot be applied to the entire domain of the variable, since sample selection effects are reflected in the result. The number of claim increases the winning probability of the applicant in the both types of patent litigations. This study has some limitations because it ignores the information on the legal person to which a patent agent belongs, and confined agent's experience to patent filing. We leave it future studies to investigate the effects of lawsuit experience of patent agent, and those of characteristics of the law firm to which individual patent lawyer is affiliated.

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An Impact of Lane Speed Differentials on Lane-Changing Behavior (차로별 속도차가 차로변경에 미치는 영향)

  • 정성봉;박상조;박창호;전경수;엄문성
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 2002
  • 차로변경이 발생하는 두 가지 상황 즉, 강제 차로 변경과 선택적 차로 변경 중, 선택적 차로변경 상황에서 운전자가 수락 가능한 간격을 발견했을 때, 차로별 속도 차가 차로 변경 의사결정에 미치는 영향을 모사할 수 있는 모형식을 추정하였다. 즉, 선택적 차로 변경은 운전자의 차로 변경 여부에 대한 상황판단과 함께 목적 차로의 간격 수락여부에 대한 의사결정으로 이루어지는데, 본 논문에서는 목적 차로에 수락 가능한 간격이 존재할 경우 차로별 속도차가 운전자의 의사결정에 어떤 영향을 미치는지에 대해 분석하였다. 이를 위해, 운전자 의 의사결정에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 다른 요소 즉, 중차량, 기하구조, 및 합·분류의 영향을 최소화하는 지점을 선택하여 표본조사를 실시하였으며, 보다 설명력 있는 모형식을 얻기 위해 상관분석 등을 수행하여 불필요하다고 생각되는 변수는 제외시켰다. 또한, 운전자의 희망속도와 주행 속도 차에 의한 영향을 반영하기 위해 현 차로 속도를 부가적인 변수로 추가하였으며, 계수추정은 통계패키지인 SAS를 이용하였는데, 자료분석에 있어, 속도차 구간에 따라 다른 간격수락 특성을 보여 차로별 속도차를 0∼2.0m/s구간과 2∼11.52m/s구간으로 나누어 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과 속도차 0∼2.0m/s구간에서는 속도차가 증가할수록 차로 변경률이 높아졌으나, 2∼11.52m/s구간에서는 오히려 차로 변경률이 낮아지는 것으로 나타났는데, 이는 속도 차의 증감에 대해 운전자로 하여금 차로 변경을 유도하는 요소와 함께 저항하게 하는 요소가 있다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 분석결과. 2.0m/s 이상의 속도차에서 차로변경에 대한 저항이 상대적으로 크게 작용한다는 것을 알 수 있었으며, 도로 설계시 이를 반영하여 도로기하구조 및 안전성 등을 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 보인다.

거시경제변수(巨視經濟變數)와 주가(株價) - 한국주식시장(韓國株式市場)에서의 실증분석 -

  • Jeong, Gi-Ung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.111-129
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    • 1991
  • 본 논문에서는 재정가격결정모형(裁定價格決定模型)(Arbitrage Pricing Model)을 기초로 우리나라 주식시장에 영향을 주는 거시경제변수가 무엇인가를 찾고자 하였다. 방법론면에서는 과거변수(過去變數)(lagged variables)에 의해서만 기대치를 형성시키는 AIRMA(Autoregressike Integrated with Moving Average) 방법을 이용하기보다는 마코프속성(屬性)(Markov Property)을 갖는 상태공간모형(狀態空間模型) (State Space Model)을 이용하여 보다 합리적인 거시경제 요인의 이노베이션을 하였다. 또한 단순한 요인분석(要因分析)(factor analysis)에 의한 요인추출은 요인의 표본의존성(標本依存性)(Sample dependency)이 심하므로 그룹간 요인분석(inter-battery factor analysis)을 행하여 추정(推定)된 요인(要因)(요인값 : factor score)과 요인수를 결정하여 관련 거시경제변수를 선택한다. 그룹간 요인분석을 위한 그룹을 형성할 때 그룹내에서는 동질성을 그룹간에는 이질성을 최대한 살리는 것이 필요한데, 이를 위해 군집분석(群集分析)(Cluster Analysis)을 사용한 것이 특징이다. 결론적으로 우리나라 주식시장에 영향을 미치는 거시경제요인(巨視經濟要因)으로 단위노동비율, 제조업제품재고지수, 채권프리미엄, 수출물가지수, 정부부문 통화공급, 회사채수익률, 종합주가지수 등 7가지가 있는 것으로 분석되고 있다.

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Using Mixed Logit Model and Latent Class Model to Analyze Preference Heterogeneity in Choice Experiment Data (선택실험법 자료에서의 선호이질성 분석을 위한 혼합로짓모형 및 잠재계층모형의 활용)

  • Yoo, Byong Kook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.921-945
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    • 2012
  • Conditional Logit (CL) model is widely used since its model estimation and interpretation of results of the model is relatively easy, on the other hand, it has the limit of preference heterogeneity of respondents being not fully considered. In this study we used the two models, Mixed Logit (ML) Model and Latent Class Model (LCM) to explain preference heterogeneity of respondents for protection for Boryeong Dam wetland. As a result of the examination for heterogeneity in Boryeong city and six metropolitan areas, we found there was significant difference between two regions. While there was explicit preference heterogeneity within respondents in Boryeong city, we found little heterogeneity within respondents in six metropolitan areas. Thus in the case of six metropolitan areas, CL model can be used for parameter estimation while in the case of Boryeong city, WTP estimates are based on parameter estimates from ML model to reflect the heterogeneity within respondents. Additionally, ML model with interaction and 2-class LCM for respondents in Boryeong city were used to explain the sources of the heterogeneity. The ML model with interaction has advantage of explaining individual unobserved heterogeneity. However The comarison between these two models reflects the fact that LCM provided added information that was not conveyed in the ML model with interaction. Thus, Preference heterogeneity within respondents in this study may be better explained by class level through LCM rather than indiviual level through ML model.

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An outlier-adaptive forecast method for realized volatilities (이상치에 근거한 선택적 실현변동성 예측 방법)

  • Shin, Ji Won;Shin, Dong Wan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.323-334
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    • 2017
  • We note that the dynamics of realized volatilities (RVs) are near the boundary between stationarity and non-stationarity because RVs have persistent long-memory and are often subject to fairly large outlying values. To forecast realized volatility, we consider a new method that adaptively use models with and without unit root according to the abnormality of observed RV: heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model and the Integrated HAR (IHAR) model. The resulting method is called the IHAR-O-HAR method. In an out-of-sample forecast comparison for the realized volatility datasets of the 3 major indexes of the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and the Nikkei 225, the new IHAR-O-HAR method is shown superior to the existing HAR and IHAR method.