• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평활함수모형

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Saddlepoint Approximation to the Smooth Functions of Means Model (평균 벡터의 평활함수모형에 대한 안부점근사 -스튜던트화 분산을 중심으로-)

  • 나종화;김주성
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.333-344
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    • 2001
  • 통계적 추론에 사용되는 많은 통계량들은 평균벡터의 평활함수의 형태로 표현이 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 이들 통계량들의 분포함수에 대한 안부점근사법을 제시하였다. 이 방법은 Na(1998)에서 제시된 일반적 통계량의 분포함수에 대한 안부점근사법이 평균벡터의 평활함수모형에 특히 유용하게 사용될 수 있음을 보인 것이다. 이 근사법은 정규근사에 비해 근사의 정도가 뛰어나며, 특히 통계량의 꼬리부분의 확률에 대해서도 정확도가 그대로 유지되는 장점이 있어 정밀한 추론이 요구되는 많은 문제에 효과적으로 사용될 수 있다. 모의 실험에 사용할 평균벡터의 평활함수 모형으로는 스튜던트화 분산을 고려하였다.

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Performance comparison for automatic forecasting functions in R (R에서 자동화 예측 함수에 대한 성능 비교)

  • Oh, Jiu;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.645-655
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we investigate automatic functions for time series forecasting in R system and compare their performances. For the exponential smoothing models and ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) models, we focus on the representative time series forecasting functions in R: forecast::ets(), forecast::auto.arima(), smooth::es() and smooth::auto.ssarima(). In order to compare their forecast performances, we use M3-Competiti on data consisting of 3,003 time series and adopt 3 accuracy measures. It is confirmed that each of the four automatic forecasting functions has strengths and weaknesses in the flexibility and convenience for time series modeling, forecasting accuracy, and execution time.

Diagnostics for Estimated Smoothing Parameter by Generalized Maximum Likelihood Function (일반화최대우도함수에 의해 추정된 평활모수에 대한 진단)

  • Jung, Won-Tae;Lee, In-Suk;Jeong, Hae-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 1996
  • When we are estimate the smoothing parameter in spline regression model, we deal the diagnostic of influence observations as posteriori analysis. When we use Generalized Maximum Likelihood Function as the estimation method of smoothing parameter, we propose the diagnostic measure for influencial observations in the obtained estimate, and we introduce the finding method of the proper smoothing parameter estimate.

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Varying coefficient model with errors in variables (가변계수 측정오차 회귀모형)

  • Sohn, Insuk;Shim, Jooyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.971-980
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    • 2017
  • The varying coefficient regression model has gained lots of attention since it is capable to model dynamic changes of regression coefficients in many regression problems of science. In this paper we propose a varying coefficient regression model that effectively considers the errors on both input and response variables, which utilizes the kernel method in estimating the varying coefficient which is the unknown nonlinear function of smoothing variables. We provide a generalized cross validation method for choosing the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the proposed model. The proposed method is evaluated through numerical studies.

Projection Pursuit Regression for Binary Responses using Simulated Annealing (모의 담금질을 이용한 이진반응변수 사용추적회귀)

  • 박종선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.321-332
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문에서는 반응변수가 두 가지의 값을 갖는 회귀분석에 적용할 수 있는 사영추적회귀를 고려하였다. 회귀모형에 필요한 설명변수들의 선형결합이 하나이고 연결함수의 형태를 사전에 알지 못한다는 가정하에서 모의담금질 기법을 이용하여 모형에 필요한 선형결합을 찾는 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 이진 반응변수의 경우에는 평활모수의 값에 따라 잔차이탈도함수의 반응표면이 단봉의 형태를 갖지 않는 경우가 있어 비동질적 마코프체인을 이용한 모의담금질 기법을 적용하면 효율적으로 선형결합을 탐색할 수 있다.

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Selection of bandwidth for local linear composite quantile regression smoothing (국소 선형 복합 분위수 회귀에서의 평활계수 선택)

  • Jhun, Myoungshic;Kang, Jongkyeong;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.733-745
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    • 2017
  • Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

Nonparametric estimation of conditional quantile with censored data (조건부 분위수의 중도절단을 고려한 비모수적 추정)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Choi, Hyemi
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.211-222
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    • 2013
  • We consider the problem of nonparametrically estimating the conditional quantile function from censored data and propose new estimators here. They are based on local logistic regression technique of Lee et al. (2006) and "double-kernel" technique of Yu and Jones (1998) respectively, which are modified versions under random censoring. We compare those with two existing estimators based on a local linear fits using the check function approach. The comparison is done by a simulation study.