• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평점 예측

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Study on prediction for a film success using text mining (텍스트 마이닝을 활용한 영화흥행 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Sanghun;Cho, Jangsik;Kang, Changwan;Choi, Seungbae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1259-1269
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    • 2015
  • Recently, big data is positioning as a keyword in the academic circles. And usefulness of big data is carried into government, a local public body and enterprise as well as academic circles. Also they are endeavoring to obtain useful information in big data. This research mainly deals with analyses of box office success or failure of films using text mining. For data, it used a portal site 'D' and film review data, grade point average and the number of screens gained from the Korean Film Commission. The purpose of this paper is to propose a model to predict whether a film is success or not using these data. As a result of analysis, the correct classification rate by the prediction model method proposed in this paper is obtained 95.74%.

A Study on Improvement of Collaborative Filtering Based on Implicit User Feedback Using RFM Multidimensional Analysis (RFM 다차원 분석 기법을 활용한 암시적 사용자 피드백 기반 협업 필터링 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Seong;Kim, Jaeyoung;Kang, Byeongwook
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.139-161
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    • 2019
  • The utilization of the e-commerce market has become a common life style in today. It has become important part to know where and how to make reasonable purchases of good quality products for customers. This change in purchase psychology tends to make it difficult for customers to make purchasing decisions in vast amounts of information. In this case, the recommendation system has the effect of reducing the cost of information retrieval and improving the satisfaction by analyzing the purchasing behavior of the customer. Amazon and Netflix are considered to be the well-known examples of sales marketing using the recommendation system. In the case of Amazon, 60% of the recommendation is made by purchasing goods, and 35% of the sales increase was achieved. Netflix, on the other hand, found that 75% of movie recommendations were made using services. This personalization technique is considered to be one of the key strategies for one-to-one marketing that can be useful in online markets where salespeople do not exist. Recommendation techniques that are mainly used in recommendation systems today include collaborative filtering and content-based filtering. Furthermore, hybrid techniques and association rules that use these techniques in combination are also being used in various fields. Of these, collaborative filtering recommendation techniques are the most popular today. Collaborative filtering is a method of recommending products preferred by neighbors who have similar preferences or purchasing behavior, based on the assumption that users who have exhibited similar tendencies in purchasing or evaluating products in the past will have a similar tendency to other products. However, most of the existed systems are recommended only within the same category of products such as books and movies. This is because the recommendation system estimates the purchase satisfaction about new item which have never been bought yet using customer's purchase rating points of a similar commodity based on the transaction data. In addition, there is a problem about the reliability of purchase ratings used in the recommendation system. Reliability of customer purchase ratings is causing serious problems. In particular, 'Compensatory Review' refers to the intentional manipulation of a customer purchase rating by a company intervention. In fact, Amazon has been hard-pressed for these "compassionate reviews" since 2016 and has worked hard to reduce false information and increase credibility. The survey showed that the average rating for products with 'Compensated Review' was higher than those without 'Compensation Review'. And it turns out that 'Compensatory Review' is about 12 times less likely to give the lowest rating, and about 4 times less likely to leave a critical opinion. As such, customer purchase ratings are full of various noises. This problem is directly related to the performance of recommendation systems aimed at maximizing profits by attracting highly satisfied customers in most e-commerce transactions. In this study, we propose the possibility of using new indicators that can objectively substitute existing customer 's purchase ratings by using RFM multi-dimensional analysis technique to solve a series of problems. RFM multi-dimensional analysis technique is the most widely used analytical method in customer relationship management marketing(CRM), and is a data analysis method for selecting customers who are likely to purchase goods. As a result of verifying the actual purchase history data using the relevant index, the accuracy was as high as about 55%. This is a result of recommending a total of 4,386 different types of products that have never been bought before, thus the verification result means relatively high accuracy and utilization value. And this study suggests the possibility of general recommendation system that can be applied to various offline product data. If additional data is acquired in the future, the accuracy of the proposed recommendation system can be improved.

An Empirical Study on Hybrid Recommendation System Using Movie Lens Data (무비렌즈 데이터를 이용한 하이브리드 추천 시스템에 대한 실증 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Wook;Kim, Sung-Geun;Kang, Juyoung
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the popularity of the recommendation system and the evaluation of the performance of the algorithm of the recommendation system have become important. In this study, we used modeling and RMSE to verify the effectiveness of various algorithms in movie data. The data of this study is based on user-based collaborative filtering using Pearson correlation coefficient, item-based collaborative filtering using cosine correlation coefficient, and item-based collaborative filtering model using singular value decomposition. As a result of evaluating the scores with three recommendation models, we found that item-based collaborative filtering accuracy is much higher than user-based collaborative filtering, and it is found that matrix recommendation is better when using matrix decomposition.

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Online Reviews Analysis for Prediction of Product Ratings based on Topic Modeling (토픽 모델링에 기반한 온라인 상품 평점 예측을 위한 온라인 사용 후기 분석)

  • Park, Sang Hyun;Moon, Hyun Sil;Kim, Jae Kyeong
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2017
  • Customers have been affected by others' opinions when they make a purchase. Thanks to the development of technologies, people are sharing their experiences such as reviews or ratings through online or social network services, However, although ratings are intuitive information for others, many reviews include only texts without ratings. Also, because of huge amount of reviews, customers and companies can't read all of them so they are hard to evaluate to a product without ratings. Therefore, in this study, we propose a methodology to predict ratings based on reviews for a product. In a methodology, we first estimate the topic-review matrix using the Latent Dirichlet Allocation technic which is widely used in topic modeling. Next, we predict ratings based on the topic-review matrix using the artificial neural network model which is based on the backpropagation algorithm. Through experiments with actual reviews, we find that our methodology can predict ratings based on customers' reviews. And our methodology performs better with reviews which include certain opinions. As a result, our study can be used for customers and companies that want to know exactly a product with ratings. Moreover, we hope that our study leads to the implementation of future studies that combine machine learning and topic modeling.

Predicting Missing Ratings of Each Evaluation Criteria for Hotel by Analyzing User Reviews (사용자 리뷰 분석을 통한 호텔 평가 항목별 누락 평점 예측 방법론)

  • Lee, Donghoon;Boo, Hyunkyung;Kim, Namgyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.161-176
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    • 2017
  • Recently, most of the users can easily get access to a variety of information sources about companies, products, and services through online channels. Therefore, the online user evaluations are becoming the most powerful tool to generate word of mouth. The user's evaluation is provided in two forms, quantitative rating and review text. The rating is then divided into an overall rating and a detailed rating according to various evaluation criteria. However, since it is a burden for the reviewer to complete all required ratings for each evaluation criteria, so most of the sites requested only mandatory inputs for overall rating and optional inputs for other evaluation criteria. In fact, many users input only the ratings for some of the evaluation criteria and the percentage of missed ratings for each criteria is about 40%. As these missed ratings are the missing values in each criteria, the simple average calculation by ignoring the average 40% of the missed ratings can sufficiently distort the actual phenomenon. Therefore, in this study, we propose a methodology to predict the rating for the missed values of each criteria by analyzing user's evaluation information included the overall rating and text review for each criteria. The experiments were conducted on 207,968 evaluations collected from the actual hotel evaluation site. As a result, it was confirmed that the prediction accuracy of the detailed criteria ratings by the proposed methodology was much higher than the existing average-based method.

The Quality Characteristic of Ginseng Cultured in Bioreactor System (생물반응기에서 배양된 인삼의 품질 특성)

  • 김경은;정용진;이인선
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2002
  • In the present study, we investigated the quality characteristic of ginseng cultured in bioreactor system and the optimum recipe condition of the liquid tea using cultured ginseng. The contents of soluble solid and crude saponin in cultured ginseng were 31.8% and 1.94%, respectively, which were lower than commercial ginseng. In the concentrated extract, crude saponin content was 4.77% and the contents of ginsenoside Rc, Re and Rg$_1$were 7.36, 4.40 and 1.75 mg/g, respectively. The ginsenoside Rb$_1$and Rb$_2$, main contents of commercial ginseng, were not detected. The optimum ranges of recipe on organoleptic properties of ginseng liquid tea were estimated on 9.0~10.4% of the extract, 6.8~8.1% of apple vinegar and 40% of fructose. The liquid tea using commercial ginseng showed higher scores of sensory lest than the liquid tea using cultured ginseng in bioreactor system at the given condition, 10% of the extract, 7% ofapple vinegar and 40% of fructose, with the same recipe condition ranges.

Effects of Online Engagement on Uses of Digital Paid Contents (온라인 관여가 디지털 유료 콘텐츠 이용에 미치는 영향)

  • Yang, JungAe;Song, Indeok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.468-481
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to empirically investigate how users' online engagement behaviors predict their uses of paid contents. To this end, the data from the 2016 Korean Media Panel Survey, which has been conducted annually by the Korea Information Society Development Institute(KISDI), were analyzed. Major findings(N=8.313) were as follows. First, the active type of online engagement(e.g., posting, commenting), which contributes to direct creation of online contents, was the most powerful predictor to explain the DV. On the other hand, relatively passive actions of user engagement(e.g., sharing, endorsing, voting) turned out to have no significant effects on the uses of paid contents, just as personality traits and online privacy concerns did. Based on these results, it is recommended that online contents or platform service providers should try to establish clearly-targeted marketing strategies, after thoroughly collecting and analyzing the data of users' various online behaviors.

Improvement of UCI Metadata and Resolution Service for Massive Contents Recommendation (대규모 콘텐츠 추천을 지원하기 위한 UCI 메타데이터와 변환서비스의 기능 개선)

  • Na, Moon-Sung;Lee, Jae-Dong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.475-486
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    • 2010
  • Contents Recommender System predicts user's preferences towards contents, and then recommends highly-predicted contents to user. Digital Identifier plays its part in identifying abstract works or digital contents in digital network environment. Digital Identifier could be effectively used in content-based filtering and collaborative filtering that are mainly used in Contents Recommender Systems. Therefore, this paper proposes an improvement of UCI metadata and resolution service for effective use of UCI in massive contents recommender systems. UCI metadata is expanded by adding elements such as abstract, keyword, genre, age, rate and review. Resolution service allows the operation systems to collect user preference for content by including input part of preference in a result page. This paper also designs and implements an improved UCI operation system and shows that the proposed improvement of UCI metadata and resolution service could be used for massive contents recommendation.

LSTM-based Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: The Case of Corporate Credit Score Prediction (시계열 예측을 위한 LSTM 기반 딥러닝: 기업 신용평점 예측 사례)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sang;Oh, Sehwan
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.241-265
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Various machine learning techniques are used to implement for predicting corporate credit. However, previous research doesn't utilize time series input features and has a limited prediction timing. Furthermore, in the case of corporate bond credit rating forecast, corporate sample is limited because only large companies are selected for corporate bond credit rating. To address limitations of prior research, this study attempts to implement a predictive model with more sample companies, which can adjust the forecasting point at the present time by using the credit score information and corporate information in time series. Design/methodology/approach To implement this forecasting model, this study uses the sample of 2,191 companies with KIS credit scores for 18 years from 2000 to 2017. For improving the performance of the predictive model, various financial and non-financial features are applied as input variables in a time series through a sliding window technique. In addition, this research also tests various machine learning techniques that were traditionally used to increase the validity of analysis results, and the deep learning technique that is being actively researched of late. Findings RNN-based stateful LSTM model shows good performance in credit rating prediction. By extending the forecasting time point, we find how the performance of the predictive model changes over time and evaluate the feature groups in the short and long terms. In comparison with other studies, the results of 5 classification prediction through label reclassification show good performance relatively. In addition, about 90% accuracy is found in the bad credit forecasts.

Effect of online word-of-mouth variables as predictors of box office (영화 흥행 예측변수로서 온라인 구전 변수의 효과)

  • Jeon, Seonghyeon;Son, Young Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.657-678
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    • 2016
  • This study deals with the effect of online word-of-mouth (OWOM) variables on the box office. From the result of statistical analysis on 276 films with audiences of more than five hundred thousand released in the Korea from 2012 to 2015, it can be seen that the variables showing the size of OWOM (such as the number of the portal movie rater, blog, and news after release) are associated more with the box office than the portal movie rating showing the direction of OWOM as well as variables showing the inherent properties of the film such as grade, nationality, release month, release season, directors, actors, and distributors.