• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균 모델

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Crossing Dynamics of Leader-guided Two Flocks (우두머리가 있는 두 생물무리의 가로지르기 동역학)

  • Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2010
  • In field, one can observe without difficulties that two flocks are intersected or combined with each other. For example, a fish flock in a stream separates into two part by obstacles (e.g. stone) and rejoins behind the obstacles. The dynamics of two flocks guided by their leader were studied in the situation where the flocks cross each other with a crossing angle, ${\theta}$, between their moving directions. Each leader is unaffected by its flock members whereas each member is influenced by its leader and other members. To understand the dynamics, I investigated the order parameter, ${\phi}$, defined by the absolute value of the average unit velocity of the flocks' members. When the two flocks were encountered, the first peak in ${\phi}$ was appeared due to the breaking of the flocks' momentum balance. When the flocks began to separate, the second peak in ${\phi}$ was observed. Subsequently, erratic peaks were emerged by some individuals that were delayed to rejoin their flock. The amplitude of the two peaks, $d_1$ (first) and $d_2$ (second), were measured. Interestingly, they exhibited a synchronized behavior for different ${\theta}$. This simulation model can be a useful tool to explore animal behavior and to develop multi-agent robot systems.

Early Prediction of Fine Dust Concentration in Seoul using Weather and Fine Dust Information (기상 및 미세먼지 정보를 활용한 서울시의 미세먼지 농도 조기 예측)

  • HanJoo Lee;Minkyu Jee;Hakdong Kim;Taeheul Jun;Cheongwon Kim
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.285-292
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the impact of fine dust on health has become a major topic. Fine dust is dangerous because it can penetrate the body and affect the respiratory system, without being filtered out by the mucous membrane in the nose. Since fine dust is directly related to the industry, it is practically impossible to completely remove it. Therefore, if the concentration of fine dust can be predicted in advance, pre-emptive measures can be taken to minimize its impact on the human body. Fine dust can travel over 600km in a day, so it not only affects neighboring areas, but also distant regions. In this paper, wind direction and speed data and a time series prediction model were used to predict the concentration of fine dust in Seoul, and the correlation between the concentration of fine dust in Seoul and the concentration in each region was confirmed. In addition, predictions were made using the concentration of fine dust in each region and in Seoul. The lowest MAE (mean absolute error) in the prediction results was 12.13, which was about 15.17% better than the MAE of 14.3 presented in previous studies.

Deep Learning based Estimation of Depth to Bearing Layer from In-situ Data (딥러닝 기반 국내 지반의 지지층 깊이 예측)

  • Jang, Young-Eun;Jung, Jaeho;Han, Jin-Tae;Yu, Yonggyun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2022
  • The N-value from the Standard Penetration Test (SPT), which is one of the representative in-situ test, is an important index that provides basic geological information and the depth of the bearing layer for the design of geotechnical structures. In the aspect of time and cost-effectiveness, there is a need to carry out a representative sampling test. However, the various variability and uncertainty are existing in the soil layer, so it is difficult to grasp the characteristics of the entire field from the limited test results. Thus the spatial interpolation techniques such as Kriging and IDW (inverse distance weighted) have been used for predicting unknown point from existing data. Recently, in order to increase the accuracy of interpolation results, studies that combine the geotechnics and deep learning method have been conducted. In this study, based on the SPT results of about 22,000 holes of ground survey, a comparative study was conducted to predict the depth of the bearing layer using deep learning methods and IDW. The average error among the prediction results of the bearing layer of each analysis model was 3.01 m for IDW, 3.22 m and 2.46 m for fully connected network and PointNet, respectively. The standard deviation was 3.99 for IDW, 3.95 and 3.54 for fully connected network and PointNet. As a result, the point net deep learing algorithm showed improved results compared to IDW and other deep learning method.

Factor Analysis Affecting on the Charterage of Capesize Bulk Carriers (케이프사이즈 용선료에 미치는 영향 요인분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.125-145
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    • 2018
  • The Baltic Shipping Exchange is reporting the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) which represents the average charter rate for bulk carriers transporting major cargoes such as iron ore, coal, grain, and so on. And the current BDI index is reflected in the proportion of capesize 40%, panamax 30% and spramax 30%. Like mentioned above, the capesize plays a major role among the various sizes of bulk carriers and this study is to analyze the influence of the factors influencing on charter rate of capesize carriers which transport iron ore and coal as the major cargoes. For this purpose, this study verified causality between variables using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and tried to derive a long-run equilibrium model between the dependent variable and independent variables. Regression analysis showed that every six independent variable has a significant effect on the capesize charter rate, even at the 1% level of significance. Charter rate decreases by 0.08% when capesize total fleet increases by 1%, charter rate increases by 0.04% when bunker oil price increases by 1%, and charter rate decreases by 0.01% when Yen/Dollar rate increases by 1%. And charter rate increases by 0.02% when global GDP increases by one unit (1%). In addition, the increase in cargo volume of iron ore and coal which are major transportation items of capesize carriers has also been shown to increase charter rates. Charter rate increases by 0.11% in case of 1% increase in iron ore cargo volume, and 0.09% in case of 1% increase in coal cargo volume. Although there have been some studies to analyze the influence of factors affecting the charterage of bulk carriers in the past, there have been few studies on the analysis of specific size vessels. At present moment when ship size is getting bigger, this study carried out research on capesize vessels, which are biggest among bulk carriers, and whose utilization is continuously increasing. This study is also expected to contribute to the establishment of trade policies for specific cargoes such as iron ore and coal.

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Equivalent Stress Distribution of a Stepped Bar with Hole under Torsional Loading (구멍이 있는 단이 진 비틀림 봉의 등가응력분포)

  • Kang, Eun Hye;Kim, Young Chul;Kim, Myung Soo;Baek, Tae Hyun
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.411-419
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    • 2017
  • Stress concentration is one of the causes of the damage due to the large stress than the mean stress acting on the bar. This paper presents the results for stress of a stepped bar with a hole under torsional loading. The analysis for stress concentration and shearing stress was done by ANSYS Workbench which is a commercial finite element analysis software. The analysis results on fillet and hole are increased as the distance between them are become close. In addition, the distribution of the maximum equivalent stress developed in the fillet and hole in the outside range of the specific distance L (-100 mm ~ 300 mm) was almost constant in the models used in the analysis. On the other hand, the distribution of the maximum equivalent stress developed in the fillet and hole in the inside range of the specific distance L (-100 mm ~ 300 mm) was rapidly increasing and decreasing the change in the models used in the analysis. In addition, it was also possible to identify the location where the differences between equivalent stresses of hole and fillet occurred within a specific distance L (-100 mm ~ 300 mm). The analysis results of paper can used when selecting a hole location in a stepped bar under torsional loading.

Uncertainty Estimation of Single-Channel Temperature Estimation Algorithm for Atmospheric Conditions in the Seas around the Korean Peninsula (한반도 주변해역 대기환경에 대한 싱글채널 온도추정 알고리즘의 불확도 추정)

  • Jong Hyuk Lee;Kyung Woong Kang;Seungil Baek;Wonkook Kim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 2023
  • Temperature of the Earth's surface is a crucial physical variable in understanding weather and atmospheric dynamics and in coping with extreme heat events that have a great impact on living organismsincluding humans. Thermalsensors on satellites have been a useful meansfor acquiring surface temperature information for wide areas on the globe, and thus characterization of its estimation uncertainty is of central importance for the utilization of the data. Among various factors that affect the estimation, the uncertainty caused by the algorithm itself has not been tested for the atmospheric environment of Korean vicinity. Thisstudy derivesthe uncertainty of the single-channel algorithm under the local atmospheric and oceanic conditions by using reanalysis data and buoy temperature data collected around Korea. Atmospheric profiles were retrieved from two types of reanalysis data, the fifth generation of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis of the global climate and weather (ERA5) and Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications-2 (MERRA-2) to investigate the effect of reanalysis data. MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission (MODTRAN) was used as a radiative transfer code for simulating top of atmosphere radiance and the atmospheric correction for the temperature estimation. Water temperatures used for MODTRAN simulations and uncertainty estimation for the single-channel algorithm were obtained from marine weather buoyslocated in seas around the Korean Peninsula. Experiment results showed that the uncertainty of the algorithm varies by the water vapor contents in the atmosphere and is around 0.35K in the driest atmosphere and 0.46K in overall, regardless of the reanalysis data type. The uncertainty increased roughly in a linear manner as total precipitable water increased.

Evaluation of Management Plan for Water Quality Improvement of Hoengseong Dam (횡성댐 유역 수질개선을 위한 관리방안 평가)

  • Choi, Yujin;Lee, Seoro;Yang, Dong Seok;Hong, Jiyeong;Lim, Kyoungjae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.251-251
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    • 2020
  • 원주시를 비롯한 남한강 지류인 섬강의 중·하류 지역에서의 물 부족 및 수해를 방지를 위하여 남한강 지류인 섬강 유역에 횡성댐이 건설되었다. 그러나 상수원으로 이용되는 타 댐에 비해 횡성댐의 최근 5년간 TOC와 BOD5의 평균 농도가 높은 것으로 나타났다. 횡성댐 유역의 수질 오염은 원주시와 횡성군의 식수원인 횡성호의 수질에도 악영향을 미치게 되어 이에 대한 개선책이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 횡성댐 유역의 주요 유입하천을 대상으로 오염원 현황을 파악하고 홍수기 유량·수질 모니터링을 통한 오염원 특성 및 기여도를 분석하였다. 이를 바탕으로 SWAT 모형을 구축한 후 횡성댐 유역 내 주요 우심하천인 구사천과 횡성댐 말단 지역에 대해 적용 가능한 총 5가지의 수질개선 대책 시나리오를 구성하여 유역 모델링을 통한 전체유황, 홍·풍·평수기, 저·갈수기 수질 오염 저감 효과를 분석하였으며, 추가적인 수질개선 대책으로 지역적 특성을 반영하여 오염원별 다양한 관리대책을 제시하였다. 우심하천인 구사천의 경우 마을하수도 설치에 대한 오염부하 저감 효과와 벌목에 대한 오염부하 영향에 대한 시나리오를 모델 내 적용하여 분석하였다. 또한 횡성댐 유역 말단에 대해 비가림시설 및 유출방지턱 설치에 따른 오염부하 저감 효과, 표준시비량 적용 및 농업BMPs(물꼬관리, 완효성비료, 볏짚피복, 초생대)에 따른 오염부하 저감 효과를 분석하였다. 시나리오별 수질개선 효과를 분석한 결과, BOD5는 최소 0.1 ~ 11.6%의 수질개선 효과가 있었으며, T-N은 0.1 ~ 22.3%, T-P는 0.1 ~ 31.8%, TOC는 0.1 ~ 3.8%의 수질개선 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 각 수질항목별 시나리오를 분석한 결과, 비가림시설 및 유출방지턱과 축산분뇨 위탁처리 시나리오, 경작지 표준 시비량 시비 및 농업 최적관리 적용 시나리오의 오염원 저감 효율이 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다. 향후 본 연구에서 제시한 오염저감 시나리오와 수질개선 대책 등을 통해 도출된 결과는 횡성댐 유역의 수질 개선을 위한 대책 수립에 기여할 수 있을 것이라고 판단되나, 횡성호 상류유역의 수질개선만 고려했기 때문에 호소 내 수질관리에 대한 후속 연구가 추가적으로 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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Optimal Capacity Determination of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Technology Based Trigeneration System And Prediction of Semi-closed Greenhouse Dynamic Energy Loads Using Building Energy Simulation (건물 에너지 시뮬레이션을 이용한 반밀폐형 온실의 동적 에너지 부하 예측 및 수소연료전지 3중 열병합 시스템 적정 용량 산정)

  • Seung-Hun Lee;Rack-Woo Kim;Chan-Min Kim;Hee-Woong Seok;Sungwook Yoon
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2023
  • Hydrogen has gained attention as an environmentally friendly energy source among various renewable options, however, its application in agriculture remains limited. This study aims to apply the hydrogen fuel cell triple heat-combining system, originally not designed for greenhouses, to greenhouses in order to save energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. This system can produce heating, cooling, and electricity from hydrogen while recovering waste heat. To implement a hydrogen fuel cell triple heat-combining system in a greenhouse, it is crucial to evaluate the greenhouse's heating and cooling load. Accurate analysis of these loads requires considering factors such as greenhouse configuration, existing heating and cooling systems, and specific crop types being cultivated. Consequently, this study aimed to estimate the cooling and heating load using building energy simulation (BES). This study collected and analyzed meteorological data from 2012 to 2021 for semi-enclosed greenhouses cultivating tomatoes in Jeonju City. The covering material and framework were modeled based on the greenhouse design, and crop energy and soil energy were taken into account. To verify the effectiveness of the building energy simulation, we conducted analyses with and without crops, as well as static and dynamic energy analyses. Furthermore, we calculated the average maximum heating capacity of 449,578 kJ·h-1 and the average cooling capacity of 431,187 kJ·h-1 from the monthly maximum cooling and heating load analyses.

Soil Respiration Rates in Cryptomeria japonica D. Don, Chamaecyparis obtusa Endl., and Quercus glauca Thunb. Stands (삼나무, 편백, 종가시나무 임분의 토양호흡에 관한 연구)

  • Gyeongrin Baek;Gyeongwon Baek;Byeonggil Choi;Hojin Kim;Jihyun Lee;Choonsig Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2023
  • The quantification of soil respiration rates is important to understand carbon cycles of forest ecosystems. Soil respiration rates were assessed using Li-8100A soil flux system in one evergreen broadleaved (Quercus glauca Thunb.) and two coniferous (Cryptomeria japonica D. Don and Chamaecyparis obtusa Endl.) stands from May 2020 to April 2022 in southern Korea. Monthly variations of soil respiration rates were higher in the Q. glauca stand than in the C. japonica and the C. obtusa stands. The mean soil respiration rates were significantly higher in the Q. glauca stand (2.63µmol m-2 s-1) than in the C. japonica (0.93µmol m-2 s-1) and C. obtusa (0.99µmol m-2 s-1) stands. The three stands showed exponential relationships between soil respiration rates and soil temperature (R2 = 0.44-0.80). The sensitivity of temperature (Q10 values) to soil respiration rates was highest in the Q. glauca stand (5.13), followed by the C. obtusa (3.10) and C. japonica (2.58) stands. These results indicate that soil respiration rates can be increased more in evergreen broadleaved stands than in coniferous stands under enhanced soil temperature.

Detecting Vehicles That Are Illegally Driving on Road Shoulders Using Faster R-CNN (Faster R-CNN을 이용한 갓길 차로 위반 차량 검출)

  • Go, MyungJin;Park, Minju;Yeo, Jiho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2022
  • According to the statistics about the fatal crashes that have occurred on the expressways for the last 5 years, those who died on the shoulders of the road has been as 3 times high as the others who died on the expressways. It suggests that the crashes on the shoulders of the road should be fatal, and that it would be important to prevent the traffic crashes by cracking down on the vehicles intruding the shoulders of the road. Therefore, this study proposed a method to detect a vehicle that violates the shoulder lane by using the Faster R-CNN. The vehicle was detected based on the Faster R-CNN, and an additional reading module was configured to determine whether there was a shoulder violation. For experiments and evaluations, GTAV, a simulation game that can reproduce situations similar to the real world, was used. 1,800 images of training data and 800 evaluation data were processed and generated, and the performance according to the change of the threshold value was measured in ZFNet and VGG16. As a result, the detection rate of ZFNet was 99.2% based on Threshold 0.8 and VGG16 93.9% based on Threshold 0.7, and the average detection speed for each model was 0.0468 seconds for ZFNet and 0.16 seconds for VGG16, so the detection rate of ZFNet was about 7% higher. The speed was also confirmed to be about 3.4 times faster. These results show that even in a relatively uncomplicated network, it is possible to detect a vehicle that violates the shoulder lane at a high speed without pre-processing the input image. It suggests that this algorithm can be used to detect violations of designated lanes if sufficient training datasets based on actual video data are obtained.