• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균분석

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New seasonal moving average filters for X-13-ARIMA (X-13-ARIMA에서의 새로운 계절이동평균필터 개발 연구)

  • Shim, Kyuho;Kang, Gunseog
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.231-242
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    • 2016
  • X-13-ARIMA (a popular time series analysis software) provides $3{\times}3$, $3{\times}5$, $3{\times}9$, $3{\times}15$ moving average filters for seasonal adjustment. However, there has been questions on their performance and the need for new filters is a constant topic due to Korean economic time series often containing higher irregularity and more various seasonality than other countries. In this study, two newly developed seasonal moving average filters, $3{\times}7$ and $3{\times}11$, are introduced. New filters were implemented in X-13-ARIMA and applied to 15 economic time series to demonstrate their suitability and reliability. The result shows that some series are more stable when using new seasonal moving average filters. More accurate time series analyses would be possible if newly proposed filters are used together with existing filters.

Runoff Characteristics of Non-point Source Pollutants in apple cultivation (사과재배지의 비점오염물질 유출특성)

  • Park, Woon Ji;Jeon, Je Hong;Lee, Hae Seung;Lee, Young Joon;Choi, Joong Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.402-402
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 사과재배지에서 발생하는 비점오염물질 유출 및 수질특성을 살펴보고자 2014년 5월부터 9월까지의 총 15회의 강우사상에 대해 유출특성을 분석하고 오염물질별 유량가중평균농도(Event Mean Concentration, EMC) 및 오염부하를 산정하였다. 모니터링 기간동안 3.2~80.3 mm의 강우가 발생하였으며, 조사된 총 15회의 event 중 3회 유출이 발생하였다. 강우강도는 0.39~4.46 mm/hr의 범위로 나타났으며, 선행무강우일수는 0.3~20.1일, 총 유출량은 $2.7{\sim}100.8m^3$, 유출율은 0.02~0.3의 범위로 나타났다. 강우모니터링 결과, EMC는 TOC 7.1~18.7 mg/L(평균 12.0 mg/L), BOD 4.3~7.8 mg/L(평균 5.9 mg/L), COD 16.9~30.2 mg/L(평균 22.3 mg/L), SS 35.6~738.1 mg/L(평균 293.1 mg/L), T-N 2.342~11.043 mg/L(평균 6.563 mg/L) 그리고 T-P 1.563~2.563 mg/L(평균 1.961 mg/L)의 범위로 나타났으며, 각 강우사상에 대한 단위면적당 오염부하는 TOC 0.12~2.4 kg/ha, $BOD_5$ 0.03~1.0kg/ha, $COD_{Mn}$ 0.12~7.1 kg/ha, SS 0.34~173 kg/ha, T-N 0.068~1.478 kg/ha, T-P 0.011~0.601 kg/ha의 범위로 산정되었다. 사과재배지의 경우 대부분 투수지역으로 강우 초기에 지하로 침투하는 양이 많기 때문에 초기세척효과는 크게 발생하지 않는 것으로 나타났으며, 대체적으로 30 mm 이하의 강우에서는 유출이 발생하지 않는 것으로 분석되었다. 하지만, 사과재배지에서 발생하는 비점오염물질의 유출특성은 기상조건 및 영농활동 조건등에 따라 상이하게 나타나기 때문에 강우시 비점오염원 유출특성을 보다 정량적으로 파악하기 위해서는 체계적이고 지속적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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Binocular Visual Functions Effect of Vision Therapy Programs : A Meta-Analysis (Vision Therapy 프로그램의 양안시기능 개선 효과에 대한 메타분석)

  • Lee, Jeong-Yun;Park, Chun Man
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: In order to aggregate effect of the improvement of binocular vision function by vision therapy, total mean effect size, mean effect size by dependent variables, and effect size by characteristics of the subjects and characteristics of treatment were analyzed by meta-analysis. Methods: We analyzed data from 14 Korean National primary studies, which reported effects of vision therapy programs, using meta-analysis. Results: The effect size of total mean was 1.207, which showed high effect. The mean effect size according to the subcategory of the binocular dysfunctions was the highest for vergence dysfunctions group (2.989), followed by accommodative dysfunctions group (0.868) and group with both vergence dysfunctions and accommodative dysfunctions (0.692). The effect size according to the characteristics of the subjects was the highest in the vision therapy conducted in the binocular dysfunctions group (2.509) that had no other dysfunctions. The mean effect size according to the number of programs was the highest (2.310) for 7 times a week. Vision therapy for improving the binocular functions was the most effective (2.019) in 8 weeks later from vision therapy start. Conclusions: It can prove that the therapy for the improvement of binocular vision function is effective through that each result of the vision therapy effect is converted to mean effect size, and being objectifying the mean effect size.

An Analysis of Change in Traffic Demand with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (코로나바이러스감염증-19로 인한 교통수요 변화 분석)

  • Lim, Sung Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.106-118
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    • 2020
  • This study examined the impact of COVID-19 on traffic demand (Average Daily Traffic : ADT) by analyzing the available data on highway traffic volume and the spread of COVID-19 cases in Korea. This study used the data from 228 permanent traffic counts (PTCs) on highways from January to May of 2019 and 2020 to analyze the change in ADT. The first cases of infection in Korea occurred on January 20, 2020, and the maximum daily number of infections was 909 on February 29. On April 30, 2020, the daily number of infections decreased to four. The ADT decreased by 3.3% due to the impact of COVID-19. Considering that the traffic volume has increased 2.3% annually over the past decade, the actual decrease in ADT due to the COVID-19 is estimated to be 5.6% (3.3% + 2.3%). The ADT for weekends decreased significantly, compared to during the week. An analysis of the changes in ADT according to the road type revealed decreases in the following: urban roads -4.6%, rural roads -3.2%, and recreational roads -0.7%. Urban roads decreased the most, and tourist roads decreased the least.

Analysis of Hydrological Characteristics of the Chantancheon Catchment 2016 (2016년 차탄천 유역의 수문특성 분석)

  • Kim, Dong Phil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.437-441
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    • 2017
  • 우리나라는 전 국토의 70%가 산지이고 하천경사가 다른 나라에 비해 상대적으로 급하여 홍수 관리에 매우 불리한 조건을 가지고 있으며, 특히 홍수기간의 집중호우 및 돌발홍수는 인명과 재산의 막대한 피해를 입히고 있다. 최근은 기후변화로 인하여 극심한 홍수, 가뭄 등 재해의 발생빈도가 증가하는 추세로 기후변화의 영향을 최소화할 수 있는 수재해 방재관리가 필요한 상황이다. 중 대하천의 경우에는 비교적 수재해 방재관리가 잘 이루어지고 있으나, 소하천(일부 중하천 포함)의 경우에는 취약한 구조를 보이고 있다. 특히 홍수기간(7월~9월)의 인명과 재산의 피해는 주로 소하천 위주로 발생하고 있으며, 사전 사후의 체계적인 대응이 이루어지지 못하고 있다. 수재해 방재관리를 위해서는 일차적으로 수문자료의 획득에 있으며, 그 이후 해당유역에 적합한 수재해 대응을 위한 체계적인 방법론과 방재시스템 개발 운영이 수반되어야 안전한 방재관리를 할 수 있다. 따라서 수재해 방재관리 체계를 구축하기 위해서는 중 소규모 유역 단위를 대상으로 지속적이고 신뢰성 있는 자료의 획득과 축적이 중요하므로 중 소규모 유역 단위의 대표성 있는 시험유역의 운영은 매우 의미가 있다고 볼 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 한국건설기술연구원에서 운영하는 차탄천 유역(유역면적 $190.64km^2$, 유로경사 0.96%, 경기도 연천군 소재)의 신뢰성 높은 2016년 관측자료를 이용하여 강우특성, 유출특성, 증발산량 등 수문특성을 분석하였으며, 과거 관측결과와 비교하였다. 강우특성 분석으로는 호우사상 분리, 주요 호우사상 분석, 지속기간별 최대강우량, 시간분포 등이 있다. 2016년은 2015년보다 최대 강우지속기간은 적게, 평균 강우지속기간은 크게, 최대 강우강도와 평균 강우강도는 모두 적게 나타나는 호우의 특징을 보이나, 설마천 유역과 같이 50mm 이상의 호우사상수의 증가에 기인하여 연 총강우량 증가로 유출률이 증가하는 유출특성을 보인다. 2016년의 하천유출률은 강우량 대비 39.6%(장진교, 유역출구)와 58.9%(보막교, 중간 소유역)로 과거 2012년~2015년의 평균 유출률 48.9%와는 다소 차이를 보인다. 2015년의 장진교 38.2%는 차이를 보이지 않으나, 보막교의 38.3%는 많은 차이를 보인다. 강우-유출특성 분석결과 강우량의 증가에 기인하여 2016년의 연간 하천유출량은 2015년보다 크게 증가 하였다. 그리고 2016년의 증발산량은 강우량 대비 장진교 50.1%, 보막교 35.4%로 2015년의 장진교 49.9%와 비슷한 값을 보이나, 2015년의 보막교는 54.9%로 약 19.5% 정도의 적은값을 보인다. 온도, 습도, 풍속, 일조시간에 영향을 받는 증발산량은 2015년보다 일평균 습도는 변화가 거의 없었으나, 일평균 풍속의 증가, 일평균 기온과 일조시간의 감소에 기인하여 적은 증발산량을 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 이와 같이 산정된 수문자료는 수재해 방재를 위한 기초자료로 매우 유용하게 활용되므로 지속적인 시험유역의 운영은 매우 필요하다.

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The Research of Ability to Use Internet, Interpersonal Skill, and Social Activity among the 50's and 60's in Seoul: Latent Mean Analysis (서울지역 장·노년층의 인터넷활용능력, 대인관계능력, 사회활동에 관한 연구: 잠재평균분석을 활용한 집단비교)

  • Kim, Dong bae;Kim, Sang bum;Kim, Se jin
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.733-749
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research are as follows. The first is to investigate the mediating effect of interpersonal skill on the relationship between the ability to use Internet and social activity among the 50's and 60's. The second is to compare 60's latent mean of core variables with 50's ones in terms of information gap. The data was Seoul welfare panel data made by Seoul welfare foundation in 2008 and the total subject was 941(50's=644, 60's=297). When it comes to the research methods, structured equation analysis for verifying the mediating effect and latent mean analysis for comparing the two groups were practiced. The results of this research are as follows. First of all, interpersonal skill did function as partial mediator. Second, according to the latent mean analysis, the group of 50's showed a more higher level of the ability to use Internet. On the other hand, the group of 60's revealed a more active social participation. In conclusion, Information educational programs should focus on Internet communication skill for enhancing social activities of the elderly and consider the differentiations among the elder generations.

A Study on students' consciousness regarding their plans after graduation Education of Guard and Security Major (경호관련학과 대학생의 진로의식에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Ho;Jung, Jsug-Suk;Lee, Young-Oh
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.11
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2006
  • This study aims to grasp the general conditions regarding university students in security related majors in Korea. Followings will be covered here: what motivated them to choose those majors, how much are they satisfied with major curriculum course after matriculation, whether they got jobs through the education, what is their consciousness on their majors, jobs, and courses like, and what effects their job preference. And this study also aims at helping the students with their future plans such as admission to a school of higher grade and choosing their job. For this study, we distributed 340 cpoies to the students in security related majors at 4 four-year colleges and 1 two-year college, and collected 298 copies by means of quota sampling method. For collected questionnaires, we used individual T-test verification and one-way ANOVA analysis to grasp the situation. Significance standard for the test results was set as p<0.05. Following are the test results. First, the analysis on students' satisfaction rate resulted in male students' average of 2.42, compared to female students' average of 2.10, which shows female students have higher satisfaction rate in choosing their majors than male students. Secondly, The results on analysis of satisfaction rate on their curriculums, classes, and majors show that students in security-related majors showed different satisfaction rate and different averages according to their sex and the year of the college. The study indicates that males have higher satisfaction rate on curriculum than females, with male students' average of 2.63 and female students' average 2.88. According to the year of the college, there was a significant difference statistically, Statistics show that students at two-year college have higher satisfaction rate than those at four-year college, with two-year college students' average of 2.48 and four-year college students' of 2.74. students have the average of 3.56. The higher year they were in, the more improvement the curriculum required. When it comes to convenience offer for employment, male students expected more from school than female students, with males' average of 2.74 and females' average of 4.07. Male students marked higher than female students in the extent of job information offer, with males' average of 2.96 and females' average of 2.59. Fourthly, when students in security-related majors were surveyed on their consciousness of their future plans such as getting jibs, two-year college students had more certificates of qualification for employment than four-year college students. What they do preponderantly in preparation for employment was studying foreign languages, which took up 40.4%. And when they were asked on their confidence for employment, positive answers were far more than negative ones with the percentage of 39.6%, while negative took up just 14.0%. Fifthly, when it come to the students in security-related students' job preferences, 49.2% preferred safe job conditions in public security area and 34% preferred private guard or private security organizations. And in the public security area, the highest percentage of 28.6 preferred to work in presidential security service. In the area of private security, 21.2% showed interests in private guard and private security organizations.

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The Application of Chamfer Matching Algorithm to the Error Analysis of a Treatment Field between a Simulation Image and a Portal Image (챔퍼 매칭(Chamfer Matching) 알고리즘을 활용한 모의치료 영상과 포탈(Portal) 영상의 비교, 분석)

  • 송주영;나병식;정웅기;안성자;남택근;서태석
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2003
  • The comparative analysis of a portal image and a simulation image is a very important process in radiotherapy for verifying the accuracy of an actual treatment field. In this study, we applied a chamfer-matching algorithm to compare a portal image with a simulation image and verified the accuracy of the algorithm to analyze the field matching error in the portal image. We also developed an analysis program that could analyze the two images more effectively with a chamfer-matching method and demonstrated its efficacy through a feasibility study. With virtual portal images, the accuracy of the analysis algorithm were acceptable considering the average error of shift (0.64 mm), rotation (0.32$^{\circ}$), and scale (1.61%). When the portal images of a head and neck phantom were analyzed, the accuracy and suitability of the developed analysis program was proven considering the acceptable average error of shift (1.55 mm), rotation (0.80$^{\circ}$), and scale (1.72%). We verified the applicability of a chamfer-matching algorithm to the comparative analysis of a portal image with a simulation image. The analysis program developed in this study was a practical tool to calculate the quantitative error of the treatment field in a portal image.

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A MORPHOLOGICAL STUDY ON THE SOFT AND HARD TISSUE FACIAL PROFILE OF HARMONIOUS KOREAN YOUNG ADULT FEMALES (조화된 측모상의 연경조직의 형태학적 연구 - 한국인 성인여자에 대하여 -)

  • KANG, GOO-HAN;Kinoshita, Z.
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.7-34
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    • 1986
  • 본 연구목적은 여자성인교정을 위한 치료목표를 수립하기 위한 기준을 설정하는데 있다. 이용된 연구자료는 96명의 한국인 TV탈랜트와 영화배우 또는 패션모델중 교합과 안모를 평가하여 선정된 30명의 측모두부X선규격사진이었으며 선정된 표본의 평균연령은 20.16세였다. 연구방법은 측모경조직분석을 위해 Downs분석, Northwestern분석, Steiner분석, Wylie분석, Tweed분석, Dimensional linear분석법이 이용되었고 측모연조직분석을 위해 Holdaway연조직분석법이 적용되었다. 조사된 계측치들은 Apple II 48K system을 이용하여 각항목에 대한 평균치와 표준편차를 산출하였으며 백인, 한국인, 일본인의 기존계측치와 비교하였다. 그 연구결과는 다음과 같다. I. 경조직분석 (1) 본 연구와 백인과의 비교 본 연구에서는 백인에 비해 하악이 후퇴되었고 상${\cdot}$하악절치는 순측경사를 보였다. 또한 하악하연경사가 심했다. (2) 본 연구와 한국인정상성인여자(이 연구)의 계측치 비교 이의 연구계측치에 비해서 상악이 후퇴되어있고 상${\cdot}$하악절치는 설측경사를 보였다. 따라서 본 연구의 안모형태는 이의 한국인정상성인여자에 비해서 직선형안모를 보였다. (3) 본 연구와 일본정상인의 계측치 비교 일본정상인에 비해 하악이 돌출되었고 상${\cdot}$하절치는 설측경사를 보였다. 또한 안모의 상부고경과 하악크기는 일본정상인에 비해 크게 나타났다. II. 연조직분석 연조직분석의 11항목중 H-선에 대한 연조직 subnasal과 하순의 계측치가 Holdaway의 acceptable range를 벗어났다. 그 이유는 본연구에서 하악이 상대적으로 후퇴양상을 보였기 때문이라고 사료된다. 이외항목의 계측치들이 acceptable range내에 있다는 것은 연조직이 경조직의 이동에 따라 움직이고 있음을 의미한다. III. Downs분석, Northwestern분석, Steiner분석, Wylie분석, Tweed분석, Dimensional linear measurements분석을 위한 평균치, 표준편차, Polygon도표를 작성함으로써 한국성인여자교정의 진단과 치료목표를 정하는데 지침이 된다고 사료된다.

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A study on the parameters for biodegradable characteristics of sewage discharged intermittently (부정기적 발생 오수의 유기물 생분해도 특성 parameter 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Gee-Bong;Lee, Young-Sin
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2014
  • In this study, to estimate the biodegradability of sewage discharged intermittently, field scale sampling and analysis was conducted and the results were obtained as follows. According to results of the biodegradability of sewage discharged intermittently, average concentration of TCODcr is 325.5mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction resulted 100%. Also, average concentration of SCODcr resulted 135.9mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction resulted 41.8%. Average concentration of Ss showed 74.1mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction resulted 22.8%. Average concentration of $S_I$ was analyzed to be 61.8mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction was calculated to 19.0%. Xs which is particulate matter was analyzed to show 27.8mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction also showed 8.5%. Average concentration of $X_H$ is 103.4mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction resulted 31.8%. Inert particulate matter showed that average concentration of $X_I$ is 58.5mg/L and ratio of TCOD fraction resulted 18.0%. Accordingly, dissolved biodegradable organic matter showed the ratio of 41.8%, and readily biodegradable matter among this showed 22.8%. Thus intermittent inflow is expected to have less effect with regards equalization by organic loading rate of influent.