• Title/Summary/Keyword: 퍼지의사 결정

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A Fuzzy AHP Approach to Prioritize the Energy Technology Development Strategy and Policy (Fuzzy AHP기법을 적용한 에너지기술개발전략 우선순위 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Kon;Mogi, Gento;Kim, Jong-Wook
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2008
  • Energy environment has been changing rapidly such as high oil prices and the effectuation of UNFCCC. Oil prices have continued to rise and Dubai crude prices recorded about 90 dollars per barrel in 2007. In addition, the effectuation of UNFCCC will affect Korean economy and national energy security. Korea is the 9th $CO_2$ emissions country and takes the 1st place related to the increase rate of $CO_2$ emissions globally. Energy technology development is a key breakthrough and one of the optimal alternatives to cope with national energy security. In this study, we prioritize energy technologies in the sectors of high oil prices and UNFCCC related to ETRM for well focus R&D and efficiency of finite resources allocations. We applied to the extended method of AHP, fuzzy AHP reflecting the fuzziness of human thoughts and perception, for prioritizing the relative importance among energy technologies in ETRM for the first time as we make an energy policy in Korea.

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A study on the strategic energy technology policy;Fuzzy AHP approach (Fuzzy AHP기법을 적용한 전략적 에너지기술정책 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Kon;Mogi, Gento;Yoon, Yong-Jin;Kim, Jong-Wook
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.742-746
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    • 2007
  • Energy environment has been changing rapidly such as high oil prices and the effectuation of UNFCCC. Oil prices have continued to rise and Dubai crude prices recorded 60 or 70 dollars per barrel in 2006. In addition, the effectuation of UNFCCC will affect Korean economy and national energy security. Korea is the 9th $CO_2$ emissions country and takes the 1st place related to the increase rate of $CO_2$ emissions globally. Energy technology development is a key breakthrough and one of the optimal alternatives to cope with national energy security. In this study, we prioritize energy technologies in the sectors of high oil prices and UNFCCC related to ETRM for well focus R&D and efficiency of finite resources allocations. We applied to the extended method of AHP, fuzzy AHP reflecting the fuzziness of human thoughts and perception, for prioritizing the relative importance among energy technologies in ETRM for the first time as we make an energy policy in Korea.

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Interactive Fuzzy Multiobjective Decision-Making with Imprecise Goals (모호한 목표를 가진 대화형 퍼지 다목적 의사결정)

  • ;;Hong, S. L.
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 1992
  • MODM (multiobjective decision-making) problem is very complex system for the analyst. The problem is more complex if the goals of each of the objective functions are expressed imprecisely. It requires suitable MODM method to deal with imprecisions. Therefore, we present a new interactive fuzzy decision making method for solving multiobjective nonlinear programming problems by assuming that the decision maker (DM) has imprecise goals that assume fuzzy linguistic variable for each of the objective functions. The imprecise goals of the DM are quantified by eliciting corresponding membership functions through the interactive with the DM out of six membership functions. After determining membership functions, in order to generate the compromise or satisficing solution which is .lambda.-pareto optimal, .lambda.-max problem is solved. The higher degree of membership is chosen to satisfy imprecise goals of all objective functions by combining the membership functions. Then, the values are the compromise or satisficing solution. On the basis of the proposed method, and interactive computer programming is written to implement man-machine interactive procedures. Our programming is a revised version of sequential unconstrained minimization technique. Finally, a numerical example illustrates various aspects of the results developed in this paper.

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A Genetic Algorithm-based Construction Mechanism for FCM and Its Empirical Analysis of Decision Support Performance : Emphasis on Solving Corporate Software Sales Problem (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 퍼지인식도 생성 메커니즘의 의사결정 효과성에 관한 실증연구 : 기업용 소프트웨어 판매 문제를 중심으로)

  • Chung, Nam-Ho;Lee, Nam-Ho;Lee, Kun-Chang
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2007
  • Fuzzy cognitive map(FCM) has long been used as an effective way of constructing the human's decision making process explicitly. By taking advantage of this feature, FCM has been extensively used in providing what-if solutions to a wide variety of business decision making problems. In contrast, the goal-seeking analysis mechanism by using the FCM is rarely observed in literature, which remains a research void in the fields of FCM. In this sense, this study proposes a new type of the FCM-based goal-seeking analysis which is based on utilizing the genetic algorithm. Its main recipe lies in the fact that the what-if analysis as well as goal-seeking analysis are enabled very effectively by incorporating the genetic algorithm into the FCM-driven inference process. To prove the empirical validity of the proposed approach, valid questionnaires were gathered from a number of experts on software sales, and analyzed statistically. Results showed that the proposed approach is robust and significant.

Bandwidth Reservation scheme Using Mobile Tracking (이동체 추적을 이용한 대역폭 예약 기법)

  • 정혜명
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.10A
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    • pp.1512-1520
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    • 2000
  • The wireless communication network is evolving toward IMT-2000 for providing various multimedia services. In order to accomplish this ultimate goal the effective schemes are required which can dynamically utilize the limited wireless resources based on different traffic characteristics of various services. This paper proposes a novel bandwidth allocation and call admission control scheme to transmit multimedia traffic based on the bandwidth reservation procedure using direction estimation in the IMT-2000 This scheme estimates the position of mobiles based on the mliticriteria decision making in which uncertain parameters such as RSS(Received Signal Strength), the distance between mobile and base station the moving direction and the previous location are participated in the decision process using aggregation function in fuzzy set theory. Its effectiveness is investigated by simulation.

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Determination of Risk Level Using Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Method (퍼지 다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 위험수준평가)

  • Jung, Sang-Yun;Cho, Sung-Ku
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.627-638
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    • 1998
  • For any hazardous operation or risky project to be carried out safely and economically, it is of the utmost importance to formulate proper risk management policies based on the rational assessment of the risk levels of various potential hazards. In this paper, a Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making(FMCDM) method for risk assessment is proposed. The method evaluates, on the basis of fuzzy set theory, the risk level of a risky situation by aggregating the assessed levels of risk factors and their subjective weights. The method also allows some flexibility for the future users in the sense that, first, the relative importance weights for the three risk factors can be adjusted according to the nature of projects or systems and, second, the users have the choice between the two types of risk assessment results, that is, the assessed risk levels or the ranks of the risk situations. A numerical example for the proposed FMCDM method is provided to illustrate the computational procedure. To see how the suggested FMCDM method describes well people's perceived risk level, we compared the risk values derived from the suggested method with the subjective risk evaluations for ten risky situations.

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An Image Based Linguistic Guiding System(IBLGS) (화상을 이용한 언언적 가이딩시스템)

  • 박규옥;이철영
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1994
  • 종래(從來)의 내비게이션시스템은 주로 선박(船舶)을 대상(對象)으로 이용되어왔으나, 최근(最近)에는 각종(各種) 이동(移動)로보트 및 자동차(自動車)에 대한 적용사례(適用事例)가 증가(增加)하고 있다. 내비게이션시스템은 기계적(機械的)인 이동(移動)시스템뿐만 아니라, 이동(移動)이라는 행동(行動)을 취하는 인간(人間)시스템 즉, 시각(視覺) 부자유자(不自由者를) 대상(對象)으로 적용(適用)될 수 있다. 종래(從來)의 기계적(機械的)인 맹인용(盲人用) 가이딩시스템으로서 맹도견(盲導犬)로보트가 있으나 계단(階段)등의 복잡(複雜)한 환경하(環境下에)서는 안내(案內)가 불가능(不可能)한 점과 맹인(盲人)의 의사(意思)가 반영(反映)되기 어렵다는 점 등의 많은 문제점(問題點)을 안고 있다. 현실적(現實的)으로 요구(要求)되는 안내(案內)시스템은, 단지 환경(環境)에 관한 각종정보(各種情報)를 제공(提供)하고 의사결정(意思決定)과 행동(行動)은 맹인(盲人)이 실시(實施)하는 시스템의 형태(形態)이다. 본논문(本論文)에서는, 맹인용(盲人用) 내비게이션시스템의 구축(構築)을 목표(目標)로 하는 중간과제(中間課題)로서, 화상(畵像)을 이용(利用)한 언어적(言語的) 가이드시스템을 제안(提案)한다. 당해(當該)시스템 구축(構築)에 있어서 중요(重要)한 과제(課題)는, 주어진 환경(環境)에 관한 화상정보(畵像情報)를 언어(言語)로 변환(變換)시키는 일이다 본연구(本硏究)에서는, 가이드를 위한 언어지원(言語指元) 생성(生成)에, 정성적(定性的), 정량적(定量的)인 속성(屬性)을 가지고 언어적(言語的) 표현(表現)에 유효(有效)한 퍼지이론(理論)을 이용(利用)한다. 구체적(具體的)인 일례(一例)로서, 공원(公園)에서 벤치까지 맹인(盲人)을 가이드하는 상황(狀況)을 설정하고 언어지원(言語指元)을 생성(生成)하는 알고리즘을 제안(提案)한다.

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Nitrate Exposure Assessment under Uncertainty (불확실 상황에서 질산 폭로 평가)

  • Lee, Yong-Woon;Bogardi, Istvan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.105-121
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    • 1995
  • Nitrate contamination problems from groundwater supplies have been documented throughout many countries in the world, including Korea. Nitrate salts can induce methemoglobinemia and possibly human gastric cancer. In farmed areas. intensive agricultural activities have caused a major increase in nitrate loading to groundwater. To determine whether decision makers must take farm-management actions to control the increase of groundwater nitrate concentration and to decide the timing of such actions, it is important to predict groundwater Nitrate levels that would result over time from various farm-management practices. However, the input values such as soil, fertilizer and crop data) used to examine the effects of various farm-management practices on groundwater nitrate level are usually uncertain due to a lack of available information. In this paper. the ease of a community with a nitrate water quality problem is illustrated to examine the effects of various farm-management practices and to show bow to perform, with uncertain information. a time-series analysis on groundwater nitrate levels that would result. from each farm-management practice.

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A Study on the Reduction of Greenhouse Gas in Container Terminal (컨테이너터미널의 온실가스 저감방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seon-Gu;Choi, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a fuzzy-based AHP model by which the greenhouse gas reduction for container terminal problem was systematically structured and then evaluated. The model was established by exploiting a fuzzy theory and AHP for capturing the inexactness and vagueness of information. In this study, measurement areas were selected for equipment aspect, operating aspect, and energy aspect. The greenhouse gas reduction is the number one priority in the equipment aspect, operating aspect, energy aspect in order. The analysis result of equipment aspect reveals that the most important element is electrical T/C. The most important element of operating and energy aspect were a container rehandling and a LED lighting. As for the whole priority which conversion weight was applied, the results were shown as follows: an electrical T/C(16.2%) as the first rank: a hybrid Y/T(14.4%) as the second rank: a AMP(10.6%) as the third rank. The result of this study suggests some guidelines for deciding priority of greenhouse gas reduction for container terminal.

Optimization of the Korean Nuclear Fuel Cycle Using Linear Programming (선형계획법을 이용한 한국 원전연료주기의 최적화)

  • Kim, J.I.;Chae, K.N.;Lee, B.W.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.721-729
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    • 1995
  • The Korean optimal nuclear fuel cycle strategy from the year 2000 to 2030 is derived using linear programming. The fuel cycle cost, the cost uncertainty, and the natural uranium consumption are used as the criteria for the optimization. These objectives are compromised by fuzzy decision-making technique which maximizes the minimum degree of satisfaction among the three objectives. The options for the back-end fuel cycle are direct disposal, reprocessing, and DUPIC. The optimal fuel cycle strategy of Korea is to start reprocessing in around 2010 and increase its capacity with the maximum of 800 tHM in around 2025, and to star DUPIC processing in 2025. The cot uncertainty and the natural uranium consumption of the optimal fuel cycle strategy are reduced by 7.1% and 6.1%, respectively, at the cost penalty of 5.4% compared with the cost-only optimal solution.

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