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Predicting the Number of Confirmed COVID-19 Cases Using Deep Learning Models with Search Term Frequency Data (검색어 빈도 데이터를 반영한 코로나 19 확진자수 예측 딥러닝 모델)

  • Sungwook Jung
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.387-398
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    • 2023
  • The COVID-19 outbreak has significantly impacted human lifestyles and patterns. It was recommended to avoid face-to-face contact and over-crowded indoor places as much as possible as COVID-19 spreads through air, as well as through droplets or aerosols. Therefore, if a person who has contacted a COVID-19 patient or was at the place where the COVID-19 patient occurred is concerned that he/she may have been infected with COVID-19, it can be fully expected that he/she will search for COVID-19 symptoms on Google. In this study, an exploratory data analysis using deep learning models(DNN & LSTM) was conducted to see if we could predict the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases by summoning Google Trends, which played a major role in surveillance and management of influenza, again and combining it with data on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. In particular, search term frequency data used in this study are available publicly and do not invade privacy. When the deep neural network model was applied, Seoul (9.6 million) with the largest population in South Korea and Busan (3.4 million) with the second largest population recorded lower error rates when forecasting including search term frequency data. These analysis results demonstrate that search term frequency data plays an important role in cities with a population above a certain size. We also hope that these predictions can be used as evidentiary materials to decide policies, such as the deregulation or implementation of stronger preventive measures.

Analysis of Thermal Environment Impact by Layout Type of Apartment Complexes for Carbon Neutrality Net-Zero: Based on CFD Simulation (공동주택단지 배치유형별 열환경 영향성 분석: 유체역학 시뮬레이션을 기반으로)

  • Gunwon Lee;Youngtae Cho
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2023
  • This study attempted to simulate changes in the thermal environment according to the type of apartment complex in Korea using CFD techniques and evaluate the thermal environment by type of apartment. First, apartment complex types in the 2000s and 2010s were referred from previous studies and four types of apartment complex were extracted from. Second, the layout of the apartment complex and temperature changes were analyzed by the direction of wind inflow. Third, a standardized model was created from each type using tower type, plate type, and mixed driving. Last, CFD simulations were performed by setting up the inflow of wind from a total of eight directions. The temperature was relatively low in the type consisting of only the tower type and the type of placing the tower type in the center of the complex, regardless of the direction of the wind. It was due to the good inflow of wind from these types to the inside of the complex. It can be interpreted because wind flows easily into the complex in these types. The findings showed that wind flow and resulting temperature distribution patterns differed depending on the building type and complex layout type, confirming the need for careful consideration of the complex layout in the early design stage. The results are expected to be used as basic data for creating a sustainable residential environment in the early design stage of apartment complexes in the future.

The effect of urban conditions, external influences, and O&M efficiency on urban water system from the perspective of water-energy nexus (도시 여건, 외부 영향 및 운영관리 효율이 넥서스 관점에서 도시 물순환 시스템에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Seo Hyung;Shin, Bongwoo;Shin, Eunher
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.31-31
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    • 2022
  • 기후변화, 물 부족, 인구 증가와 도시화로 인한 물 수요 증가, 수질 악화, 노후화된 인프라와 같은 세계적인 물문제의 증가로 인해, 도시 물순환 시스템 관리는 더 큰 어려움을 겪고 있다. 취수, 도·송수, 정수처리, 배·급수, 용수 사용, 하수 집수, 하수 처리, 재이용 및 배출 과정을 포함하는 도시 물순환 시스템의 과정은 매우 에너지 집약적인 활동이며, 이와 같은 에너지 소비는 탄소 배출과 양의 직접적인 상관관계가 있다. 따라서 자원 관리 및 데이터 관리를 최적화하기 위해 넥서스 관점의 접근법이 도시 물순환 시스템에 점차적으로 도입되고 있는 추세이다. 도시 물순환 시스템 넥서스에서는 일반적으로 에너지 인텐시티로 표현되는 물을 위한 에너지를 이해하는 것이 중요하다. 에너지 인텐시티의 차이는 기후(연평균 강수량, 단기 기후 변동성, 기후패턴 등), 지리적 특징(표고차, 평지비, 위치 등), 시스템 특성(총급수량, 인구, 인구밀도, 관로 연장 등) 및 운영관리 효율(수압, 누수율, 에너지 효율 등)과 밀접한 관계가 있다. 그리고 도시 물순환 시스템에서 에너지 관리를 증진시킨 방안은 유지관리 효율 개선(물·에너지 관리전략, 물손실 관리, 수요 관리 및 수요 대응 등), 신기술 도입, 그리고 에너지 회수로 나누어진다. 본 연구에서는 기존 문헌의 자료를 분석하여 도시 물순환 시스템의 각 공정별 에너지 인텐시티를 분석하였으며, 시스템 다이나믹스를 적용하여 다양한 도시 여건(인구, lpcd, 누수율, 취수원, 에너지 인텐시티)에서 외부영향(기후변화, 도시화)과 운영효율 변동(운영효율 향상, 신시술 도입)에 따른 도시 물순환 시스템 내 자원 사용 및 이동을 분석하였다. 에너지 인텐시티는 전체 도시 물순환 시스템, 상수 시스템, 하수시스템에서 각각 2.334 kWh/m3, 1.029 kWh/m3, 1.024 kWh/m3를 나타내었으며, 용수사용, 담수화, 재이용 과정에서는 매우 높은 값이 나타났다. 에너지 인틴시티의 값은 외부 영향에 크게 좌우되는 것으로 분석되었으며, 운영효율의 변동에 따라서 물 및 에너지 사용량은 변화하였지만 에너지 인텐시티의 변동은 크지 않았다. 이에 따라 도시 물순환 시스템을 넥서스 관점에서 관리하기 위해서는 에너지 인텐시티 이외에 물 및 에너지 사용량, 유수수량 관점 에너지 인텐시티, 사용수량 관점 에너지 인텐시티를 종합적으로 고려하는 것이 필요하다.

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Tunnel-lining Back Analysis Based on Artificial Neural Network for Characterizing Seepage and Rock Mass Load (투수 및 이완하중 파악을 위한 터널 라이닝의 인공신경망 역해석)

  • Kong, Jung-Sik;Choi, Joon-Woo;Park, Hyun-Il;Nam, Seok-Woo;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2006
  • Among a variety of influencing components, time-variant seepage and long-term underground motion are important to understand the abnormal behavior of tunnels. Excessiveness of these two components could be the direct cause of severe damage on tunnels, however, it is not easy to quantify the effect of these on the behavior of tunnels. These parameters can be estimated by using inverse methods once the appropriate relationship between inputs and results is clarified. Various inverse methods or parameter estimation techniques such as artificial neural network and least square method can be used depending on the characteristics of given problems. Numerical analyses, experiments, or monitoring results are frequently used to prepare a set of inputs and results to establish the back analysis models. In this study, a back analysis method has been developed to estimate geotechnically hard-to-known parameters such as permeability of tunnel filter, underground water table, long-term rock mass load, size of damaged zone associated with seepage and long-term underground motion. The artificial neural network technique is adopted and the numerical models developed in the first part are used to prepare a set of data for learning process. Tunnel behavior, especially the displacements of the lining, has been exclusively investigated for the back analysis.

A Study on the Relationship between Self-Determination Motivation, Exercise Satisfaction, and Exercise Continuation Intention in High School Students (고등학생의 자기결정성 동기, 운동만족, 운동지속의도의 관계)

  • Young-Jin Choi;Se-Hee Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.233-243
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between self-determination motivation of high school students on exercise satisfaction and exercise continuation intention. To this end, as of March 2022, an online questionnaire was distributed to 440 male students attending high schools in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, and they were asked to fill out the questionnaire through self-assessment. 346 copies were selected as a valid sample, excluding 94 copies of insincere responses such as responses of the same pattern and incomplete responses. For data processing, frequency analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, and correlation analysis were conducted using SPSS 24.0 and IBM AMOS 18.0 statistical programs, and the following results were derived through structural equation model analysis to identify the structural relationship between factors. First, among self-determination motivation factors, competence and relatedness had a positive (+) effect on exercise satisfaction, but autonomy had a negative (-) effect on exercise satisfaction. Second, there was no relationship between self-determination motivation and exercise continuation intention in high school students. Third, it was found that the relationship between exercise satisfaction and exercise continuation intention had a positive (+) effect.

Evaluation of Habitat Suitability of Honey Tree Species, Kalopanax septemlobus Koidz., Tilia amurensis Rupr. and Styrax obassis Siebold & Z ucc. in the Baekdudaegan Mountains using MaxEnt Model (MaxEnt 모형을 활용한 백두대간에 자생하는 주요 밀원수종인 음나무, 피나무, 쪽동백나무의 서식지 적합성 평가)

  • Sim, Hyung Seok;Lee, Min-Ki;Lee, Chang-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.1
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    • pp.50-60
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    • 2022
  • In this study, habitat suitability was analyzed for three major honey tree species, namely Kalopanax septemlobus, Tilia amurensis, and Styrax obassis, in the Baekdudaegan Mountains using MaxEnt models. The AUC values indicating the prediction accuracies of the models were 0.747, 0.790, and 0.755 for K. septemlobus, T. amurensis, and S. obassis, respectively. The most important variables for K. septemlobus and T. amurensis were elevation, mean annual temperature, and slope, whereas mean annual temperature, elevation, and mean annual precipitation were the most important predictors for S. obassis. For all three studied species, elevation and mean annual temperature were the most important topographic and climatic factors, respectively, indicating that such variables are crucial for explaining species distribution. Honey tree species are essential resources in forest beekeeping, a high value-added process for improving forest income, and this study identified sites with the potential for management of such species in the Baekdudaegan Mountains, where it may be possible to establish a honey forest. However, the accuracy of the models should be improved through comprehensive analysis with abiotic variables, such as soil properties and aridity, which affect the distribution of honey tree species, as well as biotic variables, such as interspecific competition.

An analysis of students' online class preference depending on the gender and levels of school using Apriori Algorithm (Apriori 알고리즘을 활용한 학습자의 성별과 학교급에 따른 온라인 수업 유형 선호도 분석)

  • Kim, Jinhee;Hwang, Doohee;Lee, Sang-Soog
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to investigate the online class preference depending on students' gender and school level. To achieve this aim, the study conducted a survey on 4,803 elementary, middle, and high school students in 17 regions nationwide. The valid data of 4,524 were then analyzed using the Apriori algorithm to discern the associated patterns of the online class preference corresponding to their gender and school level. As a result, a total of 16 rules, including 7 from elementary school students, 4 from middle school students, and 5 from high school students were derived. To be specific, elementary school male students preferred software-based classes whereas elementary female students preferred maker-based classes. In the case of middle school, both male and female students preferred virtual experience-based classes. On the other hand, high school students had a higher preference for subject-specific lecture-based classes. The study findings can serve as empirical evidence for explaining the needs of online classes perceived by K-12 students. In addition, this study can be used as basic research to present and suggest areas of improvement for diversifying online classes. Future studies can further conduct in-depth analysis on the development of various online class activities and models, the design of online class platforms, and the female students' career motivation in the field of science and technology.

Log Collection Method for Efficient Management of Systems using Heterogeneous Network Devices (이기종 네트워크 장치를 사용하는 시스템의 효율적인 관리를 위한 로그 수집 방법)

  • Jea-Ho Yang;Younggon Kim
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2023
  • IT infrastructure operation has advanced, and the methods for managing systems have become widely adopted. Recently, research has focused on improving system management using Syslog. However, utilizing log data collected through these methods presents challenges, as logs are extracted in various formats that require expert analysis. This paper proposes a system that utilizes edge computing to distribute the collection of Syslog data and preprocesses duplicate data before storing it in a central database. Additionally, the system constructs a data dictionary to classify and count data in real-time, with restrictions on transmitting registered data to the central database. This approach ensures the maintenance of predefined patterns in the data dictionary, controls duplicate data and temporal duplicates, and enables the storage of refined data in the central database, thereby securing fundamental data for big data analysis. The proposed algorithms and procedures are demonstrated through simulations and examples. Real syslog data, including extracted examples, is used to accurately extract necessary information from log data and verify the successful execution of the classification and storage processes. This system can serve as an efficient solution for collecting and managing log data in edge environments, offering potential benefits in terms of technology diffusion.

Biomechanical Analysis of Elderly Fall Related Risk Factors using Downhill Walking on Treadmill (트레드밀 내리막 보행을 이용한 노인 낙상관련 위험요인의 운동역학적 분석)

  • Woo, Jeong-Hyun;Park, Sang-Kyoon
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.643-655
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate biomechanical differences between young and old adults during downhill walking on a treadmill in order to understand the mechanisms of elderly falls. Eighteen healthy young females(YG: yrs: 21.17±1.5) and eighteen healthy old females(OG: yrs: 66.67±1.33) participated in this study. They were asked to walk at their preferred speed on a treadmill at level, 7.5° and 15° decline. OG walked more wobbly in the medial and lateral directions than YG(p<.05). As slope got steeper, OG had smaller ROM(range of motion) of ankle and knee joints compared with YG. However, there was no difference in ROM of the hip between OG and YG, but maximum extension angle of OG was smaller compared with YG(p<.05). Smaller extensor moment was generated on OG during downhill walking(p<.05). It was hypothesized that more risk factors would be found on older people compared to young people during downhill. However, older people actually walks with a safer strategy compared to young people during downhill. Finally, current findings about biomechanical characteristics of elderly walking would provide useful fundamental information for a follow-up study regarding the prevention of elderly fall during their daily life.

A Systematic Approach for Integrated Management of the Geum River Estuary in Korea (하구의 통합적 관리를 위한 시스템적 접근: 금강하구해역 사례)

  • Lee, Chang-Hee;Kim, Tae In;Cho, Honglae;Ryu, Jongseong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.18-18
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    • 2020
  • 금강하구와 같이 막힌 대형 하구는 근본적으로 복잡한 물리화학적 프로세스와 다양한 이해당사자간의 갈등 때문에 단편적인 접근으로는 관리의 한계가 있을 수밖에 없는 환경이다. 더욱이 하굿둑의 갑문을 열어 하구순환을 복원하는 해수유통 사업은 그 자체가 가지는 환경적 효용성의 확인과 기존 용수이용 체계의 전면적 변화와 관련된 상당한 비용이 요구된다는 면에서 특별한 논란이 되어왔다. 본 연구는 해수유통으로 인한 금강 하구해역의 수리, 수질, 퇴적 및 생태 등 다양한 환경적 변화를 집중적인 현장 조사 및 통합 모델링을 통해 정량적으로 예측하고 이를 지역 이해당사자 논의 체계인 금강하구해역정책협의회에 제공함으로써 해수유통과 연관된 이해당사자 간 갈등을 완화하고 과학적 자료에 근거한 정책결정을 지원하기 위해 수행되었다(과학-정책의 통합). 조사연구는 하굿둑 갑문 개방에 따른 다양한 시나리오별로 해수유통으로 인한 영향을 하구해역(하굿둑의 바다 쪽 해역)과 하구호(하굿둑의 하천 쪽 담수역)에 미치는 영향을 검토하였다(하천-하구호-연안해역의 공간적 통합). 시나리오는 하구해역정책협의회의 요구사항을 반영하여 개발되었고, 시나리오별 영향파악은 수리(조석 및 파랑 포함), 퇴적물 이동 및 수질은 Delft3D모델을, 유역으로부터의 유량 및 오염물질 부하량은 분포형 비점모델인 STREAM을, 김양식과 이매패류 생산량을 추정하는 생태모델은 통계기반의 포인트 모델을 통해 이루어졌다(수리-퇴적-수질-생태계 모델의 통합). 시나리오 분석결과, 상시 해수유통을 제외한 대부분의 하굿둑 부분 개방 시나리오에서는 하구해역에 미치는 영향이 제한적으로 나타나는 것으로 예측되었다. 이는 하굿둑 부분 개방에 따른 담수방류량 및 이에 대응하는 해수의 유동패턴이 현재와 크게 달라지지 않음을 반영한다. 반면 하구호에 대한 영향은 하구해역에 비해 하굿둑 갑문 운영시나리오에 따라 상대적으로 민감하게 변화되는 것으로 예측되었다. 갑문의 부분 개방을 통해 하구호의 수위를 현재 대비 5cm~50cm 변화시켰을 때 1psu 염분의 저층에서의 침투거리는 하굿둑 상류 6km~18km 정도로 예측되었고 갑문 개방에 의해 염분 침투 거리의 조절이 가능할 것으로 나타났다. 단, 사용된 통합모델은 수년간의 검보정 과정을 반복적으로 수행하여 예측의 정확도를 지속적으로 개선하였지만, 모델운영 자체의 불확실성을 고려할 때 실제 해수유통을 위해서는 시범개방을 통해 모델 예측의 결과를 확인할 필요가 있다.

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