• Title/Summary/Keyword: 파괴확률

Search Result 433, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Analysis of Motor Winding impact by inverter Switching Voltage Waveforms (인버터 스위칭전압 파형에 의한 전동기 권선 영향 해석)

  • 김종겸
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.94-101
    • /
    • 1999
  • In this paper the problems associated with the switching surge of PWM inverter devices were analysed. As the application of ASD for efficient speed control of AC rmtors is increased, so is the rrntor and ASD-related failure increased. In the industrial rmtor awlications, the introduction of PWM drives can sometmes cause insulation breakdown between the phase windings due to high transient voltage peak. The motor cable length combined with the high switching frequency becomes more sensitive issue for proper drive operation. Effects of the cable length and high switching frequency influence both on rmtor and inverter. When the insulation level of rmtor winding is low, the failure probability caused by high peak voltage and fast voltage rise times(dv/dt) is high. Voltage refloctions are simulated far rmtor capacities, ASD and rise times and are presented graphically. The filtering techniques are discussed to reduce the rmtor terminal overvoltage and dv/dt in inverter fed AC rrntor drive systems. We confirmed that the lower motar capacity and rmtar insulation level, the shorter switching time and cable length and the higrer the probability of insulation breakdown .kdown .

  • PDF

Reliability Analysis of Sloped-Coastal Structures with Sea-Level Rise (해수면 상승에 따른 경사식 해안 구조물의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.42-48
    • /
    • 2008
  • A system of risk assessment is developed by using the reliability analysis which evaluate quantitatively both stability and performance of sloped-coastal structures according to several scenarios of sea-level rise. By using reliability functions on armor unit and run-up, the probabilities of failure can be straightforwardly calculated with respect to several design parameters such as nominal diameter of armor unit, slope of coastal structure, and freeboard height. By comparing the results before and after sea-level rise, it may be possible to exactly assess some ranges of decrease of stability and performance of sloped-coastal structure with respect to sea-level rise. Therefore, it can also be possible to make a decision which parameters should be repaired or strengthened in order to maintain the original stability and performance of sloped-coastal structures. Finally, The present results may be useful for designing some kinds of new sloped-coastal structures including the effect of sea-level rise.

Failure Probability Analysis of Concrete Cofferdam Considering the Overflow in Flood Season (홍수시 월류를 고려한 콘크리트 가물막이댐의 파괴확률 산정)

  • Hong, Won Pyo;Song, Chang Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.35 no.5
    • /
    • pp.30-38
    • /
    • 2020
  • In order to construct a dam, the diversion facility such as cofferdam and a diversion tunnel should be installed in advance. And size of a cofferdam depends on type of a main dam. According to the Korea Dam Design Standard, if the main dam is a concrete dam, design flood of the cofferdam is 1~2 years flood frequency. This means that overflow of the cofferdam occurs one time for 1 or 2 years, therefore, stability of the cofferdam should be secured against any overflow problem. In this study, failure probability analysis for the concrete cofferdam is performed considering the overflow. First of all, limit state function of the concrete cofferdam is defined for overturning, sliding and base pressure, and upstream water levels are set as El. 501 m, El. 503 m, El. 505 m, El. 507 m. Also, after literature investigation research, probabilistic characteristics of various random variables are determined, the failure probability of the concrete cofferdam is calculated using the Monte Carlo Simulation. As a result of the analysis, when the upstream water level rises, it means overflow, the failure probability increases rapidly. In particular, the failure probability is largest in case of flood loading condition. It is considered that the high upstream water level causes increase of the upstream water pressure and the uplift pressure on the foundation. In addition, among the overturning, the sliding and the base pressure, the overturing is the major cause for the cofferdam failure considering the overflow.

An approach to predict size distribution of suspended sediment - cohesive sediment (유사의 입경분포 모의를 위한 방안 연구 - 점착성 유사의 경우)

  • Son, Minwoo;Byun, Jisun;Park, Byeoung Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.288-288
    • /
    • 2018
  • 점착성 유사는 응집 현상을 겪는 유사로, 응집 현상(Flocculation Process)는 응집 과정(Aggregation Process)와 파괴 과정(Breakup Process)의 경쟁으로 이루어진다고 여겨진다. 응집 현상을 통해 점착성 유사는 물과 점착성을 띠는 작은 입자들의 덩어리인 플럭(Floc)을 형성하여 흐름 내에서는 대부분이 플럭의 형태로 이동한다. 점착성 유사의 응집 모형 중 하나인 플럭 성장모형(Floc Growth Model, FGM)은 상미분 방정식으로 시간에 따른 플럭의 크기를 계산하는 모형이다. 응집과 파괴의 평형 상태에서 평균 입경을 얻는다. 이러한 FGM은 낮은 수치 계산 비용으로 합리적인 계산 결과를 얻을 수 있으며, 유사 이동 모형 혹은 흐름 모형과의 결합이 수월한 장점을 가진다. 또한, 닫힌 계(Closed System)에서 질량이 보존되는 특징이 있다. 반면, 결정론적인 특성을 띠면서 특정 플럭 크기만을 계산하기 때문에 점착성 유사의 입도 분포에 대한 정보를 얻을 수 없다. 결정론적 특성을 띠는 FGM에 추계학적 방법을 적용함으로써 특정 확률 분포형을 가지는 플럭의 입도 분포를 얻을 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기 개발된 추계학적 FGM과 유사 이동 모형의 결합을 통해 변화하는 유수동역학적 조건에서 플럭의 입도 분포를 산정하고자 한다. 이전의 많은 실험실 실험 결과들은 부유가 발생한 상태를 유지하면서 수행되는 것으로, 특정 난류 특성(난류 소산 매개변수)와 특정 유사 농도 조건에서의 입도 분포를 얻는다. 그러나 하구부 및 하천의 하류는 조류의 영향을 받는 구간으로, 점착성 유사의 특성을 분석하기 위해서는 변화하는 유수동역학적 특성에 관한 고려가 필수적이라 할 수 있다. 결합된 점착성 유사 입도 분포 모형은 플럭의 침강과 재부유를 고려할 수 있는 특징을 가지며, 실측자료와의 비교를 통해 입도 분포를 합리적으로 모의하는 것으로 나타난다. 본 연구에서 개발된 점착성 유사 입도 분포 모형은 나아가 비점착성 유사의 입도 분포 모형과의 결합을 통해 두 종류의 유사가 혼재하는 구간에서도 합리적인 입도분포와 유사의 이동을 모의할 수 있을 것으로 예측된다.

  • PDF

Quantification on Dam Condition Related to Internal Erosion of an Embankment Dam and its Applicability Evaluation (필댐의 내부침식과 관련된 댐 상태의 정량화 및 적용성 평가)

  • Heo, Gun;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.35 no.4
    • /
    • pp.5-14
    • /
    • 2019
  • The typical four conditions related to internal erosion were set from the results of the regular dam safety inspection for 17,500 dams, and a questionnaire survey was conducted for dam safety experts to quantify these four typical current dam conditions with scores between 0 and 10, respectively. In addition, we proposed 'possible score range' for each condition to minimize the decision limits for dam managers to quantify dam conditions while helping to quantify various dam conditions except 4 representative conditions. A case study based on 'quantified score' and 'possible score range' for each condition showed that this method consistently reflects the dangerousness of the dam and provides a reasonable probability of failure. This helps to overcome limitations of dam rating determination by weighted average, and it will help to evaluate dangerous dams as dangerous dams.

Risk analysis of the old pipe networks for priority determination of renovation (노후 상수관망 개량 우선순위 결정을 위한 구역별 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Jae Hyeon;Lee, Sang Mok;Park, Byung Soo;Kwon, Hyuk Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.spc1
    • /
    • pp.1167-1175
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this study, management index method has been developed to estimate the level of deterioration, applied to Cheongju city, and compared with the previous estimation methods of deterioration level of water distribution system. From the results, distribution systems of Yullyang, Naedeok1 and Yongam2 are found to be seriously deteriorated. And it was also found that probability of pipe breakage was estimated as 3.21%, 4.64% which is highest level at the steel pipe of 200 mm and 300 mm diameter. It was found that risk degree was estimated as 0.2609, 0.2644 by using management index method in Naedeok1 which is the most dangerous distribution system in the city. It was also found that results of risk analysis by management index method have been similar with the results of safety analysis by reliability method and indirect estimation method of deterioration level. Therefore, newly developed management index method can be applied and may be useful to the estimation of deterioration level for the future maintenance and management of water distribution system.

Resistance Factors for Drilled Shafts Embedded in Weathered Rock (풍화암에 근입된 현장타설말뚝의 저항계수 산정)

  • Yoon, Hong-Jun;Jung, Sung-Jun;Kim, Myoung-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.8
    • /
    • pp.107-116
    • /
    • 2007
  • Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) method is being used increasingly in geotechnical design practice worldwide, and is expected to completely replace the current Allowable Stress Design (ASD) method in the near future. LRFD has advantages over ASD in that it allows the design of superstructures and substructures at a consistent reliable level by quantification of failure probability based on reliability analysis. At present, resistance factors for cast-in-place piles embedded in rocks are determined by AASHTO only for the intact rock conditions. In Korea, however, most of the bedrocks in which piles are embedded are heavily weathered. Thus, this study will try to determine the resistance factors of heavily weathered rocks (so-called intermediate goo-materials). To this aim, reliability analysis was carried out to evaluate the resistance factors of cast-in-place piles embedded in intermediate geo-materials in Korea. Pile load test data of 21 cast-in-place piles of 4 construction sites were used for the analysis. Depending on the method which calculates the pile capacities, the resulting resistance factors ranged between 0.1 and 0.6.

Structural Reliability Evaluation Considering Construction Stage and Epistemic Uncertainty of Suspension Bridges (현수교의 시공절차와 인위적 불확실성을 고려한 구조신뢰성 평가)

  • Han, Sung Ho;Shin, Jae Chul
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.3A
    • /
    • pp.181-188
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study presented the basic data for determining reasonable construction method and evaluating the structural safety of suspension bridges. The analytical program was developed to conduct initial shape and natural frequency analysis, construction stage analysis and reliability analysis considering construction sequences. This program was based on analysis models of suspension bridges and reliability theories used in the previous study. A construction method was established considering various construction variables such as construction order and construction direction of girder and synchronized construction of main and side span etc. The dynamic construction analysis by a construction scheme was conducted with the developed program. Benefits of the characteristic analysis by the construction scheme was presented estimating structural response of critical members respectively. Structural reliability analysis by construction stage was conducted considering aleatory uncertainties. The safety of suspension bridges by established construction method was quantitatively estimated using reliability index and failure probability. Analytical results were re-estimated considering epistemic uncertainties, and critical percentile distributions of risk at the construction stage were presented using the frequency histogram.

Seismic Vulnerabilities of a Multi-Span Continuous Bridge Considering the Nonlinearity of the Soil (지반 비선형성을 고려한 다경간 연속교의 지진취약도)

  • Sun, Chang-Ho;Lee, Jong-Seok;Kim, Ick-Hyun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.59-68
    • /
    • 2010
  • Seismic performances of existing structures should be assessed with more accuracy for cost-effective retrofits. Existing bridges are assessed by the current guidelines in which a simple method has been adapted considering the technical level of engineers of the historical time of construction. Recently many probabilistic approaches have been performed to reflect the uncertainties of seismic input motions. Structures are modeled frequently with the neglection of soil foundations or modeled occasionally with elastic soil spring elements to consider the effect of the soil on the structural response. However, soil also shows nonlinearity under seismic events, so this characteristic should be reflected in order to obtain a more accurate assessment. In this study, a 6-span continuous bridge has been analyzed under various seismic events, in which the soil was represented by equivalent linear spring elements having different properties according to the intensities of the input motions experienced. The seismic vulnerabilities with respect to the failure of piers and the dropping of the super-structure were evaluated on the basis of the analysis results.

Risk and The Economics of Acid Chemical Use in Korean taver Farming (김 양식에 있어서 산 이용의 생산위험과 경제성에 관한 연구)

  • Park Seong Kwae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-55
    • /
    • 2001
  • 본 논문의 목적은 김 양식 있어서 무기산 또는 유기산 사용 문제와 김 양식 어업인들의 생산위험 회피행위를 고찰하기 위한 이론적 틀을 개발하고, 정책함의를 도출하는데 있다. 김 양식의 생산위험 또는 가격위험은 김 양식 어업인들이 직면하고 있는 가장 중요한 의 사길정변수라고 할 수 있으며, 특히 문제가 되고 있는 무기산(또는 폐염산) 또는 유기산은 농업에 있어서 농약처럼 김 양식 어업인들이 생산위험을 최소화하기 위한 일종의 보험 생산요소(insurance production inputs)으로 볼 수 있다. 김 양식 어업인들의 생산위험은 평균(1차 적률 mean), 분산(2차 적률 variance), 왜곡도(3차 적률 skewnesss)에 의해 측정될 수 있으며, 특히 김 양식 어업인들은 확률이 낮을지라도 일단 첫병과 잡태(예: 파래 등)가 광범위하고 심각하게 발생하게 되면 생산물의 심각한 질적 저하가 야기된다는 사실을 경험적으로 인식하고 있다. 따라서 김 양식 어업인들은 평균생산 뿐만 아니라 생산의 분산과 하향성 확률 분포를 최소화할 수 있는 생산기술을 이용하게 된다. 이러한 김 양식 어업인들의 위험회피행위를 분석하기 위해 기대효용이론을 채택하고, 미지의 진효용함수를 테일러 시리즈 확장에 의해 3차 적률까지를 근사치로 이용하였다. 이윤에 대한 기대효용 극대화를 위한 1차 최적조건을 구하면, 어떤 산(무기산 또는 유기산)을 얼마만큼 이용하느냐 하는 문제는 생산량의 분산과 하향성 분포에 대한 김 양식 어업인들의 위험회피계수의 크기와 생산요소의 탄성치에 의해 결정된다. 특히 하향성 위험회피계수가 높고 3차 적률에 대한 생산요소 산의 탄성치가 클 경우 김 양식 어업인들른 하향성 위험을 줄이기 위해 상대적으로 강력하고 가격이 저렴한 산을 더 많이 이용하게 된다. 또한 두 가지 산의 효과가 같다면 무기산/유기산의 시장가격과 정부 산 가격 정책이 김 양식 어업인들의 산 종류 선택과 사용량 결정에 유의한 영향을 미치게 될 것이다. 무기산의 사용이 광범위하고 집약적으로 이루어질 경우 김 양식부문에서 폐공업용 염산 이용에 의한 생산위험 감소는 해양생태환경 파괴위험 증가로 이어질 수 있으며 여기에 바로 정부 산정책의 딜레마가 있다. 따라서 김 양식의 생산성 증대와 환경보전의 균형 유지에 대한 확고한 정책목표가 필요하며, 이러한 정책목표가 흔들릴 경우 산 문제에 대한 정부정책은 생산성 증대와 환경보전 어느 한쪽 부문에 심각한 왜곡현상을 초래할 수 있다.

  • PDF