• Title/Summary/Keyword: 특성가격모형

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Effect of Floor Plan Characteristics on Housing Price - Focused on the Apartment in 3 Gangnam Districts since 2005 - (공동주택 평면특성의 가격영향에 관한 연구 - 강남3구의 2005년 이후 분양주택을 중심으로 -)

  • Bae, Sangyoung;Lee, Jaewon;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2018
  • The study analyzed the effects of the floor plan characteristics on the apartment price under the national housing size in 3 Gangnam districts for decades, the primary apartment markets in Korea. The analysis showed that the storage spaces such as kitchen, warehouses and dressage rooms have a positive effect on the price. Especially, the highly opened space with three-side open plan and the one with the unified type of livingroom, diningroom and kitchen have shown the strong effect on the price. For the kitchen spaces, the I-shaped kitchen tends to be more expensive while a centered living room has a positive effect on the price. These findings have an academic significance as the direct effects of plan characteristics on price has been examined unlike prior research focused on the analysis of trend, basic statistics, and satisfaction level. It is noteworthy that these research finding has identified the productive implication for the future floor plan design and pricing and also be implemented in the purchasing decision making by buyers in the housing market.

Analysis of Real Estate Investment Trusts' Performance By Risk Adjustment Model (위험조정모형을 활용한 미국 REITs의 부동산 유형별 성과 분석)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.665-680
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    • 2009
  • This study aims at analyzing the performance of Real Estate Investment Trusts(REITs) by Risk Adjustment Model. The main results are as follows. Firstly, most property types of REITs gain positive(+) excess overall returns at first and second period. On the contrary, most property types of REITs gain negative(-) excess overall returns and their standard deviations are larger at financial crisis period. Secondly, lodging, regional mall and commercial mortgage show lower risk-lower return, and freestanding, apartment and specialty show higher risk-higher return than average REITs, according to the CAPM results of . Moreover CAPM results of show the characteristics of REITs as investment commodities changes into higher risk-higher return for financial crisis period. Lastly, risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs are affected positively(+) by systemic risks and negatively(-) by unsystemic risks, according to the Risk Adjustment Model results of both and . Comparing risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs with their realized returns, healthcare reveals the largest outperformance.

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Value-at-Risk Models in Crude Oil Markets (원유시장 분석을 위한 VaR 모형)

  • Kang, Sang Hoon;Yoon, Seong Min
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.947-978
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we investigated a Value-at-Risk approach to the volatility of two crude oil markets (Brent and Dubai). We also assessed the performance of various VaR models (RiskMetrics, GARCH, IGARCH and FIGARCH models) with the normal and skewed Student-t distribution innovations. The FIGARCH model outperforms the GARCH and IGARCH models in capturing the long memory property in the volatility of crude oil markets returns. This implies that the long memory property is prevalent in the volatility of crude oil returns. In addition, from the results of VaR analysis, the FIGARCH model with the skewed Student-t distribution innovation predicts critical loss more accurately than other models with the normal distribution innovation for both long and short positions. This finding indicates that the skewed Student-t distribution innovation is better for modeling the skewness and excess kurtosis in the distribution of crude oil returns. Overall, these findings might improve the measurement of the dynamics of crude oil prices and provide an accurate estimation of VaR for buyers and sellers in crude oil markets.

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Information Risk and Equity Premium (정보위험과 주식수익률 프리미엄)

  • Park, Jong-Won;Yeoh, Hwan-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.209-237
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the relationship between information risk and equity premium in the Korean stock market. We use accruals quality as a proxy of information risk. Accruals quality (AQ) is estimated by Dechow and Dichev (2002) model, and then AQfactor is constructed based on the estimated AQ. Time-series and cross-sectional regression models are used to examine the relationship between information risk and equity premium, reflecting the critics of Core et al. (2008). The result of the paper shows that information risk proxied by accruals quality is not priced in equity premium in the Korean stock market. This result is consistent with Core et al. (2008) for US firms, but different with Francis et al. (2005) for US firms and Gray et al. (2008) for Australia firms. Also, the result shows that AQfactor is closely correlated with firm characteristic variables such as firm size. This implies that the effect of AQ on equity premium is more likely to arise from the pricing error due to firm characteristics rather than from an unknown risk factor.

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The Effect of Housing Price Changes on the Performance of Korean Regional Banks (주택가격변동이 지방은행의 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Myunghoon;Jung, Heonyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the effect of housing price changes on the performance of Korean regional banks using DOLS model. The analysis shows that housing price changes does not have a statistically significant effect on the loan growth, profitability and soundness of regional banks. Among macroeconomic variables, only short-term interest rates have a significant positive effect on any model. This means that a rise in short-term interest rates significantly increases loans by regional banks, which leads to a significant increase in profitability, but has a significant negative impact on soundness. On the other hand, bank characteristics variables are found to have a significant negative effect on the loan growth, profitability and soundness of Korean regional banks.

A Study on Price Volatility and Properties of Time-series for the Tangerine Price in Jeju (제주지역 감귤가격의 시계열적 특성 및 가격변동성에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Bong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.212-217
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the volatility and properties of a time series for tangerine prices in Jeju using the GARCH model of Bollerslev(1986). First, it was found that the time series for the rate of change in tangerine prices had a thicker tail rather than a normal distribution. At a significance level of 1%, the Jarque-Bera statistic led to a rejection of the null hypothesis that the distribution of the time series for the rate of change in tangerine prices is normally distributed. Second, the correlation between the time series was high based on the Ljung-Box Q statistic, which was statistically verified through the ARCH-LM test. Third, the results of the GARCH(1,1) model estimation showed statistically significant results at a significance level of 1%, except for the constant of the mean equation. The persistence parameter value of the variance equation was estimated to be close to 1, which means that there is a high possibility that a similar level of volatility will be present in the future. Finally, it is expected that the results of this study can be used as basic data to optimize the government's tangerine supply and demand control policy.

Long Memory and Cointegration in Crude Oil Market Dynamics (국제원유시장의 동적 움직임에 내재하는 장기기억 특성과 공적분 관계 연구)

  • Kang, Sang Hoon;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.485-508
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the long memory property and investigates cointegration in the dynamics of crude oil markets. For these purposes, we apply the joint ARMA-FIAPARCH model with structural break and the vector error correction model (VECM) to three daily crude oil prices: Brent, Dubai and West Texas Intermediate (WTI). In all crude oil markets, the property of long memory exists in their volatility, and the ARMA-FIAPARCH model adequately captures this long memory property. In addition, the results of the cointegration test and VECM estimation indicate a bi-directional relationship between returns and the conditional variance of crude oil prices. This finding implies that the dynamics of returns affect volatility, and vice versa. These findings can be utilized for improving the understanding of the dynamics of crude oil prices and forecasting market risk for buyers and sellers in crude oil markets.

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The Influences of Apartment Complex Characteristics on Housing Price by Hierarchical Linear Model (위계적 모형을 이용한 주거단지특성이 주택가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Keong-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2014
  • The background of this study is to examine the structure of housing price of which characteristics are not equal but hierarchical in the apartment complexes. So, the purpose of this study is to analyze the influences of apartment complex characteristics on the housing price within the same regional boundary by HLM. The data used as dependent variables were the market prices of 938 units from 29 apartment complexes by stratified sampling. The 2nd level independent variables is the Housing complex characteristics which are composed of the housing complex & locational variables and the 1st level independent variables are the unit characteristics. The results are as follows. First, the first model shows that the 2nd level variables explains 68% of the housing prices. Second, the influential variables of the 1st level unit variable are 'dwelling exclusive area', 'floor of dwelling' and 'direction of dwelling'. Third, the influential variables of the housing complex variables in the 2nd level are 'lot area', 'the building-to-land ratio', 'the number of unit', 'the number of parking lots per unit', 'Green space area' and 'open space area per unit'. The last, the influential variables of the housing locational variables in the 2nd level are 'distance to subway and park' and the number of school and park within a radius of 1km.

Differences between Sale Prices and Lotting Prices in New Multi-family Housing Considering Housing Sub-Market (주택하부시장 특성을 고려한 신규 분양가와 입주후 가격 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yeol;Kim, Hyung Soo;Park, Myung Je
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4D
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    • pp.523-531
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    • 2008
  • This study tried to find differences between housing lotting prices and sale prices owing to new multi-family housing price regulation. As the results of this study, they are as follows; First, this study shows housing market in Busan has a preferences of new housing which has a new housing form differing from the existing housing form. For example, the mixed-use apartment with higher stories shows steeper incline than the apartments with the existing forms. Second, the new housing prices are affected by the information that affect the price of the old existing housing. They are rates of green area of an apartment complex, the number of household, accessibility to downtown Busan and etc.. They are also confirmed factors that affect a rise of used-housing price in other studies. Third, brand value of apartments affects new housing prices. For example, if the major construction companies build the new apartment, it shows a rising trend than any other housing. Therefore, the local construction companies are expected to be put on a disadvantage places than major construction companies. Fourth, the lotting prices are the most important cause that lead to rise the new housing prices. Accordingly, the present lotting prices are expected that upward tendency the purchasing prices of the new housing will not continue, because the lotting prices have risen since the government removed lotting price regulations and exceeded the level of used-housing prices. And it denote that importance of housing sub-market which indicates rates of old existing housing market rising, frist preference Gu, second preference Gu, rate of multi-family housing.

Hidden Markov model with stochastic volatility for estimating bitcoin price volatility (확률적 변동성을 가진 은닉마르코프 모형을 통한 비트코인 가격의 변동성 추정)

  • Tae Hyun Kang;Beom Seuk Hwang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.85-100
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    • 2023
  • The stochastic volatility (SV) model is one of the main methods of modeling time-varying volatility. In particular, SV model is actively used in estimation and prediction of financial market volatility and option pricing. This paper attempts to model the time-varying volatility of the bitcoin market price using SV model. Hidden Markov model (HMM) is combined with the SV model to capture characteristics of regime switching of the market. The HMM is useful for recognizing patterns of time series to divide the regime of market volatility. This study estimated the volatility of bitcoin by using data from Upbit, a cryptocurrency trading site, and analyzed it by dividing the volatility regime of the market to improve the performance of the SV model. The MCMC technique is used to estimate the parameters of the SV model, and the performance of the model is verified through evaluation criteria such as MAPE and MSE.