• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자타당성

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A Technical Feasibility Analysis on Barge Transportation System between Incheon and Gaesung (인천-개성(공단)간 바아지 항로의 기술적 타당성 분석)

  • Lee, Seung-Hee;Lee, Young-Gill;Choi, Jeong-Chul;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.1 s.117
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2007
  • Recently, freight floe between south and north Korea is rising rapidly by increasing cf economical exchange between two Korea and growth of Gaeseoung Industrial Complex. Considering this trend of economic cooperation between two Korea, in addition to a land transportation route it is necessary to secure various logistics and transportation route. A barge transport system which has many merits such as a little initial investment and convenience of harbor loading/unloading has been also used to transport freight widely in the EU and USA. In this paper, firstly, a Gaeseoung industrial complex and its cargo transport are investigated and several candidate shipping routes which are using barge transportation system are proposed. And also we investigate a technical feasibility on a realistic possibility of shipping routes by some investigation activities. Finally, a suitable barge system of candidate shipping route(1) and(2) is proposed in this paper.

In Search of "Excess Competition" (과당경쟁(過當競爭)과 정부규제(政府規制))

  • Nam, II-chong;Kim, Jong-seok
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.31-57
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    • 1991
  • Korean firms of all sizes, from virtually every industry, have used and are using the term "excessive competition" to describe the state of their industry and to call for government interventions. Moreover, the Korean government has frequently responded to such calls in various ways favorable to the firms, such as controlling entry, curbing capacity investments, or allowing collusion. Despite such interventions' impact on the overall efficiency on the Korean economy as well as on the wealth distribution among diverse groups of economic agents, the term "excessive competition", the basis for the interventions, has so far escaped rigorous scrutiny. The objective of this paper is to clarify the notion of "excessive competition" and "over-investment" which usually accompanies "excessive competition", and to examine the circumstances under which they might occur. We first survey the cases where the terms are most widely used and proceed to examine those cases to determine if competition is indeed excessive, and if so, what causes "excessive competition". Our main concern deals with the case in which the firms must make investment decisions that involve large sunk costs while facing uncertain demand. In order to analyze this case, we developed a two period model of capacity precommitment and the ensuing competition. In the first period, oligopolistic firms make capacity investments that are irreversible. Demand is uncertain in period 1 and only the distribution is known. Thus, firms must make investment decisions under uncertainty. In the second period, demand is realized, and the firms compete with quantity under realized demand and capacity constraints. In the above setting, we find that there is "no over-investment," en ante, and there is "no excessive competition," ex post. As measured by the information available in period 1, expected return from investment of a firm is non-negative, overall industry capacity does not exceed the socially optimal level, and competition in the second period yields an outcome that gives each operating firm a non-negative second period profit. Thus, neither "excessive competition" nor "over-investment" is possible. This result will generally hold true if there is no externality and if the industry is not a natural monopoly. We also extend this result by examining a model in which the government is an active participant in the game with a well defined preference. Analysis of this model shows that over-investment arises if the government cannot credibly precommit itself to non-intervention when ex post idle capacity occurs, due to socio-political reasons. Firms invest in capacities that exceed socially optimal levels in this case because they correctly expect that the government will find it optimal for itself to intervene once over-investment and ensuing financial problems for the firms occur. Such planned over-investment and ensuing government intervention are the generic problems under the current system. These problems are expected to be repeated in many industries in years to come, causing a significant loss of welfare in the long run. As a remedy to this problem, we recommend a non-intervention policy by the government which creates and utilizes uncertainty. Based upon an argument which is essentially the same as that of Kreps and Wilson in the context of a chain-store game, we show that maintaining a consistent non-intervention policy will deter a planned over-investment by firms in the long run. We believe that the results obtained in this paper has a direct bearing on the public policies relating to many industries including the petrochemical industry that is currently in the center of heated debates.

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A Comparative Analysis of Informatization Level for Agricultural Corporations and SMEs (농업법인과 중소기업의 정보화수준 비교 분석)

  • Bock, Gene;Kim, Bae-Bong;Lee, Jae-Keun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.892-902
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    • 2015
  • Agri-food ICT(Information and Communications Technologies) convergence has been raised as an important issue for agricultural industry competence. In this situation, this study is to enhance agricultural competitiveness and seek to development plan for agricultural corporation by diagnosing informatization level. For this purpose, this study conducted survey on informatization level of 3,019 agricultural corporations and calculated level score. And result is compared with SMEs(Small and Medium Enterprise) informatization survey, including manufacturing and service industries, conducted by Korea Technology & Information Promotion Agency for SMEs in recent agricultural corporations' growing with automation of agricultural production and improving service to customer satisfaction. Evaluation system is established to calculate informatization level score and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method was used by the experts to investigate weighting of assessment area, assessment indicators, assessment items. As a result, agricultural corporation informatization level score was 40.16 points which is lower than the benefitted organization of agri-food IT convergence modeling(43.44 points). By assessment area, the informatization level of promotional environment area was low and investment and training items were analyzed low especially so need to improve urgently. In the analysis result by organization type, agricultural company corporation's informatization level was higher than the agricultural association corporation and 'Processing and distribution' was higher than others by business type. Informatization level of agricultural corporation is 80 percent of 2013 SMEs' level(50.18 points) and 59.4 percent of a large corporation(67.64 points). In particular, big difference is occurred in investment feasibility analysis, informatization investment and education which will be need to improve.

The Valuation of HSA Business Using Broadband over Power Line (전력선통신망을 이용한 HSA사업의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Lyoo, Tae-Ho;Kim, Chang-Seob
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.202-214
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    • 2007
  • The concept of HSA (Home Service Aggregator) is derived from performing the energy IT business efficiently as well as successfully launcing a new service based on BPL (Broadband over Power Line). The HSA business using a BPL can extend the field of energy industry and an give a chance to create a new demand by consumer-oriented services. This study focuses on the exact evaluation of HSA business using BPL, and reasonable trusty evaluation should be the first step to launch the HSA business. In this study, the categories of cost are comprised of equipment (mainly RSM and MGW) cost, instalation cost, and maintenance cost. AMR (Automatic Meter Reading), internet integration billing service, integration charging service, internet service, sorority service, and electricity safety are listed for benefit. In this study, the ROI of HSA business is 0.9594, which is less than 1. However, that value does not consider the electricity safety benefit which is classified as a social benefit. Therefore, the value can be above 1 if it includes social and private benefits.

The Welfare Investment of the National Pension Funds: Its Necessity and Policy Development (국민연금기금의 복지사업 당위성과 정책방향 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.295-312
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    • 2006
  • The use of the national pension funds to welfare has been criticized due to its low profitability, with concern about financial instability and the lack of funds. Despite the small amount of the funds employed to the welfare, therefore, it has been decreasing so far. It is resulted from the fact that the use of funds to the welfare sector failed to provide its valid reasons, and take the policy direction firmly. There are three main logical reasons for the welfare investment of national pension funds: Firstly, no state is capable to take the full responsibility for the entire social welfare, and therefore, the funds can be used for social welfare. Secondly, the funded system, contrasted with the case of pay-as-you-go system, has inevitably caused discriminations to the present elderly through excluding them institutionally from pension participation. At last, so as to its selective system, the minimum contribution period of 10 years brings about the equity problem between the people who can afford it and the people who hardly can. Therefore, investing a proportion of funds to the welfare is entirely reasonable in that it can alleviate the discriminations to the present elderly generation and the marginal participants, rather than to meet their social welfare needs. With regard to the policy decision, the profitability of the investment, and the choice of the welfare work, on the other hand, the policy direction should be given a sufficient consideration of a various policy factors such as the necessity of social consensus, independence of the welfare work in relations with other national welfare work, policy identity to judge whether the work is worth long-run or short-run, and the reliance of direct-operated work and indirect-operated work. As a result of all these efforts above mentioned, an investment to the welfare of the national pension funds could be vitalized, and gain public confidence.

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Feasibility study of indirect coal liquefaction process (석탄 간접액화 공정의 경제성 분석)

  • Kim, Hak-Joo;Jung, Heon;Lee, Ho-Tae;Yang, Jung-Il;Chun, Dong-Hyun;Yang, Jung-Hoon;Park, Ji-Chan;Kim, Byung-Kwon
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.76.2-76.2
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    • 2011
  • 석탄으로부터 합성석유를 생산하는 상용기술을 도입하여 건설하고 이와 더불어 원천기술 개발을 위한 국산화 기술 개발을 병행하여 향후 고유가 시대를 대비한 국가 에너지 안보 확립과 국내 기술 개발의 가속화를 추구해야 할 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 타당성 조사는 3종류의 석탄(호주 Wyong탄, 인도네시아 NTC탄, 인도네시아 KBB탄)으로부터 가스화에 의하여 합성석유스를 생산하는 공정에 대한 타당성 조사(Feasibility Study, FS)를 Class 5(하한 -50~-20%, 상한 30~100%)의 정확도로 수행하는 것을 내용으로 하고 있다. 플랜트의 규모는 합성석유 기준으로 20,000배럴/일이다. 플랜트의 건설을 위해서 광양제철소 슬래그처리장 내 12만평 부지에 조성 중인 포스코 SNG 생산공장 부지의 일부를 사용하는 것을 기준으로 하였다. 일반적으로 석탄의 종류에 따라서 가스화기의 종류 및 성능이 결정된다. 본 타당성 조사 연구에서 선정된 3종류의 석탄의 조성, 발열량, 회분 함량 등의 특성을 고려하여 각각의 석탄에 적합한 현존하는 상용급 가스화기를 선정하였다. 해당 석탄이 가스화기 종류에 따라 적절한 전처리 과정(건조, 분쇄, 슬러리화)을 거친 후 가스화기에 공급되는 것을 가정하여 석탄의 원소분석 조성, 발열량, 회분함량, 회분조성, 회 용융점 등의 변수에 따라서 각각 해당 가스화기에서 가스화되었을 때의 생성되는 합성가스의 조건을 시뮬레이션을 통하여 얻었다. 가스화기 시뮬레이션 결과를 토대로 합성석유 및 합성천연가스 생산을 위한 공정의 물질수지식 및 에너지수지식이 계산되었으며 이로부터 각 공정에서 발생되는 부생성물과 폐기물에 대한 양이 결정되고 이를 처리하는 방안 등도 제시되었다. 실증시설은 20,000배럴/일 규모의 CTL 및 전기 병산 시설이 적합하다. 더 큰 규모 공장은 투자비가 너무 커서 유가 또는 석탄가 변동에 따라 사업의 수익성이 크게 변하여 위험도가 큰 단점이 있기 때문이다. CTL 공장에 전기 병산이 추천되는 이유는 산소생산공장(APU), 압축 등 석탄전환공장에는 자체적인 전기수요가 막대하여 따로 스팀터빈용 발전소를 운영하므로 이를 효율적으로 대체하고자 하기 때문이다. 즉, 석탄가스화에 의해 기름을 최대한 만들고 미반응가스는 가스터빈 및 스팀터빈의 복합발전에 의해 고효율로 전기를 생산하면 최소의 비용으로 최대한 전기를 생산하여 자체소비 전력을 충당하고 남는 전기는 판매하여 수익률을 높일 수 있다.

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Study on Internal Corporate Venture Business in Public Companies;Based on A Public Company (공공기관의 사내벤처제도 개선방안;A사 사례연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Keon;Lim, Chan-Soo
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.111-140
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    • 2007
  • This paper was analyzed to improve internal corporate venture system in public companies. The problems of internal corporate venture systems in a public company were as follows: First, lack of the CEO's willingness in venture business was shown. The culture of venture business also was not mature; Second, the employees were behind the effort to develop their business ability; Third, the objective views are needed to screening venture items and evaluation; Fourth, to measure performance of internal corporate venture, a clear basis and measure system were needed. Fifth, the reward was restricted; Finally, the mother-company did not invest any money for the spin-outed ventures The results of the paper were as follows: First, the CEO's support and effusion of venture culture were needed for successful internal corporate venture system; Second, a public company has to provide education program for venture and information--sharing system; Third, outside consultant may be utilized in finding venture items and feasibility evaluation. Fourth, each venture team may be provided a clear object and specific evaluation system based on characteristic of each team; Fifth, performance-base reward system is needed to enhance motivation; Finally, the public company has to provide find for the spin-off venture by utilizing government system and forming venture capital funds.

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Calculation of Travel Time Values in Seoul Metropolitan Area Considering Unique Travel Patterns (수도권 통행 특성을 고려한 통행시간가치 산정 연구)

  • KIM, Kyung Hyun;LEE, Jang-Ho;YUN, Ilsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.481-498
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    • 2017
  • Travel time reduction benefit is the most important benefit item in the feasibility study of transportation infrastructure investment projects and calculated by using the value of travel time. The current feasibility study guideline (5th edition) calculate the value of non-business ravel time in a metropolitan area, using the ratio of the value of non-business travel time to business travel time calculated based on the nationwide inter-regional traffic survey data of 1999. The characteristics of metropolitan trips are different from those of nationwide regional trips. Metropolitan trips have frequent transfers between multiple public transits and long-time commuter trips. Therefore, this research aims to calculate the value of travel time reflecting traffic characteristics in a metropolitan area by improving the limitation of current calculation methods. To reflect these characteristics, this research extracts commuter trips from non-business trips and calculates the value of travel time for commuter trips. The results of the likelihood ratio test for the commuter trip model and the non-business trip model are found to be statistically significant. An integrated public transportation model was also estimated in this study to reflect the trip conditions of the Seoul metropolitan area integrated fare system. The results of comparing coefficients between bus and subway in the integrated public transit model indicated that there were no statistically significant differences between the two modes.

A Study on the Economic Validity of Hybrid Coal-to-Liquid process (Hybrid형 석탄액화 공정의 경제적 타당성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Joo-Won;Bae, Jong-Soo;Kweon, Yeong-Jin;Kim, Hak-Joo;Jung, Heon;Han, Choon
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.109.1-109.1
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    • 2010
  • Hybrid형 석탄액화 공정은 직접액화 (Direct Coal Liquefaction, DCL)공정과 간접액화 (Indirect Coal Liquefaction, ICL)공정으로 구성 되며, 공정의 경제성을 분석하기위하여 주요 제품 (디젤, 납사) 생산량이 50,000barrel per day (BPD)의 Hybrid형 석탄액화공정을 선정하고 공정에 적합한 검토기준을 세워 건설비용 및 매출액등을 산정하였다. 또한 석탄액화공정에 대한 중요 변수들의 가격 변동에 따른 민감도 분석을 실시하였다. 생산량을 기준으로 선정된 원료탄(Illinois #6 유연탄)의 사용하였을 때, 총 투자액은 $4,114,730,000 로 나타났으며, 고정비는 $93,610,000, 변동비는 $407,225,000으로 분석되었다. 경제성 분석결과 내부수익률 (internal rate of return, IRR)은 기본조건에서 11.48%로 나타났으며, 순현가(net present value, NPV)는 $526,478,000으로 나타났다. 원금상환 기간은 6.9년으로 나타났으며, 민감도 분석 결과 제품가격, 원료석탄가격, 건설비의 변동률 순서로 수익률에 변화를 주는 것으로 나타났다. 민감도가 가장 높은 제품 가격 25% 상승 시, IRR과 NPV는 각각 17.24%, $2,804,919,000로 나타났다.

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SNS상의 온라인 구전정보의 특성이 가정용 안면피부미용기기 구매의도에 미치는 영향

  • Kim, Do-Hui;Hwang, Bo-Yun
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2017.04a
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    • pp.46-46
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    • 2017
  • 최근 경기 침체에 불구하고 피부관리에 아낌없이 투자하는 소비자들이 늘어나면서 가정용 안면피부미용기기 (뷰티디바이스) 열기가 거세다. 시간과 장소에 제약이 없이 가성비가 뛰어난 가정용 안면피부미용기기 시장은 지난해 약 1000억으로 전년 대비 약 25%의 성장을 보이고 있으며 당분간 이 열기는 지속될 것이다. 본 연구는 이런 가정용 안면피부미용기기 시장이 이제 막 주목받고 있는 분야임에도 불구하고 연구된 바가 거의 없다. 라서 본 연구는 기업의 중요한 마케팅수단인 SNS의 구전 정보의 특성이 가정용 안면피부미용기기 (뷰티디바이스) 구매의도에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 분석하고 구매의도에 중요한 역할하는 소비자의 태도가 어떤 매개역할을 하지는 분석하여 성장해가고 있는 가정용 안면피부미용기기(뷰티디바이스) 창업기업의 마케팅 전략에 기여할 것으로 판단된다. 연구모형에 있어서 SNS의 구전정보의 특성으로는 구전정보의 방향성, 구전정보의 수량, 구전정보의 내용 품질, 구전정보의 유형 들로 독립변수를 설정하였고, 종속변수인 구매의도사이에 매개변수로서 소비자태도를 선정하였다. 서울지역 여성 소비자들 중에서 가정용 안면 피부 미용기기를 사용해 본 경험이 있는 조건부 불특정 다수를 대상으로 150개의 표본을 추출하였다. 분석 방법은 확인적 요인분석과 크론바하 알파 계수로 변수의 타당성, 신뢰성 분석을 하고 경로분석을 통하여 변수간 가설 검정을 분석중에 있다.

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