• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자정책

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Wind power forecasting based on time series and machine learning models (시계열 모형과 기계학습 모형을 이용한 풍력 발전량 예측 연구)

  • Park, Sujin;Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.723-734
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    • 2021
  • Wind energy is one of the rapidly developing renewable energies which is being developed and invested in response to climate change. As renewable energy policies and power plant installations are promoted, the supply of wind power in Korea is gradually expanding and attempts to accurately predict demand are expanding. In this paper, the ARIMA and ARIMAX models which are Time series techniques and the SVR, Random Forest and XGBoost models which are machine learning models were compared and analyzed to predict wind power generation in the Jeonnam and Gyeongbuk regions. Mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were used as indicators to compare the predicted results of the model. After subtracting the hourly raw data from January 1, 2018 to October 24, 2020, the model was trained to predict wind power generation for 168 hours from October 25, 2020 to October 31, 2020. As a result of comparing the predictive power of the models, the Random Forest and XGBoost models showed the best performance in the order of Jeonnam and Gyeongbuk. In future research, we will try not only machine learning models but also forecasting wind power generation based on data mining techniques that have been actively researched recently.

The Influence of Open Innovation on Innovation Performance of SMEs : Estimation using the Three-step Least Squares method (개방형 혁신이 중소기업의 혁신성과에 미치는 영향 : 3단계 최소자승법을 이용한 추정)

  • Jeong, Myoung-Sun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we have examined the effect of open innovation of SMEs on innovation performance of firms. Most studies do not consider internal generation in relation to open innovation and innovation performance.We conducted empirical studies to overcome this problem. The research was carried out by collecting data collected from 512 SMEs and the 3SLS method was used to minimize the internal generation. As a result, open innovation investment and use of external ideas among SMEs' open innovation have positively influenced project success and technical performance. But, the introduction of technology and cooperation with the research organization did not affect the innovation performance, which is presumed to be due to the fact that the open innovation of SMEs is limited to relatively inexpensive activities. Therefore, in order to promote open innovation of SMEs, it is necessary to provide support for relatively high-cost activities and to improve the innovation performance of enterprises. In order to reduce the difficulties of open innovation activities, domestic universities and research institutes should support the construction of enterprise networks and actively support the utilization of technology to expand innovation performance.

A Study on the Trend of Digital Content Industry (디지털 콘텐츠 산업동향에 관한 연구)

  • BAE, Sung-Pil
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • The content of the information age does not simply convey content but includes all the transactions that arise from its interaction. The types and forms of information being traded through this interaction are recognized differently from the contents that have been passed on to mankind so far by creating new meaningful content. Because the distribution of interactive content transcending the concept of time-to-time in the network environment is an important component of access to added value in the new world, unlike the content of simple concepts seen in the products of communication so far. In this study, the purpose of this study is to recognize the current status and problems of the Korean digital content industry and to seek ways to revitalize the Korean digital content industry to lead the global market in the future. Specifically, first, we want to learn about the concept of digital content. Second, we would like to look at the industrial trends of digital content at home and abroad. Third, we present a plan to streamline digital content. Fourth, derive research results and implications. In this work, the following results are derived: First, in order for Korea to enter a digital content powerhouse, each government department must first break away from the selfishness of the ministry and actively cooperate to efficiently establish and implement various policies. Second, e-books should be introduced just as current paper and CD-ROM titles are exempt from VAT, and security solutions, related technology development, and copyright issues should be urgently addressed to revitalize the market. Third, the demand for high-quality content should increase as information infrastructure such as high-speed information and communication networks and satellite broadcasting is established.

Global Comparison for Personal Asset Management by Old Age People in Korea (한국 노년기 자산관리의 국제비교)

  • Kim, Byoung Joon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.221-243
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    • 2017
  • In this study, I examine overall conditions and problems of personal asset management processes by the old age people in Korea from the global perspectives. Major recommended policy implications for those are as follows.. First, the IRR (income replacement ratio) of public pensions in Korea is found to rank nearly the lowest among the OECD member countries. The relatively low fund performance compared to that of developed countries as well as this low IRR can be pointed out as major problems of public pension in Korea. It is recommended to reinforce specialty in fund management as a top priority to solve out these problems related with public pensions in Korea. Second, it is needed to set retirement pensions to be mandatory for almost all the firms in Korea to substitute for the above lower IRR of public pensions and to recover from the highest elderly poverty ratio among the OECD countries. Third, it is required to discuss about the expansion of tax refund policy application in the individual pension sector and many financial investment products under the correction of current budget control to motivate voluntary subscription for individual pension planning and to stabilize elderly lives of ordinary people in Korea. Fourth, it is required to induce market mechanism in controling price and longevity risk of reverse mortgages for the long-run sustainability.

The Pattern of Regional Migration in Myanmar (미얀마 인구이동 패턴과 결정요인 분석)

  • Choi, Young Jun;Li, Jia En
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the determinants and patterns of regional migration in Myanmar. Population migration is affected by various factors such as economic and social factors as well as regional characteristics. It is affected by factors such as income, employment and social overhead capital. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze the following two research problems. First, I would like to analyze whether the reform and opening of Myanmar is causing the migration of rural to urban population. Myanmar is also trying to verify the pattern of population migration experienced by other developing countries. Second, we analyze the impact of social overhead capital on population migration in Myanmar. We analyze the impact of basic infrastructure such as roads, electricity and water on population movements. This will give implications for investment policy decision of social overhead capital for balanced regional development. First, the pattern of population migration in Myanmar is shifting from rural to urban areas, as other developing countries have experienced. Myanmar's urban areas of Yangon and Mandalay have been analyzed as having migration. Second, the expansion of social overhead capital was found to have an impact. Social overhead capital such as roads and educational environments were analyzed to have the capacity to inhale the population. Especially, the educational environment of the region has a great effect on population migration. It is analyzed that education reform is an important policy issue for the balanced regional development of Myanmar. Fourth, employment opportunities were analyzed to have the greatest impact on Myanmar population movements. In the early stage of economic development, it is analyzed that the population moves to a region where employment opportunity is high in the situation where foreign capital is coming in. It is analyzed that the direction of inflow of foreign capital and the imbalance of development in the region will be determined in the situation where the economic development is carried out through foreign capital.

Laos 2017: The Coexistence of Political Stagnation and Economic Change (라오스 2017: 정치적 정체와 경제적 변화의 혼재)

  • LEE, Yo Han
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.145-171
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    • 2018
  • Laos' 2017 is a year of political "stagnation" and economic "change". In the political arena, despite the achievements such as the improvement of the corruption perception index (CPI), it is necessary to watch the progress of the reform. Diplomatically, the influence of China is expected to increase further. In particular, since November 2017, Xi Jinping's visit to Laos is expected to strengthen the framework of cooperation between the economic corridor and Lanchang-Mekong Cooperation Meeting. And Laos continued to have friendly relations with other neighboring countries, the ASEAN countries. However, the issue of the Laos-Cambodian border issue following the general election in Cambodia may recur. The economic sector maintained a high growth rate due to capital inflows from the construction of large infrastructures and the favorable tourism industry, but structural problems such as deficits in the fiscal and current account should be resolved. Korea and Laos discussed the comprehensive cooperation between the two countries through the Mekong Senior Officials' Meeting in March 2017 and the Ministerial Meeting of the Korean-Lao Foreign Minister in September 2017. Laos is Korea's eighth ODA aid (grant), and ODA will become an important diplomatic cooperation channel between the two countries in the future. In the economic relationship, the trade sector is on a declining trend, but investment and human exchanges are steadily increasing.

A Study on National Cyber Capability Assessment Methodology (국가 사이버 역량 평가 방법론 연구)

  • Kang, JungMin;Hwang, HyunUk;Lee, JongMoon;Yun, YoungTae;Bae, ByungChul;Jung, SoonYoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1039-1055
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    • 2012
  • It is required for us to enhance the national cyber capability as the worldwide countries have been doing effort to strengthen their cyber capabilities. However, we are encountering the difficulty in estimating national cyber capability due to the absence of any cyber capability assessment methodology. This paper presents the national cyber capability assessment methodology which is used for settle up national cyber policy. We also introduce the result of five major nations(US, China, Japan, Russia, Korea)' cyber capability assessment using the proposed methodology. The methodology is developed using open data and includes three areas; base capability, attack capability and defense capability. The assessment result shows the in the order of US, China, Korea, Russia, Japan. As the analysis of that result, in order to enhance the our cyber capability, we recommend that first, cyber budget and human resources for the base capability should be more invested, second, the strategy for attack capability enhancement is strongly required and lastly, the patch ratio and security monitoring level should be upgraded.

Exploring Science Teachers' Experiences and Perceptions in Operating Science Core Schools (과학중점학교 담당교사 관점에서 본 운영 효과 및 교육적 의의에 대한 탐색)

  • Choi, Imjung;Lee, Hyunju
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of the study is to explore the personal experiences and efforts of science teachers, who have worked in science core schools over the years, in order to evaluate the educational effects and implications of science core school policies. To achieve this purpose, we conducted semi-structured interviews with twelve individual science teachers who have operated programs and curriculum at science core schools. The results provided three case studies presenting how the teachers operated curriculum and how they perceived the benefits of science core schools and identified some commonalities in their experiences and perceptions through cross-case discussions. Three teachers in case studies presented different teaching orientations for science core schools, but they positively perceived its benefits and were very satisfied with the school environment and financial supports from government even though they had more burdens on work. In cross-case analysis among 12 teachers, the teachers commonly presented their passion and enthusiasm for organizing and implementing various extra-curriculum science activities. They believed that such efforts contributed to encouraging their students to consider their careers in science and engineering fields in college. And the differentiated school program has increased reputation and preference for the school from local parents and students. In addition, they felt that these efforts brought their own growth and professional development as science teachers.

The Analysis of Profit Adjustment and Business Performance Using Deferred Corporate Taxes Information (이연법인세 정보를 이용한 이익조정 및 사업성과 분석)

  • Yun, Han-Kuk;Kim, Jin-Seop
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.602-609
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    • 2021
  • Under accrual basic accounting, financial statements may be less reliable compared to cash basis accounting. The purpose of this study is to conduct an empirical analysis to determine the possibility of profit adjustment through the increase and decrease of deferred tax accounts. For our empirical analysis, a dummy variable of '1' was used as a dependent variable when the deferred tax net assets increased from the previous year and '0' when the deferred tax net assets decreased. Meanwhile, the variables of interest were discretionary accruals and ROA variation compared to the previous year. Logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the relevance between variables. Results found larger discretionary accruals related to lower net deferred tax assets compared to the previous year. In addition, there was a correlation between ROA and net deferred tax assets only if the ROA increased and net profit was greater than '0'. Study results will enable deferred tax information to be used in investment decision-making, and supervisory institutions can establish policies to prevent profit adjustments and enhance reporting standards.

Innovation and Industrial Concentration (R&D 지출과 경제적 성과에 관한 실증분석 - 16개 광역지역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Dong-Soo;Cho, Taek-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.184-193
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    • 2021
  • This paper investigates the performance of technology innovation activities performed by firms in 16 major regions in Korea using 2002-2010 survey data by STEPI. The theoretical and empirical analysis is carried out via the 2 models which are the simple R&D - total revenue model and Cobb-Douglas model based on the simple model adding labor variable. The main results shows that for simple model, the R&D elasticity for total revenue is 0.42 for all areas and Ul-San shows the highest elasticity level, 0.66 and Bu-San the lowest level, 0.2. In case of Cobb Douglas model the R&D elasticities are not statistically significant for many regions. To overcome the low statistical significance, we grouped the 15 regions for 3 wider regions using ANOVA based on the R&D intensity for the homogeneity of R&D activities. By grouping, each region has more observations to analyze and the results from the empirical analysis shows higher statistical significance level and data explanation capability. In this case, Group 3 which shows larger firm size and slightly higher export share shows the highest level of R&D elasticity, 0.088 and Group 1 which has the smallest firm size and the lowest revenue growth rate shows the lowest level, 0.31. For the labor elasticity, Group 1 shows the higest level, 1.16 and Group2 the lowest level, 1.096. These results show that the regions which have many middle and small firms reveal low R&D-revenue elasticity and high labor-revenue elasticity.