• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자자

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Research model on stock price prediction system through real-time Macroeconomics index and stock news mining analysis (실시간 거시지표 예측과 증시뉴스 마이닝을 통한 주가 예측시스템 모델연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2021
  • As the global economy stagnated due to the Corona 19 virus from Wuhan, China, most countries, including the US Federal Reserve System, introduced policies to boost the economy by increasing the amount of money. Most of the stock investors tend to invest only by listening to the recommendations of famous YouTubers or acquaintances without analyzing the financial statements of the company, so there is a high possibility of the loss of stock investments. Therefore, in this research, I have used artificial intelligence deep learning techniques developed under the existing automatic trading conditions to analyze and predict macro-indicators that affect stock prices, giving weights on individual stock price predictions through correlations that affect stock prices. In addition, since stock prices react sensitively to real-time stock market news, a more accurate stock price prediction is made by reflecting the weight to the stock price predicted by artificial intelligence through stock market news text mining, providing stock investors with the basis for deciding to make a proper stock investment.

An exercise algorithm for mezzanine products using artificial neural networks (인공신경망을 이용한 메자닌 상품의 행사 알고리즘)

  • Jae Pil, Yu
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2023
  • Mezzanine products are financial investment products with both bond and stock characteristics, which are mainly issued by low-grade companies in the financial market to secure liquidity. Therefore, bondholders investing in mezzanine products must make decisions about when they want to convert to stocks, along with whether they invest in mezzanine products issued by the company. Therefore, in this paper, a total of 2,000 learning data and 200 predictive experimental data with stock conversion events completed by major industries are divided, and mezzanine event algorithms are designed and performance analyzed through artificial neural network models. This topic is meaningful in that it proposed a methodology to scientifically solve the difficulties of exercising mezzanine products, which are of high interest in the financial field, by applying artificial neural network technology.

Forecasting Cryptocurrency Prices in COVID-19 Phase: Convergence Study on Naver Trends and Deep Learning (COVID-19 국면의 암호화폐 가격 예측: 네이버트렌드와 딥러닝의 융합 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Woong
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.116-125
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze whether investor anxiety caused by COVID-19 affects cryptocurrency prices in the COVID-19 pandemic, and to experiment with cryptocurrency price prediction based on a deep learning model. Investor anxiety is calculated by combining Naver's Corona search index and Corona confirmed information, analyzing Granger causality with cryptocurrency prices, and predicting cryptocurrency prices using deep learning models. The experimental results are as follows. First, CCI indicators showed significant Granger causality in the returns of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Lightcoin. Second, LSTM with CCI as an input variable showed high predictive performance. Third, Bitcoin's price prediction performance was the highest in comparison between cryptocurrencies. This study is of academic significance in that it is the first attempt to analyze the relationship between Naver's Corona search information and cryptocurrency prices in the Corona phase. In future studies, extended studies into various deep learning models are needed to increase price prediction accuracy.

금융소비자의 위험선호와 성격유형과의 관계에 관한 비교연구

  • Kim, Seok-Hwan;Gang, Hyeong-Gu
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구 목적은 MBTI에 의해 구분되는 인간의 성격유형에 따라 금융투자자들의 위험선호의 차이 유무, Private Banker의 투자 조언의 수용, 그리고 Private Bank Service의 사용의도에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 알아보는 것이다. 또한 MBTI의 성격유형별 주기능 사용의 차이에 기인한 개인의 특성이 위험선호에 미치는 영향을 알아보는 것이다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 실험군인 고액자산가(HNWI)와 대조군인 학생의 MBTI 성격유형을 개별로 검사하고 Holt and Laury (2002)와 Weber et al. (2002)의 설문을 활용하는 실증적인 비교분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과, 첫째, Holt and Laury(2002)의 Lottery연구에서 고액자산가와 일반 대조군 그리고 MBTI의 주기능분류(ST, NF)에 따른 차이는 존재하였다. 특히 고액자산가의 경우 ST와 NF 그룹의 차이가 존재하는 것을 확인하였다. 둘째, Weber et al.(2002)의 위험 감수를 측정하는 심리측정 요인 중 Gamble(g) Recreation(r)의 특성이 고액자산가에서 위험선호도에 미치는 영향이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 개인의 일상생활에 관련한 특성 또는 금융과 관련 없는 취미생활이 개인의 위험선호도에 반영될 수 있음을 나타내는 것으로 기존의 문헌들의 연구결과를 지지한다고 할 수 있다. 셋째, MBTI의 선호지표점수에 따라 위험선호도에 차이가 존재하였다. MBTI T점수가 높을 경우 위험선호도가 낮은 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 고액자산가그룹에는 영향이 없는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 넷째, MBTI 유형도표의 태도지표에 의해 구분된 유형들에 따라 전체 금융자산 대비 Private Banker를 이용하는 비율의 차이가 존재하는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 고액자산가를 대상으로 분석한 결과 태도유형 EP의 경우 다른 그룹에 비해 이용비율수준이 낮아 MBTI로 분류된 성격유형에 따라 전체금융자산 대비 Private Banker의 이용수준에도 영향이 있음을 확인하였다.

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Asymmetric Effect of Social Sentimental on an Individual Stock Price Return (소셜 감성이 개별 기업 주식수익률에 미치는 비대칭적 영향 분석)

  • Sei-Wan Kim;Jee-Won Park;Young-Min Kim;Hee Kyung Ham
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the asymmetric effect of social sentimental on an individual stock price return. For this purpose, four companies such as POSCO, Korean Electricity, AMORE PACIFIC, KIA Motors are chosen from KOSPI listed companies in terms of dataperspective. The main estimation results are as follows: the positive opinions affect only the stock prices return of three companies while the negative opinions affect all of the companies. It shows that positive or negative texts give asymmetric effect on stock price return and the effect of negative opinions is bigger than that of positive opinions. The results imply that investors are more sensitive to the negatives since they have the tendency of loss aversion. Also, it indicates that subjective opinion on SNS can be used as the proxy for the investment sentiment.

A Case Study on the Protection of Accounts and Assets on Cryptocurrency Exchanges: Focusing on the Processes of Related Institutions (가상통화거래소의 계정 및 자산 보호에 관한 사례연구: 유관기관의 프로세스를 중심으로)

  • Yoonjoo Lee;Dongwon Lee;Ingoo Han
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.135-161
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    • 2020
  • With the growth of blockchain and cryptocurrency-related markets, cryptocurrency exchanges are growing as a new industry. However, as the legal and regulatory definitions of cryptocurrencies are still in progress, unlike existing industrial groups, they are not under the supervision of regulatory agencies. As a result, users (i.e., cryptocurrency investors) have suffered two types of damage that could occur from hacking and other accidents on the exchanges. One type of the damage is the loss of assets caused by the extortion of personal information or account and the other is the damage from users who might be involved in external frauds. Both are analyzed in comparison with existing operators whose functions are like the exchanges. The results of this study show that membership (KYC: Know Your Client), log-in, and additional authentication in transactions are on the similar level to those of the operators while the fraud detection system (FDS) and anti-money laundering (AML) of fiat currencies and cryptocurrencies need rapid improvement.

A Study on the Factors that Affect the Investment Behavior in Financial Investment Products : Focused on the Effect of Adjustment in Investment Consulting Service (금융투자상품 투자행동에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 투자상담서비스의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Kye Woung;Ha, Kyu Soo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.53-68
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    • 2014
  • This study is aimed at analyzing the factors that affect the behaviors of employee's investment, such as a decision making process in a variety of views and proving the extent of how those factors influence on their investment. The basic assumption is that the preceding factors that can be determined by the personal investment propensity, a psychological factor asserted by Behavior Financial Theory and financial-economic and social environment. This study uses Hershey's Investment Behavior Model(2007) as the main analysis tool to explain the investment behavior of individuals and deals with personal investment inclination in the psychological perspective of overconfidence, self-control and the risk tolerance propensity and add the financial and economic factors in terms of financial literacy and economic distress. Also the new preceding social environmental factors like social interaction and the effect of reference group are added to make this research to be more precise. This study analyze the adjustment effect of professional invest-consulting service that affect the fluctuation influence between the individual variables(those factors) and subordination variable(the level of investment satisfaction). The study reveals that overconfidence and self-control in direct ways have a positive effect on the level of investment satisfaction in terms of investment behavior and economic distress has a negative effect on the level of investment satisfaction. The adjustment effect provided by financial experts in investment consulting service is affirmed as the critical factor that increase the influence between self-control and the level of investment satisfaction. To conclude, the research reveals that the psychological factors are the main criteria when the workers as employees have to make investment decisions. To make investors be reasonable, a systematic financial education system provided by experts is needed from the early adolescent stages and financial companies should develop the relevant services of consulting service department as a key financial sector and financial investment products and consulting program and marketing tool pertinent to investors ages, vocational traits and their inclinations.

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A Study on the Factors of Satisfaction with Stock Investment : Focusing on the Moderating Effect of the Stock Message Framing (주식 투자 만족도 형성 요인에 관한 연구 : 주식 메시지 프레이밍에 대한 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hae-young
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2018
  • With the recent, rapid changes in the socio-economic environment, organizations of today are now required to present a framework of realistic consumer behaviors based on psychology, economy, and finance, in order to understand their investing customers. Stock investors show differences in terms of their decisions or evaluations in the process of investing. This is due to what is called the 'framing effect.' The decision frames of the investors are defined differently, and, as a result, this affects the decisions made by the investors. Preceding studies on stock investment rarely touched the topic of the effect of message framing on market participants in their stock investment, especially regarding the differences in terms of their risk management behaviors based on the message framing in stock investment. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine the influence of stock investment message framing on market participants in their investment decision making and empirically validate whether this message framing effect has a moderating effect on the factors of investment satisfaction. For this, 494 participants with stock investment experiences were interviewed from May 1 to 26, 2018, and the results were used as the data for the empirical analysis. The analysis of the data was conducted using SPSS 22.0 statistical analysis software. The results of this study were as follows; First, of the stock investment behavioral factors, the stock comprehension, recommendation by others for a stock, and the degree of risks of a stock affected stock investment satisfaction in a positive manner. And, of the behavioral factors of stock investment, stock comprehension, stock brand, recommendation on the stocks from others, past performances, and risk levels of stocks affected the intent of continued stock investment in a positive manner. Second, message framing turned out to affect stock investment satisfaction in a positive manner, and it also had a significant moderating effect to the relationship between the stock investment behavior and stock investment satisfaction. Third, message framing was found to affect continued stock investment intent significantly, with a significant moderating effect in the relationship between stock investment behavioral factor and continued stock investment intent.

A Study on the K-REITs of Characteristic Analysis by Investment Type (K-REITs(부동산투자회사)의 투자 유형별 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Jin;Lee, Myenog-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.66-79
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    • 2016
  • A discussion has recently emerged over the increase of approvals of K-REITs, which is concluded on the basis of how to raise funds for business activity, fulfill the expected rate of return and maximize the management of managing investment funds. In addition, corporations need to acknowledge the necessity of the capital structure reflected in the current economic environment and decision-making processes. This research analyzed the characteristics by investment types and influence factors about the debt ratio of K-REITs. The data were collected from general management about business state, investment, and finance from 2002 to 2015 in K-REITs (except for the GFC period of 2007~2009). The results of the research demonstrated the high ratios of the largest shareholder characteristics, which are corporation, pension funds, mutual funds, banks, securities, insurance, and, recently, the increasing ratio of the largest shareholder and major stockholder. The investment of K-REITs is increasing the role of institutional investors that take a leading development of K-REITs. The behaviors of simultaneous investment of institutional investors were analyzed to show that they received higher interest rates than other financial institutions and ran in parallel with attraction and compensation. The results of the multiple regressions analysis, utilizing variables about debt ratio were as follows. The debt ratio showed a negative (-) relation that profitability is increasing, which matches the pecking order theory and trade off theory. On the other hand, investment opportunities (growth potential) showed a negative (-) relation and assets scale that indicated a positive (+) relation. The research results are reflected as follows. K-REITs focused on private equity REITs more than public offering REITs, and in the case of financing the capital of others, loan capital is operated under the guarantee of tangible assets (most of real estate) more than financing of the stock market. Further, after the GFC, the capital of others was actively utilized in K-REITs business, and the debt ratio showed that the determinant factors by the ratio and characteristics of the largest shareholder and investment products.

A Study on the Acceptance Factors of the Capital Market Sentiment Index (자본시장 심리지수의 수용요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Suk-Hwan;Kang, Hyoung-Goo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.1-36
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    • 2020
  • This study is to reveal the acceptance factors of the Market Sentiment Index (MSI) created by reflecting the investor sentiment extracted by processing unstructured big data. The research model was established by exploring exogenous variables based on the rational behavior theory and applying the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). The acceptance of MSI provided to investors in the stock market was found to be influenced by the exogenous variables presented in this study. The results of causal analysis are as follows. First, self-efficacy, investment opportunities, Innovativeness, and perceived cost significantly affect perceived ease of use. Second, Diversity of services and perceived benefits have a statistically significant impact on perceived usefulness. Third, Perceived ease of use and perceived usefulness have a statistically significant effect on attitude to use. Fourth, Attitude to use statistically significantly influences the intention to use, and the investment opportunities as an independent variable affects the intention to use. Fifth, the intention to use statistically significantly affects the final dependent variable, the intention to use continuously. The mediating effect between the independent and dependent variables of the research model is as follows. First, The indirect effect on the causal route from diversity of services to continuous use intention was 0.1491, which was statistically significant at the significance level of 1%. Second, The indirect effect on the causal route from perceived benefit to continuous use intention was 0.1281, which was statistically significant at the significance level of 1%. The results of the multi-group analysis are as follows. First, for groups with and without stock investment experience, multi-group analysis was not possible because the measurement uniformity between the two groups was not secured. Second, the analysis result of the difference in the effect of independent variables of male and female groups on the intention to use continuously, where measurement uniformity was secured between the two groups, In the causal route from usage attitude to usage intention, women are higher than men. And in the causal route from use intention to continuous use intention, males were very high and showed statistically significant difference at significance level 5%.