• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자결정기준

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투자성과지표로서 EVA의 유용성에 관한 실증연구

  • Kang, Hyo-Seok;Nam, Myeong-Su
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 가치창조 경영의 중심지표인 EVA가 우리나라에서도 올바른 주주가치 평가지표로서 활용될 수 있을지를 살펴보고 있다. 실증분석 결과를 보면 연구기간(1986년${\sim}$1995년)중 대부분의 기업은 주당 EVA가 음(陰)이였고, 주당 EVA는 주당영업 이익, 주당순이익, 자기자본이익률등 기존 성과 척도들에 비해 주가와 상관관계가 가장 높았다. 연도별 EVA를 기준으로 매년 포트폴리오를 재구성하는 방법으로 10년간의 초과 수익률을 계산한 결과 EVA가 양(陽)인 포트폴리오는 음(陰)경우보다 초과수익률이 거의 140%정도 높았다. 또한 당해연도 뿐 아니라 전년도 주당 EVA가 주가변동의 주요결정 요인인것도 발견되었다. 이러한 연구결과는 EVA의 극대화가 주가의 극대화 곧 기업가치 및 주주가치 극대화를 의미하므로 성과지표로서 EVA를 성과측정 및 보상등 기업의 모든 의사결정에 활용할 수 있다는 것을 시사해 준다. 또한 EVA를 포트폴리오 관리를 위한 새로운 투자지표로 활용한다면 증권시장에서 수익률을 재고할 수 있다는 것을 입증해줌으로써 증권시장의 활성화에 크게 기여할 수 있을 것이다.

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A Study on Determining the Prediction Models for Predicting Stock Price Movement (주가 운동양태 예측을 위한 예측 모델결정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon Jin-Ho;Cho Young-Hee;Lee Gye-Sung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2006
  • Predictions on stock prices have been a hot issue in stock market as people get more interested in stock investments. Assuming that the stock price is moving by a trend in a specific pattern, we believe that a model can be derived from past data to describe the change of the price. The best model can help predict the future stock price. In this paper, our model derivation is based on automata over temporal data to which the model is explicable. We use Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC) to determine the best number of states of the model. We confirm the validity of Bayesian Information Criterion and apply it to building models over stock price indices. The model derived for predicting daily stock price are compared with real price. The comparisons show the predictions have been found to be successful over the data sets we chose.

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VFM Analysis of Private Investment Project for Education Facilities in Private School (사립대학 교육시설 민간투자사업의 적격성분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Boo-Jin;Kim, Soo-Yong;Park, Young-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.615-618
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    • 2008
  • From the 2006 report of Korea Foundation for the Promotion of Private school(KFPP), Private college account for 97% and private university account for 79% of the all college in country. The report shows that private college invest in educational facilities about 200 million won every year. But the standard of investment analysis which is for the private business of private college is not arranged, private college could not make progress the business. Accordingly the research is suggested "eligibility analysis method theory" that is a basic to make decision. At first in case of Quantitative VFM analysis, we suggest alternative analysis & progress procedure in analysis step. And in case of qualitative VFM analysis, we developed 15 items of analysis which is made with professional interviews.

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The impact of cash holdings on investment-cash flow sensitivity (현금보유가 기업의 투자-현금흐름민감도에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Tae, Jeong-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1654-1662
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates how does cash holdings have effect on investment-cash flow sensitivity in korea firms over the period 1981-2009. According to $\"{O}$.Arslan et al.(2006), I expect that financially constrained firms have more cash holdings. and financially constrained cash-rich firms are likely to have less investment-cash flow sensitivity especially in the financial crisis period. Using financial constraint classification variables(firm size, dividend, cash holdings), we divide whole sample firms into financially constrained firms and financially unconstrained firms, and then I compare investment-cash flow sensitivity in pre-financial crisis(1981-1996), financial crisis(1997-1998) and after-financial crisis(1999-2009) period. This paper's findings are as follows: First, under no financial constraint classification conditions, cash-poor firms exhibit greater investment-cash flow sensitivity than cash-rich firms do during 1981-2009 period except financial crisis period. These findings support the hypothesis that firms have more cash holdings less investment-cash flow sensitivity except in financial crisis period. In financial crisis period, cash holdings have no effect on investment-cash flow sensitivity. Second, this paper findings are somewhat different as $\"{O}$.Arslan et al.(2006)'s. Under the financial constraint classification conditions, financially unconstrained firms have more investment-cash flow sensitivity rather than constrained firms have. The reason is that both dividend and firm size are not a complete classification criteria variables. And there exists other possible determinants of investment-cash flow sensitivity. Finally, this paper find that there are common determinants of corporate cash holdings in all periods. This paper suggests that cash flow and market to book ratio are positive determinants of corporate cash holdings but short-term debt, investment and firm size are negative determinants of corporate cash holdings.

A Study of Accelerator Investment Determinants Based on Business Model Innovation Framework (비즈니스 모델 혁신 프레임워크 기반의 액셀러레이터 투자결정요인 연구)

  • Jung, Mun-Su;Kim, Eun-Hee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2022
  • Despite the uncertainty and risky factors of startups, the special and critical role of accelerators in carrying out professional nurturing and investment for them is becoming increasingly significant in the startup social-system. However, academic research on investment determinants that have a profound impact on the survival of accelerators is lacking, and there are only a few empirical studies on the classification and importance of factors, and they do not enjoy the benefits of theoretical studies. This study proposes a business model innovation framework based on the business model innovation theory that reflects the nature and properties of startups that are investment targets of accelerators and derives 12 investment decision factors. The framework defines that the target, direction, and performable force of startup innovation are a business model, strategy, and dynamic capability. Besides, the framework analyzes the investment decision factors of the existing accelerators based on the business model innovation framework to verify the suitability and sufficiency of the composition. As a result of the analysis, first, most of the items were faithfully composed from a static point of view of business model innovation, but it was found that the factors related to the core activities to evaluate the activity and customer relationship were insufficient. Second, from the strategic point of view, the necessity of developing factors that can encompass the definition and content of core resources, which are internal strategic factors, was raised. Third, from the dynamic point of view, it was found that many of the investment determinants of accelerators were concentrated on the lower level of dynamic competencies. This can be judged as a result of reflecting the characteristics of a startup that needs to develop a solution with few resources and a small number of team members. In addition, the roles and interrelationships between each factor are not clear, thus it was found as a limiting point for startups to view and evaluate the direction and process in which startups dynamically innovate their business models. This study is considerably differentiated in that it provides a business model innovation framework and offers a theoretical basis for investment determinants by deriving the investment determinants of accelerators based on the framework and design the foundation for subsequent research. The business model innovation framework presented in this study has great implications in that it contributes to the achievement of startups, accelerators, and startup support organizations.

The Effect of Abnormal Investment on Analyst Earnings Forecast (비정상투자가 재무분석가의 이익예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2018
  • In this study, targeting KOSPI and KOSDAQ listed companies, the relationship between the abnormal investment of companies and analyst earnings forecasts was empirically analyzed. The analysis period of this study spanned from 2003 to 2015 (with that of dependent variables spanning from 2004 to 2016) based on the variables of interest, and among the companies whose earnings per share forecasts were announced by financial analysts, the final sample of 4,917 companies/year that meets the research condition was selected as the target analysis. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, it turned out that the more total abnormal investment, abnormal R&D and abnormal CAPEX investment, the more accurate were analyst earnings forecasts. Second, the more total abnormal investment, abnormal R&D, abnormal CAPEX investment, the more pessimistic analyst earnings forecasts tended to be. Further analysis has shown that these results came more from over investment groups than under investment groups. The results of this study are expected to make additional contributions to the existing studies in that the abnormal investment is considered as a determinant of analyst earnings forecasts.

A Study on the Applicability of MFN Clause for Investment Dispute Settlement Provisions: Focusing on the ICSID Arbitration Cases (투자분쟁해결규정에 MFN 조항의 적용여부에 관한 연구: ICSID 중재사례를 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Ji-Hyeon
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.139-157
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    • 2017
  • Whether an investor can invoke a dispute settlement procedure stipulated in other BIT based on the MFN clause in the original BIT is an important issue. There is a difference in the interpretation of MFN clause in which the scope of the treatment stipulates the slightly different contents for each investment treaty. Therefore, this study considered ICSID arbitration cases related to the applicability of MFN clause for investment dispute settlement provisions. There are two different approaches for the applicability of MFN clause by arbitral tribunals. At first, the expanded interpretation of the MFN clause can be applied to procedural regulations, in that the purpose of the investment treaty is to protect foreign investors and to ensure their status. So, foreign investors can invoke a BIT of a third country that is advantageous to them. Second, the limited interpretation of the MFN clause can not be applied to procedural regulations. Without explicit regulation, the term treatment can not be considered to include dispute resolution provisions. And the BIT that the host state has concluded with third country is a treaty that applies only to the contracting party, so it can not be used by foreign investors of other nationality. Therefore, this study suggests concretely stipulating the scope of MFN clause under the investment treaty, highlighting that certain restrictions should be applied to the MFN clause. Furthermore, it is required continually investigating and analyzing the database of the scope of MFN clause.

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Decision Making for the Industrial Security Management Measures' Importance in Operation Level (운영 수준에서의 산업보안 관리대책 중요도 결정)

  • Chae, Jeong-Woo;Jeong, Jin-Hong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to support rational security investment decision making through prioritizing on operational level of management measures strategically, in carrying out industrial security activities. For this, AHP survey is conducted against industrial security professionals and analyzed. Thereafter, the importance and the priority of industrial security management measures are determined. As a result, in a comparison evaluation among the criteria, 'ICT service management' represents the highest weight (0.54). And the sub-criteria could be divided into three groups (Group I, II, III), depending on their importance. The sensitivity analysis results show that if the weight of the criterion, 'ICT systems/networks access control' is doubled, the sub-criteria, 'O/S access control', 'application access control', and 'wired/wireless network access control' are enter into top rank group. In case of the criterion, 'physical/environmental security' is doubled, the sub-criteria, 'protection zoning/access control' and 'disaster prevention on business equipment/counter-terrorism' are enter into the top rank group, 'securing utilities' is enter into the mid rank group.

An Analysis of Community Service Investment Project by the Framework of Output Analysis and Policy Issue (공동체성 지향을 위한 지역사회서비스투자사업의 정책적 쟁점)

  • Bae, Hwa-Sook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to discuss what is needed for meaningful development of social service, focusing on Community Service Investment Project(CSIP). The contents of CSIP were analyzed on applying the Analytic Framework by N. Gilbert and H. Specht and the values that were the basis of social choice. Based on the analysis of output and policy value of this Project, this study draws three social service policy issues. First, 'localization' is needed to be emphasized more in CSIP because there are few programs that take into account the regional peculiarities. Second, as the social services focused on the individuality of the citizen is more important, it is necessary to examine 'sustainability' of CSIP. Third, in relation to the community building, it is necessary to discuss the modification of the CSIP's goals. As process for improving community, it is needed to review for local residents not participating in decision-making process, income-based user selection and appropriateness of the term 'investment' in the project name.

국내 해상교량 건설에 따른 문제점 및 기준설정의 필요성

  • Jeong, Gyu-Sam;Jeong, Tae-Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2007.12a
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    • pp.263-265
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    • 2007
  • 최근 지자체별로 민간투자에 의한 사회기반시설 확충을 추진하고, 육상의 도로망을 직선화 및 최적화 하기 위해 항만 및 주요 항로를 횡단하는 해상교량 건설이 활발히 추진되고 있다. 하지만 경제적인 측면만을 고려하여 계획함으로써, 장래 항만 발전과 해상교통안전 확보에 지장을 초래할 가능성이 크다. 아울러 장래 항만발전과 항만이용 안전에 미치는 영향이 지대함에도 항만운영 및 해상교통안전 확보관점에서 제시된 해상교량 건설기준이 없어, 교량규모 결정시 이해당사자간 갈등이 반복되고 있는 설정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 현행 국내 해상교량 건설에 따른 문제점 및 기준설정의 필요성을 사례분석을 통해 제시한다.

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