• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통행시간추정

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A new approach to estimate the link travel time by using AVL technology (AVL을 이용한 구간통행시간 산출기법 개발)

  • 김성인;이영호;남기효
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.91-103
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    • 1999
  • 이 연구는 자동 차량위치 측정기법(Automatic Vehicle Location, AVL)을 이용해서 수집한 교통상황자료를 가지고 구간 통행시간을 산출하는 알고리즘을 개발한다. AVL기법을 이용하는 경우, 처리해야 할 자료량이 많아서 실시간에 정보를 산출하는 것이 힘들다. 따라서 이 연구는 처리해야 할 자료량을 가능한 한 줄이고 자료량이 적은 경우에도 효율적인 구간통행시간을 산출하는 알고리즘을 제시한다. 이 연구의 방법론은 크게 4가지인데, 첫째, 해석 기법, 둘째, 회귀분석, 셋째, 인공지능 및 전문가 시스템, 넷째, 통계분석이다. 이 방법론을 이용해서 세 단계 알고리즘을 개발하는데, 첫째는 실시간 분석통계 알고리즘, 둘째는 과거자료분석 알고리즘, 셋째는 자료응합 알고리즘이다. 이 알고리즘 가운데 자료융합 알고리즘 결과가 산출하고자 하는 구간 통행시간이다. 실시간 분석통계 알고리즘은 연속하는 세 개 구간의 통행 패턴을 이용해서 가운데 구간의 통행시간을 산출하는 방법을 제시한다. 또 실시간 분석통계 알고리즘으로 산출하지 못한 구간은 인접구간 상관도 정보를 이용해서 구간통행시간을 추정한다. 과거자료분석 알고리즘은 회귀분석을 이용해서 시간대별 통행시간 평균과 분산을 구하고, 이 결과를 바탕으로 인접구간 상관도 정보를 오프라인으로 구하는 알고리즘이다. 자료융합 알고리즘은 2가지 단계를 거치는데, 그것은 실시간 자료융합과 최종 자료융합이다. 실시간 자료융합은 실시간에 가까운 자료원의 실시간 분석통계 알고리즘 결과 패턴과 인접구간 상관도 정보를 이용한 구간통행시간 추정 결과를 이용해서 패턴에 따라 다른 방법으로 융합을 하는 알고리즘을 개발한다. 최종 자료융합은 실시간 자료융합 결과와 회귀분석 결과의 패턴을 이용해서 구간 통행시간을 산출한다. 이 연구를 기존 연구와 비교할 때, 세 가지 독차성이 있다. 첫째는 연속하는 세 구간 통행 패턴을 분석하였기 때문에 기존의 노드의존 방식을 탈피하였다는 점이다. 따라서 자료량이 적은 경우도 믿을만한 통행시간을 산출할 수 있다는 것이다. 둘째는 인접구간 상관도 정보를 구간통행시간 산출에 이용하였기 때문에 자료를 효율적으로 이용할 수 있다는 점이다. 셋째는 자료원 패턴을 분류하고 전문가 시스템을 이용하여 자료융합 하였기 때문에 수행속도가 빠르고, 신뢰성있는 정보를 제공한다는 점이다. 이 연구는 개발한 알고리즘 정확도를 검증하기 위해서 두 가지 검증방법을 이용하였다. 첫째는 시뮬레이션을 이용한 것이고, 둘째는 실제 주행조사 분석을 이용한 것이다. 두 가지 검증 결과는 알고리즘 정확도를 보여준다.

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Estimating the Trip Purposes of Public Transport Passengers Using Smartcard Data (스마트카드 자료를 활용한 대중교통 승객의 통행목적 추정)

  • JEON, In-Woo;LEE, Min-Hyuck;JUN, Chul-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.28-38
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    • 2019
  • The smart card data stores the transit usage records of individual passengers. By using this, it is possible to analyze the traffic demand by station and time. However, since the purpose of the trip is not recorded in the smart card data, the demand for each purpose such as commuting, school, and leisure is estimated based on the survey data. Since survey data includes only some samples, it is difficult to predict public transport demand for each purpose close to the complete enumeration survey. In this study, we estimates the purposes of trip for individual passengers using the smart card data corresponding to the complete enumeration survey of public transportation. We estimated trip purposes such as commute, school(university) considering frequency of O-D, duration, and departure time of a passenger. Based on this, the passengers are classified as workers and university students. In order to verify our methodology, we compared the estimation results of our study with the patterns of the survey data.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Travel Time Change Using the Time Use Survey Data in Seoul (서울시 통행시간 변화의 요인분석: 생활시간조사자료를 중심으로)

  • Koo, Ja hun;Choo, Sangho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2018
  • Changes in the life style might vary trip purposes, ultimately leading to the change in the travel behavior. Therefore, this study analyzed the factors affecting travel time change by using the time use survey data in Seoul, surveyed by the Statistics Korea in 1999~2014. We developed multiple linear regression models for travel time, considering individual, household and time-related variables as independent variables. The models were separately estimated weekday and weekend. the model results show that the household, individual, and time related variables have an significant effect on the travel time. In addition, travel time is more influenced by individual characteristics thn household ones. Each activity time positively affects the travel time, indicating that travel is derived demand. The variable that have the greatest influence on the travel time is the activity time for leisure.

Dynamic OD Estimation with Hybrid Discrete Choice of Traveler Behavior in Transportation Network (복합 통행행태모형을 이용한 동적 기.종점 통행량 추정)

  • Kim, Chae-Man;Jo, Jung-Rae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.6 s.92
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    • pp.89-102
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a dynamic OD estimating model to overcome the limitation of depicting teal situations in dynamic simulation models based on static OD trip. To estimate dynamic OD matrix we used the hybrid discrete choice model(called the 'Demand Simulation Model'), which combines travel departure time with travel mode and travel path. Using this Demand Simulation Model, we deduced that the traveler chooses the departure time and mode simultaneously, and then choose his/her travel path over the given situation In this paper. we developed a hybrid simulation model by joining a demand simulation model and the supply simulation model (called LiCROSIM-P) which was Previously developed. We simulated the hybrid simulation model for dependent/independent networks which have two origins and one destination. The simulation results showed that AGtt(Average gap expected travel time and simulated travel time) did not converge, but average schedule delay gap converged to a stable state in transportation network consisted of multiple origins and destinations, multiple paths, freeways and some intersections controlled by signal. We present that the hybrid simulation model can estimate dynamic OD and analyze the effectiveness by changing the attributes or the traveler and networks. Thus, the hybrid simulation model can analyze the effectiveness that reflects changing departure times, travel modes and travel paths by demand management Policy, changing network facilities, traffic information supplies. and so on.

Analysis and Estimation of Factors Affecting Travel Time Budget (통행시간예산의 요인분석 및 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Park, Je-Jin;Lee, Ki-Young;Park, Yong-Duk
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2009
  • The traveler's travel pattern has significantly changed due to the social and economic changes. The travel time among the traveler's pattern is the limited resource. The travelers are trying to maximize the utility of travel with the least travel cost. So, the travelers travel with their own travel time budget in mind, which they can pay or choose to pay for the optimal maximization of the utility of the individuals. This research is to group and extract the specific factors which affect the travel time budget by utilizing the CART analysis method, which enables the analysis of traveler's characteristics and their interrelationship based on the data collected from "2002 Household Travel Practice Research" and then try to derive a model for estimating the traveler’s travel time budget. The result of CART analysis shows that the factors which affect the travel time budget include the traveler's age, size of house, type of house, type of employment, job and relation to the head of household. Considering the affecting factors derived, I developed an estimation model. From that model, we found that the age, size of house and type of house were positively (+) related to the travel time budget while the homeworking people who have less travel frequency as a type of employment were negatively (-) related to it. In particular, from the point of type of job, the housewives, children not yet old enough to attend schools and people who are working in the agricultural, or marine product industries were found to have the negative (-) value while the people who have the administrative, office, management jobs were found to have the positive (+) value.

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A Study on Estimate to Link Travel Time Using Traveling Data of Bus Information System (버스정보시스템(BIS) 운행자료를 이용한 링크통행시간 추정)

  • Lee, Young Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3D
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2010
  • This study is to estimate the link travel time of road networks in urban areas utilizing traffic information which is collected throughout the operation of Bus Information System (BIS). BIS, which applies the hightech information technology to an existing bus system, has been developing and operating in many bodies including the local self-government entities. However, a study to consider the technology trend is relatively rare. Even though some useful traffic informations have been collected throughout the operation of an existing BIS, which set limits to the development of a future service of integrated analysis. Accordingly, in this study, a fundamental research is performed for traffic controls in urban areas and providing a traffic information for driver throughout the estimation of link travel time of road networks. The study is proceeded throughout the data collected from the operation of BIS (Bus Information System). The result showed that the patterns of going through traffic were divided up to 2 in the bus travel time in BIS then estimate two link travel time.

Research on Additive Valuation of Leisure Travel Time Saving During the Summer Vacation: Focused on the Iksan-Pohang Expressway and Donghae Expressway (휴가철 여가통행시간 절감의 추가적 가치 산정방안 연구: 익산포항 및 동해고속도로를 중심으로)

  • Rhee, Kyoungah;Choi, Sorim;Kim, Joon-ki;Cho, Namgeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2012
  • Additive willingness-to-pay (WTP) for leisure-travel time saving focused on the Iksan-Pohang Expressway and the Donghae Expressway was surveyed during the summer months to estimate the value of travel-time savings (VTTS) for non-business leisure trips. Travelers traveling between 2 and 3 hours on Iksan-Pohang Expressway had WTP of 723 won per 10 minutes of leisure-travel time savings and those traveling between 3 and 4 hours on Donghae Expressway had WTP of 854 won per the same. Based on this survey, we learned that WTP in leisure travel time savings increased with the total travel time. 300 effective samples for each expressway were collected, and estimation was separately conducted on the basis of Cox test.

A Study on Algorithm for Travel Time Estimation using Restricted GPS Data (제한된 GPS정보를 활용한 통행 시간 추정 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Nam-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.1373-1380
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    • 2014
  • In order to calculate accurate traffic and traffic speed, qualified and sufficient GPS data should be provided. However, it is difficult to provide accurate traffic information using restricted GPS data from probe vehicles because of communication costs. This paper developed a algorithm that recovers links omitted by restricted GPS data with topology information, and calculate traffic speed with original links and recovered links. T traffic information service of city with a new algorithm can provide more accurate traffic and traffic speed than the original system.

Real-time Travel Time Estimation Model Using Point-based and Link-based Data (지점과 구간기반 자료를 활용한 실시간 통행시간 추정 모형)

  • Yu, Jeong-Whon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 2008
  • It is critical to develop a core ITS technology such as real-time travel time estimation in order that the efficient use of the ITS implementation can be achieved as the ITS infrastructure and relevant facilities are broadly installed in recent years. The provision of travel time information in real-time allows travellers to make informed decisions and hence not only the traveller's travel utilities but also the road utilization can be maximized. In this paper, a hybrid model is proposed to combine VDS and AVI which have different characteristics in terms of space and time dimensions. The proposed model can incorporate the immediacy of VDS data and the reality of AVI data into one single framework simultaneously. In addition, the solution algorithm is made to have no significant computational burden so that the model can be deployable in real world. A set of real field data is used to analyze the reliability and applicability of the proposed model. The analysis results suggest that the proposed model is very efficient computationally and improves the accuracy of the information provided, which demonstrates the real-time applicability of the proposed model. In particular, the data fusion methodology developed in this paper is expected to be used more widely when a new type of traffic data becomes available.

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Strategy for Providing Optimal VMS Travel Time Information Using Bi-Level Programming (Bi-Level 프로그래밍 기법을 이용한 최적의 VMS 통행시간 정보제공 전략)

  • Baik, Nam Cheol;Kim, Byung Kwan;Lee, Sang Hyup
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.559-564
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to minimize negative effect of VMS travel time information service by sensitivity analysis, which forecasts the change in link traffic volume. As a result, strategies for providing travel information that can change driving patterns for minimizing travel time were found. The framework for analysis is recently expanded with the application of game theory. According to the experiment, the algorithm generated for travel time information service reduces total travel time and yields travel patterns that is very close to the system optimization. Also, this study found that the route the travel time service information is provided about could play the important role.