• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.2 s.88
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• pp.157-168
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• 2006

Spatial detection system such as AVI, GPS, and Beacon etc. can provide spatial travel time only after a vehicle Passes through a road section. In this context, majority of the existing studies on the link travel time estimation area has focused on the arrival time-based link travel time estimation. rather than departure time-based link travel time estimation. Even if some of the researches on this area have developed departure time-based link travel time estimation algorithms, they are limited in that they are not applicable in a real-time mode. The objective of this study is to develop an departure time-based link travel time estimation algorithm which is applicable in a real-tine mode. Firstly, this study discussed the tradeoff between accuracy and timeliness of the departure time-based on-line link travel time estimates. Secondly, this study developed an departure time-based on-line link travel time estimation algorithm which utilizes the Baysian inference logic. It was found that the proposed approach could estimate departure time-based link travel times in a real-time context with an acceptable accuracy and timeliness.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.171-182
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• 2001

Travel Time is an important characteristic of traffic conditions in a road network. Currently, there are so many road users to get a unsatisfactory traffic information that is provided by existing collection systems such as, Detector, Probe car, CCTV and Anecdotal Report. This paper presents the results achieved with Data Fusion Model, Hybrid Neuro Fuzzy System for on - line estimation of travel times using RTMS(Remote Traffic Microwave Sensor) and Probe Data in the signalized arterial road. Data Fusion is the most important process to compose the various of data which can present real value for traffic situation and is also the one of the major process part in the TIC(Traffic Information Center) for analyzing and processing data. On-line travel time estimation methods(FALEM) on the basis of detector data has been evaluated by real value under KangNam Test Area.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.1115-1122
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• 2013

Recently the demands for traffic information tend to increase, and travel time might one of the most important traffic information. To effectively estimate exact travel time, highly reliable traffic data collection is required. BIS(Bus Information System) data would be useful for the estimation of the route travel time because BIS is collecting data for the bus travel time on the main road of the city on real-time basis. Traditionally use of BIS data has been limited to the realm of bus operating but it has not been used for a variety of traffic categories. Therefore, this study estimates a route travel time on road networks in urban areas on the basis of real-time data of BIS and then eventually constructs regression models. These models use an explanatory variable that corresponds to bus travel time excluding service time at the bus stop. The results show that the coefficient of determination for the constructed regression model is more than 0.950. As a result of T-test performance with assistance from collected data and estimated model values, it is likely that the model is statistically significant with a confidence level of 95%. It is generally found that the estimation for the exact travel time on real-time basis is plausible if the BIS data is used.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.4
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• pp.49-57
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• 2001

Since the value of travel time savings is found to be the most important benefit of transportation projects, considerable work has been done on the estimation of the value of travel time in many countries, including U. S. A. England, Australia, and Korea. And majority of them was mode choice model. This paper estimated the VTTS for commuters using traffic regulation obedience market model, which had not been applied in any previous studies, and survey data, which was obtained using Contingent Valuation Method. The result meets our expectations.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.41-51
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• 2002

As Advanced Traveler Information System(ATIS) is the kernel of the Intelligent Transportation System, it is very important how to manage data from traffic information collectors on a road and have at borough grip of the travel time's change quickly and exactly for doing its part. Link travel time can be obtained by two method. One is measured by area detection systems and the other is estimated by point detection systems. Measured travel time by area detection systems has the limitation for real time information because it Is calculated by the probe which has already passed through the link. Estimated travel time by point detection systems is calculated by the data on the same time of each. section, this is, it use the characteristic of the various cars of each section to estimate travel time. For this reason, it has the difference with real travel time. In this study, Artificial Neural Networks is used for estimating link travel time concerned about the relationship with vehicle detector data and link travel time. The method of estimating link travel time are classified according to the kind of input data and the Absolute value of error between the estimated and the real are distributed within 5$\~$15minute over 90 percent with the result of testing the method using the vehicle detector data and AVI data of Namsan Tunnel $\#$1. It also reduces Time lag of the information offered time and draws late delay generation and dissolution.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.5
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• pp.134-143
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• 2017

In the case of highway, there may be a large number of travel time groups when there are a bus exclusive lane, a rest area, a sleeping shelter, etc. in the corresponding section. In most of the conventional travel time estimation studies, one representative travel time (assuming normal distribution) group is assumed in the low sample collection state, and if it is out of the specified range, it is determined as outliers and then the travel time is estimated. However, if there is a bus exclusive lane, a rest area, or a sleeping shelter in the relevant section, such as the highway, the distribution of travel time will be in the form of a bi-modal or a multi-modal, rather than a regular distribution. Therefore, applying the existing estimation methodology may result in distorted results. To solve this problem, first, it should be reliable even in the case of insufficient number of samples. Second, we propose a methodology to select the representative time group among a number of time groups and to estimate the representative time using individual time data of the selected time group.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.315-321
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• 2015

ATMS calculates section travel time using two-way communication system called DSRC(Dedicated Short Range Communications) which collects data of RSE (Road Side Equipment) and Hi-pass OBU (On-board Unit). Travel time estimation in urban area involves uncertainty due to the interrupted flow. This study not only analyzed real-time data but also considered pattern data. Baek-Je-Ro street in Jeon-Ju city was selected as a test site. Existing algorithm was utilized for data filtering and pattern data building. Analysis results repoted that travel time estimation with 20% of real-time data and 80% of pattern data mixture gave minimum average difference of 37.5 seconds compare to the real travel time at the 5% significant level. Results of this study recommend usage of intermixture between real time data and pattern data to minimize error for travel time estimation in urban area.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.57-66
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• 2003

Because the Logit model easily calculates probabilities for choice alternatives and estimates parameters for explanatory variables, it is widely used as a traffic mode choice model. However, this model includes an assumption which is independently and identically distributed to the error component distribution of the mode choice utility function. This paper is a study on the estimation of the Heteroscedastic Logit Model. which mitigates this assumption. The purpose of this paper is to estimate a Logit model that more accurately reflects the mode choice behavior of passengers by resolving the homoscedasticity of the model choice utility error component. In order to do this, we introduced a scale factor that is directly related to the error component distribution of the model. This scale factor was defined so as to take into account the heteroscedasticity in the difference in travel time between using public transport and driving a car, and was used to estimate the travel time parameter. The results of the Logit Model estimation developed in this study show that Heteroscedastic Logit Models can realistically reflect the mode choice behavior of passengers, even if the difference in travel time between public and private transport remains the same as passenger travel time increases, by identifying the difference in mode choice probability of passengers for public transportation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.45-54
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• 2013

Korea Expressway Corporation has been utilizing vehicles equipped with dedicated short range communication (DSRC) based on-board equipment (OBE) for collecting path travel times. A path based method (PBM) estimates the path travel time using probe vehicles traveling whole links on the path, so it is not always possible to obtain sufficient samples for calculating path travel time in the DSRC system. Having this problem in utilizing DSRC for travel time information, this study attempted to estimate path travel time with the help of a link based method (LBM) and examined whether the LBM can be used for obtaining reliable path travel times. Some comparisons were made and identified that the MAPE difference between the LBM and the PBM estimates are less than 3%, signaling that LBM can be used as a proxy for PBM in case of sparse sample conditions. Some limitations and a future research agenda have also been proposed.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.145-154
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of on-line departure time-based link travel time estimates. For this, accuracy (i.e. estimation error) and timeliness (i.e. degree of time lag) are proposed as MOE of the quality of on-line link travel time estimates. Then the relationship between quality of link travel time estimates and link length and level of congestion is analyzed. It was found that there is trade-off between the accuracy and timeliness of link travel time estimates. The estimation error was modeled to consist of two components: one is systematic error and the other is mean square error which reflects level of congestion. further, time lag was again segmented into three parts for the analysis purpose. There are minimum one, congestion-related one, and update interval-related one. From the real-world data using AVI system, it was revealed that regardless of the link length and level of congestion, 10 minutes of time lag occurs in general.