• Title/Summary/Keyword: 태양 에너지 예측

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Development of an Analysis Program for Small Horizontal Wind Turbines Considering Side Furling and Optimal Torque Scheduling (사이드 펄링과 최적 토크스케줄을 고려한 소형 풍력터빈 해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Jang, Hyeon-Mu;Kim, Dong-Myeong;Paek, In-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.15-31
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    • 2018
  • A program to design a small capacity wind turbine blade is proposed in this study. The program is based on a matlab GUI environment and designed to perform blade design based on the blade element momentum theory. The program is different from other simulation tools available in a point that it can analyze the side-furling power regulation mechanism and also has an algorithm to find out optimal torque schedule above the rated wind speed region. The side-furling power regulation is used for small-capacity horizontal axis wind turbines because they cannot use active pitch control due to high cost which is commonly used for large-capacity wind turbine. Also, the torque schedule above the rated wind speed region should be different from that of the large capacity wind turbines because active pitching is not used. The program developed in this study was validated with the results with FAST which is the only program that can analyze the performance of side-furled wind turbines. For the validation a commercial 10 kW wind turbine data which is available in the literature was used. From the validation, it was found that the performance prediction from the proposed simple program is close to those from FAST. It was also found that the optimal torque scheduling from the proposed program was found to increase the turbine power substantially. Further experimental validation will be performed as a future work.

Evaluation of UM-LDAPS Prediction Model for Solar Irradiance by using Ground Observation at Fine Temporal Resolution (고해상도 일사량 관측 자료를 이용한 UM-LDAPS 예보 모형 성능평가)

  • Kim, Chang Ki;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kang, Yong-Heack;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2020
  • Day ahead forecast is necessary for the electricity market to stabilize the electricity penetration. Numerical weather prediction is usually employed to produce the solar irradiance as well as electric power forecast for longer than 12 hours forecast horizon. Korea Meteorological Administration operates the UM-LDAPS model to produce the 36 hours forecast of hourly total irradiance 4 times a day. This study interpolates the hourly total irradiance into 15 minute instantaneous irradiance and then compare them with observed solar irradiance at four ground stations at 1 minute resolution. Numerical weather prediction model employed here was produced at 00 UTC or 18 UTC from January to December, 2018. To compare the statistical model for the forecast horizon less than 3 hours, smart persistent model is used as a reference model. Relative root mean square error of 15 minute instantaneous irradiance are averaged over all ground stations as being 18.4% and 19.6% initialized at 18 and 00 UTC, respectively. Numerical weather prediction is better than smart persistent model at 1 hour after simulation began.

Analysis on the Charging Process of Stratified Thermal Storage - Tanks with Variable Inlet Temperature (입구온도가 변화하는 성층축열조의 충전과정 해석)

  • Yoo, Ho-Seon
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents an approximate analytical solution to one-dimensional model of the charging process for stratified thermal storage tanks, in which variation of the inlet temperature as well as the momemtum-induced mixing is taken into accout. The mixing is incorporated into the model as a constant-depth perfectly mixed layer above the plug flow region. Based on the superposition principle, the variable inlet temperature is approximated by a number of step functions. Temperature distributions for the thermocline corresponding to three types of interfacial condition arr successfully derived in terms of well-defined functions, so that a linear combination of them constitutes the final solution. Validity and utility of this work is examined through the comparison of the approximate solution with an exact solution available for the case of linearly increasing inlet temperature. With increasing the number of steps, the present solution asymptotically approaches to the exact one. Even with a limited number of steps, the present results favorably agree with those by the exact solution for a wide range of the mixing depth. Also, it is revealed that fewer steps are needed for meaningful predictions as the mixing. depth becomes larger.

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An Exploratory Study on the Applicability of Thin-Film Photovoltaic Cells for Auxiliary Power Supply of a Personal Rapid Transit (PRT) Vehicle (PRT 차량의 보조 전력공급을 위한 유연소재 태양전지의 적용 가능성 연구)

  • Kang, Seok-Won;Han, Soo-Jin;Jeong, Rag-Gyo;Oh, Hyuck Keun;Ko, Sangwon;Choi, Dooho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.94-99
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    • 2014
  • Recently, trends in new transportation system development have been primarily focused on sustainable and ecofriendly mobility solutions. The personal rapid transit (PRT) system has been considered a promising candidate in this category; its competitiveness is being improved through convergence with cutting-edge electric vehicle (EV) technologies. However, battery-powered vehicles pose difficult technical challenges in attempts to achieve reliable and efficient operation. In this study, a design approach for a solar-power assisted PRT system is presented with small-scale demonstrations aimed at circumventing challenges facing its adoption, as well as helping speed the transition to electric-powered ground transportation. From the results, it is expected that flexible photovoltaic (PV) cells will be able to supply 11% of the power required by the service equipment installed in a prototype vehicle. In particular, flexible photovoltaic (PV) cells are advantageous in terms of cost, weight, and design considerations. Most importantly, the cells' flexibility and attach-ability are expected to give them great potential for extended application in various areas.

Estimation of Soil Surface Temperature by Heat Flux in Soil (Heat flux를 이용한 토양 표면 온도 예측)

  • Hur, Seung-Oh;Kim, Won-Tae;Jung, Kang-Ho;Ha, Sang-Keon
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.131-135
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    • 2004
  • This study was carried out for the analysis of temperature characteristics on soil surface using soil heat flux which is one of the important parameters forming soil temperature. Soil surface temperature was estimated by using the soil temperature measured at 10 cm soil depth and the soil heat flux measured by flux plate at 5 cm soil depth. There was time lag of two hours between soil temperature and soil heat flux. Temperature changes over time showed a positive correlation with soil heat flux. Soil surface temperature was estimated by the equation using variable separation method for soil surface temperature. Arithmetic mean using temperatures measured at soil surface and 10 cm depth, and soil temperature measured at 5 cm depth were compared for accuracy of the value. To validate the regression model through this comparison, F-validation was used. Usefulness of deductive regression model was admitted because intended F-value was smaller than 0.001 and the determination coefficient was 0.968. It can be concluded that the estimated surface soil temperatures obtained by variable separation method were almost equal to the measured surface soil temperature.

Prediction of Soil Distribution Using Digital Terrain Indices (수치 지형인자를 활용한 토양수분분포 예측)

  • Lee, Hak-Su;Kim, Gyeong-Hyeon;Han, Ji-Yeong;Kim, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.391-401
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    • 2001
  • Several curvature parameters, solar radiation parameter and topographic flow generation parameters have been summarized and calculated to predict the spatial distribution of soil moisture content. The spatial distribution of soil moisture data can be obtained using Global Positioning System(GPS) and portable soil moisture monitoring equipment, Theta-Probe. Correlation analysis has been performed between the parameters of soil moisture prediction and measured data of soil moisture. Multiple regression analysis of soil moisture prediction shows the potential capability and limitations of existing methods of digital terrain analysis.

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SPENVIS를 이용한 우주환경 영향 시뮬레이션

  • 이주희;최기혁;김종우;서석배;임현수
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.93-93
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    • 2003
  • 우주환경은 궤도상의 우주비행체 임무에 다양한 종류의 문제를 발생시킬 수 있으며, 이러한 우주환경 인자로는 방사선대, 태양으로부터 날아오는 고에너지 입자, 우주선(cosmic rays), 플라즈마(plasmas), 미세 우주 파편 등 다양하게 존재한다. 따라서 인공위성을 비롯한 우주비행체의 설계 시 우주환경에 대한 영향을 사전에 예측하고 이를 우주비행체 개발에 반영하고 있다. European Spare Research & Technology Center(ESTEC)는 1998년 European Space Agency(ESA)의 지원을 받아 Space Environment Information System(SPENVIS) 프로젝트를 시작하였다. SPENVIS는 인공위성을 비롯한 우주비행체의 우주환경에 대한 영향을 연구할 수 있는 인터넷 기반 시뮬레이션 프로그램으로서 각종 우주환경 모델을 통해 사용자가 파라메타(parameter) 값을 입력하고 그래픽과 텍스트로 결과를 알아볼 수 있다. SPENVIS 시스템은 인터넷으로 사용자 등록을 통해 이용 가능하며, 시스템의 지속적인 개선 및 확장을 통해 신뢰도를 높여가고 있다. 본 시뮬레이션 연구수행을 통하여 SPENVIS의 우주환경 영향 연구에 향후 활용 가능성을 알아보고자 한다.

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Market Analysis on Green Building Certification System of the United Korean Peninsula based on the New Building Prediction in North Korea - Focused on Building Energy Conservation Plan, Building Energy Rating Certification, and Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design (G-SEED) - (북한의 신축 건축물 예측을 통한 통일 후 한반도 녹색건축물 관련 인증제도의 시장 분석 - 건축물에너지절약계획서, 건축물에너지효율등급 및 녹색건축인증을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwak, Young-Hoon;Shin, Sung-Eun;Park, Jin-Young;Do, Hwa-Yong;Kim, Hea-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2016
  • This research aims to predict and analyze green building certification market of Korean Peninsula after unification. First, it analyzes prospected unification time period, then it forecasts number of new residential and non-residential buildings to be constructed based on estimated number of residences in short at the time in North Korea. There exists a good chance that North Korea's new building market forms similar to that of South Korea, as unification would thoroughly proceed which would result levels of economic culture social politics in quasi-equal state. Thus, assuming the ratio of residential and non-residential building against population is similar in both Korea's, the number against North Korea's house supplied population can be estimated. Based on the expected numbers in North Korea, number of proceeded Building Energy Conservation Plan, Building Energy Rating Certification, and Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design (G-SEED) are predicted. The research shows certification market related to green building in united Korean Peninsula to be \660 billion over 10 years. Not only certifications to newly built buildings but also including existing buildings, this market is to grow to a considerable extent. As this would largely influence eco-constructive materials, energy plant/equipment, and other relevant markets as well, it would require to make thorough preparations. In sum, to stabilize green building market even before the unification, the research proposes the necessities of appropriate systems in consideration of North Korea, through in-depth discussions and establishment of technology and policy directions in green building sector, such as building energy management and emission reduction technology.

Dst Prediction Based on Solar Wind Parameters (태양풍 매개변수를 이용한 Dst 예측)

  • Park, Yoon-Kyung;Ahn, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.425-438
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    • 2009
  • We reevaluate the Burton equation (Burton et al. 1975) of predicting Dst index using high quality hourly solar wind data supplied by the ACE satellite for the period from 1998 to 2006. Sixty magnetic storms with monotonously decreasing main phase are selected. In order to determine the injection term (Q) and the decay time ($\tau$) of the equation, we examine the relationships between $Dst^*$ and $VS_s$, ${\Delta}Dst^*$ and $VS_s$, and ${\Delta}Dst^*$ and $Dst^*$ during the magnetic storms. For this analysis, we take into account one hour of the propagation time from the ACE satellite to the magnetopause, and a half hour of the response time of the magnetosphere/ring current to he solar wind forcing. The injection term is found to be $Q(nT/h)\;=\;-3.56VS_s$ for $VS_s$ > 0.5mV/m and Q(nT=h) = 0 for $VB_s\;{\leq}\;0.5mV/m$. The $\tau$ (hour) is estimated as $0.060Dst^*\;+\;16.65$ for $Dst^*$ > -175nT and 6.15 hours for $Dst^*\;{\leq}\;-175nT$. Based on these empirical relationships, we predict the 60 magnetic storms and find that the correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted $Dst^*$ is 0.88. To evaluate the performance of our prediction scheme, the 60 magnetic storms are predicted again using the models by Burton et al. (1975) and O'Brien & McPherron (2000a). The correlation coefficients thus obtained are 0.85, the same value for both of the two models. In this respect, our model is slightly improved over the other two models as far as the correlation coefficients is concerned. Particularly our model does a better job than the other two models in predicting intense magnetic storms ($Dst^*\;{< \atop \sim}\;-200nT$).

Analysis of Hydrodynamics in a Directly-Irradiated Fluidized Bed Solar Receiver Using CPFD Simulation (CPFD를 이용한 태양열 유동층 흡열기의 수력학적 특성 해석)

  • Kim, Suyoung;Won, Geunhye;Lee, Min Ji;Kim, Sung Won
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.60 no.4
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    • pp.535-543
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    • 2022
  • A CPFD (Computational particle fluid dynamics) model of solar fluidized bed receiver of silicon carbide (SiC: average dp=123 ㎛) particles was established, and the model was verified by comparing the simulation and experimental results to analyze the effect of particle behavior on the performance of the receiver. The relationship between the heat-absorbing performance and the particles behavior in the receiver was analyzed by simulating their behavior near bed surface, which is difficult to access experimentally. The CPFD simulation results showed good agreement with the experimental values on the solids holdup and its standard deviation under experimental condition in bed and freeboard regions. The local solid holdups near the bed surface, where particles primarily absorb solar heat energy and transfer it to the inside of the bed, showed a non-uniform distribution with a relatively low value at the center related with the bubble behavior in the bed. The local solid holdup increased the axial and radial non-uniformity in the freeboard region with the gas velocity, which explains well that the increase in the RSD (Relative standard deviation) of pressure drop across the freeboard region is responsible for the loss of solar energy reflected by the entrained particles in the particle receiver. The simulation results of local gas and particle velocities with gas velocity confirmed that the local particle behavior in the fluidized bed are closely related to the bubble behavior characterized by the properties of the Geldart B particles. The temperature difference of the fluidizing gas passing through the receiver per irradiance (∆T/IDNI) was highly correlated with the RSD of the pressure drop across the bed surface and the freeboard regions. The CPFD simulation results can be used to improve the performance of the particle receiver through local particle behavior analysis.