• Title/Summary/Keyword: 태양 에너지 예측

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Study on Optimal Control Algorithm of Electricity Use in a Single Family House Model Reflecting PV Power Generation and Cooling Demand (단독주택 태양광 발전과 냉방수요를 반영한 전력 최적운용 전략 연구)

  • Seo, Jeong-Ah;Shin, Younggy;Lee, Kyoung-ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.381-386
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    • 2016
  • An optimization algorithm is developed based on a simulation case of a single family house model equipped with PV arrays. To increase the nationwide use of PV power generation facilities, a market-competitive electricity price needs to be introduced, which is determined based on the time of use. In this study, quadratic programming optimization was applied to minimize the electricity bill while maintaining the indoor temperature within allowable error bounds. For optimization, it is assumed that the weather and electricity demand are predicted. An EnergyPlus-based house model was approximated by using an equivalent RC circuit model for application as a linear constraint to the optimization. Based on the RC model, model predictive control was applied to the management of the cooling load and electricity for the first week of August. The result shows that more than 25% of electricity consumed for cooling can be saved by allowing excursions of temperature error within an affordable range. In addition, profit can be made by reselling electricity to the main grid energy supplier during peak hours.

Technology Trends and Future Prospects of Satellite-Based Photovoltaic Electricity Potential (위성기반 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술 개발 동향 및 향후 전망)

  • Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.579-587
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    • 2016
  • To obtain a stable energy supply and manage PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems efficiently, satellite imagery methods are being developed to estimate the solar PV potential. This study analyzed trends in the use of satellite imagery in solar PV and solar irradiation estimation technology. The imaging technology is used to produce solar energy resource maps. The trend analysis showed that the level of solar PV technology in Korea is 30% below that of advanced countries. It is impossible to raise such low-level technologies to the levels of advanced countries quickly. Intensive research and development is the only way to achieve the 80% technology level of advanced countries. The information produced in this process can contribute to the management of solar power plants. A valid technology development strategy would be to obtain effective data that can be used for fieldwork. Such data can be produced by estimating solar irradiation very accurately with several-hundred-meter resolution using Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellites (COMS) and next-generation GEO-KOMPSAT 2A, developing core technologies for short- and medium-term irradiation prediction, and developing technologies for estimating the solar PV potential.

Battery Level Calculation and Failure Prediction Algorithm for ESS Optimization and Stable Operation (ESS 최적화 및 안정적인 운영을 위한 배터리 잔량 산출 및 고장 예측 알고리즘)

  • Joo, Jong-Yul;Lee, Young-Jae;Park, Kyoung-Wook;Oh, Jae-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2020
  • In the case of power generation using renewable energy, power production may not be smooth due to the influence of the weather. The energy storage system (ESS) is used to increase the efficiency of solar and wind power generation. ESS has been continuously fired due to a lack of battery protection systems, operation management, and control system, or careless installation, leading to very big casualties and economic losses. ESS stability and battery protection system operation management technology is indispensable. In this paper, we present a battery level calculation algorithm and a failure prediction algorithm for ESS optimization and stable operation. The proposed algorithm calculates the correct battery level by accumulating the current amount in real-time when the battery is charged and discharged, and calculates the battery failure by using the voltage imbalance between battery cells. The proposed algorithms can predict the exact battery level and failure required to operate the ESS optimally. Therefore, accurate status information on ESS battery can be measured and reliably monitored to prevent large accidents.

AEP Prediction of a Wind Farm in Complex Terrain - WindPRO Vs. WindSim (복잡지형에 위치한 풍력발전단지의 연간발전량 예측 비교 연구)

  • Woo, Jae-Kyoon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi;Kim, Byeong-Min;Gwon, Il-Han;Baek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • The annual energy production of Gangwon wind farm was predicted for three consecutive years of 2007, 2008 and 2009 using commercial programs, WindPRO and WindSim which are known to be used the most for wind resource prediction in the world. The predictions from the linear code, WindPRO, were compared with both the actual energy prediction presented in the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) monitoring report of the wind farm and also the predictions from the CFD code, WindSim. The results from WindPRO were close to the actual energy productions and the errors were within 11.8% unlike the expectation. The reason for the low prediction errors was found to be due to the fact that although the wind farm is located in highly complex terrain, the terrain steepness was smaller than a critical angle($21.8^{\circ}$) in front of the wind farm in the main wind direction. Therefore no flow separation was found to occur within the wind farm. The flow separation of the main wind was found to occur mostly behind the wind farm.

A Study on the Heat Transfer Characteristics in the Composite Heat Pipe as Modeling Turbine Rotor (터어빈 회전차를 모델로하는 복합 히이트파이프의 전열특성에 대한 연구)

  • Kwon, Sun-Sok;Jang, Yeong-Suc;Yoo, Byung-Wook
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.13 no.2_3
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    • pp.120-132
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    • 1993
  • The purpose of this research is to study the characteristics of heat transfer in composite rotary heat pipe as modeled turbine rotating by a finite element analysis and experiment. Nu number, Re number, Pr number and dimensionless condensate layer thickness by thermal input and revolutions per minute were given as analysis factors. The comparison between calculated and experimental data showed similar tendency. Therefore the analysis method may be useful to predict the performance of composite heat pipe. The resistance on heat pipe showed the best effect of heat transfer by film condensation, by decreasing film condensation, the heat transfer rate from condenser was increased rapidly. The dimensionless condensate layer thickness according to Re number at given Pr number showed constant values, the dimensionless condensate layer thickness is proportionate to the square root of inverse of revolution number per minute. In this study Nu=A$({\delta}({\omega}/v)^{-1/2}Re^B)$ is used to the convection heat transfer coefficient and A=0.963, B=0.5025 were obtained as analysis predicts.

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The expectation of future cooling and heating degree day of the Seoul and Ulsan using HadCM3 (HadCM3를 이용한 서울 및 울산지역의 미래 냉.난방도일 예측)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho;Yoo, Ho-Chun;Noh, Kyoung-Hwan
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2008
  • The concern in energy reduction in the field of architecture which takes up a big weight in domestic energy consumption is gradually increasing. For this reason, a lot of research work on this matter is being carried out. Particularly, it is generally required that currently used system in a structure for energy reduction should be maximized in its efficiency. In addition, research on several energy reduction typed systems is underway. Such a research work should not only include the one in time of the present but also keep up with the trend for future-oriented research. This research paper forecasted and analyzed the trend for global warming and demand of a structure for energy in the future by applying climate scenarios to cooling degree-day and heating degree-day. Also, this research found out the decrease in heating degree-days and increase in cooling degree-days until this moment due to the progress of global warming. In addition, as for heating degree-days in the future forecasted on the basis of HadCM3, it is estimated that the range of decrease could be ever bigger starting 2040 in case of Seoul and also starting 2010 in case of Ulsan ever after respectively. In case of cooling degree-days, it is estimated that its increase range could be bigger abruptly starting 2050, and after 2080, its increase range would be much bigger.

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Design and Performance Prediction of Small Hydropower Plant Using Treated Effluent in Wastewater Treatment Plant (하수처리수를 이용한 소수력발전소 설계 및 성능예측)

  • Lee, Chul-Hyung;Park, Wan-Soon;Kim, Won-Kyoung;Kim, Jeong-Yeon;Chae, Kyu-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2013
  • A methodology to predict the output performance of small hydro power plant using treated effluent in waste water treatment plant has been studied. Existing waste water treatment plant located in Kyunggi-Do were selected and the output performance characteristics for these plants were analyzed. .Based on the models developed in this study, the hydrologic performance characteristics for SHP sites have been analyzed. The results show that the flow duration characteristics of small hydropower plant for waste water treatment plant have quite differences compared with small hydropower plant for the river. As a result, it was found that the developed model in this study can be used to analyze the output characteristics for small hydro power in waste water treatment plant. Additionally, primary design specifications such as design flowrate, capacity, operational rate and annual electricity production were estimated and discussed. It was found that the models developed in this study can be used to decide the design performance of small hydropower plant for waste water treatment plant effectively.

Three-Dimensional Natural Convection from a Single Module on the Wall of a Vertical Parallel-Plate Channel (수직평행채널의 벽면에 부착된 단일모듈로부터의 3차원 자연대류 열전달)

  • Riu, K.J.;Lee, J.H.;Kim, H.W.
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 1999
  • Three-dimensional natural convective heat transfer in a vertical channel with a protruding single module was investigated experimentally. The particular interest was in the removal of thermal energy from the module by convective heat transfer. Hence radiative and conductive heat losses were estimated by using thermocouples and heat flux sensor respectively. The flow fields in the channel were visualized by means of a smoke-method. Also, local temperatures were measured by thermocouples inside the channel, along the vertical wall and module surface. It is found that convective heat transfer was promoted at the lower comer of the module and was decreased at the upper comer due to a recirculation zone. A general correlation of the critical channel ratios was found as a function of Rayleigh number. For the range of $8.28{\times}10^3<Ra^*_c<3.48{\times}10^6$, a useful correlation for the mean Nusselt number was proposed as a function of modified channel Rayleigh number.

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Wind Speed Prediction in Complex Terrain Using a Commercial CFD Code (상용 CFD 프로그램을 이용한 복잡지형에서의 풍속 예측)

  • Woo, Jae-Kyoon;Kim, Hyeon-Gi;Paek, In-Su;Yoo, Neung-Soo;Nam, Yoon-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.8-22
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    • 2011
  • Investigations on modeling methods of a CFD wind resource prediction program, WindSim for a ccurate predictions of wind speeds were performed with the field measurements. Meteorological Masts having heights of 40m and 50m were installed at two different sites in complex terrain. The wind speeds and direction were monitored from sensors installed on the masts and recorded for one year. Modeling parameters of WindSim input variables for accurate predictions of wind speeds were investigated by performing cross predictions of wind speeds at the masts using the measured data. Four parameters that most affect the wind speed prediction in WindSim including the size of a topographical map, cell sizes in x and y direction, height distribution factors, and the roughness lengths were studied to find out more suitable input parameters for better wind speed predictions. The parameters were then applied to WindSim to predict the wind speed of another location in complex terrain in Korea for validation. The predicted annual wind speeds were compared with the averaged measured data for one year from meteorological masts installed for this study, and the errors were within 6.9%. The results of the proposed practical study are believed to be very useful to give guidelines to wind engineers for more accurate prediction results and time-saving in predicting wind speed of complex terrain that will be used to predict annual energy production of a virtual wind farm in complex terrain.

Comparison Analysis of Estimation Models of Hourly Horizontal Global Solar Radiation for Busan, Korea (부산지역에 적합한 시간당 수평면 전일사량 산출모델의 비교분석)

  • Kim, Kee Han;Oh, Kie-Whan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Hourly horizontal global solar radiation has been used as one of significant parameters in a weather file for building energy simulations, which determines the quality of building thermal performance. However, as about twenty two weather stations in Korea have actually measured the horizontal global sola radiation, the weather files collected in other stations requires solar data simulation from the other meteorological parameters. Thus, finding the reliable complicated method that can be used in various weather conditions in Korea is critically important. In this paper, three solar simulation models were selected and evaluated through the reliability test with the simulated hourly horizontal global solar radiation against the actually measured solar data to find the most suitable model for the south east area of Korea. Three selected simulation models were CRM, ZHM, and MRM. The first two models are regression type models using site-fitted coefficients which are derived from the correlation between measured solar data and local meteorological parameters from the previous years, and the last model is a mechanistic type model using the meteorological data to calculate conditions of atmospheric constituents that cause absorption and scattering of the extraterrestrial radiation on the way to the surface on the Earth. The evaluation results show that ZHM is the most reliable model in this area, yet a complicated hybrid simulation methods applying the advantages of each simulation method with the monthly-based weather data is needed.