• Title/Summary/Keyword: 침수 위험 지수

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Estimation of Urban Flood Risk Forecasting Standard using Local Disaster Prevention Performance (지역 방재성능을 고려한 도시홍수 위험 예보기준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seon Mi;Choi, Youngje;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.154-154
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    • 2020
  • 최근 국지성 호우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있고, 이로 인해 국내 도시지역 홍수피해 발생빈도와 피해규모가 증가하고 있다. 2010년, 2011년, 2018년에 서울에서는 홍수로 인한 침수피해가 크게 발생하여 많은 인명과 재산의 피해가 있었다. 이렇듯 도시지역은 타 지역에 비해 인구와 재산이 밀집되어 있어 홍수 취약성이 상대적으로 높은 지역이다. 국내에서는 홍수피해 저감을 위해 홍수예보를 발령하고 있다. 하지만 국내 홍수예보는 국가하천 및 지방하천의 주요 하천 구간에서만 실시되고 있어 이러한 하천에 접하지 않는 지역은 국가 홍수예보의 수혜를 받을 수 없다. 그렇기 때문에 각 지역에서는 홍수 대응을 위해 기상청의 호우특보 기준을 사용하고 있으며 이 기준은 전국적으로 동일하다는 특징이 있다. 하지만 각 도시지역은 과거 홍수피해에 따라 방재시설을 추가로 설치하거나 보수하고 있어 각 지역의 방재시설 현황 및 홍수에 대한 취약성 정도가 다른 상황이다. 그러므로 전국적으로 동일한 강우기준이 적용되어 발령되고 있는 호우 특보는 실제 각 도시지역의 방재현황이 고려되지 못한다는 문제가 있다. 이와 관련하여 과거 낙동강 지역을 대상으로 지역별 홍수위험도에 따른 홍수위험지수를 산정하고 검토한 연구가 수행된 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 각 도시지역의 방재 현황을 고려하여 강우기준을 보정할 수 있는 가중치를 산정하는 방안에 대해 제시하였다. 이를 위해 서울 지역 25개 기초지자체를 대상으로 연구를 진행하였으며, 홍수 취약성을 평가하기 위한 세부인자는 노출도, 민감도, 적응도로 구분하였다. 각 세부인자 별 가중치를 산정하기 위해서는 엔트로피 방법을 적용하였고, 산정된 결과를 이용하여 각 지역 별 가중치를 산정하기 위해서는 유클리드 거리 산정법을 적용하였다. 그 결과 각 지역의 방재 특성을 고려한 가중치를 산정할 수 있었으며 향후에는 지역 별 방재특성이 고려된 강우기준을 제시 및 적용성을 검토할 계획이다.

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Flooding Risk under Climate Change of Fast Growing Cities in Vietnam (베트남 급성장 도시지역의 기후변화 홍수재해 위험성 분석)

  • Kim, So Yoon;Lee, Byoung Jae;Lee, Jongso
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • Vietnamese cities have a high risk of flooding under climate change due to their geographical characteristics. In this situation, the urban area is expanding with rapid growth of urban population. However, the risk of flooding is increasing due to the increase in impermeable areas and insufficient infrastructure. This study analyzed the urban expansion trend at the national level in Vietnam for the past 10 years (2007-2017) by using the Urban Expansion Intensity Index. Also, this study selected Hue City as a region with a large impact of climate change and a rapid expansion and found the possibility of flooding in the urban expansion area. The result showed that cities have been expanded around major cities in the Red River Delta, Mekong Delta, and coastal areas. In the case of Hue City, the area with fast expansion rate has a higher expected flood area. It implies that the risk of flood disasters may increase if the urabn expansion is carried out without disaster prevention measures. It is expected that Korean urban disaster prevention policies such as urban climate change disaster vulnerability analysis system will be helpful in establishing urban plans considering climate change in the fast growing regions such as Vietnam.

ROC Analysis of Topographic Factors in Flood Vulnerable Area considering Surface Runoff Characteristics (지표 유출 특성을 고려한 홍수취약지역 지형학적 인자의 ROC 분석)

  • Lee, Jae Yeong;Kim, Ji-Sung
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.327-335
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    • 2020
  • The method of selecting an existing flood hazard area via a numerical model requires considerable time and effort. In this regard, this study proposes a method for selecting flood vulnerable areas through topographic analysis based on a surface runoff mechanism to reduce the time and effort required. Flood vulnerable areas based on runoff mechanisms refer to those areas that are advantageous in terms of the flow accumulation characteristics of rainfall-runoff water at the surface, and they generally include lowlands, mild slopes, and rivers. For the analysis, a digital topographic map of the target area (Seoul) was employed. In addition, in the topographic analysis, eight topographic factors were considered, namely, the elevation, slope, profile and plan curvature, topographic wetness index (TWI), stream power index, and the distances from rivers and manholes. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic analysis was conducted between the topographic factors and actual inundation trace data. The results revealed that four topographic factors, namely, elevation, slope, TWI, and distance from manholes, explained the flooded area well. Thus, when a flood vulnerable area is selected, the prioritization method for various factors as proposed in this study can simplify the topographical analytical factors that contribute to flooding.

Adaptive Sea Level Prediction Method Based on Harmonic Analysis (조화분석에 기반한 적응적 조위 예측 방법)

  • Park, Sanghyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.276-283
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    • 2018
  • Climate changes consistently cause coastal accidents such as coastal flooding, so the studies on monitoring the marine environments are progressing to prevent and reduce the damage from coastal accidents. In this paper, we propose a new method to predict the sea level which can be applied to coastal monitoring systems to observe the variation of sea level and warn about the dangers. Existing sea level models are very complicated and need a lot of tidal data, so they are not proper for real-time prediction systems. On the other hand, the proposed algorithm is very simple but precise in short period such as one or two hours since we use the measured data from the sensor. The proposed method uses Kalman filter algorithm for harmonic analysis and double exponential smoothing for additional error correction. It is shown by experimental results that the proposed method is simple but predicts the sea level accurately.

Study on the Method of Development of Road Flood Risk Index by Estimation of Real-time Rainfall Using the Coefficient of Correlation Weighting Method (상관계수가중치법을 적용한 실시간 강우량 추정에 따른 도로 침수위험지수 개발 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Eunmi;Rhee, Kyung Hyun;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.478-489
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    • 2014
  • Recently, flood damage by frequent localized downpours in cities are on the increase on account of abnormal climate phenomena and growth of impermeable area by urbanization. In this study, we are focused on flooding on roads which is the basis of all means of transportation. To calculate real-time accumulated rainfall on a road link, we use the Coefficient of Correlation Weighting method (CCW) which is one of the revised methods of missing rainfall as we consider a road link as a unobserved rainfall site. CCW and real-time accumulated rainfall entered through the Internet are used to estimate the real-time rainfall on a road link. Together with the real-time accumulated rainfall, flooding history, rainfall range causing flooding of a road link and frequency probability precipitation for road design are used as factors to determine the Flood Risk Index on roads. We simulated two cases in the past, July, 7th, 2009 and July, 15th, 2012 in Busan. As a result, all of road links included in the actual flooded roads at that time got the high level of flood risk index.