• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2014.10a
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• pp.103-105
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• 2014

선박의 운항분포는 교량충돌확률이나 선박충돌위험도 등을 계산할 때 매우 중요한 요인으로 작용하지만, AASHTO모델이나 해상교통안전진단에서의 근접도 평가모델 등 많은 충돌 또는 위험도 계산 모델에서는 선박의 운항분포가 단순한 정규분포임을 가정하고 있다. 따라서 특정 항로나 해역에서의 정확한 충돌, 위험 또는 안전 등에 관한 확률을 구하고자 할 경우에는 그 항로나 해역의 특성에 맞는 선박 운항분포를 사용해야 한다. 이 연구에서는 일주일간의 통항선박 위치정보(AIS정보)를 이용하여 다양한 특성을 가지는 항로별로 각각 고유한 특성의 선박 운항분포를 찾아내기 위해, sech 함수를 이용한 새로운 충돌위험도 평가법에서 피항구역의 문턱값을 결정하는 방법을 분석하고 실제 상황에 적용 가능한 식을 개발하였다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.351-357
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• 2003

Evaluating the risk of collision quantitatively plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed theoretically and thoroughly how to determine the gradient coefficients as described in the new evaluation of collision risk using sech function, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

• Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.123-130
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• 2013

Many countries tried to design the collision risk management system to protect their own satellites from collision probability due to the space debris. In this situation, KARI(Korea Aerospace Research Institute) is developing the KARISMA(KARI Conjunction Risk Management System) to protect our operating satellites from these space debris. The quality of this system is depending on the accuracy of orbit determination for the space debris which has collision risk. Therefore, this system must treat many kinds of measurement data types to estimate the orbit of space debris. In this paper, to handle the radar observation data widely used for these space debris, the orbit determination system was applied with simulated radar tracking data for the KOMSAT-2 which has precise orbit determination data.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.561-567
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• 2023

In this study, the collision risk of the UAM (Urban Air Mobility) corridor was analyzed using a collision risk model applied to the manned aircraft corridor. According to the K-UAM roadmap and operating concept, UAM is expected to fly on a designated route similar to existing manned aircraft operations and operate on two routes, traveling back and forth between the departure point and the destination point. Among domestic manned aircraft routes, the manned aircraft operation between Gimpo Airport and Jeju Airport is similar to this and takes the form of a parallel route with a lateral separation distance between the two routes. In this study, we analyzed the collision risk of the UAM corridor according to the lateral separation distance using a collision risk model used to analyze the collision risk of manned aircraft parallel routes for a similar type of UAM corridor. Based on this, we finally analyzed how many parallel routes could be installed within the width of the Han River, considering the K-UAM demonstration route.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.73-75
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• 2022

본 논문에서는 자율운항선박의 예측 가능한 운항 경로 상에 잠재된 비상상황을 인식하기 위하여 운항 해역의 항적 정보를 활용한 방안과 이를 기반으로 충돌 위험과 같은 비상위험을 식별하는 프레임워크를 설계하였다. 설계한 프레임워크는 크게 항적 특성 분석 모듈, 항로예측 모듈, 위험 식별 모듈로 구성된다. 항적 특성 분석 모듈에서는 자율운항선박의 운항 해역에 관한 선박들의 항적 정보를 활용하기 위하여, 대상 VTS 관제 영역 내에서 취합된 누적 선박자동식별장치(AIS) 데이터를 이용하여 선박의 항적 특성을 분석하여 데이터베이스(DB)를 생성하였다. 그리고 운항 경로 예측 모듈에서는 누적된 항적 정보와 자율운항선박의 현재 운항 정보를 기반으로 특정 시간 동안의 운항 경로를 예측하기 위한 학습 네트워크 모델을 구성하였다. 마지막으로, 위험 식별 모듈에서는 예측한 운항 경로 상에 최근접점과 최근접점 거리 정보를 이용하여 충돌 위험 가능성이 있는 충돌위험영역을 식별하였다. 설계한 프레임워크는 자율운항선박의 육상 관제소에서 원격 제어를 통해 위험상황을 인지하고 회피할 수 있는 정보를 제공할 수 있음을 실제 항적 데이터를 활용하여 그 결과를 검증하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.44-51
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• 2023

The Convention on the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea, 1972 (COLREGs) was adopted to prevent ships from colliding with other ships or any object such as the seabed. COLREGs have been codified and refined since the mid-19th century, and have reached the present. Therefore, the terms and sentences used in COLREGs also have distinct academic and legal connotations. However, in the Maritime Safety Act of the Republic of Korea, which translated COLREGs into domestic law, the "risk of collision" and the "danger of collision" was used in the law without distinguishing their meanings. Accordingly, the difference between "risk" and "danger" was analyzed with reference to the definition of risk by an authoritative international organization of the United Nations such as the International Maritime Organization and the International Organization for Standardization as a well-known and authoritative non governmental organization. In addition, the cases codified in COLREGs and translated cases in the Maritime Safety Act were analyzed to highlight the need for amending the Maritime Safety Act. From the perspective of safe navigation, it is expected that the Maritime Safety Act in the future would distinguish between "danger" and "risk" so that the efforts of watch officers to prevent collisions could be further systematized.

• Journal of Space Technology and Applications
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.13-29
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• 2022

Recently, the number of space objects around the Earth has increased rapidly, necessitating systematic space risk management. This paper proposes a dual-mode framework for assessing the risk of collision between space objects. The proposed framework consists of microscopic and macroscopic modes. The former focuses on one-to-one collision events, and the latter assesses the overall collision risk inside a cell located in space. Two risk assessment case studies using the proposed two modes demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.447-454
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• 2017

Using two large coast guard ships at sea, we created four encounter situations ($000^{\circ}$, $045^{\circ}$, $090^{\circ}$, $135^{\circ}$) with high possibility of collision, from 3 NM up to 0.25 NM. As relative distance was gradually decreased, the subjects were measured at 0.25 NM intervals and perceived ship collision risk (PSCR) was determined by looking at the opponent ship. Characteristics were statistically analyzed using the obtained data. The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics of collision risk values obtained from twelve intervals, from 3 NM to 0.25 NM relative to encounter situations by curve fitting with appropriate polynomials, to determine the distance from which the change in perceived collision risk is greatest. As a result, an optimal regression equation for each distance interval was derived from each analysis direction. The greatest variation in average collision risk value was over the range 1.25 ~ 1 NM, and the collision risk value was largest at 1 NM. The maximum change in perceived collision risk was at 1 NM. These results can contribute to preventive guidelines to minimize human error in close proximity situations with a high probability of ship collision.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2020.11a
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• pp.85-86
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• 2020

자율운항선박을 위한 충돌회피 알고리즘은 여러 연구자들을 통해 다양한 방식으로 개발되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 한국 연안 지역 특성 및 선박운항자의 의식을 기반으로 한 해상교통위험도 평가 모델인 PARK Model을 적용하여 충돌회피 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 이렇게 개발된 충돌회피 알고리즘은 자율운항선박과 사람이 동시에 항해하는 과도기에 선박운항자의 의식을 반영한 충돌회피를 수행하여 다른 선박운항자들에게 이질감 및 부담감을 주지않을 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구의 충돌회피 알고리즘은 PARK Model 위험도를 기반으로 COLREGS 규정을 반영하여 회피동작을 수행하며, 여러 규모의 선박을 대상으로 마주치는 상황, 횡단하는 상황, 추월하는 상황과 이들이 복합적으로 발생하는 상황에 대한 시뮬레이션 결과 모두 충돌을 회피할 수 있었다. 또한, 과거 AIS Data를 이용한 실해역 시뮬레이션 실험에서도 충돌회피를 수행하여 본 충돌회피 알고리즘의 성능을 검증하였다.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.169-176
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• 2005

An analysis of the annual frequency of collapse(AF) is performed for each bridge pier exposed to ship collision. From this analysis, the impact lateral resistance can be determined for each pier. The bridge pier impact resistance is selected using a probability-based analysis procedure in which the predicted annual frequency of bridge collapse, AF, from the ship collision risk assessment is compared to an acceptance criterion. The analysis procedure is an iterative process in which a trial impact resistance is selected for a bridge component and a computed AF is compared to the acceptance criterion, and revisions to the analysis variables are made as necessary to achieve compliance. The distribution of the AF acceptance criterion among the exposed piers is generally based on the designer's judgment. In this study, the acceptance criterion is allocated to each pier using allocation weights based on the previous predictions.