• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추정적 의사

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Value Analysis of Barrier-free Facilities at Subway Stations Using CVM with a Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question (이중양분선택형 질문법을 이용한 CVM에 의한 지하철 역사 Barrier-free 시설의 가치분석)

  • Jung, Hun-Young;Baik, Sang-Keun;Baek, Eun-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2008
  • As the aged and physically disabled people are expected to increase in the next several years, traffic demand especially for the 'mobility handicapped people' will be stronger. According to this trend, our society needs the improvement of social overhead capital for the aged and the disabled. First of all, Barrier-free of public transport facilities is urgent case. The purpose of this study is to estimate value of the Barrier-free facilities at subway stations by using Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) with Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question and to analyze the factor which affects the WTP(Willingness To Pay) of subway users by using Survival Analysis. As a result of this study, 'Elevators' and 'Escalators' are higher than 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair' in the aspect of the average willingness to pay. Therefore the government is recommended to install the Barrier-free facilities for going up and down such as 'Elevators' and 'Escalators', and then supply others for just using subway, and passing such as 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair'. Also, the average willingness to pay of 'mobility handicapped people' is higher than that of 'normal people'. It indicates that 'mobility handicapped people' value each Barrier-free facility high compared to 'normal people'.

Comparative Analysis of Calculation Methods on Willingness to Pay for Introduction of Emergency-call System (교통사고 긴급통보시스템 도입을 위한 지불의사액 산정방안 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yoonjung;Do, Myungsik;Jang, Taek young;Han, Daeseok
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.50-59
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    • 2015
  • This study aimed at suggesting Willingness To Pay (WTP) for introduction of the Traffic Accident emergency Call (TAC) system by using Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) which is a general valuation method. As the method, this study suggested a WTP estimation method of the TAC system with the double-bound dichotomous choice model. In previous studies, the data are processed differently according to the type of questions and analysis models used for the calculation of willingness to pay. Therefore, we re-organized the model by the cases using the truncated data sets, and showed the difference in WTPs. The dataset was developed by more than 500 questionnaire obtained from online and offline survey with the consideration of composition ratio by age group referring housing census in 2010 to mitigate regional bias of samples. At last, this study applied various statistical methods, survival analysis, multiple regression, and Tobit model for better interpretation of the questionnaires.

A Study on the Economic Value Estimation of Port Redevelopment Project - With a Focus on the Amenity's perspective - (항만재개발사업의 경제적 가치추정에 관한 연구 - 어메니티의 관점에서 -)

  • Sim, Ki-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2021
  • This study estimated the economic value of port redevelopment projects. The port redevelopment project consists of a combination of goods between market goods and non-market goods. The value of market goods can be measured at prices in the real market, but it is difficult to convert value estimates for non-market goods into currency values. Therefore, in this study, economic benefits of port redevelopment projects were estimated by the using the CVM. The estimated model used the Hanemann's model and the Bayesian approach to estimate the WTP of the sample group's using the single boundary model. Estimating the household's WTP, the Hanemann's model was estimated at KRW 10,038.33 and the Bayesian approach at KRW 12,217.1. As of the five-year period(discount benefits), the economic benefits of the port redevelopment project were estimated at 920.7 billion won for the Hanemann's model and 1.12 trillion won for the Bayesian model on a national basis. Meanwhile, as a result of estimating economic benefits(discount benefits) based on the administrative districts of Busan·Gyeongnam·Ulsan regions(five-year period), the Hanemann's model was estimated at KRW 140.4 billion and the Bayesian approach was estimated at KRW 170.8 billion.

Public Preferences for Replacing Hydro-Electricity Generation with Coal-Fired Power Generation (석탄화력 발전 대비 수력 발전에 대한 국민 선호도 분석)

  • Choi, Hyo-Yeon;Ryu, Mun-Hyun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.164-171
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    • 2015
  • Although coal-fired power generation has played a role as base load unit, it has incurred various social costs in the process of generating and providing electricity. It is necessary to extend the proportion of low-carbon power generations, and reduce the ratio of coal-fired power generation to cope with global climate changes. This study, therefore, attempts to estimate the public's willingness-to-pay (WTP) for substitution of supplied electricity from hydro-electricity generation, a representative renewable energy, for coal-fired power generation. To this end, we apply the contingent valuation (CV) method, widely used technique when valuing non-market goods, to elicit the public's WTP. In addition, a spike model is employed to consider zero WTPs. After the empirical analysis with 1,000 households CV survey data, the results show that mean household's WTP for replacing supplied electricity from hydro-electricity generation with coal-fired power generation is estimated to be about 54 KRW per kWh. The results of this study are expected to contribute to determining energy-mix and provide benefit information of hydro-electricity generation.

Road O&M Cost Prediction Model with the Integration of the Impacts of Climate Change using Binomial Tree Model (기후변화 영향을 고려한 도로시설 유지관리 비용변동성 예측 이항분석모델)

  • Kim, Du Yon;Kim, Byungil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1165-1171
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    • 2015
  • Due to the increasing trend of operation and maintenance cost (O&M cost) of infrastructure, the accurate estimation of O&M cost is crucial part to the government. Recent literatures pointed out that gradual climate changes such as average temperature changes, average precipitation changes, and etc. have significant impact on infrastructure O&M cost. This research is intended to develop a long-term O&M cost prediction model of road facilities by considering the impacts of average temperature changes. For this end, the climate change scenarios of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s $5^{th}$ report are adopted to structure the impact of average temperature changes by using binomial lattice model. The proposed framework is expected to regional government in supporting decisions for road O&M cost.

Estimating the benefit of constructing the international horse riding arena at Sangju (상주국제승마경기장 사업의 경제적 편익)

  • Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.913-925
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    • 2012
  • This study evaluates the economic benefit of the project constructing the international riding arena having been built at Sangju in Gyeongsangbuk-Do by the willingness to pay (WTP) of residents in the province. As the evaluation method, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method (CVM) is adopted with the additional questions of whether his/her WTP is zero, to improve the statistical accuracy of evaluation results. Considering the arena's administrative location, the population of the surveys for analysis is confined to residents of Daegu and Gyeongsangbuk-do. The survey is conducted through personal interviews. It turns out that the WTP per household per year is evaluated as 1,847 won and the total yearly benefit of the Sangju international horse riding arena is estimated as 3.56 billion won.

Relationship between the State of Decision Making Recognition Technology for Daily Living and Activities of Daily Living(ADL) of Inpatients in Geriatric Hospital on the Patient Core Card (환자평가표에 의한 요양병원 입원 노인들의 일상생활사 의사결정 인식기술 상태와 일상생활수행능력 간의 관계)

  • Lim, Jung-Do;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.328-336
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    • 2014
  • This work has performed to find what activities of daily living are required for the intensive interests when inpatient elderly more than 3 months has been supported and convalescent care, where the inpatient elderly were judged by the inpatient assessment report in the time of December, 2013. According to the estimation with logistic function of the relationship between the state of decision making recognition technology and the Activities of Daily Living(ADL), the intensive cares for the elderly are required in the parameters of 'Having meal' and 'transferring sitting' when they are severed and convalescently cared as the degree of functional independence for ADL are severly proceeded. In addition, the senescence and disease the activities except 'Having meal' and 'transferring sitting' seem to be influenced by the decline of body function more than the state of decision making recognition technology for daily living.

Development of a Risk Management Information System(RMIS) for the LPG refueling station by utilizing GIS (지리정보시스템(GIS)을 이용한 LPG 충전소 위험관리정보시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Ham, Eun-Gu;Roh, Sam-Kew
    • 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.195-200
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 도심지에 위치한 LPG 충전소를 연구범위로 하여 공간정보의 활용이 가장 많이 요구되는 안전관리 분야의 업무를 중심으로 공간정보를 효율적으로 구축 활용하기 위하여 데이터베이스를 중심으로 위험관리정보 시스템을 개발하였다. 이를 바탕으로 정량적 위험성 평가의 자동화를 통해 나타난 위험성을 실시간에 제어하기 위한 필요조건을 표준화하여 기초 정보자료로 구축, 이를 지리정보기능과 연동하여 LPG 충전소의 안전검사의 효율화, 사전 위험성 평가, 사고대응 판단의 효과적인 의사결정을 유도 할 수 있는 기반을 제공한다. 위험관리정보시스템(RMIS, Risk Management Information System) 개발절차는 다음과 같다 첫째, 도심지에 위치한 LPG 충전소 위험성 평가를 수행함에 있어서 기본적인 데이터인 부지내(On-site) 관련 자료와 부지 외(Off-site) 관련 자료를 관계형 데이터베이스(RDB, Relational Database)로 개발하였다. 둘째, Visual Basic을 이용하여 사용자가 효과적으로 위험을 관리 제어 할 수 있는 위험관리 통합 데이터베이스 시스템 개발하였다. 셋째, 위험관리 통합 데이터베이스 시스템과 지리정보시스템에 연동을 통한 의사결정 방안 제시하였다. 위험관리정보시스템(RMIS) 프로그램을 개발을 통하여 다음과 같은 결과를 도출하였다. 첫째, 위험관리 데이터 이용하여 사용자와 검사자가 효과적으로 위험을 사전관리 할 수 있는 공유정보를 구축하였다. 둘째, 위험 관리를 부지 내와 부지 외로 나누어 관리함으로서 시설 내부 뿐 만 아니라 시설외부에 미치는 영향을 모두 고려하여 구축하므로 서, 중대사고에 대응 할 수 있는 종합적인 안전관리 기반을 조성하였다. 셋째, 사용자 인터페이스를 바탕으로 비상사태 발생시에 신속하고 정확한 의사결정을 할 수 있는 기반을 조성하였다. 제공하여 응용GIS 구축의 생산성 및 품질 향상에 기여할 뿐만 아니라 우리의 최종목표인 GIS 소프트웨어 자동 생산에도 크게 기여할 것으로 사료된다. 등)을 교통망상에 표시할 수 있음으로서 의사결정에 보다 많은 도움을 줄 수 있을 것이다. 비트율의 증가와 화질 열화는 각각 최대 1.32%와 최대 0.11dB로 무시할 수 있을 정도로 작음을 확인 하였다.을 알 수 있었다. 현지관측에 비해 막대한 비용과 시간을 절약할 수 있는 위성영상해석방법을 이용한 방법은 해양수질파악이 가능할 것으로 판단되며, GIS를 이용하여 다양하고 복잡한 자료를 데이터베이스화함으로써 가시화하고, 이를 기초로 공간분석을 실시함으로써 환경요소별 공간분포에 대한 파악을 통해 수치모형실험을 이용한 각종 환경영향의 평가 및 예측을 위한 기초자료로 이용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.염총량관리 기본계획 시 구축된 모형 매개변수를 바탕으로 분석을 수행하였다. 일차오차분석을 이용하여 수리매개변수와 수질매개변수의 수질항목별 상대적 기여도를 파악해 본 결과, 수리매개변수는 DO, BOD, 유기질소, 유기인 모든 항목에 일정 정도의 상대적 기여도를 가지고 있는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이로부터 수질 모형의 적용 시 수리 매개변수 또한 수질 매개변수의 추정 시와 같이 보다 세심한 주의를 기울여 추정할 필요가 있을 것으로 판단된다.변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에 있어서 시장수익률을 평균적으로 초과할 수 있는 거래전략은 존재하므로 이러한 전략을 개발 및 활용할 수 있으며, 특히, 한국주

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Households' willingness to pay for the residential electricity use (주택용 전력에 대한 지불의사액 분석)

  • Lim, Seul-Ye;Kim, Ho-Young;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2013
  • Electricity is a basis for human existence. This paper attempts to analyze the households' willingness to pay (WTP) for the residential electricity use. The WTP for the residential electricity use can be defined as the sum of actual price of and additional WTP for it. The former is easily observed in the market, but the second is not observed and thus should be obtained through a WTP survey of households. To this end, this study conducted a survey of randomly selected 1,000 households in Korea in November 2010. The results indicate that the mean additional WTP for the residential electricity use was estimated to be KRW 11.24 per kWh. Given that the average price of residential electricity was KRW 98.07 per kWh at the time of the survey, the economic benefit from the residential electricity use was computed as KRW 109.31 per kWh. This information can be compared with the cost involved in the supply of one kWh of residential electricity.