• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.11 no.5
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• pp.46-55
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• 2012

This study proposes an estimate method of willingness to pay(WTP) for real-time route guidance systems using contingent valuation method(CVM) under double bounded dichotomous choice question(DBDCQ) and analysis for impact factors of WTP estimation. This study assumed that provided real-time traffic information service is optimal route concepts dealing with traffic conditions on origin-destination. Analysis targets were classified into two groups as short distance path and middle distance path for estimating WTP for realtime route guidance system in a year using the survival analysis method and the regression model with personal information, actual condition and satisfaction of information usage and users' awareness and usage of facilities. As a result, mean WTP of realtime route guidance system is 4,034won/year in short distance path, and 4,884won/year in middle distance path. Therefore real-time route guidance system for longer distance path is recognized as more valuable than shorter distance path. Moreover, the necessity of information was required on a higher income group and higher WTP was estimated on owners of vehicle group and lower awareness of a route group.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.329-338
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• 2019

In this study, we analyze consumer preferences based on the agricultural box scheme attributes, and make a suggestion for business revival. We estimate the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for box scheme attributes using a choice experiment. Attributes include the bundle method, the delivery method, and price. To select an efficient model for statistical analysis, we evaluate the conditional logit model, heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV model), multinomial probit model, and mixed logit model under different assumptions. The results of these four models show that the bundle method, the delivery method, and price are statistically significant in explaining the probability of participation in a box scheme. The results of likelihood ratio tests show that the heteroscedastic extreme value model is the most appropriate for our survey data. The results also indicate that MWTP for a change from fixed type to selection type is KRW 7,096.6. MWTP for a change from parcel service to direct delivery and cold-chain delivery are KRW 3,497.5 and KRW 7,532.7, respectively. The results of this study may contribute to the government's local food policies.

• 프린팅코리아
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• s.23
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• pp.82-85
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• 2004

현존하는 세계 최고의 금속활자본인 직지심체요절의 문화적 자산가치는 8694억원이라는 조사결과가 나왔다. 충북개발연구원(원장 이태열)은 최근 '직지의 가치추정 및 활용방안'이라는 연구보고서를 통해 "비시장 재화에 대한 화폐가치를 평가하는 조건부 가치측정(CVM) 방식으로 직지의 가치를 조사한 결과 이같이 추정됐다"고 밝혔다. 조건부 가치측정이란 환경과 문화, 관광자원 등 거래가 되지 않는 재화에 대한 가치를 평가하는 방법 중 하나로, 이번 조사에 제시된 조건은 '직지의 보전 및 세계화에 부담금을 낸다면 얼마를 낼 용의가 있는가'였다. 전국 340여명의 표본조사 응답자들은 이 질문에 44.4%(151명)가 '부담 의사있다'고 답변했고, 부담금은 5년간 매년 1만840원이 적정할 것이라고 말했다. 연구원 측은 이를 근거로 전국 가구 수에 적용할 경우 직지의 문화적 총자산가치는 8694억원에 달할 것으로 추정했다. 다음은 이번 보고서의 주요 내용을 요약한 것이다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.200-209
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• 2019

When forecasting future values, a model estimated after minimizing training errors can yield test errors higher than the training errors. This result is the over-fitting problem caused by an increase in model complexity when the model is focused only on a given dataset. Some regularization and resampling methods have been introduced to reduce test errors by alleviating this problem but have been designed for use with only a given dataset. In this paper, we propose a new optimization approach to reduce test errors by transforming a test error minimization problem into a training error minimization problem. To carry out this transformation, we needed additional data for the given dataset, termed pseudo data. To make proper use of pseudo data, we used three types of missing data imputation techniques. As an optimization tool, we chose the least squares method and combined it with an extra pseudo data instance. Furthermore, we present the numerical results supporting our proposed approach, which resulted in less test errors than the ordinary least squares method.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.53-68
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• 2022

In this study, the economic value and economic ripple effect of the Jeju Inland Port redevelopment project were estimated. The economic value was estimated from the viewpoint of amenity, the value of non-market goods such as landscape improvement, environmental improvement, and recreation effects. As a result of the estimation, the population was divided into Jeju Island and other regions and the individual's willingness to pay was estimated to be 2,952.9 won in Jeju Island and 4,722.8 won in other regions. On the other hand, the economic ripple effect of the Jeju Inland Port redevelopment project was estimated during the project period and after the completion of the economic ripple effect was estimated. As a result of the estimation, the production inducement value was KRW 84,387 million, the value-added inducement effect was KRW 37,292 million, and the employment inducement value was 5,846 employment when the (direct employment + indirect employment) effect was combined. After the end of the project period, as of 2022, there were 518,000 foreign tourists, and the value-added inducing effect was estimated to be about 149,885 million won.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.28-28
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• 2019

강 하구의 민물과 바닷물이 만나 형성되는 기수역 생태계는 독특한 환경적 가치를 지니고 있다. 낙동강 하구는 우리나라의 대표적인 철새 도래지로 풍부한 생태자원을 지닌 곳이지만, 하굿둑 건설로 기수역이 사라진 이후 기수역 생태계가 갖고 있는 고유의 생태적인 특성이 감소하였다. 한편, 낙동강 하굿둑 건설은 염해피해 방지 및 부산, 울산, 창원 등의 지역에 추가적인 용수공급을 가능하게 도왔다. 이에 낙동강 기수역 생태계 복원을 위한 하굿둑 개방과 용수공급 및 염해피해 방지 등을 위한 하굿둑 운영에 대한 논의가 지속되어 왔다. 낙동강 하구관리에 대한 합리적인 의사결정을 위해서는 하굿둑 건설 및 운영에 따른 편익과 동시에 낙동강 하구 기수역의 생태 환경적 가치도 함께 고려해야한다. 이에 본 논문에서는 낙동강 하구의 기수역 생태 복원에 초점을 맞추어 이와 관련된 환경적 가치를 조건부 가치측정법이라는 경제학적 기법을 적용하여 추정하고자한다. 전국 800가구를 무작위로 추출하여 일대일 개별면접을 통해 낙동강 기수역의 생태복원에 대한 지불의사액을 조사하였다. 이 정보는 낙동강 하구관리에 대한 의사결정시 활용할 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.14 no.10
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• pp.4830-4836
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• 2013

This research was launched as an attempt to help create a new value-added product called "Green Jujube Chip." To accomplish the objectives, consumers value by attributes of Green Jujube Chip should be estimated. We used Choice Experiment for analysis, which we used to arrive at pricing of specialty jujube chips based on the conditional logit model. As a result, MWTP were estimated at 1333 Won/unit for Mid-size Company Product, 1752 Won/unit for Large Company Product, 1703 Won/unit for University Affiliation, 350 Won/unit for packing unit, 548 Won/unit for rating the raw fruit, 1,322 Won/unit for HACCP, and 1,166 Won/unit for ISO22000. The consumer's WTP for Green Juju Chip, associated with the university-brand recognition, was higher than a product produced by a mid-sized company but lower than a product by a large company. Given how the consumers regard the university-brand product as a specialty item, it is necessary to create value-added products that meet such high expectation. Therefore, we recommend the producers to acquire HACCP Food Safety Certification and the value-added product has used the highest quality raw fruit.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.252-252
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• 2016

수자원에 대한 효율적 활용 요구가 증대됨에 따라 한반도 수리적 특성을 보다 정밀하게 모의하고 이를 활용한 의사결정이 요구되고 있다. 한반도는 지리적 특성상 약 70%가 산학 구조로 되어 있어서 지형적 기상 현상이 복잡하여 가뭄지수의 공간 보간에 어려움이 있다. 따라서 지형적 특성-거리, 고도, 해양에서의 거리, 지향면 등을 고려할 수 있는 PRISM 기법을 기존의 공간 보간 기법과 비교 분석하여 한반도 전역의 가뭄 특성에 적합한 공간 보간 기법을 검출하고자 하였다. 자료의 분석은 기상청에서 제공하는 강우 관측소중 40년 이상의 연한을 가지고 있는 60개 지점을 선정하여 분석하였으며 방법 간의 비교는 지점을 선정하여 추정된 오차를 기초로 하여 판단하였다. 분석결과 PRISM 기법이 복잡한 지형적 특성을 가진 지역에서 더 적합한 방법으로 나타났다. 향후 연구에서는 미개측 지역의 가뭄지수 분석을 시행하여 관측소가 설치되지 않은 지역의 적합한 가뭄 특성을 분석하여 효율적인 수자원 활용을 위한 적절한 의사결정 지표를 선정하고자한다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.311-313
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• 2006

전력계통의 안정적 운용을 위한 EMS(Energy Management System)에서 현재 운용중인 계통의 상태를 추정하는 상태추정기는 매우 중요한 역할을 지닌다. 그러나 간혹 측정된 데이터가 잘못된 정보이거나, 데이터가 전송되지 않는 경우 가관측성이 확보되지 않게 될 수 있는데 이때는 의사측정값(pseudo measurements)을 이용하여 가관측성을 확보해 주어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 상태추정의 부하 데이터의 부재시사용하기 위한 모선별 부하분포계수(Bus Load Distribution Factor)에 관하여 소개하며, 그 오차를 최소한으로 줄이기 위해 사용하는 평활법에 대해 소개한다.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.13 no.5
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• pp.97-105
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• 2013

It is very important the government project should be supported by enough budget for proceeding. The insufficient budget by poor budget estimating uesd to bring about discontinuing for the project. This is originally caused by inaccuracy for cost estimating about system and evaluating for system requirements on the projet initial phase. The system requirements is technical requirements that converted the user needs and is needs for communicating between stakeholder and developer and manufacturer. Also the system requirements is the primary factor to make the project cost. The cost estimating is not easy due to complication of cost factors and an aberration between cost estimating and actual cost. Specially, on the project initial phase, shortage of detail information for project make more difficult to do cost estimating. This study proposes the architecture for validating proper system requirements by using cost estimations methodology on the project initial phase and shows the computer tool for simulating the proposed architecture.