• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추세요소

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The Lead-Lag Relationship between KRX Construction Index and Business Survey Index (KRX건설 주가지수와 기업경기실사지수 간의 선행-후행 관계)

  • Han-Soo Yoo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2023
  • This study explores the interrelationship between 'KRX Construction' and 'Business Survey Index'. KRX Construction is a leading economic indicator of construction industry, implying the potential interdependence with BSI Construction. Previous papers have investigated the relationship between the released stock price index and BSI. Using Granger causality tests, this study investigates how the BSI Construction is associated with the trend and noise-trading components of KRX Construction, respectively. The decomposition of KRX Construction of trend and noise-trading is based on the state-space model. The results document unilateral Granger causalities from released KRX Construction, trend component, noise-trading component to BSI Construction. In sum, this study demonstrates that construction company CEOs view stock price index as a leading economic indicator.

Comparisons of the Pan and Penman Evaporation Trends in South Korea (우리나라 증발접시 증발량과 Penman 증발량 추세 비교분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.445-458
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    • 2010
  • The effects of geographical and climatic factors on annual and monthly pan and Penman evaporation were analyzed. 52 climatological stations were selected and trend analyses were performed. Furthermore, cluster analysis and multiple linear regression analysis were performed to understand the effects of geographical and climatic factors on pan and Penman evaporation. Based on stepwise multiple linear regression analysis, annual pan evaporation is proved to be mainly controlled by urbanization as geographical factor, and annual pan evaporation is also controlled by temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation as climatic factor. Especially wind speed is considered to be most significant climatic factor which affects pan evaporation. Meanwhile, Penman evaporation is not affected by geographical factors but it is affected by climate factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation except precipitation. Furthermore, the study results show that only proximity to coast affects pan evaporation trend on July; however, geographical and climatic factors do not affect pan evaporation trends in annual basis and monthly basis (January, April, and October). On the other hand, Penman evaporation trends were not affected by geographical factors in annual and monthly basises.

Rainfall Frequency Analysis Considering Change of Trend Slope in Observed Rainfall Intensity (관측강우강도의 경향성 기울기 변화를 고려한 강우빈도 해석)

  • Jang, Sun-Woo;Seo, Lynn;Choi, Min-Ha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 2011
  • 최근 기후변화에 따라 강우의 패턴이 변화하고 있다. 강우일수는 줄어드는 반면, 강우강도는 증가하여, 홍수로 인한 많은 피해에 직면하고 있다. 이러한 기상이변은 홍수방어시스템을 위한 수공구조물에도 많은 영향을 미친다. 수공구조물을 설계할 때, 일반적으로 강우 기록들의 통계적 특성이 정상성을 가진다고 가정한다. 하지만 최근의 강우 자료를 분석하면, 시간에 따라 평균, 분산, 왜곡도와 같은 기본 통계량이 변화하는 것을 알 수 있다. 따라서, 수공구조물의 설계를 위한 확률 강우량은 이러한 기후변화에 따른 자료의 특성을 반영할 필요가 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 강우 자료의 비정상성의 특성을 이용하여 확률강우량을 산정하는 것이다. 최근 비정상성 강우빈도해석에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있는데, 이들 연구는 대부분 목표연도까지 경향성의 기울기가 증가, 또는 일정하다고 가정한다. 하지만, 현재는 경향성이 있지만, 목표연도에는 경향성이 없을 경우도 있고, 또는 경향성이 있어도 그 기울기가 적어지는 경향을 보일 수도 있다. 본 연구에서는 현시점과 목표연도의 시점에 대한 경향성 기울기의 변화를 고려하여 비정상성 강우빈도해석을 수행하였다. 대상지점 선정은 통계적 경향성 검정, Mann-Kendall test를 이용하여 1994년(현재시점)에 경향성이 있다고 판단되는 관측지점을 대상지점으로 선정하였다. 분석 방법은 24시간 임계지속시간의 연최대강우자료를 구축하였다. 자료를 현시점까지 선형회귀식을 이용하여 잔차 계열을 산정하고, Gumbel 분포를 이용하여 확률 잔차를 산정하였다. 확률강우량을 추정하기 위해 추세요소를 산정하였다. 기울기의 증가 혹은 감소 경향을 회귀모형을 이용하여 추세요소를 산정하였고, 잔차의 확률빈도와 추세요소의 합으로 비정상상 확률강우량을 산정하였다.

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Evaluating Factors of Electronic Journal or Magazine (전자잡지의 평가 요소)

  • 배금표
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Information Management Conference
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    • 2000.08a
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2000
  • 최근 인터넷을 중심으로 한 전자정보 통신의 발달은 종래의 연속간행물 출판과 배포에 새로운 국면을 제공하고 있는데 바로 전자형태의 저널 및 잡지의 출현이다. 특히 디지털도서관의 출현으로 대부분의 학술잡지들을 인쇄본과 함께 전자형태로 출판하는 추세에 있으며, 이러한 추세에 맞추어 각 출판사, 대학, 연구소 및 전운정보센터에서는 학술지를 중심으로 대부분의 자료들을 디지털화하여 온라인으로 제공하고 있다. 본 연구는 주요 도서관들이 이러한 새로운 정보매체, 즉 전자형태의 저널 및 잡지를 수용하는데 있어서 한정된 예산으로 해당 도서관들이 필요로 한 전자저널과 전자잡지를 선별·수집할 때 적용할 수 있는 평가요소를 연구하였다.

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Evaluation of Urban Effects on Trends of Hydrometeorological Variables (수문기상요소 추세에 대한 도시화 영향분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.1B
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2010
  • This study aimed to figure out the effect of urbanization on meteorological variables (air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, solar radiation and precipitation) and reference evapotranspiration (RET). The research area of 6 urban areas and 6 rural areas near each urban area was selected. The monthly average daily data were collected from 12 ground stations operated by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and the changes in climate variables were analyzed. Results of annual analysis have shown that the reference evapotranspiration (RET) tends to increase in urban areas while decreasing in rural areas. In particular, due to rising RET in urban areas and decreasing RET in rural areas, we can infer that the urbanization has affected to the RET. Results of monthly analysis showed that the urbanization has effects on the RET of July compared to other months (January, April and October). The yearly and monthly effects of urbanization on RET were closely related to solar radiation, relative humidity and change in temperature, and related to wind speed.

Analysis of the Efficiency Trend of Public Libraries in Daejeon Metropolitan City (대전광역시 공공도서관의 효율성 추세변화 분석)

  • Yoon, Hye-Young
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to analyse the ralative efficiency of 15 public libraries over a time period(2006-2008) by Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA). The selected input variables were total staff, total area and total holdings. And the selected output variables were total circulations and total user. The results are as followed. First, a technical efficiency trend of public libraries has been improved since 2006. Second, a technical efficiency increase can be explained by increase of a pure technical and scale efficiency both.

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자동차 시스템의 전자화와 제어기술

  • 이성철
    • ICROS
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.60-65
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    • 1995
  • 향후 자동차 전자화 추세는 보다 보편화되어, 자동차 1대당 가격에 전자부품이 차지하는 비율은 90년대 중반에 15%, 2000년대에는 20%에 달할 것이며, 이에 따른 전자제어기술은 자동차개발에 있어 가장 중요한 핵심 요소기술로 나타나게 된다. 본 고에서는 자동차 제품을 한정하여 각 system별 전자화기술을 소개하며 향후 추세를 논하고자 한다.

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항공폭탄 현황 및 발전추세(1)

  • Kim, Chang-Sik;Kim, Seong-Sik
    • Defense and Technology
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    • no.2 s.168
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 1993
  • 항공전력은 궁극적으로 대 지상 공격을 구현하는데 있으므로, 대 지상 공격에 사용되는 폭탄, 공대지미사일, 로켓트탄은 항공전력을 구성하는 중요한 요소라 하겠습니다. 항공전력을 확대, 발전시키고자 노력하는 현 시점에서 대 지상 공격전력의 요체인 폭탄의 현황 및 발전추세를 검토해보는 것은 의미 있는 일이라 할수 있겠습니다

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Analyzing the Change of Science High School Students' Integrated Process Skills Using Group-based Trajectory Modeling (집단중심 추세모형을 적용한 과학고등학교 학생들의 통합 탐구 기능 변화 분석)

  • Lee, Kiyoung;Ha, Minsu;Park, Jaeyong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.48-60
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the patterns and characteristics of changes in integrated process skills during the process of science high school students' inquiry by using group-based trajectory modeling. 59 students participated in this study. Three hypothetico-deductive inquiry tasks were used as an intervention activity. We asked science high school students to perform those three tasks sequentially and to generate reports of the process and results. We evaluated students' reports by four elements (designing inquiry, collecting data, analyzing data, and forming conclusion) of the integrated process skills according to the scoring rubric developed by Lee and Park (2017), and analyzed the level of changes in integrated process skills in those three inquiry tasks by using group-based trajectory modeling. In addition, we analyzed the characteristics of changes in integrated process skills from several perspectives. The findings are as follows: First, concerning the change patterns of students' integrated process skills, all of the four elements were classified into two groups, but the change patterns were very different by elements. Second, regarding the change characteristics of students' integrated process skills, we found the context-dependency of integrated process skills, variation of learning progression for integrated process skills, and jaggedness of integrated process skills level. Based on these findings, we suggested that a couple of ways be sought to improve the integrated process skills of science high school students.

A Trend Analysis on Scale Efficiency of the Port of Gwangyang: 1994-2004 (광양항의 규모효율성 추세분석: 1994-2004)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.59-78
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the trend on scale efficiency of the Port of Gwangyang from 1994 to 2004 using CCR, BCC, and Malmquist index approaches. The main results are as follows. first, scale efficiency shows a 50% similar [5(94/95, 95/96, 97/98, 2001/2002, 2003/2004) out of 10] pattern to technical efficiency change. Second, total factor productivity increased at 48.57% rate of growth on average in 6 out of 10 periods except 96/97, 97/98, 99/2000, and 2000/2001. 2003/2004 period is the one period experiencing rapid total factor productivity changes, mainly due to technical progress. Third, the ranking order of accumulative indices is scale efficiency change, TFP change, efficiency change, technical change, and pure efficiency change. The main policy implication of this paper is that according to the CCR, BCC, and Malmquist results, the Port of Gwangyang should develop the plan for enhancing the 5 Malmquist indices with following the management way of benchmarking ports.

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