• Archives of design research
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.191-200
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• 2002

In the 1980s, even though Italy faced economic depression, Italy (she), now, internationally became a strong nation with its best design by national unity and the developmental leap of industry through design. In Italy, especially, small and medium enterprises are accumulated by the same business in each area on the structure of a Cluster system. Italy has some characteristics that being the Italians' elastic way of management, family management and development of a consortium of small and medium enterprises, which have flexibility, imagination and decisiveness. We have to bring these intensified factors of design competitiveness to our country so that we should form the union in order to have a monopoly of specific enterprises based on the specialized technology of small and medium enterprises innovating the structure of a small quantity production having developmental flexibility. We also heighten the sense of designer and publics by achieving social opinion and cult! ural revival. Moreover, the mind of managers has to be changed more aggressively. Finally, the actual policy of design will be established and peformed, and design-company (enterprises) and the industrial economy will generally develop when we activate the structure of the industry centered on small and medium enterprises and design-related association that is united and participates in the establishment of design policy.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.335-350
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• 1998

X11ARIMA is established on the basis of X11 which is one of smoothing approach in time series area and this procedure was introduced by Bureau of Census of United States and developed by Dagum(1975). This procedure had been updated and adjusted by Dagum(1988) with 174 economic index of North America and has been used until nowadays. Recently, X12ARIMA procedure has been studied by William Bell et.al. (1995) and Chen. & Findly(1995) whose approaches adapt adjusting outliers, Trend-change effects, seasonal effect, arid Calender effect. However, both of these procedures were implemented for correct adjusting the economic index of North America. This article starts with providing some appropriate and effective ARIMA model for 102 indexes produced by national statistical office in Korea; which consists of production(21), shipping(27), stock(27), and operating rate index(21). And a reasonable smoothing method will be proposed to reflect the specificity of Korean economy using several moving average model. In addition, Sulnal(lunar happy new year) and Chusuk effects will be extracted from the indexes above and both of effects reflect contribution of lunar calender effect. Finally, we will discuss an alternative way to estimate holiday effect which is similar to X12ARIMA procedure in concept of using both of ARIMA model and Regression model for the best fitness.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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• 2003.03a
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• pp.113-120
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• 2003

The estimation of the coeff. of permeability is a major process that influenced in very large portion to the changing of gound water movement and estimation of the outflow’s quantity in the ground water movement modelling. To overcome the error caused by difficulty of the ground investigation for the hydraulic parameter’s estimation, in this paper, we study of correlation between electric resistivity and coeff. of permeability, and analyse of coeff. of permeability from electric resistivity. To accomplish this purpose, we carry out electrical logging, AMT survey as an in-situ test, and measure electric resistivity, porosity, permeability for the intact rock as a laboratory test. Based on the results of this research, it can be applied that estimation of the coeff. of permeability using electrical logging and AMT survey is a effective method for the impossible area of the ground investigation caused by geographical condition and petition.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.984-984
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• 2012

지구온난화와 기후변화의 영향으로 전 지구적으로 이상홍수, 이상가뭄, 한파와 같은 이상기상 현상이 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 국내에서는 2010년 추석 광화문 침수사태와 2011년 우면산 산사태와 같은 국지성 집중호우로 인한 인적 물적 피해가 속출하고 있다. 전통적으로 시기나 양적인 측면에서 대부분 장마기간에 국한되었던 강우집중현상이 과거와 달리 특정기간에 상관없이 발생하고 단기성, 국지성을 지닌 호우의 발생빈도가 높아지는 등 국내 강우의 특성이 변하고 있다. 이러한 변화에 대응하기 위해서 강우예측과 유출량예측의 정확도를 높이기 위한 시도가 다양하게 이루어지고 있다. 강우예측의 정확성을 높이기 위해 기상청에서는 단기예보를 목적으로 전지구 통합모델과 지역 통합모델을 연계한 동네예보를 수행하고 있으며, 초단기 예보를 위한 목적으로 VSRF, SCAN, VDRAS, MAPLE 등의 예보를 수행하고 있다. 홍수량 예측에서는 일반적으로 사용하고 있는 물리적 기반의 모형에 레이더강우와 같은 격자형 강우자료를 사용하여 정확성을 높이거나, 기존의 집중형 모형을 분포형 모형으로 대체하기 위한 연구 등이 이루어지고 있으며, 모형 구축이 간편하고 예측 정확도가 우수하다는 장점으로 인해 신경회로망이나 퍼지추론기법 등을 사용한 연구도 지속적으로 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 수자원분야에 산재한 불확실성을 적극적으로 인정하고 수학적으로 해석하기 위한 이론인 퍼지이론에 신경망 이론을 도입한 neuro-fuzzy 기법을 사용하여 홍수량을 예측하였다. 모형의 입력자료로는 관측된 강우자료와 유출량자료 및 기상청에서 제공하는 MAPLE(McGill Algorithm for Precipitation Nowcasting by Lagrangian Extrapolation) 강우예측자료를 사용하여 적용성을 평가해보았다. 모형의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 시험유역을 충주댐 상류 유역으로 선정하였으며, 2010년 2011년 홍수기의 충주댐 유입량을 예측하였다. 모형의 입력자료를 변경하여 입력자료의 변화에 따른 결과를 비교하였고, clustering 반경의 변화에 따른 정확도를 비교하였다. 모형의 정확도는 평균제곱근오차와 첨두수위오차를 통해 비교하였으며, 비교결과 전반적으로 lead time이 길어질수록 MAPLE 사용 시 예측 정확도가 우수하였고, clustering 반경은 0.5일 때 가장 우수한 결과를 보였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.111-121
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• 2010

DHV (Design-Hour Volume) for the estimation of number of lanes is determined by design-hour factor (K). The design-hour factor is defined as the proportion between the 30th highest hourly volume and AADT and determines the level of road planning. However, the K-factor estimated by an existing method has a problem because the hourly volumes on holiday and weekend appear in the relatively low rank in real world in spite of expected high volumes. To improve this problem, this study make use of the concept of traffic demand in estimating the design-hour factor. After the congested hourly volumes transfer to traffic hourly demand, the K-factors are estimated on urban expressways and are compared to the existing K-factors. It is perceived that the new K-factors have more realistic values due to utilizing the traffic demand. reflecting the congested flow.

• The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.69-80
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• 2008

During New year's day and Thanksgiving holiday, the 1339 Information Center in Gwangju and Jeonnam received an emergency medical situation and carried out the analysis as follows ; 1. The reason for the higher phone guidance(72%) of the hospital was based on the simple query for the pain control rather than emergency care. This was explained by the unfamiliar environment of the holiday movers. Pharmaceutical guidance(12.6%) in rural area was also given during the holidays. 2. The disease counselling(2.4%) and emergency treatment instruction(First Aid)(1.6%) decreased because of the small number of request for the diseases. This explained the decrease of the disease counselling. 3. The phone calls increased 8-13 times more than usual. Five-day holidays could have more emergency patients than three-day holidays. During New year's day and Thanksgiving day, the number of received phone calls was 6,444(25.7%) and this accounted for one fourth of the total number in 2007. 4. The number of the patients increased on New year's day and Thanksgiving day because most of the medical institutions and pharmacy were off duty. 5. The patients were centered in Internal medicine and pediatrics. This showed the food-borne diseases and air-borne infection such as common cold. 6. During Thanksgiving day, ophthalmologic patients having viral keratoconjunctivitis(Apollo eye disease) increased 8 folds than in New year's day. It was estimated from the continuous epidemic of Apollo eye disease. 7. There broke out the traffic accidents, food poisoning, infectious diseases, dermatological diseases due to seasonal and environmental changes during the holiday move.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2014.10a
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• pp.394-397
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• 2014

Most of Koreans have smartphone. By using smartphone, they have done internet-banking, e-commerce and private scheduling. However, convenience of smart phone has been made side effect such as tool of fraud and crime. Especially, Smishing on smartphone has been increased rapidly since 2013. Smishing have utilized social-engineering technique with social issue such as Korean near-sea cruse ship, 'Sewol-Ho', Sinking and traditional thanks-giving holiday, 'Chu-Seok', etc. This paper proposed the oncoming trend of smishing on smartphone after 2014. This paper also analyzed the process and technique of smishing on internal financial fraud. It also covered smartphone forensic for using legal evidence. By discovering the connectivity of smishing and financial fraud, this paper could be reference for social security on smartphone.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.139-148
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• 2019

This study proposed a multiple intervention time series model to predict KTX passenger demand. In order to revise the research of Kim and Kim (Korean Society for Railway, 14, 470-476, 2011) considering only the intervention of the second phase of Gyeong-bu before November of 2011, we adopted multiple intervention seasonal ARIMA models to model the time series data with additional interventions which occurred after November of 2011. Through the data analysis, it was confirmed that the effects of various interventions such as Gyeong-bu and Ho-nam 2 phase, outbreak of MERS and national holidays, which affected the KTX transportation demand, are successfully explained and the prediction accuracy could be quite improved significantly.

• KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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• v.53 no.2
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• pp.156-160
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• 2008

This study was conducted to find on the screening of a optimal variety after compare with characteristics of a colored soybean recommended and a vegetable soybean by pure line isolation from the indigenous variety in Chungnam area. The budding period in results compared with a budding property of testing varieties between the recommended colored soybean 6 varieties and the indigenous 3 varieties, was showed that it was delayed by increasing of a grain weight but the budding rate was not significant. And the harvest period was the most early day at the black colored soybean plot at the 30th July and was the latest day at the native variety (Nonsan jaerae) at the 21 th October. The stem length was showed a wide range from 25 to 104 cm, and the Asan jaerae in this result was the highest on 104 cm, but the Geomjeongolkong was the lowest on 25 cm. The number of pod per plant was searched about 9 to 111 range, and the most numerous plot in this experimental varieties was the Ilpumgeomjeongkong as 111 number, on the other hand, the least variety was the Asan jaerae as 9 number. The rate of more than 2 seed per pod in the vegetable soybean property was the highest at the Geomjeongolkong about 82%. Additionally, the Hwangkuemkong and Geomjeongkong 1 was relatively the high levels as 78% and 73%, respectively. At the pod yield per $1000\;m^2$ (10a) was the most much as 1,567 kg at the Ilpumgeomjeongkong. Also, the Sunheukkong and the Galmikong was 1,468 kg, 1,397 kg, respectively. Therefore, the Ilpumgeomjeongkong, Sunheukkong, and Galmikong were proper varieties for the vegetable cultivation.

• Korean journal of food and cookery science
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.146-157
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• 1999

The knowledge on Korean traditional ceremony foods was evaluated from 271 Korean American housewives residing in the New York and New Jersey metropolitan area. A questionnaire was designed to collect information on demographic background of the subject and their knowledge on ceremonial foods and table settings. Over half of the respondents considered table settings for ceremonial foods are important and most of them knew and learned Korean ceremonial foods from either their own mothers or mother-in-laws. About three-quarters responded that traditional table settings need to be simplified and half of them stated that family education is the best way of proceeding knowledge on ceremonial foods. Most of them have knowledge of table settings for a child's birthday, a baby's first birthday, a baby's hundredth day after birth, New Year's and full moon days. However, few respondents were knowledgable about other ceremonial foods. Practically, they are more likely to simplify the table setting for Korean traditional ceremonies, such as child's birthday, 60th birthday, wedding, and memorial days. The results of this study could be used to plan traditional cultural education programs for Korean immigrants in the U.S. so that they can make informed decisions in building cultural identities in the new environment.