• Title/Summary/Keyword: 총조사오차

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A Total Survey Error Analysis of the Exit Polling for General Election 2008 in Korea (2008 총선 출구조사의 총조사오차 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Won;Kwak, Eun-Sun
    • Survey Research
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.33-55
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we newly define the Total Survey Error(TSE) in exit poll and investigate the TSEs of the exit poll survey for the 18th general election of 2008 to analyse the cause of the exit poll prediction error. To explore the main cause and effect of the total survey error, the total survey error was divided by the sampling error which comes from sampling process of poll stations and the non-sampling error which comes from selecting voter and collecting responses from sampled voters in each electoral district. We consider the relationship between non-response rates and total survey error as well as non-sampling error. Also, we study the representativeness of the exit poll sample by comparing the sex/age distribution of the exit poll data and the National Election Commission poll data.

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Methods and Evaluation of Korean Population Census (인구총조사의 방법과 평가)

  • 김태헌
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.27-46
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    • 1997
  • It is generally known that the quality of Korean population census results is very high. The completeness of the census has been over 97% since 1960. The age errors are very low and they belong to the lowest group in the world. However, Korean census has several problems to be solved, which are suggested as the followings: 1) Since most Koreans are basically educated, we will be able to adopt the self-reporting survey method for the next census instead of the interview method. Then, we can save a lot of time and cost in a census. 2) We have to simplify, the items of age since the effects of the four age items (Korean ago, zodiac year at birth, birth date in solar or lunar calendar) are not large enough to compare to the investments of manpower and costs. 3) It should be helpful to improve the quality of census data if the post enumeration survey is conducted more successfully and the results evaluated for more items not only age are published. 4) For the reduction of the error rates for the age groups of infants, young children and the young labours who are moving frequently, we need some special items for the compliteness of the population census by age group. 5) We have to prepare and release the 1995 2% sample data file to the public users for the improvement of the usefuleness in time. Furtheremore, it is also very important for the research in the field of social sciences that the back series of 2% sample files from 1985 census data are reconstructed.

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Construction of Sampling Frames for the 5th Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (국민건강영양조사 표본설계를 위한 추출틀 구축)

  • Park, Jin-Woo;Byun, Jong-Seok;Park, Min-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.923-932
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    • 2010
  • One of the problems in designing the fifth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(KNHNES) is the lack of an appropriate sampling frame. Due to the significant time difference, we expect eight severe sampling frame errors if we use the sampling frame obtained from the latest population and housing census that was conducted in 2005. Thus, the construction of an appropriate sampling frame for the fifth KNHNES is crucial for a successful survey. We considered the construction of a sampling frame that overcomes the limitations of the 2005 population and housing census based frame. For the construction of eight new sampling frames, we considered the use of multiple sampling frames in which the frame for the apartment households and the frame for the general households are obtained from different sources.

Comparison of Resident Register With Census Data According to Age Groups (주민등록자료와 인구주택총조사의 연령별 비교에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, U-Seok;Lee, Myoung-Jin
    • Survey Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.23-53
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    • 2008
  • To estimate the usability of resident register for the statistical purpose this study compares resident register with census data. The comparison shows that the differences between resident register and census data are closely related with life cycle. Among the aged the incorrect registration is supposed as the main cause for the difference, while among the other age groups the problems rise mainly from their social and economic activities. Especially among the age group between 15 and 24 level of the difference is very high, which results from university entrance and employment. This result confirms the importance of the comparison between these data according to age groups. The structural character of this difference suggests that the difference can be explained and reduced through policies.

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