• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.131-136
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• 2023

Local youth outmigration is increasingly growing. Various studies are being conducted to identify the factors contributing to this problem, but there is a lack of research analyzing each region individually. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the factors influencing youth outmigration in Busan and predict the risk levels of youth population outflow using machine learning techniques. By utilizing district-level data collected from the KOSIS, we divided the population into three groups based on age (the early 20s, late 20s, and early 30s) and employed Decision Tree and Random Forest algorithms to classify and predict the risk levels of youth population outmigration. The results indicate that the predictive model for youth outmigration risk levels achieves the highest accuracies of 0.93, 0.75, and 0.63 for each age group, respectively.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.49-57
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• 2019

The young generation in life cycle that social position is rapidly changing is play an important role in a regional development because they can increase social and natural population in the region. This study analyzed the relationship between the movement of young generation and the regional characteristics including housing market characteristics in Seoul. As the results, the movement of young generation was influenced by commuting distance and location of jobs as the gravity model has suggested. In addition, housing supply and housing price (or Jeonse price) is an important factor for the movement of young generation. It can be inferred that the more price gap such as Jeonse price and housing supply gap are increased, the more out-migration of young generation in Seoul is increased. However, the housing demand of young generation in employment centers will be increased because jobs contribute to increasing the inflow of young people. Therefore, the policies of central and Seoul government that supply housing in job rich and high accessibility areas are needed for young generation. In addition, if public housing and affordable housing are supplied in the other areas, it can contribute to reduce the out-migration of young people in Seoul.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.95-102
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• 2023

This study aims to empirically verify the moderating effect of population drop on the relationship between demographic changes and crime decline in local cities facing population decline in Korea. The study employs changes in the population of young adults, men, elderly, foreign residents, and population movement as factors of demographic changes, including types of the city as a control variable in the research model. The rate of change in population drop is used as a moderator variable and the rate of change in crime decline as a dependent variable. Data are collected from 155 cities with declining populations from 2010 to 2022 through KOSIS, the National Statistics Portal, and information disclosure requests. Data collected are analyzed using moderated regression analysis. In the first and second stages of the analysis, they show that changes in the population of young adults, population movement, foreign people, population drop, and the type of city affect the change in crime. Moderated regression analysis shows that only the interaction terms among changes in the population of young adults, changes in population movement, and changes in the population of foreigners and the population drop affects change in crime significantly.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.21 no.12
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• pp.310-321
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• 2021

The influence of regional economic growth on migration may also differ by age and generation age due to individual lifestyle. Therefore, this study analyzes an effects of changes in regional economic growth on migration between regions by age group. The result shows that the increase in the growth rate of the regional economy and job creation increased the net migration rate, regardless of age group. Second, it is found that the growth rate of the regional economy and job creation have a greater effect on the net migration rate for the youth population than for the middle-aged group. Third, it is found that the gap between regions in the level of individual income in the 25 to 29 years old and the level of land price fluctuations in the 40 to 64 years old affect the net migration rate. This implies that regional economic growth is still an important factor in the migration between regions, and has a great influence on the youth population.

• 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2019.04a
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• pp.87-90
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• 2019

본 연구의 목적은 강원도에서 실시하는 청년창업 지원사업이 창업성과에 미치는 영향을 연구하는 것이다. 강원도 지역의 경우 전국대비 상대적으로 낮은 임금, 10인 미만의 사업체와 주로 도소매 숙박업이 주를 이루는 영세한 산업구조로 인한 고용불안과 일자리 질 저하로 상대적 학력수준이 높은 일자리가 부족함에 따라 청년층의 높은 전출률을 초래하고 있다. 강원도 내 청년 일자리 문제는 생산가능인구 감소와 고령화문제로 이어지면서 이를 해결하기 위하여 강원도에서는 새로운 일자리 창출과 고용안정을 위하여 도내 청년 창업자를 발굴하고 육성하는 지원사업을 추진 중에 있다. 본 연구에서는 강원도 지역의 청년창업 지원사업을 통한 창업성과를 분석하고 청년창업자에게 유의미한 영향을 미쳤는지, 청년 일자리 창출에 상관관계를 끼쳤는지에 대하여 연구하려고 한다. 선행논문에서의 창업지원정책이 미치는 영향에 대한 연구결과에 따라 정부 창업지원사업과 창업성과간의 유의미한 관계가 있을 것이라고 예상할 수 있었고 본 연구에서는 기존의 선행연구에서 확장하여 후속지원에 대한 영향관계에 대하여 분석하고 그에 따른 시사점을 도출하고자 한다.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.32 no.6
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• pp.556-576
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• 2023

This study attempted to find a way to utilize idle spaces in rural areas as a way to respond to rural extinction. Based on the keywords "startup," "youth start-up," and "youth start-up+rural," start-up+rural," the study sought to identify the perception of idle facilities in rural areas through the keywords "Idle facilities" and "closed schools." The study presented basic data for policy direction and plan search by reviewing frequency analysis, major keyword analysis, network analysis, emotional analysis, and domestic and foreign cases. As a result of the analysis, first, it was found that idle facilities and school closures are acting importantly as factors for regional regeneration. Second, in the case of youth startups in rural areas, it was found that not only education on agriculture but also problems for residence should be solved together. Third, in the case of young people, it was confirmed that it was necessary to establish digital utilization for agriculture by actively starting a business using digital. Finally, in order to attract young people and revitalize the region through best practices at home and abroad, policy measures that can serve as various platforms such as culture and education as well as startups should be presented in connection with local residents. These results are significant in that they presented implications for youth start-ups in rural areas by reviewing start-up recognition for the influx of young people as one of the alternatives for the use of idle facilities and regional regeneration, and if additional solutions are presented through field surveys, they can be used to set policy goals that fit the reality.

• Land and Housing Review
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.1-23
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• 2024

In the face of an impending demographic cliff, this research delves into geographical disparities in socioeconomic statuses and living arrangements of young single women in rental housing and also to explore influential factors of their residential assessment and housing expenditure. From the Korean Housing Survey of 2020, the cross-sectional study identified 847 unmarried female single-person householders aged between 20 and 39 in four districts - Seoul and Gyeonggi-Incheon Area (GIA) of Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA), and metropolises and non-metropolises of non-SMA. The empirical analyses revealed that regardless of regions, most of the respondents were college-educated, salaried employees in late 20s living in a studio flat, seldom bore debt and barely relied on social services. Renters in SMA, employment rate, income and living expenses were higher than those in non-SMA and they resided in small, old but adequate housing with a separate bedroom. In particular, Seoulites suffered from housing cost overburden but most singles in GIA benefited from the lowest housing burden. While the main determinant of residential assessment was livability, housing satisfaction was additionally affected by old housing and the satisfaction with residential environment was also explained by urban amenities. Despite geographical variations, housing expenditure was primarily driven by income and employment.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2023.01a
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• pp.161-163
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• 2023

본 논문은 K-지방소멸지수를 바탕으로 지역 성장에 초점을 두어 지방소멸 대응 방향성을 제시한다. 연령별 추계인구 데이터와 총 요소 생산성 데이터를 비교하여 청년층의 감소가 지역 성장에 미치는 영향을 보여준다. 이에 따라 연도별 청년이 가장 많이 유출되는 지역을 샘플링하여 전출 사유를 알아보고 지역별 차별화된 대응 방향성을 제시한다.

• Economic Analysis
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.43-71
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• 2020

This paper aims to derive macroeconomic implications by analyzing the business cycle characteristics of the youth unemployment. The results of empirical analysis seem to show that youth unemployment appears to be relatively less correlated with business cycle compared to other age groups, and thus it is difficult to explain the recent steady increase in the potential labor force as a result of the business cycle fluctuation alone. Moreover, the alternative unemployment measures of the youth group showing upward trend were estimated to be co-integrated with output measures. This co-integrated trend increase suggests that unlike other age groups, youth may be influenced by structural factors inherent in Korea's economic growth path. The fact that the wage difference based on firm size has widened steadily since the Asian financial crisis and that the proportion of large companies that provide relatively high-quality jobs compared to major industrialized countries is significantly lower may be the evidence of the structural changes in Korean youth labor market. The results of above analysis may explain why the job search periods for youth has lengthened amid these structural changes.

• Economic Analysis
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.58-108
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• 2019

This paper analyzes the determining factors in the unemployment rate among young people in their 20s by studying data from 30 OECD countries between 2000 and 2017. It identifies reasons why Korea has a higher youth unemployment rate than Japan, and assesses what implications Japan's youth unemployment measures could have on Korea. The study highlights the variables that have meaningful impacts on youth unemployment. They include the unemployment rate among the working-age population, the percentage of each age bracket in the overall population, the GDP growth rate, the percentage of wage laborers in each age group, the percentage of elderly people, and the percentage of part-time workers. This paper also finds that a decline in the youth population, especially among people in their 20s, does not help to address the issue of youth unemployment. Secondly, this paper explains the additional factors behind Korea's higher youth unemployment rates. One is Korea's disadvantageous employment environment, compared to that in Japan, in terms of wage earnings. Other factors include the existence of fewer decent corporate jobs than in Japan, and wide disparities in wages between large and small corporate jobs. Therefore, while making efforts to resolve long-term and structural problems, it is necessary to actively promote policy measures to solve short-term mismatch problems of youth employment by referring to Japanese policy examples.