• Economic Analysis
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.33-60
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• 2021

This study estimates the fiscal multiplier using Input-Output table panel data from year of 2010 to 2018. Considering the endogeneity of the government expenditure, this study uses the share of government expenditure by sector in the initial period as an instrument variable. The estimation from the panel fixed effect instrumental variables model shows that the estimate for the current period of government expenditure is 1.15~1.22 and the estimate for the cumulative multiplier is 1.23~1.32 depending on the method of controlling time trend. Since the general equilibrium effect absorbed by the time-fixed effect in the estimation equation, the estimated multiplier in this study may be different from the multiplier of the economy as a whole. The general equilibrium effect depends on the response of monetary policy, changes in tax policy, and interaction between sectors.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.25-37
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• 2017

The paper is basically designed to investigate how regional consumption affects to regional income in Korea by introducing a model with panel cointegration, rational expectation and FM-OLS cointegration methodology. Empirical evidence reveals that the regional income could be stimulated by manipulating the regional consumption due to the fact that current regional consumption and first-lagged regional income are positively related to the level of regional income. Although there exists a possibility to increase the regional income which is associated with a spending multiplier in the group of regions with highly calculated MPC, but not in the groups of regions with middle and low calculated MPCs. To this end, it could be tentatively concluded that market-oriented system should be implemented elaborately to enable that the spending multipliers are appropriately operated in these two groups.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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• v.40 no.1
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• pp.261-296
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• 2009

I constructed the 2003 Korean 'social accounting matrix'(SAM) to analyze the multipliers of total demand for each economic activity. I find that the relative magnitude of the influence of the welfare policy to the national economy measured by input-output production multipliers tends to be underestimated compared to SAM multipliers. This is because the total demand multipliers of SAM include the private sector effects, which is not considered in the input-output model. The result also support that income inflows in public service areas including education, health and social work, generate gains in the relative income of households.

• Economic Analysis
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.100-137
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• 2019

In this study, I analyzed the effects of government spending on macro variables and on each industry by using a factor augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) and 167 macro-variables in Korea since 2000. The results reveal that the effects of two types of government spending - government consumption and government investment - greatly differ, therefore it is better to consider the two types of spending separately for a more precise analysis. The stimulus effects of government consumption are clear, but those of government investment are not. In addition, the crowding-out effects of government spending take place through the current account deficit channel rather than the traditional crowding-out channel, reducing private consumption and investment. Both types of government spending show a positive effect on the construction industry. Also, an increase in government consumption stimulates output in various manufacturing and service sectors.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.11 no.10
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• pp.187-196
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• 2011

This study aimed to estimate the economic impact of the '2011 Seoul Motor Show' using a direct survey-based regional input-output(I-O) model. Based on the regional I-O table, Exhibition multipliers were derived with respect to output, income, employment, value-added and indirect tax. Attendees' survey was conducted to estimate per capita expenditure. The results of this study indicated that all attendees of '2011 Seoul Motor Show' generated 53.1 billion Won of output impact, 11.7 billion Won of income impact, 24.1 billion Won of Value-added impact, 2.6 billion Won of tax impact, and 1,030 part-time and full-time jobs throughout direct and indirect effects. Another result of this study was that output multiplier of the exhibition industry was similar with other industries, however, income, employment and value-added multipliers were relatively larger than those of other industries.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.84-104
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• 2017

In this study, we divided Gyeonggi-do into Northern, Southern, Western, and Eastern Parts and found out fiscal variables which affected regional economic growth of each Part differentially. And we drew the strategy for economic growth of each Part. After we found out the variables which affected regional economic growth using fixed-effect model, we carried out causality test to determine whether a specific fiscal variable caused economic growth. In the Eastern Part, local tax revenues had a significant effect on the economic growth. Total expenditures, current expenditure in the Southern Part and social welfare expenditure, expenditure on industries, current expenditure in the Northern Part had noticeable effects on economic growth respectively. And we calculated multipliers of fiscal variables to compare the magnitudes of effects among these Parts.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.839-866
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• 2005

This study addresses the effects on the economy of atomic sector's R&D by considering how much KAERI's R&D expenditures in 2000 affect on the production and value-added of each industry and the whole economy. This study answers to the question using competitive import input-output tables and both supply driven and demand driven IO models, which are frequently employed in evaluating economic impacts of R&D in both domestic and foreign academic areas.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.12 no.8
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• pp.399-410
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• 2012

This study is to investigate the expenditure patterns that was generated by visitors who attended The Korean Music Wave Festival and analyze economic impact derived from that event. The target is the foreign visitors who attended '2011 Incheon Korean Music Wave'. Total of 407 questionnaires were collected. The collected data were analyzed to produce spending patterns using Tobit models. Also, tourism multipliers were employed to identify the economic impact. This results show that expenditure determinants such as demographic variables and satisfaction as independent variables are significant in estimating visitors' expenditures. Also, In addition economic impact derived from direct spending was substantially over committed cost. Accordingly, this result can contribute to providing basic information for marketing strategy that generates the economic effect on the destination. Moreover, the result can be utilized when establishing the strategy that can maximize the economic impact based on the spending patterns.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.113-135
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• 1998

There have been several research methodologies to measure the impacts of tourism development on the regional economy, which include input-output analysis, income multiplier analysis, labor creation effect analysis, etc. Most of these are based on regional economic indices using secondary data for medium to large regional units. This study tests the possibility of adopting tourist money now analysis, which encompasses a series of money flows beginning with tourists'payment for room, board and shopping, followed by tourist companies'expenditure for material and service purchase, wage, utilities, rent, tax and so forth, and by tourism workers'expenses for living and savings. This method makes it possible to reveal the amount and geographical extent of tourist money flow and draws some meaningful regional economic figures. Case studies of three torist developing areas show that it is utilized for impact studies for small scale areas.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.1-40
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• 2007

This paper mainly estimates a trajectory of GDP induced by variations in fiscal expenditure and taxation policy using three variable structural VAR models. By assigning different combinations of identifying restrictions on the disturbances and measuring the corresponding fiscal multipliers, we compare how robust the estimated values of fiscal multipliers are with respect to the restrictions. Then, considering the dependency of Korean economy on the foreign sector, we extend the three variable SVARs to four variable ones by adding a variable reflecting external shocks. Empirical analyses into the Korean quarterly data (from 1979 to 2000) with the three variable SVARs reveal that the size and the significance of the estimated fiscal multipliers in Korea are very small and low or they decay very fast. Results from the four variable SVARs confirm these results while the significance of the effectiveness of fiscal policy is enhanced in some cases.